Caserta vs Virtus Roma Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 21 May 2010

Tip-off: 18:30

Final 70-65

13-16 22-8 21-21 14-20

Position#2

Record20-10

FormWWLWW

Points / game83.9

Allowed / game75.6

Caserta 🏆

Virtus Roma

Position#7

Record16-13

FormWLWWL

Points / game78.9

Allowed / game74.8

Lega ALega A - Quarter-finals

Domestic2009-10

Meetings · Caserta v Virtus Roma

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Caserta winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Virtus Roma winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Caserta

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Teramo

#13

59-67

-8

H13/03

Lega A

Cremona

#12

87-85

A21/03

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

67-74

-7

H28/03

Lega A

Cantu

72-81

-9

A03/04

Lega A

Treviso

90-66

+24

H11/04

Lega A

Avellino

81-79

H18/04

Lega A

Varese

#10

88-85 OT

A25/04

Lega A

Siena

57-98

-41

H02/05

Lega A

Ferrara

#15

73-58

+15

A08/05

Lega A

Virtus Roma

85-69

+16

H16/05

Lega A

21-18

9-17

11-14

18-18

23-20

13-27

27-25

24-13

12-19

23-17

20-20

12-18

15-15

21-18

21-22

15-26

27-15

19-14

26-18

18-19

14-18

26-21

20-18

21-22

17-24

17-14

21-16

16-17

19-29

8-17

12-22

18-30

14-17

21-17

17-13

21-11

20-15

25-16

28-27

12-11

152.1Avg total

75.9Scored

76.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (30)	83.9	75.6	159.5	+8.3	67%
Season at home (15)	87.4	73.4	160.8	+14.0	73%
Season away (15)	80.4	77.8	158.2	+2.6	60%
Last 10 (10)	75.9	76.2	152.1	-0.3	60%
Last 5 (5)	76.8	77.8	154.6	-1.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	66.0	99.0	165.0	-33.0	0%
vs Similar ◀ (4)	86.8	84.2	171.0	+2.5	75%
vs Weaker (23)	85.3	72.4	157.7	+12.9	70%

This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Virtus Roma Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Biella

#14

80-85

-5

A07/03

Lega A

Pesaro

#11

70-61

H14/03

Lega A

Siena

93-85

H21/03

Lega A

Cantu

61-79

-18

A28/03

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

75-72

H03/04

Lega A

Teramo

#13

89-79

+10

A11/04

Lega A

Varese

#10

64-71

-7

H17/04

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

66-64

A25/04

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

78-59

+19

H08/05

Lega A

Caserta

69-85

-16

A16/05

Lega A

19-22

19-24

23-18

19-21

21-19

19-13

11-18

19-11

30-16

20-21

16-23

27-25

12-20

12-18

21-21

16-20

16-22

18-18

18-19

23-13

22-18

24-23

19-18

24-20

15-21

16-17

18-13

15-20

8-21

27-12

18-15

13-16

20-13

20-17

19-19

19-10

15-20

16-25

27-28

11-12

148.5Avg total

74.5Scored

74.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (29)	78.9	74.8	153.7	+4.1	55%
Season at home (15)	82.0	70.5	152.5	+11.5	67%
Season away (14)	75.5	79.4	154.9	-3.9	43%
Last 10 (10)	74.5	74.0	148.5	+0.5	60%
Last 5 (5)	73.2	71.6	144.8	+1.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	66.8	79.8	146.5	-13.0	25%
vs Similar ◀ (20)	74.7	75.1	149.8	-0.4	55%
vs Weaker (6)	84.2	65.8	150.0	+18.3	50%

This opponent (Caserta) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

CasertaVirtus Roma

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	20.0	40.4	+0.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.2	19.4	41.6	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	20.5	39.3	-1.8	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	19.0	37.2	-0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	20.6	37.4	-3.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	19.5	26.5	46.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	20.2	20.2	40.5	+0.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (23)	20.4	19.3	39.8	+1.1	48%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.8	18.3	36.0	-0.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.1	16.7	35.8	+2.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.5	19.8	36.3	-3.3	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	19.2	37.0	-1.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	18.6	34.6	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	21.2	19.5	40.8	+1.8	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	16.4	18.5	35.0	-2.1	45%	-
vs Weaker (6)	19.8	16.7	36.5	+3.2	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	18.6	38.0	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.6	17.9	38.5	+2.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	19.3	37.5	-1.0	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	17.8	36.0	+0.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	17.0	36.4	+2.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	10.0	23.0	33.0	-13.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	19.8	19.5	39.2	+0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (23)	20.2	17.7	37.9	+2.4	61%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	18.1	36.6	+0.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.1	16.0	35.1	+3.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.9	20.1	38.1	-2.2	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	18.8	37.9	+0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	18.8	39.4	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	15.0	18.8	33.8	-3.8	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	19.0	18.1	37.1	+0.9	60%	-
vs Weaker (6)	19.3	17.5	36.8	+1.8	50%	-

CasertaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Teramo

#13

30-35

-5

H13/03

Lega A

Cremona

#12

36-47

-11

A21/03

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

35-36

-1

H28/03

Lega A

Cantu

36-33

A03/04

Lega A

Treviso

46-29

+17

H11/04

Lega A

Avellino

40-39

H18/04

Lega A

Varese

#10

34-38

-4

A25/04

Lega A

Siena

27-46

-19

H02/05

Lega A

Ferrara

#15

35-34

A08/05

Lega A

Virtus Roma

45-31

+14

H16/05

Lega A

73.2Avg total

36.4Scored

36.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.9	38.5	78.4	+1.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.8	37.3	80.1	+5.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.0	39.8	76.8	-2.8	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.4	36.8	73.2	-0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.2	37.6	73.8	-1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	29.5	49.5	79.0	-20.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	40.0	39.8	79.8	+0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (23)	40.6	37.1	77.7	+3.5	57%	-

This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Virtus RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Biella

#14

38-46

-8

A07/03

Lega A

Pesaro

#11

40-32

H14/03

Lega A

Siena

50-37

+13

H21/03

Lega A

Cantu

24-38

-14

A28/03

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

34-40

-6

H03/04

Lega A

Teramo

#13

46-41

A11/04

Lega A

Varese

#10

31-38

-7

H17/04

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

35-33

A25/04

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

40-30

+10

H08/05

Lega A

Caserta

31-45

-14

A16/05

Lega A

74.9Avg total

36.9Scored

38.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.3	36.3	72.6	-0.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.2	32.7	70.9	+5.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	34.4	39.9	74.3	-5.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.9	38.0	74.9	-1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.6	37.4	74.0	-0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	36.2	38.2	74.5	-2.0	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	35.5	36.6	72.1	-1.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (6)	39.2	34.2	73.3	+5.0	50%	-

This opponent (Caserta) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	17.8	39.8	+4.2	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.8	17.7	40.5	+5.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.2	17.9	39.1	+3.3	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	19.5	39.8	+0.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	19.2	38.8	+0.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	15.0	23.5	38.5	-8.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	22.0	19.2	41.2	+2.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (23)	22.8	16.8	39.7	+6.0	78%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	19.0	37.3	-0.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.4	18.5	36.9	-0.1	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.2	19.6	37.8	-1.4	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	19.2	38.2	-0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	18.6	38.8	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	13.5	21.0	34.5	-7.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	18.6	20.4	39.0	-1.7	40%	-
vs Weaker (6)	20.3	13.3	33.7	+7.0	83%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	18.8	39.4	+1.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	18.3	38.5	+1.8	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.1	19.2	40.3	+1.9	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.5	18.5	36.0	-1.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	18.2	35.8	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	21.5	26.0	47.5	-4.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	18.2	19.8	38.0	-1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (23)	21.1	17.9	39.0	+3.2	57%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	18.5	39.4	+2.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.9	17.8	40.7	+5.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.9	19.2	38.1	-0.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	16.8	35.4	+1.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	15.6	32.0	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	17.0	20.5	37.5	-3.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	20.6	18.1	38.8	+2.5	55%	-
vs Weaker (6)	24.7	18.3	43.0	+6.3	33%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.6	36.5	79.1	+6.1	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.9	36.0	78.9	+6.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.3	37.1	79.3	+5.2	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.8	38.0	75.8	-0.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	37.4	74.6	-0.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	36.5	49.5	86.0	-13.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	40.2	39.0	79.2	+1.2	75%	-
vs Weaker (23)	43.9	34.7	78.6	+9.2	74%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.2	37.5	76.8	+1.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.3	36.3	77.6	+5.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.1	38.8	75.9	-1.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.6	36.0	73.6	+1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.6	34.2	70.8	+2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	30.5	41.5	72.0	-11.0	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	39.2	38.5	77.8	+0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (6)	45.0	31.7	76.7	+13.3	83%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Caserta wins

Virtus Roma wins

Date	Game	Score
16/05/10	Caserta v Virtus Roma	85-69
24/01/10	Virtus Roma v Caserta	83-64
25/01/09	Caserta v Virtus Roma	74-79
12/10/08	Virtus Roma v Caserta	83-81 OT

Casertalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/05/10	H	Virtus Roma	85-69
08/05/10	A	Ferrara	73-58
02/05/10	H	Siena	57-98
25/04/10	A	Varese	88-85 OT
18/04/10	H	Avellino	81-79
11/04/10	H	Treviso	90-66
03/04/10	A	Cantu	72-81
28/03/10	H	Virtus Bologna	67-74
21/03/10	A	Cremona	87-85
13/03/10	H	Teramo	59-67

Virtus Romalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/05/10	A	Caserta	69-85
08/05/10	H	Virtus Bologna	78-59
25/04/10	A	Olimpia Milano	66-64
17/04/10	H	Varese	64-71
11/04/10	A	Teramo	89-79
03/04/10	H	Sutor Montegranaro	75-72
28/03/10	A	Cantu	61-79
21/03/10	H	Siena	93-85
14/03/10	H	Pesaro	70-61
07/03/10	A	Biella	80-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Caserta

Lega A 2009-10

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	67%
Home	LWWLW	73%
Away	WWLWW	60%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	30	15	15
Win %	67%	73%	60%
Points / game	83.9	87.4	80.4
Allowed / game	75.6	73.4	77.8
Point differential	+8.3	+14.0	+2.6
Avg total	159.5	160.8	158.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	40%	53%	27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	83% (6)	100% (2)	75% (4)
Overtime %	7%	7%	7%

Virtus Roma

Lega A 2009-10

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWL	55%
Home	WWWLW	67%
Away	LLWWL	43%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	29	15	14
Win %	55%	67%	43%
Points / game	78.9	82.0	75.5
Allowed / game	74.8	70.5	79.4
Point differential	+4.1	+11.5	-3.9
Avg total	153.7	152.5	154.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	34%	40%	29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (6)	33% (3)	67% (3)
Overtime %	3%	7%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Siena	32	30	2	94%	91.2	68.9	+22.3
2	Caserta	30	20	10	67%	83.9	75.6	+8.3
3	Olimpia Milano	31	20	11	65%	78.2	72.4	+5.8
4	Cantu	30	19	11	63%	78.0	73.8	+4.2
5	Virtus Roma	29	16	13	55%	78.9	74.8	+4.1
6	Sutor Montegranaro	31	17	14	55%	79.9	78.6	+1.3
7	Virtus Bologna	32	17	15	53%	74.9	72.7	+2.2
8	Avellino	30	15	15	50%	79.3	77.1	+2.2
9	Treviso	31	15	16	48%	83.0	80.3	+2.7
10	Varese	30	13	17	43%	77.9	79.9	-2.0
11	Pesaro	29	12	17	41%	81.7	81.3	+0.4
12	Cremona	30	12	18	40%	81.8	81.3	+0.5
13	Teramo	29	11	18	38%	77.1	77.3	-0.2
14	Biella	29	11	18	38%	77.8	79.5	-1.7
15	Ferrara	30	11	19	37%	77.2	77.3	-0.1
16	NSB Napoli	25	0	25	0%	56.0	118.2	-62.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Caserta	13	22	21	14	70
Virtus Roma	16	8	21	20	65

← all games of the day

Caserta vs Virtus Roma Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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