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Caxias do Sul vs Paulistano Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 13 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 80-73
20-22 18-13 19-20 23-18
Position#13
Record10-15
FormLLLLL
Points / game71.8
Allowed / game77.4
vs
Position#7
Record16-9
FormWWWWW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game76.4
BrazilNBB· Ginasio do Sesi
Other2025-26
Meetings · Caxias do Sul v Paulistano
13 Feb 2026
CAXI80
PAUL73
15 Mar 2025
CAXI99
PAUL95
30 Nov 2023
CAXI65
PAUL81
25 Nov 2022
CAXI66
PAUL63
14 Apr 2022
CAXI61
PAUL54
22 Nov 2020
CAXI62
PAUL86
27 Mar 2018
CAXI81
PAUL80
22 Mar 2017
CAXI80
PAUL82
02 Dec 2015
CAXI70
PAUL83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Caxias do Sul winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Paulistano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Caxias do SulBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSul
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#11
W
89-80
89
80
+9
82avg 64
H21/12
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
68-52
68
52
+16
64avg 64
H23/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
60-100
60
100
-40
46avg 64
A27/12
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
56-71
56
71
-15
48avg 64
A29/12
NBB
Pato
#17
W
91-85 OT
91
85
+6
77avg 64
A09/01
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
65-77
65
77
-12
56avg 64
A12/01
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
73-74
73
74
-1
no box
H19/01
NBB
Franca
#1
L
66-93
66
93
-27
63avg 64
H21/01
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
L
73-79
73
79
-6
64avg 64
A03/02
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
62-69
62
69
-7
52avg 64
H11/02
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-19
18-23
18-25
26-13
18-19
20-7
15-12
15-14
15-28
15-30
13-26
17-16
20-12
11-22
14-16
11-21
26-15
17-24
14-15
13-16
15-7
12-19
22-34
16-17
18-20
16-17
16-16
23-21
10-21
16-29
21-23
19-20
16-18
13-18
19-20
25-23
19-15
14-17
13-21
16-16
148.3Avg total
70.3Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)71.877.4149.2-5.640%
Season at home (10)73.475.7149.1-2.350%
Season away (15)70.878.5149.3-7.733%
Last 10 (10)70.378.0148.3-7.730%
Last 5 (5)67.878.4146.2-10.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)65.483.6149.0-18.212%
vs Similar (6)75.571.7147.2+3.850%
vs Weaker (8)79.073.5152.5+5.575%
This opponent (Paulistano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaulistanoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulistano
Date
Competition
Cearense
#19
W
100-77
100
77
+23
93avg 71
A15/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
70-82
70
82
-12
58avg 71
A18/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
W
86-81
86
81
+5
72avg 71
H23/12
NBB
Mogi
#8
W
81-66
81
66
+15
65avg 71
H27/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
81-88
81
88
-7
67avg 71
A09/01
NBB
Bauru
#10
W
89-87
89
87
+2
no box
A15/01
NBB
Brasilia
#5
W
83-81 OT
83
81
+2
no box
H19/01
NBB
Franca
#1
W
91-89
91
89
+2
78avg 71
A03/02
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
86-73
86
73
+13
87avg 71
H07/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
74-63
74
63
+11
68avg 71
A11/02
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-12
14-21
32-21
22-23
15-29
24-19
20-12
11-22
20-23
19-21
23-24
24-13
18-15
24-9
18-20
21-22
17-23
22-23
20-22
22-20
26-11
23-26
21-18
19-32
16-16
25-14
18-21
13-21
25-27
18-18
22-26
26-18
18-19
20-18
25-20
23-16
17-21
22-11
18-14
17-17
162.8Avg total
84.1Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)81.076.4157.4+4.564%
Season at home (13)81.272.1153.3+9.277%
Season away (12)80.781.2161.8-0.550%
Last 10 (10)84.178.7162.8+5.480%
Last 5 (5)84.678.6163.2+6.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)80.279.5159.8+0.850%
vs Similar (15)73.777.8151.5-4.153%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)86.473.9160.3+12.573%
This opponent (Caxias do Sul) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -5.4-5.4Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -0.6-0.6
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -5.4-5.4Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -0.6-0.6
Caxias do SulPaulistano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Caxias do SulLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#11
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H21/12
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H23/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
30-58
30
58
-28
A27/12
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A29/12
NBB
Pato
#17
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A09/01
NBB
Brasilia
#5
W
27-26
27
26
+1
A12/01
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H19/01
NBB
Franca
#1
L
26-50
26
50
-24
H21/01
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A03/02
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H11/02
NBB
71.6Avg total
33.6Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.838.973.7-4.140%-
Last 30 at home (12)35.939.575.4-3.642%-
Last 30 away (18)34.138.672.6-4.539%-
Last 10 (10)33.638.071.6-4.450%-
Last 5 (5)29.836.266.0-6.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)31.142.173.2-11.112%-
vs Similar (6)39.534.574.0+5.067%-
vs Weaker (8)38.835.974.6+2.975%-
This opponent (Paulistano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaulistanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cearense
#19
W
46-33
46
33
+13
A15/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A18/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H23/12
NBB
Mogi
#8
W
42-24
42
24
+18
H27/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A09/01
NBB
Bauru
#10
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A15/01
NBB
Brasilia
#5
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H19/01
NBB
Franca
#1
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A03/02
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H07/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A11/02
NBB
79.1Avg total
41.5Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.838.278.0+1.550%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.236.475.6+2.860%-
Last 30 away (15)40.340.180.4+0.340%-
Last 10 (10)41.537.679.1+3.960%-
Last 5 (5)42.036.278.2+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)39.039.878.8-0.825%-
vs Similar (15)37.338.976.2-1.533%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)43.436.880.2+6.582%-
This opponent (Caxias do Sul) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Caxias do Sultheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Caxias do Sul: 70.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.715.8
46.9%
52.2%31.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.68.2
32.0%
32.5%24.6
🏀 Free throws20.714.1
68.1%
72.8%14.1
They take 59.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Paulistanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paulistano: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.319.5
50.9%
52.2%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.68.6
31.2%
32.5%25.8
🏀 Free throws20.013.9
69.5%
72.8%13.9
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Caxias do Sul
LLLLLWLLWW
Paulistano
WWWWWLWWLW
#13
League position
#7
-10.4
Net rating
+4.7
90.2
Offensive rating
98.2
100.6
Defensive rating
93.4
47.4%
Effective FG%
49.2%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.3%
18.5%
Turnover %
16.9%
29.1%
Off. rebound %
31.0%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.30
32.0%
3-point %
31.2%
63.7%
Assist %
47.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence90.2 · 98.2Defence100.6 · 93.4Shooting47.4% · 49.2%3-point %32.0% · 31.2%Ball care18.5% · 16.9%Off. rebounds29.1% · 31.0%Free throws0.35 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)30% · 80%
■ Caxias do Sul   ■ Paulistano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Caxias do Sul wins
7
Paulistano wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/26HPinheiros62-69
03/02/26ARio Claro73-79
21/01/26HFranca66-93
19/01/26HBauru73-74
12/01/26ABrasilia65-77
09/01/26APato91-85 OT
29/12/25AMogi56-71
27/12/25ACorinthians Paulista60-100
23/12/25HCearense68-52
21/12/25HUnifacisa89-80
Paulistanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/26AUniao Corinthians74-63
07/02/26HOsasco86-73
03/02/26AFranca91-89
19/01/26HBrasilia83-81 OT
15/01/26ABauru89-87
09/01/26ASao Jose81-88
27/12/25HMogi81-66
23/12/25HCorinthians Paulista86-81
18/12/25AUnifacisa70-82
15/12/25ACearense100-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Caxias do Sul
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL40%
HomeWWLLL50%
AwayLLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251015
Win %40%50%33%
Points / game71.873.470.8
Allowed / game77.475.778.5
Point differential-5.6-2.3-7.7
Avg total149.2149.1149.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%30%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)0% (1)60% (5)
Overtime %12%0%20%
Paulistano
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW64%
HomeLWWWW77%
AwayLLWWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %64%77%50%
Points / game81.081.280.7
Allowed / game76.472.181.2
Point differential+4.5+9.2-0.5
Avg total157.4153.3161.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%38%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)50% (6)67% (3)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pinheiros2521484%86.874.6+12.2
2 Flamengo2420483%87.476.3+11.1
3 Franca2520580%89.275.3+13.9
4 Minas2519676%86.580.5+6.0
5 Brasilia2619773%81.571.4+10.1
6 Corinthians Paulista2618869%83.277.5+5.7
7 Sao Jose2617965%82.879.1+3.7
8 Paulistano2516964%81.076.4+4.5
9 Mogi25141156%76.169.4+6.7
10 Bauru26141254%78.578.4+0.1
11 Unifacisa26131350%80.079.7+0.4
12 Uniao Corinthians25121348%79.182.0-2.9
13 Caxias do Sul25101540%71.877.4-5.6
14 Cruzeiro2371630%79.185.4-6.3
15 Rio Claro2471729%76.086.7-10.7
16 Pato2671927%74.179.9-5.8
17 Botafogo2552020%72.082.8-10.8
18 Cearense2652119%77.587.9-10.4
19 Osasco2542116%75.087.5-12.5
20 Vasco2642215%69.279.0-9.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Caxias do Sul2018192380
Paulistano2213201873
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