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CD Povoa vs Oliveirense Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 05 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 21:00
Scheduled
Position#7
Record4-3
FormLLWWL
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game75.3
CD Povoa
Portugal
vs
Form · last 5 games
3.4/10
Below normal
5.2/10
Around normal
Oliveirense
Portugal
Position#4
Record4-2
FormLWWLW
Points / game92.2
Allowed / game90.0
PortugalLPBRound 9· Clube Desportivo Póvoa
Other2026-27
Meetings · CD Povoa v Oliveirense
05 Dec 2026
CD P v OLIV
upcoming
19 Apr 2025
CD P61
OLIV68
14 May 2024
CD P85
OLIV84
13 Apr 2024
CD P90
OLIV81
18 Feb 2023
CD P71
OLIV61
29 Dec 2021
CD P76
OLIV70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

CD Povoa win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Oliveirense win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CD PovoaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPovoa
Date
Competition
CAB Madeira
#2
L
72-90
72
90
-18
59avg 70
A24/05
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
W
78-61
78
61
+17
71avg 70
H30/05
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
W
90-72
90
72
+18
77avg 70
H31/05
Proliga
Esgueira
#12
W
84-64
84
64
+20
76avg 70
A03/10
LPB
CAB Madeira
#10
W
73-69
73
69
+4
55avg 70
H10/10
LPB
Ovarense
#3
L
69-78
69
78
-9
48avg 70
A17/10
LPB
Braga
#6
L
71-80
71
80
-9
56avg 70
H25/10
LPB
Vitoria
#9
W
75-68
75
68
+7
63avg 70
A01/11
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
84-74
84
74
+10
no box
H07/11
LPB
Sporting CP
#5
L
69-94
69
94
-25
no box
A14/11
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-21
20-28
19-18
18-23
26-26
22-11
17-17
13-7
30-13
18-18
21-27
21-14
16-25
25-7
17-20
26-12
21-20
18-12
19-20
15-17
12-17
17-20
23-25
17-16
22-20
14-23
14-19
21-18
12-18
16-21
23-14
24-15
19-15
19-14
23-15
23-30
19-25
15-17
13-29
22-23
151.5Avg total
76.5Scored
75.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)75.075.3150.3-0.357%
Season at home (3)76.074.3150.3+1.767%
Season away (4)74.276.0150.2-1.850%
Last 10 (10)76.575.0151.5+1.560%
Last 5 (5)73.678.8152.4-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)69.784.0153.7-14.30%
vs Similar ◀ (1)73.069.0142.0+4.0100%
vs Weaker (26)81.071.4152.3+9.681%
This opponent (Oliveirense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OliveirensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOliveirense
Date
Competition
Ovarense
#4
W
69-65
69
65
+4
64avg 77
A16/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
76-98
76
98
-22
68avg 77
A21/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
61-86
61
86
-25
52avg 77
A23/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
78-86
78
86
-8
75avg 77
H28/05
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
91-82
91
82
+9
82avg 77
A03/10
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
67-92
67
92
-25
49avg 77
A17/10
LPB
Esgueira
#12
W
104-80
104
80
+24
105avg 77
H24/10
LPB
CAB Madeira
#10
W
113-109 OT
113
109
+4
103avg 77
A31/10
LPB
Ovarense
#3
L
87-93
87
93
-6
no box
H07/11
LPB
Braga
#6
W
91-84
91
84
+7
no box
A14/11
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-16
17-18
18-18
24-13
17-24
10-29
20-25
29-20
18-17
14-24
16-19
13-26
23-15
23-23
16-25
16-23
34-20
19-19
16-16
22-27
13-21
19-24
18-26
17-21
23-24
32-8
24-20
25-28
21-20
24-25
24-25
21-20
26-16
31-34
19-26
11-17
21-18
20-20
24-25
26-21
171.2Avg total
83.7Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)92.290.0182.2+2.267%
Season at home (2)95.586.5182.0+9.050%
Season away (4)90.591.8182.2-1.275%
Last 10 (10)83.787.5171.2-3.850%
Last 5 (5)92.491.6184.0+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)77.287.9165.1-10.720%
vs Similar ◀ (8)83.482.1165.5+1.262%
vs Weaker (12)90.882.4173.2+8.475%
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: -1.2-1.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: -1.2-1.2
CD PovoaOliveirense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CD PovoaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CAB Madeira
#2
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A24/05
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H30/05
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H31/05
Proliga
Esgueira
#12
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A03/10
LPB
CAB Madeira
#10
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H10/10
LPB
Ovarense
#3
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A17/10
LPB
Braga
#6
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H25/10
LPB
Vitoria
#9
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A01/11
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H07/11
LPB
Sporting CP
#5
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A14/11
LPB
74.7Avg total
37.6Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.537.477.0+2.150%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.836.279.1+6.675%-
Last 30 away (14)35.838.874.6-3.021%-
Last 10 (10)37.637.174.7+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)33.038.071.0-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)33.040.773.7-7.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (1)39.032.071.0+7.0100%-
vs Weaker (26)40.337.377.6+3.054%-
This opponent (Oliveirense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OliveirenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ovarense
#4
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A16/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
27-53
27
53
-26
A21/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A23/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H28/05
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
53-39
53
39
+14
A03/10
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A17/10
LPB
Esgueira
#12
W
55-32
55
32
+23
H24/10
LPB
CAB Madeira
#10
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A31/10
LPB
Ovarense
#3
W
57-50
57
50
+7
H07/11
LPB
Braga
#6
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A14/11
LPB
83.0Avg total
41.5Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.341.484.8+1.960%-
Last 30 at home (13)48.841.990.7+6.885%-
Last 30 away (17)39.241.180.2-1.941%-
Last 10 (10)41.541.583.0+0.050%-
Last 5 (5)46.042.088.0+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)39.642.882.4-3.250%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)43.642.285.9+1.462%-
vs Weaker (12)46.239.886.0+6.567%-
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
CD Povoatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CD Povoa: 74.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.319.8
49.1%
51.1%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.76.8
25.5%
31.9%20.4
🏀 Free throws22.914.2
62.0%
71.1%14.2
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Oliveirensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oliveirense: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.921.8
54.6%
51.1%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.37.6
27.8%
31.9%22.8
🏀 Free throws21.816.2
74.3%
71.1%16.2
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
CD Povoa
LWWLLWWWWL
Oliveirense
WLWWLWLLLW
#7
League position
#4
+2.7
Net rating
-0.9
82.9
Offensive rating
89.7
80.2
Defensive rating
90.6
44.8%
Effective FG%
49.4%
44.3%
Opp. effective FG%
50.0%
14.2%
Turnover %
17.4%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.32
25.5%
3-point %
27.8%
50.8%
Assist %
60.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence82.9 · 89.7Defence80.2 · 90.6Shooting44.8% · 49.4%3-point %25.5% · 27.8%Ball care14.2% · 17.4%Free throws0.34 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ CD Povoa   ■ Oliveirense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
CD Povoa wins
7
Oliveirense wins
DateGameScore
19/04/25CD Povoa v Oliveirense61-68
29/12/24Oliveirense v CD Povoa92-53
17/05/24Oliveirense v CD Povoa78-69
14/05/24CD Povoa v Oliveirense85-84
11/05/24Oliveirense v CD Povoa78-65
13/04/24CD Povoa v Oliveirense90-81
14/02/24Oliveirense v CD Povoa86-83 OT
01/12/23Oliveirense v CD Povoa104-75
18/02/23CD Povoa v Oliveirense71-61
03/12/22Oliveirense v CD Povoa74-70
CD Povoalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ASporting CP69-94
07/11/26HPortimonense84-74
01/11/26AVitoria75-68
25/10/26HBraga71-80
17/10/26AOvarense69-78
10/10/26HCAB Madeira73-69
03/10/26AEsgueira84-64
31/05/26HCAB Madeira90-72
30/05/26HCAB Madeira78-61
24/05/26ACAB Madeira72-90
Oliveirenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ABraga91-84
07/11/26HOvarense87-93
31/10/26ACAB Madeira113-109 OT
24/10/26HEsgueira104-80
17/10/26ABenfica67-92
03/10/26APortimonense91-82
28/05/26HBenfica78-86
23/05/26ABenfica61-86
21/05/26ABenfica76-98
16/05/26AOvarense69-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

CD Povoa
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL57%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %57%67%50%
Points / game75.076.074.2
Allowed / game75.374.376.0
Point differential-0.3+1.7-1.8
Avg total150.3150.3150.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Oliveirense
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW67%
HomeWL50%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %67%50%75%
Points / game92.295.590.5
Allowed / game90.086.591.8
Point differential+2.2+9.0-1.2
Avg total182.2182.0182.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %17%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica76186%88.373.6+14.7
2 FC Porto76186%91.681.6+10.0
3 Ovarense76186%84.476.9+7.6
4 Oliveirense64267%92.290.0+2.2
5 Sporting CP74357%83.674.6+9.0
6 Braga74357%88.181.1+7.0
7 CD Povoa74357%75.075.3-0.3
8 CA Queluz63350%87.891.7-3.8
9 Vitoria72529%68.783.9-15.1
10 CAB Madeira71614%82.786.4-3.7
11 Portimonense71614%78.789.0-10.3
12 Esgueira7070%80.397.7-17.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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