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CD Povoa vs Sampaense Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 73-50
27-14 21-13 17-11 8-12
Position#1
Record8-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game91.1
Allowed / game64.4
vs
Position#10
Record4-5
FormLLWLW
Points / game73.1
Allowed / game80.0
PortugalProligaRound 10· Clube Desportivo Póvoa
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

CD Povoa winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sampaense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CD PovoaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPovoa
Date
Competition
Oliveirense
#4
L
61-68
61
68
-7
47avg 66
H19/04
LPB
Imortal
#7
L
81-85
81
85
-4
74avg 66
A26/04
LPB
Sangalhos
#15
W
80-56
80
56
+24
74avg 66
H04/10
Proliga
Maia
#4
W
91-69
91
69
+22
82avg 66
A11/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
104-74
104
74
+30
no box
A18/10
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
87-75
87
75
+12
85avg 66
H25/10
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
76-56
76
56
+20
69avg 66
A01/11
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
116-44
116
44
+72
120avg 66
H08/11
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
W
88-73
88
73
+15
88avg 66
A15/11
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
87-68
87
68
+19
78avg 66
A22/11
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-20
15-19
17-11
14-18
20-24
21-24
17-15
23-22
13-15
28-10
21-19
18-12
22-15
29-11
17-23
23-20
30-20
20-13
24-18
30-23
19-19
24-21
22-17
22-18
22-12
12-12
21-16
21-16
36-14
32-9
22-10
26-11
19-17
20-17
23-14
26-25
40-15
13-16
19-13
15-24
153.9Avg total
87.1Scored
66.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)91.164.4155.5+26.8100%
Season at home (3)94.358.3152.7+36.0100%
Season away (5)89.268.0157.2+21.2100%
Last 10 (10)87.166.8153.9+20.380%
Last 5 (5)90.863.2154.0+27.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)69.583.0152.5-13.514%
vs Similar (7)83.784.6168.3-0.929%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)91.164.4155.5+26.8100%
This opponent (Sampaense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SampaensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSampaense
Date
Competition
Santo Andre
#9
W
82-77
82
77
+5
79avg 73
H04/05
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
W
80-74
80
74
+6
no box
H04/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
84-79
84
79
+5
79avg 73
A11/10
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
74-104
74
104
-30
no box
H18/10
Proliga
Maia
#4
L
67-79
67
79
-12
66avg 73
H25/10
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
L
69-76
69
76
-7
57avg 73
A01/11
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
84-87 OT
84
87
-3
70avg 73
H08/11
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
75-58
75
58
+17
69avg 73
A15/11
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
L
46-87
46
87
-41
33avg 73
A22/11
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
79-76
79
76
+3
79avg 73
H29/11
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-15
27-19
15-15
20-28
20-16
8-26
23-11
29-21
18-26
23-17
23-15
20-21
20-30
13-20
18-24
23-30
16-23
20-15
17-22
14-19
17-20
14-14
22-23
16-19
21-17
16-16
17-23
18-16
25-12
16-20
15-14
19-12
8-21
12-23
20-22
6-21
18-22
24-17
19-12
18-25
153.7Avg total
74.0Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)73.180.0153.1-6.944%
Season at home (5)76.884.0160.8-7.240%
Season away (4)68.575.0143.5-6.550%
Last 10 (10)74.079.7153.7-5.750%
Last 5 (5)70.676.8147.4-6.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)73.387.3160.6-14.015%
vs Similar (11)88.682.7171.4+5.964%
vs Weaker (6)78.778.3157.0+0.367%
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.5+6.5Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +6.2+6.2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: -2.9-2.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.5+6.5Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +6.2+6.2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: -2.9-2.9
CD PovoaSampaense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CD PovoaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oliveirense
#4
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H19/04
LPB
Imortal
#7
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A26/04
LPB
Sangalhos
#15
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H04/10
Proliga
Maia
#4
W
51-26
51
26
+25
A11/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
50-33
50
33
+17
A18/10
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H25/10
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
34-24
34
24
+10
A01/11
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
68-23
68
23
+45
H08/11
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A15/11
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
53-31
53
31
+22
A22/11
Proliga
77.3Avg total
45.0Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.837.977.7+1.957%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.937.677.5+2.464%-
Last 30 away (16)39.738.277.9+1.450%-
Last 10 (10)45.032.377.3+12.780%-
Last 5 (5)47.430.477.8+17.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)36.339.475.6-3.143%-
vs Similar (7)39.643.683.1-4.043%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)47.429.576.9+17.9100%-
This opponent (Sampaense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SampaenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Santo Andre
#9
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H04/05
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
L
28-42
28
42
-14
H04/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A11/10
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
33-50
33
50
-17
H18/10
Proliga
Maia
#4
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H25/10
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A01/11
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H08/11
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A15/11
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
L
20-44
20
44
-24
A22/11
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H29/11
Proliga
74.5Avg total
35.6Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.342.181.4-2.843%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.641.884.4+0.867%-
Last 30 away (15)36.142.478.5-6.320%-
Last 10 (10)35.638.974.5-3.340%-
Last 5 (5)34.236.470.6-2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)34.742.577.2-7.823%-
vs Similar (11)45.543.088.5+2.573%-
vs Weaker (6)38.239.777.8-1.533%-
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
CD Povoatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CD Povoa: 83.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.0 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.121.4
54.7%
50.0%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.69.4
34.1%
30.3%28.2
🏀 Free throws19.612.7
64.8%
67.4%12.7
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sampaensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sampaense: 67.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.0 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.018.1
54.8%
50.0%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.86.5
32.8%
30.3%19.5
🏀 Free throws17.811.5
64.6%
67.4%11.5
They take 52.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
CD Povoa
WWWWWWWWLL
Sampaense
WLWLLLLWWW
#1
League position
#10
+19.2
Net rating
-6.3
107.1
Offensive rating
101.4
87.9
Defensive rating
107.7
53.2%
Effective FG%
52.7%
42.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.5%
20.7%
Turnover %
18.3%
33.8%
Off. rebound %
23.7%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.34
34.1%
3-point %
32.8%
60.4%
Assist %
50.8%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence107.1 · 101.4Defence87.9 · 107.7Shooting53.2% · 52.7%3-point %34.1% · 32.8%Ball care20.7% · 18.3%Off. rebounds33.8% · 23.7%Free throws0.29 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ CD Povoa   ■ Sampaense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
CD Povoa wins
0
Sampaense wins
DateGameScore
18/10/25Sampaense v CD Povoa74-104
CD Povoalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/25ASangalhos87-68
15/11/25ALusitania88-73
08/11/25HAcademica116-44
01/11/25AIlliabum76-56
25/10/25HGinasio87-75
18/10/25ASampaense104-74
11/10/25AMaia91-69
04/10/25HSangalhos80-56
26/04/25AImortal81-85
19/04/25HOliveirense61-68
Sampaenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/25HSangalhos79-76
22/11/25ALusitania46-87
15/11/25AAcademica75-58
08/11/25HIlliabum84-87 OT
01/11/25AGinasio69-76
25/10/25HMaia67-79
18/10/25HCD Povoa74-104
11/10/25ASangalhos84-79
04/10/25HLusitania80-74
04/05/25HSanto Andre82-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

CD Povoa
Proliga 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game91.194.389.2
Allowed / game64.458.368.0
Point differential+26.8+36.0+21.2
Avg total155.5152.7157.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sampaense
Proliga 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW44%
HomeWLLLW40%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %44%40%50%
Points / game73.176.868.5
Allowed / game80.084.075.0
Point differential-6.9-7.2-6.5
Avg total153.1160.8143.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %11%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CD Povoa880100%91.164.4+26.8
2 CAB Madeira98189%89.174.7+14.4
3 Ginasio108280%79.073.5+5.5
4 Illiabum97278%80.668.0+12.6
5 Portimonense97278%82.975.6+7.3
6 Imortal B97278%84.078.0+6.0
7 Galomar96367%86.081.7+4.3
8 Maia84450%79.873.5+6.2
9 Sampaense94544%73.180.0-6.9
10 Lusitania83538%72.472.2+0.1
11 Ginasio Olhanense93633%79.178.7+0.4
12 Benfica Lisboa B93633%69.971.4-1.6
13 Santo Andre92722%75.082.8-7.8
14 Sangalhos91811%67.283.7-16.4
15 CB Queluz9090%68.191.3-23.2
16 Academica9090%57.081.8-24.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
CD Povoa272117873
Sampaense1413111250
← all games of the day
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