PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Lusitania vs CD Povoa Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 73-88
17-19 17-20 14-23 25-26
Position#3
Record2-3
FormLLLWW
Points / game69.2
Allowed / game72.6
vs
Position#1
Record6-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game92.3
Allowed / game62.3
PortugalProligaRound 7· Pavilhão Municipal de Angra do Heroísmo
Other2025-26
Meetings · Lusitania v CD Povoa
15 Nov 2025
LUSI73
CD P88
04 Nov 2023
LUSI73
CD P100
15 Oct 2022
LUSI73
CD P67
02 Apr 2022
LUSI96
CD P70
13 Mar 2022
LUSI71
CD P57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lusitania winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CD Povoa winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LusitaniaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLusitania
Date
Competition
Santo Andre
#9
W
74-70
74
70
+4
60avg 76
A30/03
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
94-82
94
82
+12
91avg 76
H05/04
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
W
103-84
103
84
+19
100avg 76
A19/04
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
85-73
85
73
+12
82avg 76
H26/04
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
W
95-92
95
92
+3
88avg 76
A04/05
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
L
74-80
74
80
-6
no box
A04/10
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
L
74-81
74
81
-7
60avg 76
H11/10
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
63-81
63
81
-18
46avg 76
A19/10
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
66-56
66
56
+10
64avg 76
H25/10
Proliga
Maia
#4
W
69-65
69
65
+4
55avg 76
H31/10
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-16
23-13
17-21
19-20
25-26
22-23
28-12
19-21
26-25
24-15
34-15
19-29
19-20
16-23
24-15
26-15
30-30
21-25
28-17
16-20
16-20
26-8
11-23
21-29
27-17
16-25
18-18
13-21
18-16
9-28
20-22
16-15
20-16
15-12
10-13
21-15
20-14
15-17
17-15
17-19
156.1Avg total
79.7Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)69.272.6141.8-3.440%
Season at home (3)69.767.3137.0+2.367%
Season away (2)68.580.5149.0-12.00%
Last 10 (10)79.776.4156.1+3.370%
Last 5 (5)69.272.6141.8-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (10)70.177.1147.2-7.030%
vs Weaker (20)85.577.5163.1+8.070%
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CD PovoaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPovoa
Date
Competition
Benfica
#4
L
85-106
85
106
-21
78avg 66
A09/04
Taca da Liga
Benfica
#1
L
77-94
77
94
-17
65avg 66
A12/04
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
L
61-68
61
68
-7
47avg 66
H19/04
LPB
Imortal
#7
L
81-85
81
85
-4
74avg 66
A26/04
LPB
Sangalhos
#15
W
80-56
80
56
+24
74avg 66
H04/10
Proliga
Maia
#4
W
91-69
91
69
+22
82avg 66
A11/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
104-74
104
74
+30
no box
A18/10
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
87-75
87
75
+12
85avg 66
H25/10
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
76-56
76
56
+20
69avg 66
A01/11
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
116-44
116
44
+72
120avg 66
H08/11
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-25
15-22
18-28
25-31
13-21
18-22
21-22
25-29
15-20
15-19
17-11
14-18
20-24
21-24
17-15
23-22
13-15
28-10
21-19
18-12
22-15
29-11
17-23
23-20
30-20
20-13
24-18
30-23
19-19
24-21
22-17
22-18
22-12
12-12
21-16
21-16
36-14
32-9
22-10
26-11
158.5Avg total
85.8Scored
72.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)92.362.3154.7+30.0100%
Season at home (3)94.358.3152.7+36.0100%
Season away (3)90.366.3156.7+24.0100%
Last 10 (10)85.872.7158.5+13.160%
Last 5 (5)94.863.6158.4+31.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)69.982.0151.9-12.119%
vs Similar (7)83.784.6168.3-0.929%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)92.362.3154.7+30.0100%
This opponent (Lusitania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +5.1+5.1Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +2.7+2.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +5.1+5.1Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +2.7+2.7
LusitaniaCD Povoa
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LusitaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Santo Andre
#9
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A30/03
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H05/04
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A19/04
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H26/04
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
L
51-55
51
55
-4
A04/05
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A04/10
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H11/10
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A19/10
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H25/10
Proliga
Maia
#4
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H31/10
Proliga
79.2Avg total
40.3Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.237.878.0+2.460%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.837.176.9+2.760%-
Last 30 away (15)40.738.579.1+2.260%-
Last 10 (10)40.338.979.2+1.460%-
Last 5 (5)36.434.671.0+1.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (10)32.736.469.1-3.740%-
vs Weaker (20)44.038.582.5+5.570%-
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CD PovoaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Benfica
#4
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A09/04
Taca da Liga
Benfica
#1
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A12/04
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H19/04
LPB
Imortal
#7
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A26/04
LPB
Sangalhos
#15
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H04/10
Proliga
Maia
#4
W
51-26
51
26
+25
A11/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
50-33
50
33
+17
A18/10
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H25/10
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
34-24
34
24
+10
A01/11
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
68-23
68
23
+45
H08/11
Proliga
77.9Avg total
43.1Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.538.477.9+1.153%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.937.977.7+2.060%-
Last 30 away (15)39.138.978.1+0.247%-
Last 10 (10)43.134.877.9+8.360%-
Last 5 (5)49.229.278.4+20.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)36.939.476.3-2.444%-
vs Similar (7)39.643.683.1-4.043%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)47.828.576.3+19.3100%-
This opponent (Lusitania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lusitaniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lusitania: 73.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.0 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.418.2
50.0%
50.0%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.97.6
33.2%
30.3%22.8
🏀 Free throws20.413.9
68.1%
67.4%13.9
They take 59.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CD Povoatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CD Povoa: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.0 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.021.6
54.0%
50.0%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.39.0
34.2%
30.3%27.0
🏀 Free throws19.812.8
64.6%
67.4%12.8
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lusitania
WWLLLWWWWW
CD Povoa
WWWWWWLLLL
#3
League position
#1
+5.7
Net rating
+13.8
106.5
Offensive rating
105.0
100.8
Defensive rating
91.2
49.9%
Effective FG%
52.9%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
43.9%
18.9%
Turnover %
20.3%
35.1%
Off. rebound %
30.2%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.30
33.2%
3-point %
34.2%
56.6%
Assist %
58.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence106.5 · 105.0Defence100.8 · 91.2Shooting49.9% · 52.9%3-point %33.2% · 34.2%Ball care18.9% · 20.3%Off. rebounds35.1% · 30.2%Free throws0.34 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Lusitania   ■ CD Povoa
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Lusitania wins
4
CD Povoa wins
DateGameScore
09/03/24CD Povoa v Lusitania99-87
04/11/23Lusitania v CD Povoa73-100
04/01/23CD Povoa v Lusitania70-63
15/10/22Lusitania v CD Povoa73-67
18/04/22CD Povoa v Lusitania82-66
02/04/22Lusitania v CD Povoa96-70
13/03/22Lusitania v CD Povoa71-57
05/12/21CD Povoa v Lusitania77-80
Lusitanialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/25HMaia69-65
25/10/25HAcademica66-56
19/10/25AIlliabum63-81
11/10/25HGinasio74-81
04/10/25ASampaense74-80
04/05/25AGinasio95-92
26/04/25HBenfica Lisboa B85-73
19/04/25ASampaense103-84
05/04/25HBarreirense94-82
30/03/25ASanto Andre74-70
CD Povoalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/25HAcademica116-44
01/11/25AIlliabum76-56
25/10/25HGinasio87-75
18/10/25ASampaense104-74
11/10/25AMaia91-69
04/10/25HSangalhos80-56
26/04/25AImortal81-85
19/04/25HOliveirense61-68
12/04/25ABenfica77-94
09/04/25ABenfica85-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lusitania
Proliga 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW40%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%67%0%
Points / game69.269.768.5
Allowed / game72.667.380.5
Point differential-3.4+2.3-12.0
Avg total141.8137.0149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
CD Povoa
Proliga 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game92.394.390.3
Allowed / game62.358.366.3
Point differential+30.0+36.0+24.0
Avg total154.7152.7156.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CD Povoa660100%92.362.3+30.0
2 Portimonense76186%84.174.3+9.9
3 CAB Madeira65183%83.072.0+11.0
4 Illiabum65183%81.371.0+10.3
5 Ginasio65183%77.770.3+7.3
6 Galomar64267%84.580.5+4.0
7 Imortal B64267%80.880.8+0.0
8 Ginasio Olhanense73443%80.677.9+2.7
9 Benfica Lisboa B73443%72.770.6+2.1
10 Lusitania52340%69.272.6-3.4
11 Maia62433%76.276.3-0.2
12 Sampaense62433%76.383.2-6.8
13 Sangalhos51420%62.476.0-13.6
14 Santo Andre61517%76.384.3-8.0
15 CB Queluz7070%67.187.9-20.7
16 Academica6060%53.880.3-26.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lusitania1717142573
CD Povoa1920232688
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.