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Cedevita vs FMP Beograd Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Feb 2019
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 87-85
19-26 24-23 27-22 17-14
Position#2
Record13-5
FormWLWWL
Points / game87.4
Allowed / game80.7
vs
Position#6
Record8-10
FormLLLWW
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game82.5
EuropeABA LeagueRound 19
Domestic2018
Meetings · Cedevita v FMP Beograd
10 Feb 2019
CED87
FBE85
29 Sep 2017
CED74
FBE67
20 Sep 2017
CED86
FBE68
11 Mar 2017
CED104
FBE92
06 Mar 2010
CED79
FBE67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cedevita winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
FMP Beograd winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CedevitaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unics Kazan
#2
L
70-105
70
105
-35
A16/01
Eurocup
Osijek
#5
L
78-83
78
83
-5
A18/01
Premijer liga
Buducnost
#3
L
78-80
78
80
-2
A21/01
ABA League
Unics Kazan
#2
L
83-100
83
100
-17
H23/01
Eurocup
Crvena zvezda
#1
W
84-68
84
68
+16
H26/01
ABA League
Split
#4
W
79-78
79
78
+1
H27/01
Premijer liga
MoraBanc Andorra
#7
L
81-87
81
87
-6
A30/01
Eurocup
Alkar
#11
W
96-79
96
79
+17
A02/02
Premijer liga
Igokea
#9
W
78-75
78
75
+3
A02/02
ABA League
Zenit Petersburg
#14
L
75-79
75
79
-4
H06/02
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-21
22-26
16-26
16-32
12-18
29-22
15-22
22-21
22-21
20-19
19-20
17-20
23-31
22-31
22-22
16-16
21-20
28-13
21-12
14-23
14-23
22-20
20-16
23-19
26-26
20-16
18-22
17-23
21-22
22-13
24-23
29-21
21-15
19-13
19-26
19-21
23-19
16-13
16-23
20-24
163.6Avg total
80.2Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)87.480.7168.1+6.872%
Season at home (9)87.676.1163.7+11.478%
Season away (9)87.385.2172.6+2.167%
Last 10 (10)80.283.4163.6-3.240%
Last 5 (5)81.879.6161.4+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)82.190.4172.5-8.225%
vs Similar (8)77.279.6156.9-2.438%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)89.582.6172.1+6.877%
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FMP BeogradLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Petrol Olimpija
#13
L
86-88
86
88
-2
A24/11
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#10
L
82-84
82
84
-2
H08/12
ABA League
Partizan
#4
L
77-83
77
83
-6
A15/12
ABA League
Zadar
#11
W
85-79
85
79
+6
A21/12
ABA League
Mega Bemax
#7
W
106-89
106
89
+17
H28/12
ABA League
Cibona
#8
L
71-90
71
90
-19
A04/01
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
70-87
70
87
-17
H14/01
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
62-79
62
79
-17
A19/01
ABA League
Igokea
#9
W
87-78
87
78
+9
H26/01
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
W
76-71
76
71
+5
A03/02
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-16
12-17
22-22
31-33
14-23
15-18
24-23
29-20
22-17
20-26
20-25
15-15
22-18
22-21
20-22
21-18
31-22
30-32
13-21
32-14
28-23
13-24
15-22
15-21
16-20
16-28
16-13
22-26
9-18
12-22
23-16
18-23
23-20
17-25
21-22
26-11
12-23
16-17
23-22
25-9
163.0Avg total
80.2Scored
82.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)80.382.5162.8-2.244%
Season at home (9)87.083.7170.7+3.356%
Season away (9)73.681.3154.9-7.833%
Last 10 (10)80.282.8163.0-2.640%
Last 5 (5)73.281.0154.2-7.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)72.783.7156.3-11.00%
vs Similar (14)82.179.7161.8+2.464%
vs Weaker (7)87.468.1155.6+19.3100%
This opponent (Cedevita) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: -5.7-5.7Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: +4.4+4.4
CedevitaFMP Beograd
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CedevitaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unics Kazan
#2
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A16/01
Eurocup
Osijek
#5
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A18/01
Premijer liga
Buducnost
#3
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A21/01
ABA League
Unics Kazan
#2
L
45-62
45
62
-17
H23/01
Eurocup
Crvena zvezda
#1
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H26/01
ABA League
Split
#4
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H27/01
Premijer liga
MoraBanc Andorra
#7
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A30/01
Eurocup
Alkar
#11
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A02/02
Premijer liga
Igokea
#9
W
40-28
40
28
+12
A02/02
ABA League
Zenit Petersburg
#14
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H06/02
Eurocup
82.1Avg total
41.9Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.840.283.0+2.763%-
Last 30 at home (12)42.941.184.0+1.867%-
Last 30 away (18)42.839.682.3+3.261%-
Last 10 (10)41.940.282.1+1.770%-
Last 5 (5)40.836.076.8+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)43.844.187.9-0.438%-
vs Similar (8)38.838.677.4+0.162%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)44.238.983.2+5.377%-
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FMP BeogradLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Petrol Olimpija
#13
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A24/11
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#10
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H08/12
ABA League
Partizan
#4
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A15/12
ABA League
Zadar
#11
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A21/12
ABA League
Mega Bemax
#7
W
61-54
61
54
+7
H28/12
ABA League
Cibona
#8
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A04/01
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
32-48
32
48
-16
H14/01
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
21-40
21
40
-19
A19/01
ABA League
Igokea
#9
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H26/01
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A03/02
ABA League
80.1Avg total
37.1Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.139.579.7+0.647%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.439.782.1+2.753%-
Last 30 away (15)37.939.377.2-1.540%-
Last 10 (10)37.143.080.1-5.920%-
Last 5 (5)32.444.076.4-11.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)34.144.979.0-10.80%-
vs Similar (14)41.039.080.0+2.057%-
vs Weaker (7)46.133.779.9+12.486%-
This opponent (Cedevita) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cedevitatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cedevita: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
47%
32%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.820.6
54.5%
51.6%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.58.2
38.1%
33.9%24.6
🏀 Free throws19.713.5
68.5%
72.5%13.5
They take 59.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
FMP Beogradtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FMP Beograd: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
47%
32%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.319.5
52.3%
51.6%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.28.4
33.3%
33.9%25.2
🏀 Free throws22.814.8
64.9%
72.5%14.8
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Feb 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cedevita
LWWLWWLLLL
FMP Beograd
WWLLLWWLLL
#2
League position
#6
-5.8
Net rating
-3.9
104.1
Offensive rating
103.9
109.9
Defensive rating
107.9
55.5%
Effective FG%
51.4%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
20.0%
Turnover %
16.9%
23.5%
Off. rebound %
28.2%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.36
38.1%
3-point %
33.3%
60.1%
Assist %
63.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence104.1 · 103.9Defence109.9 · 107.9Shooting55.5% · 51.4%3-point %38.1% · 33.3%Ball care20.0% · 16.9%Off. rebounds23.5% · 28.2%Free throws0.33 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Cedevita   ■ FMP Beograd
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Cedevita wins
0
FMP Beograd wins
DateGameScore
17/11/18FMP Beograd v Cedevita81-95
17/12/17FMP Beograd v Cedevita71-80
29/09/17Cedevita v FMP Beograd74-67
20/09/17Cedevita v FMP Beograd86-68
11/03/17Cedevita v FMP Beograd104-92
11/12/16FMP Beograd v Cedevita89-96
06/03/10Cedevita v FMP Beograd79-67
28/11/09FMP Beograd v Cedevita85-87
Cedevitalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/02/19HZenit Petersburg75-79
02/02/19AIgokea78-75
02/02/19AAlkar96-79
30/01/19AMoraBanc Andorra81-87
27/01/19HSplit79-78
26/01/19HCrvena zvezda84-68
23/01/19HUnics Kazan83-100
21/01/19ABuducnost78-80
18/01/19AOsijek78-83
16/01/19AUnics Kazan70-105
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/19AKK Krka Novo mesto76-71
26/01/19HIgokea87-78
19/01/19ACrvena zvezda62-79
14/01/19HBuducnost70-87
04/01/19ACibona71-90
28/12/18HMega Bemax106-89
21/12/18AZadar85-79
15/12/18APartizan77-83
08/12/18HMornar Bar82-84
24/11/18APetrol Olimpija86-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cedevita
ABA League 2018
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW72%
HomeWWWWW78%
AwayWWWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %72%78%67%
Points / game87.487.687.3
Allowed / game80.776.185.2
Point differential+6.8+11.4+2.1
Avg total168.1163.7172.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%67%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (2)60% (5)
Overtime %6%0%11%
FMP Beograd
ABA League 2018
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW44%
HomeLLWLW56%
AwayLWLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %44%56%33%
Points / game80.387.073.6
Allowed / game82.583.781.3
Point differential-2.2+3.3-7.8
Avg total162.8170.7154.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%33%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda1918195%85.268.6+16.5
2 Buducnost1813572%81.874.4+7.4
3 Cedevita1813572%87.480.7+6.8
4 Partizan1812667%83.177.6+5.6
5 Mega Bemax1910953%83.484.9-1.5
6 FMP Beograd1881044%80.382.5-2.2
7 Zadar1971237%83.386.2-2.9
8 Mornar Bar1971237%82.287.5-5.4
9 Cibona1971237%77.683.0-5.4
10 Igokea1861233%82.887.1-4.3
11 Petrol Olimpija1851328%77.882.8-4.9
12 KK Krka Novo mesto1951426%72.281.4-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cedevita1924271787
FMP Beograd2623221485
← all games of the day
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