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Fortitudo Bologna vs Trieste Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 89-75
25-17 18-20 28-25 18-13
Position#3
Record12-3
FormLWWLW
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game73.2
Fortitudo Bologna 🏆
Italy
vs
Trieste
Italy
Position#5
Record11-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game73.7
ItalySerie A2Round 16· PalaDozza
Other2023-24
Meetings · Fortitudo Bologna v Trieste
23 Dec 2023
FBO89
TRI75
13 Dec 2021
FBO96
TRI60
10 Jan 2021
FBO69
TRI82
19 Apr 2020
FBO v TRI
upcoming
05 Jun 2017
FBO76
TRI74
03 Jun 2017
FBO76
TRI60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fortitudo Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Trieste winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Fortitudo BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Orzinuovi
#21
W
89-77
89
77
+12
88avg 75
H29/10
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
W
94-92
94
92
+2
95avg 75
H05/11
Serie A2
Cento
#12
W
84-72
84
72
+12
83avg 75
H12/11
Serie A2
Udine
#6
L
56-87
56
87
-31
41avg 75
A15/11
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
W
69-65
69
65
+4
65avg 75
A18/11
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
68-75
68
75
-7
60avg 75
H26/11
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
W
82-75
82
75
+7
78avg 75
A03/12
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
W
84-77
84
77
+7
80avg 75
H07/12
Serie A2
Forli
#2
L
74-77 OT
74
77
-3
no box
A10/12
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
W
71-69
71
69
+2
65avg 75
H17/12
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
26-21
31-19
11-18
23-24
29-26
22-20
20-22
24-17
23-23
23-11
14-21
10-25
20-18
14-24
12-20
15-10
17-13
19-19
18-23
12-22
19-16
20-11
17-26
23-19
23-21
15-16
21-19
28-17
22-28
15-16
19-16
12-12
18-21
16-16
17-14
23-16
11-13
22-23
15-17
153.7Avg total
77.1Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)78.673.2151.8+5.480%
Season at home (8)79.472.0151.4+7.488%
Season away (7)77.774.6152.3+3.171%
Last 10 (10)77.176.6153.7+0.570%
Last 5 (5)75.874.6150.4+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)72.680.2152.8-7.640%
vs Similar ◀ (17)77.178.0155.1-0.947%
vs Weaker (8)82.272.5154.8+9.8100%
This opponent (Trieste) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TriesteItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrieste
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
65-84
65
84
-19
48avg 71
H22/10
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
69-81
69
81
-12
63avg 71
A29/10
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
W
87-84
87
84
+3
84avg 71
A01/11
Serie A2
Udine
#6
W
57-54
57
54
+3
49avg 71
H05/11
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
W
86-79
86
79
+7
86avg 71
H12/11
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
W
81-62
81
62
+19
73avg 71
A19/11
Serie A2
Forli
#2
W
79-62
79
62
+17
74avg 71
H26/11
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#21
W
87-69
87
69
+18
83avg 71
A03/12
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
W
83-75
83
75
+8
67avg 71
A10/12
Serie A2
Cento
#12
W
80-66
80
66
+14
73avg 71
H17/12
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
8-21
15-27
21-19
21-17
16-26
18-11
21-17
14-27
24-21
27-24
16-16
20-23
15-10
11-19
13-13
18-12
19-15
23-20
24-22
20-22
23-23
19-12
24-12
15-15
19-12
16-23
14-14
30-13
28-15
22-15
18-18
19-21
17-14
16-23
22-15
28-23
21-10
23-16
18-23
18-17
149.0Avg total
77.4Scored
71.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)79.673.7153.4+5.979%
Season at home (7)77.671.7149.3+5.986%
Season away (7)81.775.7157.4+6.071%
Last 10 (10)77.471.6149.0+5.880%
Last 5 (5)82.066.8148.8+15.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)73.384.2157.5-10.918%
vs Similar ◀ (12)80.275.0155.2+5.275%
vs Weaker (7)84.475.1159.6+9.386%
This opponent (Fortitudo Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: +1.3+1.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: +1.3+1.3
Fortitudo BolognaTrieste
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Fortitudo BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orzinuovi
#21
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H29/10
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H05/11
Serie A2
Cento
#12
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H12/11
Serie A2
Udine
#6
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A15/11
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
W
32-23
32
23
+9
A18/11
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H26/11
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A03/12
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H07/12
Serie A2
Forli
#2
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A10/12
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H17/12
Serie A2
78.0Avg total
39.9Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.038.278.1+1.860%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.638.678.2+0.962%-
Last 30 away (14)40.437.678.1+2.857%-
Last 10 (10)39.938.178.0+1.870%-
Last 5 (5)38.237.075.2+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)36.840.076.8-3.240%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)40.138.878.9+1.447%-
vs Weaker (8)41.635.877.4+5.9100%-
This opponent (Trieste) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TriesteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
23-48
23
48
-25
H22/10
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A29/10
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A01/11
Serie A2
Udine
#6
L
26-29
26
29
-3
H05/11
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H12/11
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A19/11
Serie A2
Forli
#2
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H26/11
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#21
W
50-30
50
30
+20
A03/12
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A10/12
Serie A2
Cento
#12
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H17/12
Serie A2
73.7Avg total
38.0Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.138.979.1+1.250%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.635.675.3+4.064%-
Last 30 away (16)40.641.882.4-1.238%-
Last 10 (10)38.035.773.7+2.350%-
Last 5 (5)40.832.673.4+8.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)39.543.482.8-3.936%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)39.536.876.3+2.758%-
vs Weaker (7)42.335.677.9+6.757%-
This opponent (Fortitudo Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fortitudo Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fortitudo Bologna: 77.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.421.6
54.8%
50.3%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.77.8
34.4%
34.1%23.4
🏀 Free throws15.811.1
70.3%
74.2%11.1
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Triestetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trieste: 75.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.216.2
48.8%
50.3%32.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.110.8
32.6%
34.1%32.4
🏀 Free throws14.910.9
73.2%
74.2%10.9
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fortitudo Bologna
WLWWLWLWWW
Trieste
WWWWWWWWLL
#3
League position
#5
+5.9
Net rating
+9.1
111.6
Offensive rating
105.4
105.7
Defensive rating
96.4
53.6%
Effective FG%
48.9%
49.4%
Opp. effective FG%
45.3%
16.1%
Turnover %
17.7%
31.7%
Off. rebound %
34.1%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.22
34.4%
3-point %
32.6%
59.9%
Assist %
54.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence111.6 · 105.4Defence105.7 · 96.4Shooting53.6% · 48.9%3-point %34.4% · 32.6%Ball care16.1% · 17.7%Off. rebounds31.7% · 34.1%Free throws0.25 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Fortitudo Bologna   ■ Trieste
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Fortitudo Bologna wins
5
Trieste wins
DateGameScore
22/10/23Trieste v Fortitudo Bologna65-84
20/03/22Trieste v Fortitudo Bologna77-85
13/12/21Fortitudo Bologna v Trieste96-60
10/05/21Trieste v Fortitudo Bologna88-82
10/01/21Fortitudo Bologna v Trieste69-82
29/12/19Trieste v Fortitudo Bologna89-69
08/06/17Trieste v Fortitudo Bologna80-60
05/06/17Fortitudo Bologna v Trieste76-74
03/06/17Fortitudo Bologna v Trieste76-60
31/05/17Trieste v Fortitudo Bologna91-69
Fortitudo Bolognalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/23HNardo71-69
10/12/23AForli74-77 OT
07/12/23HRimini84-77
03/12/23AChiusi82-75
26/11/23HVerona68-75
18/11/23ACividale69-65
15/11/23AUdine56-87
12/11/23HCento84-72
05/11/23HAssigeco Piacenza94-92
29/10/23HOrzinuovi89-77
Triestelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/23HCento80-66
10/12/23ANardo83-75
03/12/23AOrzinuovi87-69
26/11/23HForli79-62
19/11/23ARimini81-62
12/11/23HCividale86-79
05/11/23HUdine57-54
01/11/23AAssigeco Piacenza87-84
29/10/23AVerona69-81
22/10/23HFortitudo Bologna65-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fortitudo Bologna
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW80%
HomeWWLWW88%
AwayWLWWL71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %80%88%71%
Points / game78.679.477.7
Allowed / game73.272.074.6
Point differential+5.4+7.4+3.1
Avg total151.8151.4152.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %7%0%14%
Trieste
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW79%
HomeLWWWW86%
AwayLWWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %79%86%71%
Points / game79.677.681.7
Allowed / game73.771.775.7
Point differential+5.9+5.9+6.0
Avg total153.4149.3157.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%43%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %7%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trapani1514193%92.977.9+15.0
2 Cantu1512380%89.982.0+7.9
3 Forli1512380%80.975.4+5.5
4 Fortitudo Bologna1512380%78.673.2+5.4
5 Trieste1411379%79.673.7+5.9
6 Udine1612475%81.168.6+12.5
7 Basket Torino1612475%85.881.1+4.7
8 Verona1611569%77.273.5+3.7
9 Urania Milano1610662%83.583.5+0.0
10 Sebastiani Rieti159660%82.979.6+3.3
11 Assigeco Piacenza169756%79.875.8+4.0
12 JuVi Cremona158753%87.885.1+2.7
13 Treviglio158753%82.882.4+0.4
14 Nardo167944%77.984.1-6.1
15 Agrigento1551033%76.179.0-2.9
16 Cento1551033%73.378.8-5.5
17 Rimini1541127%76.078.9-2.9
18 Monferrato1541127%79.483.2-3.8
19 Vigevano1541127%77.584.4-6.9
20 Cividale1641225%71.976.9-5.0
21 Luiss Roma1641225%78.688.2-9.6
22 Orzinuovi1631319%71.377.8-6.4
23 Chiusi1421214%63.074.5-11.5
24 Latina1621412%77.287.1-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fortitudo Bologna2518281889
Trieste1720251375
← all games of the day
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