PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Cento vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Sep 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 81-96
14-31 25-25 19-20 23-20
Position#17
Record-
FormLWWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#5
Record-
FormLWLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
ItalySerie A2Round 1· Milwaukee Dinelli Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Cento v Pesaro
27 Sep 2026
CENT81
PES96
07 Feb 2026
CENT74
PES80
19 Feb 2025
CENT76
PES97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cento winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pesaro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCento
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#9
L
74-75
74
75
-1
69avg 69
H25/03
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
83-84
83
84
-1
71avg 69
A29/03
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
65-67
65
67
-2
50avg 69
H04/04
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
L
71-89
71
89
-18
54avg 69
A08/04
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
L
83-88
83
88
-5
78avg 69
H12/04
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
L
69-80
69
80
-11
53avg 69
A19/04
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
W
99-86
99
86
+13
91avg 69
H26/04
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
81-71
81
71
+10
72avg 69
H03/05
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
87-64
87
64
+23
94avg 69
H05/05
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
83-63
83
63
+20
80avg 69
A08/05
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-15
19-24
19-19
16-17
25-18
16-28
15-21
27-17
17-13
12-21
23-23
13-10
17-26
17-21
26-18
11-24
14-16
22-26
24-24
23-22
18-23
16-21
18-22
17-14
33-36
28-19
17-12
21-19
22-17
14-18
27-24
18-12
26-12
24-12
26-20
11-20
21-26
23-10
22-12
17-15
156.2Avg total
79.5Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)79.576.7156.2+2.840%
Last 5 (5)83.872.8156.6+11.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)74.680.2154.8-5.615%
vs Similar (12)80.585.3165.8-4.825%
vs Weaker (5)80.674.0154.6+6.660%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Verona
#2
W
84-83
84
83
+1
70avg 78
H03/04
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
W
81-77
81
77
+4
79avg 78
A08/04
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
L
90-112
90
112
-22
83avg 78
A12/04
Serie A2
Forli
#17
W
85-73
85
73
+12
83avg 78
H19/04
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
75-84
75
84
-9
71avg 78
A26/04
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
89-99
89
99
-10
80avg 78
H09/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
94-79
94
79
+15
88avg 78
H11/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
75-93
75
93
-18
66avg 78
A14/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
96-94
96
94
+2
90avg 78
A16/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
78-91
78
91
-13
68avg 78
H19/05
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
18-22
21-16
21-24
21-18
24-12
23-25
13-22
27-30
24-30
20-22
19-30
20-17
27-24
23-19
15-13
15-21
14-18
27-20
19-25
24-11
23-30
13-31
29-27
22-16
35-27
15-25
22-11
15-26
28-26
18-27
14-14
21-26
33-19
17-31
25-18
18-20
11-27
22-21
27-23
173.2Avg total
84.7Scored
88.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)84.788.5173.2-3.850%
Last 5 (5)86.491.2177.6-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (20)82.585.2167.7-2.745%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)84.476.6161.0+7.8100%
This opponent (Cento) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -0.3-0.3
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -0.3-0.3
CentoPesaro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#9
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H25/03
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A29/03
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H04/04
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A08/04
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H12/04
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A19/04
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
W
61-55
61
55
+6
H26/04
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H03/05
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
50-24
50
24
+26
H05/05
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A08/05
Serie A2
80.6Avg total
40.4Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.941.180.0-2.237%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.939.778.6-0.838%-
Last 30 away (14)38.942.881.6-3.936%-
Last 10 (10)40.440.280.6+0.240%-
Last 5 (5)45.038.883.8+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)37.040.577.5-3.523%-
vs Similar (12)40.043.883.8-3.833%-
vs Weaker (5)41.236.477.6+4.880%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Verona
#2
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H03/04
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
W
45-30
45
30
+15
A08/04
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
L
51-60
51
60
-9
A12/04
Serie A2
Forli
#17
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H19/04
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A26/04
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H09/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
57-43
57
43
+14
H11/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A14/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
54-45
54
45
+9
A16/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
29-47
29
47
-18
H19/05
Serie A2
88.5Avg total
44.4Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.040.282.2+1.853%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.339.181.5+3.260%-
Last 30 away (15)41.741.383.0+0.547%-
Last 10 (10)44.444.188.5+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)46.045.691.6+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (20)41.441.082.4+0.340%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)43.438.581.9+4.980%-
This opponent (Cento) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Centotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cento: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.3 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.520.5
53.2%
51.5%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.88.5
29.5%
34.5%25.5
🏀 Free throws17.613.0
73.9%
70.9%13.0
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.3 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.618.5
53.5%
51.5%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.49.8
41.9%
34.5%29.4
🏀 Free throws21.717.2
79.3%
70.9%17.2
They take 58.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Sep 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cento
WWWWLLLLLL
Pesaro
LWLWLLWLWW
#17
League position
#5
+3.3
Net rating
-6.0
93.0
Offensive rating
102.2
89.7
Defensive rating
108.2
49.4%
Effective FG%
57.2%
46.9%
Opp. effective FG%
55.8%
13.0%
Turnover %
14.3%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.37
29.5%
3-point %
41.9%
54.5%
Assist %
59.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence93.0 · 102.2Defence89.7 · 108.2Shooting49.4% · 57.2%3-point %29.5% · 41.9%Ball care13.0% · 14.3%Free throws0.26 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Cento   ■ Pesaro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Cento wins
4
Pesaro wins
DateGameScore
07/02/26Cento v Pesaro74-80
14/12/25Pesaro v Cento80-66
19/02/25Cento v Pesaro76-97
17/11/24Pesaro v Cento78-60
Centolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/05/26ARoseto83-63
05/05/26HRoseto87-64
03/05/26HRoseto81-71
26/04/26HPistoia99-86
19/04/26ABasket Torino69-80
12/04/26HScafati83-88
08/04/26ARoseto71-89
04/04/26HUrania Milano65-67
29/03/26AVerona83-84
25/03/26HBrindisi74-75
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/05/26HRimini78-91
16/05/26ARimini96-94
14/05/26ARimini75-93
11/05/26HRimini94-79
09/05/26HRimini89-99
26/04/26ALibertas Livorno75-84
19/04/26HForli85-73
12/04/26ASebastiani Rieti90-112
08/04/26ABasket Torino81-77
03/04/26HVerona84-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cento
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Pesaro
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fortitudo Bologna110100%92.070.0+22.0
2 Forli110100%85.068.0+17.0
3 Cividale1010%68.085.0-17.0
4 Ruvo Di Puglia1010%70.092.0-22.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cento1425192381
Pesaro3125202096
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.