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Central Michigan vs Ball State Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 21 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 67-68
20-33 47-35
Position#323
Record5-13
FormLLLWL
Points / game72.1
Allowed / game79.9
vs
Position#288
Record5-13
FormLLLLW
Points / game68.4
Allowed / game70.8
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Central Michigan v Ball State
20 Jan 2026
CENT67
BALL68
21 Jan 2025
CENT80
BALL82
27 Feb 2024
CENT71
BALL79
07 Feb 2023
CENT51
BALL65
22 Jan 2022
CENT v BALL
upcoming
09 Feb 2021
CENT v BALL
upcoming
25 Jan 2020
CENT71
BALL66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Central Michigan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ball State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Central MichiganUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Louis Billikens
#13
L
65-107
65
107
-42
A07/12
NCAA
Stony Brook
#182
L
55-78
55
78
-23
A13/12
NCAA
Olivet C.
#420
W
85-65
85
65
+20
H18/12
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
L
73-74
73
74
-1
A20/12
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
L
61-88
61
88
-27
A23/12
NCAA
Ohio
#241
L
64-80
64
80
-16
H30/12
NCAA
Toledo
#156
L
75-78
75
78
-3
H03/01
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
69-82
69
82
-13
A07/01
NCAA
Kent State
#52
W
87-85
87
85
+2
H10/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
61-100
61
100
-39
A14/01
NCAA
1H
2H
32-52
33-55
22-44
33-34
35-24
50-41
44-27
29-47
28-40
33-48
29-31
35-49
41-31
34-47
30-43
39-39
49-43
38-42
35-49
26-51
153.2Avg total
69.5Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)72.179.9152.0-7.828%
Season at home (8)81.673.8155.4+7.962%
Season away (10)64.584.8149.3-20.30%
Last 10 (10)69.583.7153.2-14.220%
Last 5 (5)71.285.0156.2-13.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)68.583.5152.1-15.015%
vs Similar ◀ (7)77.778.3156.0-0.643%
vs Weaker (8)76.173.0149.1+3.138%
This opponent (Ball State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ball StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Evansville
#362
L
52-64
52
64
-12
A04/12
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#254
L
64-68
64
68
-4
H10/12
NCAA
Campbell
#222
L
64-69
64
69
-5
A14/12
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
77-86
77
86
-9
H20/12
NCAA
Earlham
#693
W
93-30
93
30
+63
H30/12
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
L
72-85
72
85
-13
A03/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
L
52-74
52
74
-22
H07/01
NCAA
UMass
#189
L
71-79
71
79
-8
A10/01
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
77-87
77
87
-10
A14/01
NCAA
Ohio
#241
W
76-71
76
71
+5
H17/01
NCAA
1H
2H
32-33
20-31
40-39
24-29
30-30
34-39
36-40
41-46
48-8
45-22
25-41
47-44
25-39
27-35
25-28
46-51
34-43
43-44
44-31
32-40
141.1Avg total
69.8Scored
71.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)68.470.8139.3-2.428%
Season at home (9)75.466.7142.1+8.856%
Season away (9)61.475.0136.4-13.60%
Last 10 (10)69.871.3141.1-1.520%
Last 5 (5)69.679.2148.8-9.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)70.681.6152.2-11.00%
vs Similar ◀ (12)64.171.2135.2-7.117%
vs Weaker (8)77.473.4150.8+4.075%
This opponent (Central Michigan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: -3.9-3.91st half: +0.7+0.72nd half2nd half: -10.3-10.32nd half: -2.2-2.2
-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: -3.9-3.91st half: +0.7+0.72nd half2nd half: -10.3-10.32nd half: -2.2-2.2
Central MichiganBall State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Central MichiganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Louis Billikens
#13
L
32-52
32
52
-20
A07/12
NCAA
Stony Brook
#182
L
22-44
22
44
-22
A13/12
NCAA
Olivet C.
#420
W
35-24
35
24
+11
H18/12
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
W
44-27
44
27
+17
A20/12
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A23/12
NCAA
Ohio
#241
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H30/12
NCAA
Toledo
#156
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H03/01
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A07/01
NCAA
Kent State
#52
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H10/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A14/01
NCAA
72.9Avg total
34.5Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.536.171.6-0.647%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.132.970.9+5.264%-
Last 30 away (16)33.338.972.2-5.631%-
Last 10 (10)34.538.472.9-3.940%-
Last 5 (5)36.839.476.2-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)33.139.472.5-6.331%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)34.736.671.3-1.943%-
vs Weaker (8)37.432.069.4+5.462%-
This opponent (Ball State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ball StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Evansville
#362
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A04/12
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#254
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H10/12
NCAA
Campbell
#222
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A14/12
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H20/12
NCAA
Earlham
#693
W
48-8
48
8
+40
H30/12
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
L
25-41
25
41
-16
A03/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
L
25-39
25
39
-14
H07/01
NCAA
UMass
#189
L
25-28
25
28
-3
A10/01
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A14/01
NCAA
Ohio
#241
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H17/01
NCAA
67.1Avg total
33.9Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.432.966.3+0.437%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.132.869.9+4.350%-
Last 30 away (14)29.133.162.1-4.021%-
Last 10 (10)33.933.267.1+0.730%-
Last 5 (5)30.636.467.0-5.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)32.439.471.8-7.012%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)30.631.361.9-0.833%-
vs Weaker (8)36.932.669.5+4.250%-
This opponent (Central Michigan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Central Michigan wins
5
Ball State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/26AMiami (Ohio)61-100
10/01/26HKent State87-85
07/01/26AAkron69-82
03/01/26HToledo75-78
30/12/25HOhio64-80
23/12/25AWisconsin61-88
20/12/25ANorthern Illinois73-74
18/12/25HOlivet C.85-65
13/12/25AStony Brook55-78
07/12/25ASt. Louis Billikens65-107
Ball Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/26HOhio76-71
14/01/26AAkron77-87
10/01/26AUMass71-79
07/01/26HEastern Michigan52-74
03/01/26ABuffalo72-85
30/12/25HEarlham93-30
20/12/25HMiami (Ohio)77-86
14/12/25ACampbell64-69
10/12/25HSouth Dakota St.64-68
04/12/25AEvansville52-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Central Michigan
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL28%
HomeWWLLW62%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %28%62%0%
Points / game72.181.664.5
Allowed / game79.973.884.8
Point differential-7.8+7.9-20.3
Avg total152.0155.4149.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ball State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW28%
HomeLLWLW56%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %28%56%0%
Points / game68.475.461.4
Allowed / game70.866.775.0
Point differential-2.4+8.8-13.6
Avg total139.3142.1136.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%44%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Miami (Ohio)19190100%93.973.3+20.6
2 Akron1915479%93.075.8+17.2
3 Kent State1813572%89.882.3+7.5
4 Buffalo1913668%80.274.9+5.3
5 Bowling Green1812667%87.871.2+16.6
6 UMass2012860%80.374.5+5.8
7 Toledo1910953%82.778.6+4.2
8 Ohio1910953%78.177.2+0.9
9 Eastern Michigan1991047%71.971.6+0.3
10 Western Michigan1871139%77.180.1-2.9
11 Northern Illinois1761135%73.977.5-3.6
12 Ball State1851328%68.470.8-2.4
13 Central Michigan1851328%72.179.9-7.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Central Michigan204767
Ball State333568
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