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Charlotte Hornets vs Golden State Warriors Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 31 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 125-132
30-30 34-39 36-29 25-34
Position#14
Record11-21
FormLLWWL
Points / game115.5
Allowed / game118.5
vs
Position#20
Record17-16
FormWWWLW
Points / game115.1
Allowed / game113.1
USANBA· Spectrum Center
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Charlotte Hornets v Golden State Warriors
05 Feb 2027
CHA v GSW
upcoming
31 Dec 2025
CHA125
GSW132
03 Mar 2025
CHA101
GSW119
29 Mar 2024
CHA97
GSW115
05 Jul 2023
CHA83
GSW98
29 Oct 2022
CHA120
GSW113
14 Nov 2021
CHA106
GSW102
20 Feb 2021
CHA102
GSW100
04 Dec 2019
CHA106
GSW91
25 Feb 2019
CHA110
GSW121
06 Dec 2017
CHA87
GSW101
25 Jan 2017
CHA103
GSW113
02 Dec 2015
CHA99
GSW116
28 Nov 2014
CHA101
GSW106
09 Dec 2013
CHA115
GSW111
10 Dec 2012
CHA96
GSW104
14 Jan 2012
CHA112
GSW100
31 Dec 2010
CHA95
GSW96
06 Mar 2010
CHA101
GSW90
20 Dec 2008
CHA103
GSW110
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Charlotte Hornets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Golden State Warriors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Charlotte HornetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHornets
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#11
W
111-86
111
86
+25
112avg 101
A06/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
106-115
106
115
-9
100avg 101
H07/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
126-129
126
129
-3
114avg 101
H13/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
119-111 OT
119
111
+8
112avg 101
A14/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
133-126
133
126
+7
132avg 101
H19/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
86-112
86
112
-26
71avg 101
A21/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
132-139
132
139
-7
124avg 101
A23/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
126-109
126
109
+17
126avg 101
H24/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
W
120-105
120
105
+15
114avg 101
A27/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
L
113-123
113
123
-10
105avg 101
H30/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-24
35-18
25-28
33-16
34-34
24-23
23-30
25-28
29-33
32-22
31-34
34-40
33-29
24-18
31-32
23-32
37-32
43-37
27-26
26-31
27-33
18-22
27-24
14-33
36-33
27-37
32-34
37-35
24-31
38-34
30-25
34-19
38-28
19-20
39-29
24-28
26-25
40-38
23-32
24-28
232.7Avg total
117.2Scored
115.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)115.5118.5234.0-3.034%
Season at home (16)115.9117.8233.6-1.944%
Season away (16)115.1119.3234.4-4.225%
Last 10 (10)117.2115.5232.7+1.750%
Last 5 (5)115.4117.6233.0-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)96.0109.0205.0-13.00%
vs Similar (18)111.8119.1230.8-7.328%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)121.0118.1239.1+2.945%
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWarriors
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
99-94
99
94
+5
91avg 106
A07/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
123-91
123
91
+32
121avg 106
A08/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
120-127
120
127
-7
108avg 106
H13/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
L
131-136
131
136
-5
128avg 106
A15/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
L
98-99
98
99
-1
95avg 106
A19/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
119-116
119
116
+3
114avg 106
H21/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
W
120-97
120
97
+23
120avg 106
H23/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
126-116
126
116
+10
121avg 106
H25/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
127-141 OT
127
141
-14
114avg 106
A28/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
120-107
120
107
+13
118avg 106
A30/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-18
33-18
27-26
27-32
38-25
22-21
27-30
36-15
27-28
36-33
28-27
29-39
31-34
31-27
37-35
32-40
29-26
24-20
18-24
27-29
32-44
32-23
29-20
26-29
26-30
32-27
31-26
31-14
40-28
31-30
29-31
26-27
29-33
35-32
36-31
22-26
28-30
31-27
30-28
31-22
230.7Avg total
118.3Scored
112.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)115.1113.1228.2+2.052%
Season at home (14)118.3110.1228.4+8.171%
Season away (19)112.7115.3228.0-2.537%
Last 10 (10)118.3112.4230.7+5.960%
Last 5 (5)122.4115.4237.8+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)108.7118.5227.2-9.833%
vs Similar (15)112.5110.3222.9+2.247%
vs Weaker (9)120.3109.7230.0+10.767%
This opponent (Charlotte Hornets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +4.9+4.9Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +1.4+1.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +4.9+4.9Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +1.4+1.4
Charlotte HornetsGolden State Warriors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Charlotte HornetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#11
W
53-42
53
42
+11
A06/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
58-57
58
57
+1
H07/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
61-55
61
55
+6
H13/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
57-47
57
47
+10
A14/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
80-69
80
69
+11
H19/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
45-55
45
55
-10
A21/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
63-70
63
70
-7
A23/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
L
62-65
62
65
-3
H24/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
W
57-48
57
48
+9
A27/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
66-63
66
63
+3
H30/12
NBA
117.3Avg total
60.2Scored
57.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.659.6118.2-1.043%-
Last 30 at home (15)60.660.1120.7+0.553%-
Last 30 away (15)56.759.1115.7-2.433%-
Last 10 (10)60.257.1117.3+3.170%-
Last 5 (5)58.660.2118.8-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)52.055.0107.0-3.00%-
vs Similar (18)57.259.8117.0-2.739%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)61.659.6121.3+2.055%-
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A07/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
60-46
60
46
+14
A08/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
63-61
63
61
+2
H13/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
62-61
62
61
+1
A15/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A19/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
L
64-67
64
67
-3
H21/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
W
58-57
58
57
+1
H23/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
71-58
71
58
+13
H25/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
64-65
64
65
-1
A28/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
59-57
59
57
+2
A30/12
NBA
115.3Avg total
59.9Scored
55.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.954.8110.7+1.163%-
Last 30 at home (13)59.054.7113.7+4.377%-
Last 30 away (17)53.554.8108.4-1.353%-
Last 10 (10)59.955.4115.3+4.580%-
Last 5 (5)63.260.8124.0+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)48.756.7105.3-8.033%-
vs Similar (15)55.854.3110.1+1.560%-
vs Weaker (9)60.954.2115.1+6.789%-
This opponent (Charlotte Hornets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Charlotte Hornetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Charlotte Hornets: 117.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.2 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers52.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.224.1
51.1%
54.8%48.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.917.4
40.6%
35.8%52.2
🏀 Free throws22.216.8
75.7%
78.1%16.8
They take 90.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 42.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Golden State Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden State Warriors: 118.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers46.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.926.2
55.9%
54.8%52.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.015.4
35.8%
35.8%46.2
🏀 Free throws24.119.7
81.7%
78.1%19.7
They take 89.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 43.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Charlotte Hornets
LWWLLWWLLW
Golden State Warriors
WLWWWLLLWW
#14
League position
#20
+1.7
Net rating
+5.7
114.4
Offensive rating
114.5
112.8
Defensive rating
108.8
55.7%
Effective FG%
54.8%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
14.4%
Turnover %
15.0%
28.2%
Off. rebound %
27.6%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.27
40.6%
3-point %
35.8%
68.4%
Assist %
68.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence114.4 · 114.5Defence112.8 · 108.8Shooting55.7% · 54.8%3-point %40.6% · 35.8%Ball care14.4% · 15.0%Off. rebounds28.2% · 27.6%Free throws0.25 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Charlotte Hornets   ■ Golden State Warriors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/25HMilwaukee Bucks113-123
27/12/25AOrlando Magic120-105
24/12/25HWashington Wizards126-109
23/12/25ACleveland Cavaliers132-139
21/12/25ADetroit Pistons86-112
19/12/25HAtlanta Hawks133-126
14/12/25ACleveland Cavaliers119-111 OT
13/12/25HChicago Bulls126-129
07/12/25HDenver Nuggets106-115
06/12/25AToronto Raptors111-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/25ABrooklyn Nets120-107
28/12/25AToronto Raptors127-141 OT
25/12/25HDallas Mavericks126-116
23/12/25HOrlando Magic120-97
21/12/25HPhoenix Suns119-116
19/12/25APhoenix Suns98-99
15/12/25APortland Trail Blazers131-136
13/12/25HMinnesota Timberwolves120-127
08/12/25AChicago Bulls123-91
07/12/25ACleveland Cavaliers99-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL34%
HomeLLWWL44%
AwayWWLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %34%44%25%
Points / game115.5115.9115.1
Allowed / game118.5117.8119.3
Point differential-3.0-1.9-4.2
Avg total234.0233.6234.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%25%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (5)0% (1)0% (4)
Overtime %9%6%12%
Golden State Warriors
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW52%
HomeLLWWW71%
AwayWLLLW37%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331419
Win %52%71%37%
Points / game115.1118.3112.7
Allowed / game113.1110.1115.3
Point differential+2.0+8.1-2.5
Avg total228.2228.4228.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)33% (3)38% (8)
Overtime %6%7%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder3127487%122.0108.4+13.6
2 Detroit Pistons3325876%119.1112.7+6.5
3 New York Knicks3021970%120.6114.3+6.3
4 San Antonio Spurs3021970%119.4113.6+5.8
5 Denver Nuggets32221069%125.7118.5+7.2
6 Houston Rockets30201067%120.5112.0+8.6
7 Los Angeles Lakers30201067%116.8116.8+0.0
8 Minnesota Timberwolves33211264%119.3114.2+5.0
9 Boston Celtics32201262%116.9110.8+6.2
10 Phoenix Suns31191261%116.0112.5+3.5
11 Toronto Raptors33201361%114.5112.6+2.0
12 Miami Heat32181456%121.4117.6+3.8
13 Orlando Magic31171455%116.6114.8+1.9
14 Philadelphia 76ers31171455%116.4116.3+0.1
15 Cleveland Cavaliers34181653%119.4117.3+2.1
16 Golden State Warriors33171652%115.1113.1+2.0
17 Chicago Bulls32151747%118.3122.4-4.2
18 Memphis Grizzlies33151845%115.9116.5-0.7
19 Atlanta Hawks34151944%119.1120.6-1.6
20 Milwaukee Bucks33141942%113.0115.9-2.9
21 Portland Trail Blazers33141942%116.8120.1-3.3
22 Utah Jazz32122038%120.4127.1-6.7
23 Dallas Mavericks34122235%113.7117.7-4.0
24 Los Angeles Clippers32112134%112.1114.0-1.9
25 Charlotte Hornets32112134%115.5118.5-3.0
26 Brooklyn Nets30102033%109.7113.9-4.2
27 Sacramento Kings3382524%111.0122.3-11.3
28 New Orleans Pelicans3482624%115.5122.8-7.3
29 Washington Wizards3172423%113.2125.0-11.9
30 Indiana Pacers3362718%110.1119.4-9.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Charlotte Hornets30343625125
Golden State Warriors30392934132
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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