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Golden State Warriors vs Orlando Magic Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 23 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 120-97
26-30 32-27 31-26 31-14
Position#20
Record14-15
FormWLLLW
Points / game114.0
Allowed / game112.8
vs
Position#13
Record15-11
FormLWLLW
Points / game118.1
Allowed / game114.6
USANBA· Chase Center
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Golden State Warriors v Orlando Magic
07 Nov 2026
GSW126
ORL119
22 Dec 2025
GSW120
ORL97
03 Feb 2025
GSW104
ORL99
02 Jan 2024
GSW121
ORL115
07 Jan 2023
GSW101
ORL115
06 Dec 2021
GSW126
ORL95
11 Feb 2021
GSW111
ORL105
18 Jan 2020
GSW109
ORL95
26 Nov 2018
GSW116
ORL110
13 Nov 2017
GSW110
ORL100
16 Mar 2017
GSW122
ORL92
07 Mar 2016
GSW119
ORL113
02 Dec 2014
GSW98
ORL97
18 Mar 2014
GSW103
ORL89
03 Dec 2012
GSW94
ORL102
12 Jan 2012
GSW109
ORL117
11 Mar 2011
GSW123
ORL120
05 Dec 2009
GSW118
ORL126
15 Dec 2008
GSW98
ORL109
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Golden State Warriors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Orlando Magic winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWarriors
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#8
L
100-104
100
104
-4
96avg 105
H27/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
104-96
104
96
+8
96avg 105
H30/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
112-124
112
124
-12
104avg 105
H03/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
98-99
98
99
-1
89avg 105
A05/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
99-94
99
94
+5
91avg 105
A07/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
123-91
123
91
+32
121avg 105
A08/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
120-127
120
127
-7
108avg 105
H13/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
L
131-136
131
136
-5
128avg 105
A15/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
L
98-99
98
99
-1
95avg 105
A19/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
119-116
119
116
+3
114avg 105
H21/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-22
34-25
17-27
24-30
17-18
25-20
31-34
31-24
26-32
18-31
44-28
24-33
10-30
24-26
32-24
32-19
12-18
33-18
27-26
27-32
38-25
22-21
27-30
36-15
27-28
36-33
28-27
29-39
31-34
31-27
37-35
32-40
29-26
24-20
18-24
27-29
32-44
32-23
29-20
26-29
219.0Avg total
110.4Scored
108.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)114.0112.8226.8+1.248%
Season at home (12)117.5110.8228.2+6.867%
Season away (17)111.5114.2225.7-2.835%
Last 10 (10)110.4108.6219.0+1.840%
Last 5 (5)118.2113.8232.0+4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)108.5116.9225.4-8.438%
vs Similar ◀ (15)111.9111.0222.9+0.947%
vs Weaker (7)119.6109.1228.7+10.457%
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Orlando MagicUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMagic
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#4
W
133-121
133
121
+12
128avg 98
H22/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
129-138
129
138
-9
121avg 98
A23/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
W
144-103
144
103
+41
143avg 98
A26/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
W
112-109
112
109
+3
90avg 98
A29/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
125-120
125
120
+5
119avg 98
H02/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
112-114
112
114
-2
101avg 98
H04/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
106-105
106
105
+1
92avg 98
H06/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
100-106
100
106
-6
86avg 98
A07/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
115-126
115
126
-11
108avg 98
A19/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
128-127 OT
128
127
+1
124avg 98
A21/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-29
33-37
34-27
35-28
27-32
30-48
32-30
40-28
35-35
51-25
35-23
23-20
31-33
28-25
30-26
23-25
29-26
24-27
32-32
40-35
29-31
20-27
30-28
33-28
30-28
27-32
30-19
19-26
31-35
24-19
18-28
27-24
32-25
22-43
31-31
30-27
36-38
29-22
32-22
21-36
237.3Avg total
120.4Scored
116.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)118.1114.6232.7+3.558%
Season at home (13)115.8111.3227.2+4.569%
Season away (13)120.4117.8238.2+2.546%
Last 10 (10)120.4116.9237.3+3.560%
Last 5 (5)112.2115.6227.8-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)111.1114.9225.9-3.833%
vs Similar ◀ (10)120.6113.6234.2+7.070%
vs Weaker (5)116.2109.8226.0+6.480%
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +1.4+1.4
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +1.4+1.4
Golden State WarriorsOrlando Magic
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#8
W
59-47
59
47
+12
H27/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H30/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
44-63
44
63
-19
H03/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
34-56
34
56
-22
A05/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A07/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
60-46
60
46
+14
A08/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
63-61
63
61
+2
H13/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
62-61
62
61
+1
A15/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A19/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
L
64-67
64
67
-3
H21/12
NBA
104.7Avg total
52.6Scored
52.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.454.9109.3-0.557%-
Last 30 at home (13)56.554.9111.5+1.662%-
Last 30 away (17)52.854.9107.7-2.153%-
Last 10 (10)52.652.1104.7+0.570%-
Last 5 (5)60.456.2116.6+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)48.657.2105.9-8.625%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)55.154.4109.5+0.760%-
vs Weaker (7)59.753.3113.0+6.486%-
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Orlando MagicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#4
L
64-66
64
66
-2
H22/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
57-80
57
80
-23
A23/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
W
86-60
86
60
+26
A26/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
W
59-58
59
58
+1
A29/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
D
53-53
53
53
+0
H02/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
49-58
49
58
-9
H04/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
57-60
57
60
-3
H06/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
55-54
55
54
+1
A07/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
54-68
54
68
-14
A19/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
65-60
65
60
+5
A21/12
NBA
121.6Avg total
59.9Scored
61.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.657.5116.1+1.150%-
Last 30 at home (15)56.956.3113.2+0.540%-
Last 30 away (15)60.458.7119.1+1.760%-
Last 10 (10)59.961.7121.6-1.840%-
Last 5 (5)56.060.0116.0-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)55.056.7111.7-1.740%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)63.859.5123.3+4.370%-
vs Weaker (5)59.255.8115.0+3.440%-
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Golden State Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden State Warriors: 110.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers47.1 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.723.8
52.1%
54.8%47.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.015.7
35.7%
35.8%47.1
🏀 Free throws19.615.7
80.1%
78.1%15.7
They take 89.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 44.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Orlando Magictheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Orlando Magic: 120.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers66.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.233.1
55.0%
54.8%66.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.111.1
32.6%
35.8%33.3
🏀 Free throws27.320.9
76.6%
78.1%20.9
They take 94.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Golden State Warriors
WLLLWWLLWL
Orlando Magic
WLLWLWWWLW
#20
League position
#13
+1.8
Net rating
+3.4
109.7
Offensive rating
115.6
107.9
Defensive rating
112.2
52.8%
Effective FG%
52.8%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
56.1%
15.0%
Turnover %
10.9%
27.9%
Off. rebound %
27.7%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.29
35.7%
3-point %
32.6%
70.6%
Assist %
62.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence109.7 · 115.6Defence107.9 · 112.2Shooting52.8% · 52.8%3-point %35.7% · 32.6%Ball care15.0% · 10.9%Off. rebounds27.9% · 27.7%Free throws0.22 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Golden State Warriors   ■ Orlando Magic
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/25HPhoenix Suns119-116
19/12/25APhoenix Suns98-99
15/12/25APortland Trail Blazers131-136
13/12/25HMinnesota Timberwolves120-127
08/12/25AChicago Bulls123-91
07/12/25ACleveland Cavaliers99-94
05/12/25APhiladelphia 76ers98-99
03/12/25HOklahoma City Thunder112-124
30/11/25HNew Orleans Pelicans104-96
27/11/25HHouston Rockets100-104
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/25AUtah Jazz128-127 OT
19/12/25ADenver Nuggets115-126
07/12/25ANew York Knicks100-106
06/12/25HMiami Heat106-105
04/12/25HSan Antonio Spurs112-114
02/12/25HChicago Bulls125-120
29/11/25ADetroit Pistons112-109
26/11/25APhiladelphia 76ers144-103
23/11/25ABoston Celtics129-138
22/11/25HNew York Knicks133-121

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Golden State Warriors
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW48%
HomeLWLLW67%
AwayLWWLL35%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291217
Win %48%67%35%
Points / game114.0117.5111.5
Allowed / game112.8110.8114.2
Point differential+1.2+6.8-2.8
Avg total226.8228.2225.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%42%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)33% (3)38% (8)
Overtime %3%8%0%
Orlando Magic
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW58%
HomeWWWLW69%
AwayWWLLW46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %58%69%46%
Points / game118.1115.8120.4
Allowed / game114.6111.3117.8
Point differential+3.5+4.5+2.5
Avg total232.7227.2238.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%23%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)57% (7)67% (3)
Overtime %8%0%15%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder2725293%122.3106.7+15.6
2 Detroit Pistons2822679%118.9112.1+6.8
3 Denver Nuggets2821775%125.1116.0+9.1
4 San Antonio Spurs2619773%120.0113.7+6.3
5 Los Angeles Lakers2619773%118.0116.3+1.7
6 New York Knicks2618869%120.3113.0+7.3
7 Minnesota Timberwolves29191066%118.6113.8+4.8
8 Houston Rockets2617965%121.0112.2+8.8
9 Boston Celtics29181162%116.0110.0+6.0
10 Philadelphia 76ers27161159%117.0115.4+1.5
11 Toronto Raptors29171259%113.9112.2+1.7
12 Orlando Magic26151158%118.1114.6+3.5
13 Phoenix Suns27151256%115.2113.2+2.0
14 Miami Heat28151354%120.6117.9+2.8
15 Cleveland Cavaliers30161453%119.3117.5+1.8
16 Atlanta Hawks30151550%118.7119.4-0.7
17 Golden State Warriors29141548%114.0112.8+1.2
18 Chicago Bulls28131546%119.5123.0-3.5
19 Memphis Grizzlies29131645%114.3115.8-1.6
20 Portland Trail Blazers28121643%118.0121.2-3.2
21 Milwaukee Bucks29111838%113.1116.9-3.8
22 Dallas Mavericks30111937%113.0116.9-3.9
23 Utah Jazz28101836%119.6127.1-7.5
24 Charlotte Hornets2992031%115.1119.2-4.1
25 Brooklyn Nets2781930%109.1114.2-5.1
26 New Orleans Pelicans3082227%115.4122.2-6.8
27 Los Angeles Clippers2872125%110.6116.0-5.4
28 Sacramento Kings2972224%111.5122.0-10.5
29 Indiana Pacers2962321%109.7117.9-8.2
30 Washington Wizards2752219%112.7126.1-13.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Golden State Warriors26323131120
Orlando Magic3027261497
← all games of the day
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