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Phoenix Suns vs Golden State Warriors Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 19 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 99-98
26-29 20-24 24-18 29-27
Position#16
Record14-11
FormLWLWL
Points / game115.8
Allowed / game113.6
vs
Position#20
Record13-14
FormLWWLL
Points / game114.4
Allowed / game113.2
USANBA· Footprint Center
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Phoenix Suns v Golden State Warriors
28 Dec 2026
PHX v GSW
upcoming
24 Oct 2026
PHX131
GSW122
17 Apr 2026
PHX111
GSW96
05 Feb 2026
PHX97
GSW101
18 Dec 2025
PHX99
GSW98
08 Apr 2025
PHX95
GSW133
30 Nov 2024
PHX113
GSW105
12 Dec 2023
PHX119
GSW116
22 Nov 2023
PHX123
GSW115
16 Nov 2022
PHX130
GSW119
25 Oct 2022
PHX134
GSW105
25 Dec 2021
PHX107
GSW116
30 Nov 2021
PHX104
GSW96
04 Mar 2021
PHX120
GSW98
28 Jan 2021
PHX114
GSW93
29 Feb 2020
PHX99
GSW115
12 Feb 2020
PHX112
GSW106
08 Feb 2019
PHX107
GSW117
31 Dec 2018
PHX109
GSW132
08 Apr 2018
PHX100
GSW117
17 Mar 2018
PHX109
GSW124
05 Apr 2017
PHX111
GSW120
30 Oct 2016
PHX100
GSW106
10 Feb 2016
PHX104
GSW112
27 Nov 2015
PHX116
GSW135
09 Mar 2015
PHX80
GSW98
09 Nov 2014
PHX107
GSW95
08 Feb 2014
PHX122
GSW109
15 Dec 2013
PHX106
GSW102
05 Apr 2013
PHX107
GSW111
31 Oct 2012
PHX85
GSW87
22 Feb 2012
PHX104
GSW106
02 Jan 2012
PHX102
GSW91
18 Mar 2011
PHX108
GSW97
10 Feb 2011
PHX112
GSW88
23 Jan 2010
PHX112
GSW103
30 Oct 2009
PHX123
GSW101
15 Apr 2009
PHX117
GSW113
06 Feb 2009
PHX115
GSW105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Phoenix Suns winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Golden State Warriors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
114-113
114
113
+1
110avg 106
H22/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
111-102
111
102
+9
99avg 106
H24/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
92-114
92
114
-22
74avg 106
H25/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
112-100
112
100
+12
104avg 106
A27/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
119-123
119
123
-4
109avg 106
A29/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
112-130
112
130
-18
96avg 106
H30/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
125-108
125
108
+17
121avg 106
A02/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
98-117
98
117
-19
69avg 106
A06/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
108-105
108
105
+3
99avg 106
A09/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
L
114-116
114
116
-2
110avg 106
H15/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-24
30-25
19-33
33-31
25-30
24-26
37-24
25-22
23-30
27-29
25-25
17-30
41-16
26-29
16-28
29-27
25-25
27-31
30-38
37-29
25-30
35-33
25-33
27-34
31-31
35-21
30-25
29-31
31-24
27-44
14-29
26-20
29-23
32-34
23-27
24-21
36-31
26-31
15-24
37-30
223.3Avg total
110.5Scored
112.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)115.8113.6229.4+2.256%
Season at home (13)116.5110.8227.4+5.762%
Season away (12)115.0116.5231.5-1.550%
Last 10 (10)110.5112.8223.3-2.350%
Last 5 (5)111.4115.2226.6-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)110.8118.8229.7-8.033%
vs Similar ◀ (16)111.0114.3225.3-3.344%
vs Weaker (8)121.8109.2231.0+12.575%
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWarriors
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
L
123-127
123
127
-4
116avg 105
H22/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
134-117
134
117
+17
128avg 105
H25/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
100-104
100
104
-4
96avg 105
H27/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
104-96
104
96
+8
96avg 105
H30/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
112-124
112
124
-12
104avg 105
H03/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
98-99
98
99
-1
89avg 105
A05/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
99-94
99
94
+5
91avg 105
A07/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
123-91
123
91
+32
121avg 105
A08/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
120-127
120
127
-7
108avg 105
H13/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
L
131-136
131
136
-5
128avg 105
A15/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-35
44-30
25-29
26-33
26-35
41-20
39-29
28-33
25-22
34-25
17-27
24-30
17-18
25-20
31-34
31-24
26-32
18-31
44-28
24-33
10-30
24-26
32-24
32-19
12-18
33-18
27-26
27-32
38-25
22-21
27-30
36-15
27-28
36-33
28-27
29-39
31-34
31-27
37-35
32-40
225.9Avg total
114.4Scored
111.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)114.4113.2227.6+1.248%
Season at home (11)117.4110.3227.6+7.164%
Season away (16)112.3115.2227.5-2.938%
Last 10 (10)114.4111.5225.9+2.940%
Last 5 (5)114.2109.4223.6+4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)106.3113.2219.6-6.944%
vs Similar ◀ (14)110.7110.0220.7+0.743%
vs Weaker (7)119.6109.1228.7+10.457%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +5.7+5.7Q3Q3: -5.2-5.2Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -0.9-0.9
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +5.7+5.7Q3Q3: -5.2-5.2Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -0.9-0.9
Phoenix SunsGolden State Warriors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
62-49
62
49
+13
H22/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
49-56
49
56
-7
H24/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
50-59
50
59
-9
H25/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
67-45
67
45
+22
A27/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
52-56
52
56
-4
A29/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
60-63
60
63
-3
H30/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
66-52
66
52
+14
A02/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
58-68
58
68
-10
A06/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
61-57
61
57
+4
A09/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
D
62-62
62
62
+0
H15/12
NBA
115.4Avg total
58.7Scored
56.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.556.8114.3+0.750%-
Last 30 at home (16)57.355.0112.3+2.356%-
Last 30 away (14)57.758.8116.5-1.143%-
Last 10 (10)58.756.7115.4+2.040%-
Last 5 (5)61.460.4121.8+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)54.058.0112.0-4.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)57.258.8115.9-1.644%-
vs Weaker (8)60.851.9112.6+8.975%-
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
72-65
72
65
+7
H22/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
67-55
67
55
+12
H25/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
W
59-47
59
47
+12
H27/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H30/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
44-63
44
63
-19
H03/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
34-56
34
56
-22
A05/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A07/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
60-46
60
46
+14
A08/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
63-61
63
61
+2
H13/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
62-61
62
61
+1
A15/12
NBA
107.6Avg total
54.8Scored
52.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.454.1107.4-0.757%-
Last 30 at home (14)54.052.5106.5+1.564%-
Last 30 away (16)52.855.4108.2-2.650%-
Last 10 (10)54.852.8107.6+2.080%-
Last 5 (5)52.852.0104.8+0.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)47.655.7103.2-8.122%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)53.953.4107.4+0.564%-
vs Weaker (7)59.753.3113.0+6.486%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 110.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.427.9
54.3%
54.8%55.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.913.1
34.6%
35.8%39.3
🏀 Free throws20.615.4
74.8%
78.1%15.4
They take 89.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Golden State Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden State Warriors: 114.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers49.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.924.5
53.4%
54.8%49.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.416.4
36.9%
35.8%49.2
🏀 Free throws20.216.2
80.2%
78.1%16.2
They take 90.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 44.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Phoenix Suns
LWLWLLWLWW
Golden State Warriors
LLWWLLWLWL
#16
League position
#20
-2.3
Net rating
+2.9
110.4
Offensive rating
113.5
112.7
Defensive rating
110.6
53.2%
Effective FG%
54.4%
56.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
14.4%
Turnover %
13.4%
28.1%
Off. rebound %
26.6%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.22
34.6%
3-point %
36.9%
57.3%
Assist %
70.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence110.4 · 113.5Defence112.7 · 110.6Shooting53.2% · 54.4%3-point %34.6% · 36.9%Ball care14.4% · 13.4%Off. rebounds28.1% · 26.6%Free throws0.23 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Phoenix Suns   ■ Golden State Warriors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/25HLos Angeles Lakers114-116
09/12/25AMinnesota Timberwolves108-105
06/12/25AHouston Rockets98-117
02/12/25ALos Angeles Lakers125-108
30/11/25HDenver Nuggets112-130
29/11/25AOklahoma City Thunder119-123
27/11/25ASacramento Kings112-100
25/11/25HHouston Rockets92-114
24/11/25HSan Antonio Spurs111-102
22/11/25HMinnesota Timberwolves114-113
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/25APortland Trail Blazers131-136
13/12/25HMinnesota Timberwolves120-127
08/12/25AChicago Bulls123-91
07/12/25ACleveland Cavaliers99-94
05/12/25APhiladelphia 76ers98-99
03/12/25HOklahoma City Thunder112-124
30/11/25HNew Orleans Pelicans104-96
27/11/25HHouston Rockets100-104
25/11/25HUtah Jazz134-117
22/11/25HPortland Trail Blazers123-127

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Phoenix Suns
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL56%
HomeWWLLL62%
AwayWLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %56%62%50%
Points / game115.8116.5115.0
Allowed / game113.6110.8116.5
Point differential+2.2+5.7-1.5
Avg total229.4227.4231.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%38%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)40% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Golden State Warriors
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL48%
HomeWLWLL64%
AwayLLWWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271116
Win %48%64%38%
Points / game114.4117.4112.3
Allowed / game113.2110.3115.2
Point differential+1.2+7.1-2.9
Avg total227.6227.6227.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%45%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)0% (2)43% (7)
Overtime %4%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder2524196%123.0106.6+16.4
2 Detroit Pistons2721678%119.1113.1+6.0
3 Denver Nuggets2519676%125.6116.2+9.4
4 Los Angeles Lakers2418675%118.2116.0+2.2
5 New York Knicks2417771%120.4112.4+8.0
6 San Antonio Spurs2417771%119.5114.4+5.2
7 Houston Rockets2416867%121.1112.1+9.0
8 Minnesota Timberwolves27171063%119.4114.6+4.9
9 Toronto Raptors27171063%115.8112.8+3.0
10 Orlando Magic24141058%117.8113.6+4.2
11 Boston Celtics26151158%116.2110.8+5.3
12 Miami Heat26151158%120.7116.9+3.8
13 Phoenix Suns25141156%115.8113.6+2.2
14 Philadelphia 76ers25141156%116.8115.8+1.0
15 Cleveland Cavaliers28151354%118.4116.3+2.1
16 Atlanta Hawks28151354%118.3118.0+0.3
17 Golden State Warriors27131448%114.4113.2+1.2
18 Memphis Grizzlies27131448%114.4115.2-0.8
19 Chicago Bulls26111542%117.6121.9-4.3
20 Utah Jazz25101540%119.0126.1-7.1
21 Dallas Mavericks28111739%113.0116.7-3.7
22 Milwaukee Bucks28111739%113.6117.4-3.9
23 Portland Trail Blazers26101638%118.2121.9-3.7
24 Charlotte Hornets2791833%115.5118.7-3.2
25 Brooklyn Nets2671927%109.6115.5-5.9
26 Sacramento Kings2662023%110.8122.4-11.5
27 Los Angeles Clippers2762122%110.9117.0-6.1
28 Indiana Pacers2762122%110.3118.1-7.9
29 New Orleans Pelicans2862221%114.9123.0-8.1
30 Washington Wizards2542116%112.0126.4-14.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Phoenix Suns2620242999
Golden State Warriors2924182798
← all games of the day
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