PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Golden State Warriors vs Phoenix Suns Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 119-116
32-44 32-23 29-20 26-29
Position#20
Record13-15
FormWWLLL
Points / game113.8
Allowed / game112.7
vs
Position#16
Record15-11
FormWLWLW
Points / game115.2
Allowed / game113.0
USANBA· Chase Center
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Golden State Warriors v Phoenix Suns
06 Apr 2027
GSW v PHX
upcoming
02 Nov 2026
GSW116
PHX113
20 Dec 2025
GSW119
PHX116
04 Nov 2025
GSW118
PHX107
31 Jan 2025
GSW105
PHX130
28 Dec 2024
GSW109
PHX105
10 Feb 2024
GSW113
PHX112
24 Oct 2023
GSW104
PHX108
13 Mar 2023
GSW123
PHX112
10 Jan 2023
GSW113
PHX125
30 Mar 2022
GSW103
PHX107
03 Dec 2021
GSW118
PHX96
11 May 2021
GSW122
PHX116
27 Dec 2019
GSW105
PHX96
30 Oct 2019
GSW110
PHX121
10 Mar 2019
GSW111
PHX115
22 Oct 2018
GSW123
PHX103
01 Apr 2018
GSW117
PHX107
12 Feb 2018
GSW129
PHX83
03 Dec 2016
GSW138
PHX109
13 Nov 2016
GSW133
PHX120
12 Mar 2016
GSW123
PHX116
16 Dec 2015
GSW128
PHX103
02 Apr 2015
GSW107
PHX106
31 Jan 2015
GSW106
PHX87
09 Mar 2014
GSW113
PHX107
27 Dec 2013
GSW115
PHX86
20 Feb 2013
GSW108
PHX98
02 Feb 2013
GSW113
PHX93
13 Feb 2012
GSW102
PHX96
07 Feb 2011
GSW92
PHX104
02 Dec 2010
GSW101
PHX107
22 Mar 2010
GSW131
PHX133
26 Dec 2009
GSW132
PHX127
15 Mar 2009
GSW130
PHX154
04 Feb 2009
GSW124
PHX112
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Golden State Warriors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Phoenix Suns winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWarriors
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#26
W
134-117
134
117
+17
128avg 105
H25/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
100-104
100
104
-4
96avg 105
H27/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
104-96
104
96
+8
96avg 105
H30/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
112-124
112
124
-12
104avg 105
H03/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
98-99
98
99
-1
89avg 105
A05/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
99-94
99
94
+5
91avg 105
A07/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
123-91
123
91
+32
121avg 105
A08/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
120-127
120
127
-7
108avg 105
H13/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
L
131-136
131
136
-5
128avg 105
A15/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
L
98-99
98
99
-1
95avg 105
A19/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-35
41-20
39-29
28-33
25-22
34-25
17-27
24-30
17-18
25-20
31-34
31-24
26-32
18-31
44-28
24-33
10-30
24-26
32-24
32-19
12-18
33-18
27-26
27-32
38-25
22-21
27-30
36-15
27-28
36-33
28-27
29-39
31-34
31-27
37-35
32-40
29-26
24-20
18-24
27-29
220.6Avg total
111.9Scored
108.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)113.8112.7226.5+1.146%
Season at home (11)117.4110.3227.6+7.164%
Season away (17)111.5114.2225.7-2.835%
Last 10 (10)111.9108.7220.6+3.240%
Last 5 (5)114.2109.4223.6+4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)108.5116.9225.4-8.438%
vs Similar ◀ (15)109.9109.3219.1+0.640%
vs Weaker (7)119.6109.1228.7+10.457%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
111-102
111
102
+9
99avg 106
H24/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
92-114
92
114
-22
74avg 106
H25/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
112-100
112
100
+12
104avg 106
A27/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
119-123
119
123
-4
109avg 106
A29/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
112-130
112
130
-18
96avg 106
H30/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
125-108
125
108
+17
121avg 106
A02/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
98-117
98
117
-19
69avg 106
A06/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
108-105
108
105
+3
99avg 106
A09/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
L
114-116
114
116
-2
110avg 106
H15/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
99-98
99
98
+1
88avg 106
H19/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-30
24-26
37-24
25-22
23-30
27-29
25-25
17-30
41-16
26-29
16-28
29-27
25-25
27-31
30-38
37-29
25-30
35-33
25-33
27-34
31-31
35-21
30-25
29-31
31-24
27-44
14-29
26-20
29-23
32-34
23-27
24-21
36-31
26-31
15-24
37-30
26-29
20-24
24-18
29-27
220.3Avg total
109.0Scored
111.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)115.2113.0228.1+2.258%
Season at home (14)115.3109.9225.2+5.464%
Season away (12)115.0116.5231.5-1.550%
Last 10 (10)109.0111.3220.3-2.350%
Last 5 (5)108.8108.8217.6+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)113.4120.2233.6-6.840%
vs Similar ◀ (17)110.3113.4223.6-3.147%
vs Weaker (8)121.8109.2231.0+12.575%
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +0.9+0.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +0.9+0.9
Golden State WarriorsPhoenix Suns
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#26
W
67-55
67
55
+12
H25/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
W
59-47
59
47
+12
H27/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H30/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
44-63
44
63
-19
H03/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
34-56
34
56
-22
A05/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A07/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
60-46
60
46
+14
A08/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
63-61
63
61
+2
H13/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
62-61
62
61
+1
A15/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A19/12
NBA
103.8Avg total
52.9Scored
50.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.854.2108.0-0.360%-
Last 30 at home (13)55.253.2108.4+1.969%-
Last 30 away (17)52.854.9107.7-2.153%-
Last 10 (10)52.950.9103.8+2.080%-
Last 5 (5)56.650.0106.6+6.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)48.657.2105.9-8.625%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)53.952.9106.8+0.967%-
vs Weaker (7)59.753.3113.0+6.486%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
49-56
49
56
-7
H24/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
50-59
50
59
-9
H25/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
67-45
67
45
+22
A27/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
52-56
52
56
-4
A29/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
60-63
60
63
-3
H30/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
66-52
66
52
+14
A02/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
58-68
58
68
-10
A06/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
61-57
61
57
+4
A09/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
D
62-62
62
62
+0
H15/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
L
46-53
46
53
-7
H19/12
NBA
114.2Avg total
57.1Scored
57.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.656.8114.4+0.850%-
Last 30 at home (17)56.654.9111.5+1.853%-
Last 30 away (13)58.859.2118.1-0.446%-
Last 10 (10)57.157.1114.2+0.030%-
Last 5 (5)58.658.4117.0+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)56.259.0115.2-2.840%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)56.558.4114.9-1.941%-
vs Weaker (8)60.851.9112.6+8.975%-
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Golden State Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden State Warriors: 111.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers47.7 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.624.5
52.6%
54.8%49.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.315.9
35.9%
35.8%47.7
🏀 Free throws19.015.2
80.0%
78.1%15.2
They take 90.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 44.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 109.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.728.0
54.2%
54.8%56.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.312.7
33.2%
35.8%38.1
🏀 Free throws19.914.9
74.9%
78.1%14.9
They take 90.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Golden State Warriors
LLLWWLLWLW
Phoenix Suns
WLWLWLLWLW
#20
League position
#16
+3.2
Net rating
-2.3
111.0
Offensive rating
109.3
107.8
Defensive rating
111.6
53.2%
Effective FG%
52.3%
50.4%
Opp. effective FG%
55.6%
14.1%
Turnover %
13.3%
27.3%
Off. rebound %
26.6%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.22
35.9%
3-point %
33.2%
70.3%
Assist %
56.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence111.0 · 109.3Defence107.8 · 111.6Shooting53.2% · 52.3%3-point %35.9% · 33.2%Ball care14.1% · 13.3%Off. rebounds27.3% · 26.6%Free throws0.21 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Golden State Warriors   ■ Phoenix Suns
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/25APhoenix Suns98-99
15/12/25APortland Trail Blazers131-136
13/12/25HMinnesota Timberwolves120-127
08/12/25AChicago Bulls123-91
07/12/25ACleveland Cavaliers99-94
05/12/25APhiladelphia 76ers98-99
03/12/25HOklahoma City Thunder112-124
30/11/25HNew Orleans Pelicans104-96
27/11/25HHouston Rockets100-104
25/11/25HUtah Jazz134-117
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/25HGolden State Warriors99-98
15/12/25HLos Angeles Lakers114-116
09/12/25AMinnesota Timberwolves108-105
06/12/25AHouston Rockets98-117
02/12/25ALos Angeles Lakers125-108
30/11/25HDenver Nuggets112-130
29/11/25AOklahoma City Thunder119-123
27/11/25ASacramento Kings112-100
25/11/25HHouston Rockets92-114
24/11/25HSan Antonio Spurs111-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Golden State Warriors
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL46%
HomeWLWLL64%
AwayLWWLL35%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281117
Win %46%64%35%
Points / game113.8117.4111.5
Allowed / game112.7110.3114.2
Point differential+1.1+7.1-2.8
Avg total226.5227.6225.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%45%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won30% (10)0% (2)38% (8)
Overtime %4%9%0%
Phoenix Suns
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW58%
HomeWLLLW64%
AwayWLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261412
Win %58%64%50%
Points / game115.2115.3115.0
Allowed / game113.0109.9116.5
Point differential+2.2+5.4-1.5
Avg total228.1225.2231.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%36%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)50% (6)33% (3)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder2624292%122.4106.8+15.5
2 Detroit Pistons2822679%118.9112.1+6.8
3 Los Angeles Lakers2519676%119.2116.8+2.4
4 Denver Nuggets2720774%124.7116.1+8.6
5 San Antonio Spurs2518772%119.8113.7+6.1
6 Houston Rockets2517868%120.9111.6+9.2
7 New York Knicks2517868%119.9112.6+7.3
8 Minnesota Timberwolves28181064%119.2114.3+4.9
9 Boston Celtics28171161%116.5110.5+6.0
10 Toronto Raptors28171161%115.1112.8+2.3
11 Philadelphia 76ers27161159%117.0115.4+1.5
12 Phoenix Suns26151158%115.2113.0+2.2
13 Orlando Magic25141156%117.7114.1+3.6
14 Miami Heat27151256%120.5117.3+3.1
15 Cleveland Cavaliers29151452%118.7117.0+1.7
16 Atlanta Hawks29151452%117.6118.3-0.7
17 Golden State Warriors28131546%113.8112.7+1.1
18 Memphis Grizzlies28131546%114.7115.7-1.0
19 Chicago Bulls27121544%118.3122.0-3.7
20 Portland Trail Blazers27111641%118.8122.3-3.5
21 Milwaukee Bucks28111739%113.6117.4-3.9
22 Utah Jazz26101638%119.6126.8-7.2
23 Dallas Mavericks29111838%113.0116.9-3.8
24 Charlotte Hornets2891932%114.5118.5-4.0
25 Brooklyn Nets2671927%109.6115.5-5.9
26 New Orleans Pelicans2972224%115.3122.5-7.2
27 Los Angeles Clippers2762122%110.9117.0-6.1
28 Sacramento Kings2762122%111.7122.8-11.1
29 Indiana Pacers2862221%110.2118.5-8.2
30 Washington Wizards2652119%112.7126.2-13.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Golden State Warriors32322926119
Phoenix Suns44232029116
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.