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Charlotte Hornets vs Milwaukee Bucks Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 30 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 113-123
26-25 40-38 23-32 24-28
Position#14
Record11-20
FormWLLWW
Points / game115.6
Allowed / game118.4
vs
Position#21
Record13-19
FormLLWLW
Points / game112.7
Allowed / game116.0
USANBA· Spectrum Center
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Charlotte Hornets v Milwaukee Bucks
11 Feb 2027
CHA v MIL
upcoming
29 Dec 2025
CHA113
MIL123
12 Nov 2025
CHA111
MIL100
05 Feb 2025
CHA102
MIL112
16 Nov 2024
CHA115
MIL114
29 Feb 2024
CHA99
MIL111
17 Nov 2023
CHA99
MIL130
03 Dec 2022
CHA96
MIL105
10 Jan 2022
CHA103
MIL99
08 Jan 2022
CHA114
MIL106
27 Apr 2021
CHA104
MIL114
30 Jan 2021
CHA126
MIL114
01 Mar 2020
CHA85
MIL93
24 Jan 2020
CHA103
MIL116
26 Nov 2018
CHA110
MIL107
17 Oct 2018
CHA112
MIL113
23 Dec 2017
CHA111
MIL106
01 Nov 2017
CHA126
MIL121
28 Mar 2017
CHA108
MIL118
16 Jan 2016
CHA92
MIL105
29 Nov 2015
CHA87
MIL82
29 Dec 2014
CHA94
MIL104
29 Oct 2014
CHA108
MIL106
23 Dec 2013
CHA111
MIL110
29 Nov 2013
CHA92
MIL76
13 Apr 2013
CHA95
MIL85
19 Nov 2012
CHA102
MIL98
23 Mar 2012
CHA92
MIL112
26 Dec 2011
CHA96
MIL95
28 Mar 2011
CHA87
MIL86
02 Apr 2010
CHA87
MIL86
28 Dec 2009
CHA94
MIL84
03 Jan 2009
CHA102
MIL92
22 Nov 2008
CHA74
MIL79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Charlotte Hornets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Milwaukee Bucks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Charlotte HornetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHornets
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#4
L
104-119
104
119
-15
90avg 101
A04/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
W
111-86
111
86
+25
112avg 101
A06/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
106-115
106
115
-9
100avg 101
H07/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
126-129
126
129
-3
114avg 101
H13/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
119-111 OT
119
111
+8
112avg 101
A14/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
133-126
133
126
+7
132avg 101
H19/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
86-112
86
112
-26
71avg 101
A21/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
132-139
132
139
-7
124avg 101
A23/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
126-109
126
109
+17
126avg 101
H24/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
W
120-105
120
105
+15
114avg 101
A27/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-27
35-26
28-37
29-29
18-24
35-18
25-28
33-16
34-34
24-23
23-30
25-28
29-33
32-22
31-34
34-40
33-29
24-18
31-32
23-32
37-32
43-37
27-26
26-31
27-33
18-22
27-24
14-33
36-33
27-37
32-34
37-35
24-31
38-34
30-25
34-19
38-28
19-20
39-29
24-28
231.4Avg total
116.3Scored
115.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)115.6118.4234.0-2.835%
Season at home (15)116.1117.4233.5-1.347%
Season away (16)115.1119.3234.4-4.225%
Last 10 (10)116.3115.1231.4+1.250%
Last 5 (5)119.4118.2237.6+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)96.0109.0205.0-13.00%
vs Similar (18)111.8119.1230.8-7.328%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)121.7118.3240.0+3.545%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#3
W
113-109
113
109
+4
111avg 107
H04/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
101-116
101
116
-15
96avg 107
H06/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
112-124
112
124
-12
99avg 107
A07/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
116-101
116
101
+15
118avg 107
H12/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
82-127
82
127
-45
70avg 107
A14/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
105-111
105
111
-6
97avg 107
H19/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
100-103
100
103
-3
96avg 107
A22/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
111-94
111
94
+17
106avg 107
A24/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
L
104-125
104
125
-21
94avg 107
A27/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
112-103
112
103
+9
105avg 107
A28/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-30
28-22
29-33
35-24
20-33
29-36
28-24
24-23
22-29
34-32
25-30
31-33
29-35
31-32
27-13
29-21
25-37
23-28
23-34
11-28
25-31
28-26
23-26
29-28
29-23
31-25
15-27
25-28
26-20
33-24
27-24
25-26
35-25
15-35
33-32
21-33
28-26
26-24
31-30
27-23
216.9Avg total
105.6Scored
111.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)112.7116.0228.8-3.341%
Season at home (16)117.1116.5233.6+0.650%
Season away (16)108.3115.6223.9-7.231%
Last 10 (10)105.6111.3216.9-5.740%
Last 5 (5)106.4107.2213.6-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)110.5116.3226.8-5.825%
vs Similar (9)113.0113.6226.6-0.667%
vs Weaker (1)126.0129.0255.0-3.00%
This opponent (Charlotte Hornets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -1.0-1.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -1.0-1.0
Charlotte HornetsMilwaukee Bucks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Charlotte HornetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#4
L
47-53
47
53
-6
A04/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
W
53-42
53
42
+11
A06/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
58-57
58
57
+1
H07/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
61-55
61
55
+6
H13/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
57-47
57
47
+10
A14/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
80-69
80
69
+11
H19/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
45-55
45
55
-10
A21/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
63-70
63
70
-7
A23/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
L
62-65
62
65
-3
H24/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
W
57-48
57
48
+9
A27/12
NBA
114.4Avg total
58.3Scored
56.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.459.5117.9-1.240%-
Last 30 at home (14)60.259.9120.1+0.350%-
Last 30 away (16)56.859.2115.9-2.431%-
Last 10 (10)58.356.1114.4+2.260%-
Last 5 (5)61.461.4122.8+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)52.055.0107.0-3.00%-
vs Similar (18)57.259.8117.0-2.739%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)60.959.5120.4+1.545%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
49-52
49
52
-3
H04/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
49-69
49
69
-20
H06/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
56-61
56
61
-5
A07/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
60-67
60
67
-7
H12/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
48-65
48
65
-17
A14/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
53-57
53
57
-4
H19/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
60-48
60
48
+12
A22/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
59-44
59
44
+15
A24/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
L
50-60
50
60
-10
A27/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
54-50
54
50
+4
A28/12
NBA
111.1Avg total
53.8Scored
57.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.759.6115.3-3.940%-
Last 30 at home (15)56.261.5117.7-5.340%-
Last 30 away (15)55.257.7112.9-2.540%-
Last 10 (10)53.857.3111.1-3.530%-
Last 5 (5)55.251.8107.0+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)54.561.3115.8-6.825%-
vs Similar (9)57.256.0113.2+1.267%-
vs Weaker (1)66.058.0124.0+8.0100%-
This opponent (Charlotte Hornets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Charlotte Hornetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Charlotte Hornets: 116.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.2 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers51.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.224.1
51.1%
54.8%48.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.617.0
39.9%
35.8%51.0
🏀 Free throws22.317.1
76.7%
78.1%17.1
They take 89.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 42.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 105.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.825.4
55.5%
54.8%50.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.512.6
34.5%
35.8%37.8
🏀 Free throws21.817.0
78.0%
78.1%17.0
They take 82.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Charlotte Hornets
WWLLWWLLWL
Milwaukee Bucks
WLWLLLWLLW
#14
League position
#21
+1.2
Net rating
-5.7
113.5
Offensive rating
106.4
112.3
Defensive rating
112.2
55.2%
Effective FG%
53.8%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
14.4%
Turnover %
15.9%
27.1%
Off. rebound %
21.4%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.26
39.9%
3-point %
34.5%
66.9%
Assist %
62.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence113.5 · 106.4Defence112.3 · 112.2Shooting55.2% · 53.8%3-point %39.9% · 34.5%Ball care14.4% · 15.9%Off. rebounds27.1% · 21.4%Free throws0.25 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Charlotte Hornets   ■ Milwaukee Bucks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/25AOrlando Magic120-105
24/12/25HWashington Wizards126-109
23/12/25ACleveland Cavaliers132-139
21/12/25ADetroit Pistons86-112
19/12/25HAtlanta Hawks133-126
14/12/25ACleveland Cavaliers119-111 OT
13/12/25HChicago Bulls126-129
07/12/25HDenver Nuggets106-115
06/12/25AToronto Raptors111-86
04/12/25ANew York Knicks104-119
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/25AChicago Bulls112-103
27/12/25AMemphis Grizzlies104-125
24/12/25AIndiana Pacers111-94
22/12/25AMinnesota Timberwolves100-103
19/12/25HToronto Raptors105-111
14/12/25ABrooklyn Nets82-127
12/12/25HBoston Celtics116-101
07/12/25ADetroit Pistons112-124
06/12/25HPhiladelphia 76ers101-116
04/12/25HDetroit Pistons113-109

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW35%
HomeWLLWW47%
AwayWWLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %35%47%25%
Points / game115.6116.1115.1
Allowed / game118.4117.4119.3
Point differential-2.8-1.3-4.2
Avg total234.0233.5234.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%27%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (5)0% (1)0% (4)
Overtime %10%7%12%
Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW41%
HomeWWLWL50%
AwayLLWLW31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %41%50%31%
Points / game112.7117.1108.3
Allowed / game116.0116.5115.6
Point differential-3.3+0.6-7.2
Avg total228.8233.6223.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%44%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)50% (2)33% (6)
Overtime %6%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder3026487%121.4107.7+13.7
2 Detroit Pistons3224875%118.8112.9+6.0
3 San Antonio Spurs2921872%120.0113.6+6.4
4 Denver Nuggets3122971%125.8117.5+8.3
5 New York Knicks2920969%120.2113.9+6.3
6 Los Angeles Lakers2920969%117.1116.4+0.8
7 Houston Rockets29191066%120.3111.7+8.6
8 Minnesota Timberwolves32201262%118.8114.7+4.1
9 Boston Celtics31191261%116.5110.5+6.0
10 Phoenix Suns30181260%116.0112.9+3.1
11 Toronto Raptors32191359%114.8112.8+2.0
12 Orlando Magic30171357%117.0115.0+2.0
13 Miami Heat31171455%120.5117.4+3.2
14 Philadelphia 76ers30161453%115.7115.6+0.0
15 Cleveland Cavaliers33171652%119.5117.8+1.8
16 Golden State Warriors32161650%114.9113.3+1.7
17 Chicago Bulls31151648%118.8122.0-3.2
18 Memphis Grizzlies32151747%115.2115.8-0.6
19 Atlanta Hawks33151845%118.8120.1-1.3
20 Milwaukee Bucks32131941%112.7116.0-3.3
21 Portland Trail Blazers32131941%116.6120.1-3.5
22 Utah Jazz31121939%120.5127.1-6.6
23 Dallas Mavericks33122136%113.5117.5-4.0
24 Charlotte Hornets31112035%115.6118.4-2.8
25 Brooklyn Nets29101934%109.8113.7-3.9
26 Los Angeles Clippers31102132%111.5114.8-3.3
27 Sacramento Kings3282425%111.7122.1-10.4
28 New Orleans Pelicans3382524%115.2122.6-7.3
29 Washington Wizards3072323%113.6125.4-11.8
30 Indiana Pacers3262619%109.8119.2-9.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Charlotte Hornets26402324113
Milwaukee Bucks25383228123
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