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Milwaukee Bucks vs Toronto Raptors Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 19 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 105-111
25-31 28-26 23-26 29-28
Position#21
Record11-16
FormWLLWL
Points / game113.9
Allowed / game117.7
vs
Position#11
Record16-10
FormWLLLW
Points / game116.0
Allowed / game113.1
USANBA· Fiserv Forum
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Milwaukee Bucks v Toronto Raptors
06 Nov 2026
MIL v TOR
upcoming
22 Feb 2026
MIL94
TOR122
18 Dec 2025
MIL105
TOR111
17 Jan 2025
MIL130
TOR112
12 Nov 2024
MIL99
TOR85
05 Apr 2024
MIL111
TOR117
19 Mar 2023
MIL118
TOR111
17 Jan 2023
MIL130
TOR122
15 Jan 2022
MIL96
TOR103
05 Jan 2022
MIL111
TOR117
18 Feb 2021
MIL96
TOR110
16 Feb 2021
MIL113
TOR124
10 Aug 2020
MIL106
TOR114
02 Nov 2019
MIL115
TOR105
23 May 2019
MIL v TOR
upcoming
17 May 2019
MIL125
TOR103
15 May 2019
MIL108
TOR100
05 Jan 2019
MIL116
TOR123
29 Oct 2018
MIL124
TOR109
05 Jan 2018
MIL110
TOR129
27 Apr 2017
MIL89
TOR92
22 Apr 2017
MIL76
TOR87
20 Apr 2017
MIL104
TOR77
04 Mar 2017
MIL101
TOR94
25 Nov 2016
MIL99
TOR105
15 Mar 2016
MIL89
TOR107
26 Dec 2015
MIL90
TOR111
19 Jan 2015
MIL89
TOR92
05 Apr 2014
MIL98
TOR102
02 Nov 2013
MIL90
TOR97
06 Apr 2013
MIL100
TOR83
02 Mar 2013
MIL122
TOR114
23 Apr 2012
MIL92
TOR86
11 Apr 2011
MIL93
TOR86
08 Feb 2011
MIL92
TOR74
20 Jan 2010
MIL113
TOR107
09 Dec 2009
MIL117
TOR95
05 Jan 2009
MIL107
TOR97
01 Nov 2008
MIL87
TOR91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milwaukee Bucks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toronto Raptors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
L
103-115
103
115
-12
91avg 107
H25/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
103-106
103
106
-3
96avg 107
A27/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
109-118
109
118
-9
105avg 107
A29/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
116-99
116
99
+17
116avg 107
H30/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
L
126-129
126
129
-3
120avg 107
A02/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
W
113-109
113
109
+4
111avg 107
H04/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
101-116
101
116
-15
96avg 107
H06/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
112-124
112
124
-12
99avg 107
A07/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
116-101
116
101
+15
118avg 107
H12/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
82-127
82
127
-45
70avg 107
A14/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-32
26-33
21-30
29-20
27-29
20-24
30-28
26-25
37-33
25-28
26-31
21-26
32-29
39-24
28-17
17-29
34-28
32-30
28-33
32-38
21-30
28-22
29-33
35-24
20-33
29-36
28-24
24-23
22-29
34-32
25-30
31-33
29-35
31-32
27-13
29-21
25-37
23-28
23-34
11-28
222.5Avg total
108.1Scored
114.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)113.9117.7231.6-3.841%
Season at home (15)117.9116.9234.8+1.153%
Season away (12)108.8118.7227.5-9.825%
Last 10 (10)108.1114.4222.5-6.330%
Last 5 (5)104.8115.4220.2-10.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)111.9117.3229.2-5.432%
vs Similar (9)114.2116.6230.8-2.356%
vs Weaker (2)129.5124.5254.0+5.050%
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toronto RaptorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRaptors
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
119-109
119
109
+10
112avg 105
H23/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
110-99
110
99
+11
107avg 105
H25/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
97-95
97
95
+2
83avg 105
H27/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
111-118 OT
111
118
-7
108avg 105
A29/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
94-116
94
116
-22
83avg 105
A30/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
121-118
121
118
+3
119avg 105
H03/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
L
120-123
120
123
-3
122avg 105
H05/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
86-111
86
111
-25
67avg 105
H06/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
113-121
113
121
-8
104avg 105
H07/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
106-96
106
96
+10
106avg 105
A16/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-28
31-30
22-24
32-27
29-32
28-22
31-22
22-23
21-25
29-24
26-21
21-25
34-21
24-31
29-28
17-24
22-41
30-18
25-34
17-23
37-39
28-20
32-23
24-36
26-31
32-36
40-33
22-23
24-18
18-35
28-25
16-33
26-34
33-43
32-20
22-24
23-22
23-30
28-25
32-19
218.3Avg total
107.7Scored
110.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)116.0113.1229.0+2.962%
Season at home (13)115.2112.2227.5+3.062%
Season away (13)116.7113.9230.6+2.862%
Last 10 (10)107.7110.6218.3-2.950%
Last 5 (5)109.2113.8223.0-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)103.3119.3222.7-16.00%
vs Similar (17)114.8114.2228.9+0.659%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)122.0109.5231.5+12.580%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.1-4.1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -3.2-3.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.1-4.1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -3.2-3.2
Milwaukee BucksToronto Raptors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
L
53-65
53
65
-12
H25/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
47-53
47
53
-6
A27/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
62-61
62
61
+1
A29/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
71-53
71
53
+18
H30/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
66-58
66
58
+8
A02/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
49-52
49
52
-3
H04/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
49-69
49
69
-20
H06/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
56-61
56
61
-5
A07/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
60-67
60
67
-7
H12/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
48-65
48
65
-17
A14/12
NBA
116.5Avg total
56.1Scored
60.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.559.9115.4-4.437%-
Last 30 at home (17)56.561.1117.6-4.541%-
Last 30 away (13)54.258.4112.5-4.231%-
Last 10 (10)56.160.4116.5-4.330%-
Last 5 (5)52.462.8115.2-10.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)54.261.8116.0-7.721%-
vs Similar (9)55.356.8112.1-1.456%-
vs Weaker (2)69.055.5124.5+13.5100%-
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
65-58
65
58
+7
H23/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
57-54
57
54
+3
H25/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H27/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
W
58-52
58
52
+6
A29/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
52-59
52
59
-7
A30/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
65-59
65
59
+6
H03/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
L
58-67
58
67
-9
H05/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
42-53
42
53
-11
H06/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
59-77
59
77
-18
H07/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A16/12
NBA
113.2Avg total
55.2Scored
58.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.156.1113.2+1.063%-
Last 30 at home (14)57.656.0113.6+1.671%-
Last 30 away (16)56.756.2112.9+0.456%-
Last 10 (10)55.258.0113.2-2.850%-
Last 5 (5)54.061.6115.6-7.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)53.768.3122.0-14.70%-
vs Similar (17)56.456.4112.8+0.153%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)59.352.1111.4+7.2100%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 108.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.9 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.525.1
56.4%
54.8%50.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.514.3
38.1%
35.8%42.9
🏀 Free throws20.515.0
73.2%
78.1%15.0
They take 82.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Toronto Raptorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toronto Raptors: 107.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.230.0
51.5%
54.8%60.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.611.0
34.8%
35.8%33.0
🏀 Free throws19.314.7
76.2%
78.1%14.7
They take 89.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Milwaukee Bucks
LWLLWLWLLL
Toronto Raptors
WLLLWLLWWW
#21
League position
#11
-6.4
Net rating
-2.9
109.8
Offensive rating
106.6
116.2
Defensive rating
109.5
56.8%
Effective FG%
51.8%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
15.1%
Turnover %
15.0%
20.3%
Off. rebound %
26.7%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.21
38.1%
3-point %
34.8%
66.8%
Assist %
69.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence109.8 · 106.6Defence116.2 · 109.5Shooting56.8% · 51.8%3-point %38.1% · 34.8%Ball care15.1% · 15.0%Off. rebounds20.3% · 26.7%Free throws0.25 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Milwaukee Bucks   ■ Toronto Raptors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Milwaukee Bucks wins
4
Toronto Raptors wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/25ABrooklyn Nets82-127
12/12/25HBoston Celtics116-101
07/12/25ADetroit Pistons112-124
06/12/25HPhiladelphia 76ers101-116
04/12/25HDetroit Pistons113-109
02/12/25AWashington Wizards126-129
30/11/25HBrooklyn Nets116-99
29/11/25ANew York Knicks109-118
27/11/25AMiami Heat103-106
25/11/25HPortland Trail Blazers103-115
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/25AMiami Heat106-96
07/12/25HBoston Celtics113-121
06/12/25HCharlotte Hornets86-111
05/12/25HLos Angeles Lakers120-123
03/12/25HPortland Trail Blazers121-118
30/11/25ANew York Knicks94-116
29/11/25ACharlotte Hornets111-118 OT
27/11/25HIndiana Pacers97-95
25/11/25HCleveland Cavaliers110-99
23/11/25HBrooklyn Nets119-109

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL41%
HomeLWWLW53%
AwayLLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271512
Win %41%53%25%
Points / game113.9117.9108.8
Allowed / game117.7116.9118.7
Point differential-3.8+1.1-9.8
Avg total231.6234.8227.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%47%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (2)40% (5)
Overtime %7%13%0%
Toronto Raptors
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW62%
HomeWWLLL62%
AwayWWLLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %62%62%62%
Points / game116.0115.2116.7
Allowed / game113.1112.2113.9
Point differential+2.9+3.0+2.8
Avg total229.0227.5230.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%38%54%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)75% (4)-
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder2423196%123.0106.9+16.2
2 Detroit Pistons2621581%119.3113.0+6.3
3 Denver Nuggets2519676%125.6116.2+9.4
4 Los Angeles Lakers2418675%118.2116.0+2.2
5 New York Knicks2417771%120.4112.4+8.0
6 Houston Rockets2316770%120.8111.2+9.7
7 San Antonio Spurs2316770%119.6115.3+4.3
8 Minnesota Timberwolves27171063%119.4114.6+4.9
9 Toronto Raptors26161062%116.0113.1+2.9
10 Orlando Magic24141058%117.8113.6+4.2
11 Boston Celtics26151158%116.2110.8+5.3
12 Miami Heat26151158%120.7116.9+3.8
13 Phoenix Suns25141156%115.8113.6+2.2
14 Philadelphia 76ers25141156%116.8115.8+1.0
15 Cleveland Cavaliers28151354%118.4116.3+2.1
16 Atlanta Hawks28151354%118.3118.0+0.3
17 Golden State Warriors27131448%114.4113.2+1.2
18 Memphis Grizzlies27131448%114.4115.2-0.8
19 Chicago Bulls26111542%117.6121.9-4.3
20 Milwaukee Bucks27111641%113.9117.7-3.8
21 Utah Jazz25101540%119.0126.1-7.1
22 Portland Trail Blazers26101638%118.2121.9-3.7
23 Dallas Mavericks27101737%112.9116.8-3.9
24 Charlotte Hornets2791833%115.5118.7-3.2
25 Brooklyn Nets2671927%109.6115.5-5.9
26 Los Angeles Clippers2662023%111.3116.8-5.5
27 Sacramento Kings2662023%110.8122.4-11.5
28 Indiana Pacers2762122%110.3118.1-7.9
29 New Orleans Pelicans2752219%114.2122.8-8.6
30 Washington Wizards2442017%112.8126.7-13.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Milwaukee Bucks25282329105
Toronto Raptors31262628111
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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