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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Milwaukee Bucks Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 22 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 103-100
23-29 25-31 27-15 28-25
Position#10
Record18-10
FormLWWLW
Points / game119.2
Allowed / game114.3
vs
Position#21
Record11-17
FormLLWLL
Points / game113.6
Allowed / game117.4
USANBA· Target Center
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Milwaukee Bucks
02 Nov 2026
MIN112
MIL100
21 Dec 2025
MIN103
MIL100
12 Feb 2025
MIN101
MIL103
23 Feb 2024
MIN107
MIL112
04 Nov 2022
MIN102
MIL115
19 Mar 2022
MIN138
MIL119
14 Apr 2021
MIN105
MIL130
04 Nov 2019
MIN106
MIL134
26 Oct 2018
MIN95
MIL125
01 Feb 2018
MIN108
MIL89
30 Dec 2016
MIN116
MIL99
02 Jan 2016
MIN85
MIL95
26 Nov 2014
MIN86
MIL103
11 Mar 2014
MIN112
MIL101
30 Nov 2012
MIN95
MIL85
17 Dec 2011
MIN117
MIL96
29 Oct 2010
MIN96
MIL85
06 Nov 2009
MIN72
MIL87
10 Jan 2009
MIN106
MIL104
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Milwaukee Bucks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#5
W
119-115
119
115
+4
116avg 109
H29/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
125-112
125
112
+13
125avg 109
H01/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
149-142 OT
149
142
+7
136avg 109
A03/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
125-116
125
116
+9
122avg 109
A05/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
109-106
109
106
+3
107avg 109
H07/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
L
105-108
105
108
-3
101avg 109
H09/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
127-120
127
120
+7
124avg 109
A13/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
117-103
117
103
+14
107avg 109
H15/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
L
110-116
110
116
-6
98avg 109
H18/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
112-107
112
107
+5
100avg 109
H20/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-36
27-33
35-23
25-23
32-37
29-25
28-31
36-19
31-25
27-43
42-35
29-26
35-30
27-32
26-28
37-26
22-34
20-22
30-22
37-28
23-29
34-32
27-23
21-24
28-27
33-36
27-28
39-29
20-27
31-25
37-32
29-19
27-29
35-32
21-27
27-28
23-33
25-18
35-34
29-22
234.3Avg total
119.8Scored
114.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)119.2114.3233.5+4.964%
Season at home (15)116.9110.3227.2+6.567%
Season away (13)121.8118.8240.7+3.062%
Last 10 (10)119.8114.5234.3+5.380%
Last 5 (5)114.2110.8225.0+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)113.6119.4233.0-5.943%
vs Similar (10)114.5116.1230.6-1.640%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)124.4111.9236.3+12.585%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#17
L
103-106
103
106
-3
96avg 107
A27/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
109-118
109
118
-9
105avg 107
A29/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
116-99
116
99
+17
116avg 107
H30/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
L
126-129
126
129
-3
120avg 107
A02/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
W
113-109
113
109
+4
111avg 107
H04/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
101-116
101
116
-15
96avg 107
H06/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
112-124
112
124
-12
99avg 107
A07/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
116-101
116
101
+15
118avg 107
H12/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
82-127
82
127
-45
70avg 107
A14/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
105-111
105
111
-6
97avg 107
H19/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-29
20-24
30-28
26-25
37-33
25-28
26-31
21-26
32-29
39-24
28-17
17-29
34-28
32-30
28-33
32-38
21-30
28-22
29-33
35-24
20-33
29-36
28-24
24-23
22-29
34-32
25-30
31-33
29-35
31-32
27-13
29-21
25-37
23-28
23-34
11-28
25-31
28-26
23-26
29-28
222.3Avg total
108.3Scored
114.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)113.6117.4231.0-3.939%
Season at home (16)117.1116.5233.6+0.650%
Season away (12)108.8118.7227.5-9.825%
Last 10 (10)108.3114.0222.3-5.730%
Last 5 (5)103.2115.8219.0-12.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)111.5117.0228.5-5.430%
vs Similar (8)113.9118.5232.4-4.650%
vs Weaker (2)129.5124.5254.0+5.050%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: -4.2-4.2Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +6.5+6.5Q4: -2.0-2.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: -4.2-4.2Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +6.5+6.5Q4: -2.0-2.0
Minnesota TimberwolvesMilwaukee Bucks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#5
L
59-69
59
69
-10
H29/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
61-62
61
62
-1
H01/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
58-68
58
68
-10
A03/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
D
62-62
62
62
+0
A05/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
42-56
42
56
-14
H07/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
L
57-61
57
61
-4
H09/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
L
61-63
61
63
-2
A13/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
L
51-52
51
52
-1
H15/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
62-61
62
61
+1
H18/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H20/12
NBA
116.6Avg total
56.1Scored
60.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.357.6115.0-0.333%-
Last 30 at home (16)59.456.7116.1+2.738%-
Last 30 away (14)55.058.7113.7-3.729%-
Last 10 (10)56.160.5116.6-4.410%-
Last 5 (5)55.857.6113.4-1.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)50.659.3109.9-8.714%-
vs Similar (10)56.260.1116.3-3.920%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)61.854.8116.7+7.054%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#17
L
47-53
47
53
-6
A27/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
62-61
62
61
+1
A29/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
71-53
71
53
+18
H30/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
66-58
66
58
+8
A02/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
49-52
49
52
-3
H04/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
49-69
49
69
-20
H06/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
56-61
56
61
-5
A07/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
60-67
60
67
-7
H12/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
48-65
48
65
-17
A14/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
53-57
53
57
-4
H19/12
NBA
115.7Avg total
56.1Scored
59.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.759.9115.6-4.237%-
Last 30 at home (17)56.961.1117.9-4.241%-
Last 30 away (13)54.258.4112.5-4.231%-
Last 10 (10)56.159.6115.7-3.530%-
Last 5 (5)53.263.8117.0-10.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)54.161.6115.7-7.520%-
vs Similar (8)56.456.8113.1-0.462%-
vs Weaker (2)69.055.5124.5+13.5100%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 119.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.627.6
55.6%
54.8%55.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.014.4
36.9%
35.8%43.2
🏀 Free throws27.721.4
77.3%
78.1%21.4
They take 88.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 108.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.5 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.324.9
56.2%
54.8%49.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.514.5
38.7%
35.8%43.5
🏀 Free throws20.315.0
73.9%
78.1%15.0
They take 81.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
WLWWLWWWWW
Milwaukee Bucks
LLWLLWLWLL
#10
League position
#21
+5.2
Net rating
-5.8
116.7
Offensive rating
109.9
111.6
Defensive rating
115.7
55.5%
Effective FG%
57.0%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
55.0%
12.9%
Turnover %
15.4%
26.7%
Off. rebound %
20.7%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.25
36.9%
3-point %
38.7%
65.5%
Assist %
67.5%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence116.7 · 109.9Defence111.6 · 115.7Shooting55.5% · 57.0%3-point %36.9% · 38.7%Ball care12.9% · 15.4%Off. rebounds26.7% · 20.7%Free throws0.31 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)80% · 30%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Milwaukee Bucks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/25HOklahoma City Thunder112-107
18/12/25HMemphis Grizzlies110-116
15/12/25HSacramento Kings117-103
13/12/25AGolden State Warriors127-120
09/12/25HPhoenix Suns105-108
07/12/25HLos Angeles Clippers109-106
05/12/25ANew Orleans Pelicans125-116
03/12/25ANew Orleans Pelicans149-142 OT
01/12/25HSan Antonio Spurs125-112
29/11/25HBoston Celtics119-115
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/25HToronto Raptors105-111
14/12/25ABrooklyn Nets82-127
12/12/25HBoston Celtics116-101
07/12/25ADetroit Pistons112-124
06/12/25HPhiladelphia 76ers101-116
04/12/25HDetroit Pistons113-109
02/12/25AWashington Wizards126-129
30/11/25HBrooklyn Nets116-99
29/11/25ANew York Knicks109-118
27/11/25AMiami Heat103-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW64%
HomeWLWLW67%
AwayLLWWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281513
Win %64%67%62%
Points / game119.2116.9121.8
Allowed / game114.3110.3118.8
Point differential+4.9+6.5+3.0
Avg total233.5227.2240.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%40%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)67% (6)33% (3)
Overtime %7%0%15%
Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL39%
HomeWWLWL50%
AwayLLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281612
Win %39%50%25%
Points / game113.6117.1108.8
Allowed / game117.4116.5118.7
Point differential-3.9+0.6-9.8
Avg total231.0233.6227.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%44%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (2)40% (5)
Overtime %7%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder2624292%122.4106.8+15.5
2 Detroit Pistons2822679%118.9112.1+6.8
3 Denver Nuggets2720774%124.7116.1+8.6
4 Los Angeles Lakers2619773%118.0116.3+1.7
5 San Antonio Spurs2518772%119.8113.7+6.1
6 New York Knicks2618869%120.3113.0+7.3
7 Houston Rockets2517868%120.9111.6+9.2
8 Minnesota Timberwolves28181064%119.2114.3+4.9
9 Boston Celtics28171161%116.5110.5+6.0
10 Philadelphia 76ers27161159%117.0115.4+1.5
11 Toronto Raptors29171259%113.9112.2+1.7
12 Orlando Magic26151158%118.1114.6+3.5
13 Phoenix Suns27151256%115.2113.2+2.0
14 Miami Heat28151354%120.6117.9+2.8
15 Cleveland Cavaliers29151452%118.7117.0+1.7
16 Atlanta Hawks30151550%118.7119.4-0.7
17 Golden State Warriors29141548%114.0112.8+1.2
18 Memphis Grizzlies28131546%114.7115.7-1.0
19 Chicago Bulls28131546%119.5123.0-3.5
20 Portland Trail Blazers28121643%118.0121.2-3.2
21 Milwaukee Bucks28111739%113.6117.4-3.9
22 Dallas Mavericks29111838%113.0116.9-3.8
23 Utah Jazz27101737%119.9126.8-6.9
24 Charlotte Hornets2891932%114.5118.5-4.0
25 Brooklyn Nets2781930%109.1114.2-5.1
26 Los Angeles Clippers2872125%110.6116.0-5.4
27 New Orleans Pelicans2972224%115.3122.5-7.2
28 Indiana Pacers2862221%110.2118.5-8.2
29 Sacramento Kings2862221%111.0121.9-10.9
30 Washington Wizards2652119%112.7126.2-13.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves23252728103
Milwaukee Bucks29311525100
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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