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Milwaukee Bucks vs Boston Celtics Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 12 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 116-101
29-35 31-32 27-13 29-21
Position#21
Record10-15
FormWLWLL
Points / game115.1
Allowed / game118.0
vs
Position#5
Record15-9
FormWWWWW
Points / game117.2
Allowed / game110.6
USANBA· Fiserv Forum
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Milwaukee Bucks v Boston Celtics
08 Nov 2026
MIL97
BOS117
03 Apr 2026
MIL101
BOS133
02 Mar 2026
MIL81
BOS108
11 Dec 2025
MIL116
BOS101
10 Nov 2024
MIL107
BOS113
09 Apr 2024
MIL104
BOS91
11 Jan 2024
MIL135
BOS102
30 Mar 2023
MIL99
BOS140
14 Feb 2023
MIL131
BOS125
13 May 2022
MIL95
BOS108
09 May 2022
MIL108
BOS116
07 May 2022
MIL103
BOS101
07 Apr 2022
MIL127
BOS121
25 Dec 2021
MIL117
BOS113
26 Mar 2021
MIL114
BOS122
24 Mar 2021
MIL121
BOS119
31 Jul 2020
MIL119
BOS112
12 Mar 2020
MIL v BOS
upcoming
16 Jan 2020
MIL128
BOS123
08 May 2019
MIL116
BOS91
30 Apr 2019
MIL123
BOS102
28 Apr 2019
MIL90
BOS112
21 Feb 2019
MIL98
BOS97
26 Apr 2018
MIL97
BOS86
22 Apr 2018
MIL104
BOS102
20 Apr 2018
MIL116
BOS92
03 Apr 2018
MIL106
BOS102
26 Oct 2017
MIL89
BOS96
28 Jan 2017
MIL108
BOS112
09 Feb 2016
MIL112
BOS111
10 Nov 2015
MIL83
BOS99
15 Apr 2015
MIL100
BOS105
07 Feb 2015
MIL96
BOS93
10 Feb 2014
MIL86
BOS102
30 Nov 2013
MIL92
BOS85
01 Dec 2012
MIL91
BOS88
10 Nov 2012
MIL92
BOS96
22 Mar 2012
MIL91
BOS100
06 Mar 2011
MIL83
BOS89
10 Apr 2010
MIL90
BOS105
09 Mar 2010
MIL86
BOS84
15 Mar 2009
MIL86
BOS77
15 Nov 2008
MIL97
BOS102
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milwaukee Bucks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Boston Celtics winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
114-123 OT
114
123
-9
108avg 108
H21/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
116-129
116
129
-13
111avg 108
H23/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
L
103-115
103
115
-12
91avg 108
H25/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
103-106
103
106
-3
96avg 108
A27/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
109-118
109
118
-9
105avg 108
A29/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
116-99
116
99
+17
116avg 108
H30/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
L
126-129
126
129
-3
120avg 108
A02/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
W
113-109
113
109
+4
111avg 108
H04/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
101-116
101
116
-15
96avg 108
H06/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
112-124
112
124
-12
99avg 108
A07/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-33
37-22
24-22
25-29
26-30
26-39
33-35
31-25
27-32
26-33
21-30
29-20
27-29
20-24
30-28
26-25
37-33
25-28
26-31
21-26
32-29
39-24
28-17
17-29
34-28
32-30
28-33
32-38
21-30
28-22
29-33
35-24
20-33
29-36
28-24
24-23
22-29
34-32
25-30
31-33
228.1Avg total
111.3Scored
116.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)115.1118.0233.0-2.940%
Season at home (14)118.1118.0236.1+0.150%
Season away (11)111.3117.9229.2-6.627%
Last 10 (10)111.3116.8228.1-5.520%
Last 5 (5)113.6115.4229.0-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)111.7118.2229.8-6.528%
vs Similar (10)115.9116.2232.1-0.350%
vs Weaker (2)129.5124.5254.0+5.050%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
113-99
113
99
+14
115avg 107
A19/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
105-113
105
113
-8
96avg 107
H22/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
W
138-129
138
129
+9
134avg 107
H23/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
W
117-114
117
114
+3
109avg 107
H26/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
115-119
115
119
-4
102avg 107
A29/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
117-115
117
115
+2
110avg 107
A30/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
123-117
123
117
+6
112avg 107
H03/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
146-101
146
101
+45
145avg 107
A05/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
126-105
126
105
+21
126avg 107
H06/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
W
121-113
121
113
+8
111avg 107
A07/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-29
33-32
27-24
24-14
28-22
25-40
24-30
28-21
32-27
48-30
30-32
28-40
24-30
33-28
29-25
31-31
36-32
33-27
23-35
23-25
28-26
30-25
32-28
27-36
21-32
37-20
36-24
29-41
32-26
34-33
43-27
37-15
39-17
30-29
28-36
29-23
34-26
43-33
20-32
24-22
234.6Avg total
122.1Scored
112.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)117.2110.6227.8+6.762%
Season at home (12)120.2112.8232.9+7.467%
Season away (12)114.3108.4222.8+5.958%
Last 10 (10)122.1112.5234.6+9.680%
Last 5 (5)126.6110.2236.8+16.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)109.8116.6226.4-6.840%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)115.8108.2224.0+7.660%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +4.9+4.9Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +1.2+1.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +4.9+4.9Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +1.2+1.2
Milwaukee BucksBoston Celtics
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
W
57-55
57
55
+2
H21/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
52-69
52
69
-17
H23/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
L
53-65
53
65
-12
H25/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
47-53
47
53
-6
A27/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
62-61
62
61
+1
A29/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
71-53
71
53
+18
H30/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
66-58
66
58
+8
A02/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
49-52
49
52
-3
H04/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
49-69
49
69
-20
H06/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
56-61
56
61
-5
A07/12
NBA
115.8Avg total
56.2Scored
59.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.360.0115.3-4.737%-
Last 30 at home (16)56.360.7117.0-4.444%-
Last 30 away (14)54.259.2113.4-5.029%-
Last 10 (10)56.259.6115.8-3.440%-
Last 5 (5)58.258.6116.8-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)53.861.6115.4-7.722%-
vs Similar (10)55.358.1113.4-2.850%-
vs Weaker (2)69.055.5124.5+13.5100%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
62-61
62
61
+1
A19/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
53-62
53
62
-9
H22/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
W
80-57
80
57
+23
H23/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
57-58
57
58
-1
H26/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
69-59
69
59
+10
A29/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
58-51
58
51
+7
A30/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
58-52
58
52
+6
H03/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
66-59
66
59
+7
A05/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
69-46
69
46
+23
H06/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
W
77-59
77
59
+18
A07/12
NBA
121.3Avg total
64.9Scored
56.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.754.8114.4+4.963%-
Last 30 at home (15)60.552.9113.4+7.567%-
Last 30 away (15)58.956.6115.5+2.360%-
Last 10 (10)64.956.4121.3+8.580%-
Last 5 (5)65.653.4119.0+12.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)53.060.0113.0-7.020%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)61.053.7114.7+7.372%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 111.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers46.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.824.9
55.6%
54.8%49.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.015.6
40.0%
35.8%46.8
🏀 Free throws20.014.7
73.5%
78.1%14.7
They take 83.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 122.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers51.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.227.6
59.7%
54.8%55.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.717.2
41.2%
35.8%51.6
🏀 Free throws19.115.3
80.1%
78.1%15.3
They take 87.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 41.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Milwaukee Bucks
LLWLWLLLLL
Boston Celtics
WWWWWLWWLW
#21
League position
#5
-5.5
Net rating
+9.9
111.5
Offensive rating
126.0
117.0
Defensive rating
116.1
57.6%
Effective FG%
60.8%
56.2%
Opp. effective FG%
54.3%
14.3%
Turnover %
12.4%
19.3%
Off. rebound %
29.6%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.22
40.0%
3-point %
41.2%
67.7%
Assist %
56.5%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence111.5 · 126.0Defence117.0 · 116.1Shooting57.6% · 60.8%3-point %40.0% · 41.2%Ball care14.3% · 12.4%Off. rebounds19.3% · 29.6%Free throws0.24 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)20% · 80%
■ Milwaukee Bucks   ■ Boston Celtics
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Milwaukee Bucks wins
7
Boston Celtics wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/25ADetroit Pistons112-124
06/12/25HPhiladelphia 76ers101-116
04/12/25HDetroit Pistons113-109
02/12/25AWashington Wizards126-129
30/11/25HBrooklyn Nets116-99
29/11/25ANew York Knicks109-118
27/11/25AMiami Heat103-106
25/11/25HPortland Trail Blazers103-115
23/11/25HDetroit Pistons116-129
21/11/25HPhiladelphia 76ers114-123 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/25AToronto Raptors121-113
06/12/25HLos Angeles Lakers126-105
05/12/25AWashington Wizards146-101
03/12/25HNew York Knicks123-117
30/11/25ACleveland Cavaliers117-115
29/11/25AMinnesota Timberwolves115-119
26/11/25HDetroit Pistons117-114
23/11/25HOrlando Magic138-129
22/11/25HBrooklyn Nets105-113
19/11/25ABrooklyn Nets113-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL40%
HomeLLWWL50%
AwayLLLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251411
Win %40%50%27%
Points / game115.1118.1111.3
Allowed / game118.0118.0117.9
Point differential-2.9+0.1-6.6
Avg total233.0236.1229.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%43%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (2)40% (5)
Overtime %8%14%0%
Boston Celtics
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW62%
HomeLWWWW67%
AwayWLWWW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %62%67%58%
Points / game117.2120.2114.3
Allowed / game110.6112.8108.4
Point differential+6.7+7.4+5.9
Avg total227.8232.9222.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)50% (4)60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder2423196%123.0106.9+16.2
2 Detroit Pistons2419579%118.7113.2+5.5
3 Denver Nuggets2317674%125.0116.3+8.7
4 Los Angeles Lakers2317674%118.3116.1+2.2
5 Houston Rockets2115671%120.9110.3+10.6
6 New York Knicks2316770%120.7112.4+8.3
7 San Antonio Spurs2316770%119.6115.3+4.3
8 Boston Celtics2415962%117.2110.6+6.7
9 Minnesota Timberwolves2415962%119.6114.8+4.9
10 Toronto Raptors25151060%116.4113.8+2.6
11 Orlando Magic24141058%117.8113.6+4.2
12 Miami Heat24141058%122.3118.2+4.0
13 Phoenix Suns24141058%115.9113.5+2.4
14 Philadelphia 76ers23131057%116.9116.1+0.8
15 Cleveland Cavaliers25141156%118.6115.4+3.2
16 Atlanta Hawks25141156%118.0116.5+1.6
17 Golden State Warriors25131252%113.5111.7+1.8
18 Memphis Grizzlies24111346%113.6115.3-1.7
19 Milwaukee Bucks25101540%115.1118.0-2.9
20 Chicago Bulls2391439%117.3122.6-5.3
21 Portland Trail Blazers2491538%117.4120.6-3.2
22 Dallas Mavericks2591636%111.8116.1-4.3
23 Utah Jazz2381535%117.6125.8-8.2
24 Charlotte Hornets2471729%114.2118.3-4.1
25 Brooklyn Nets2361726%109.4117.2-7.8
26 Los Angeles Clippers2461825%111.6116.8-5.2
27 Indiana Pacers2461825%111.2118.8-7.6
28 Sacramento Kings2461825%111.4122.0-10.6
29 Washington Wizards2231914%112.4128.3-15.9
30 New Orleans Pelicans2532212%113.0123.7-10.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Milwaukee Bucks29312729116
Boston Celtics35321321101
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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