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Chemnitz vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 02 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 72-94
17-12 25-30 14-29 16-23
Position#7
Record11-8
FormWLWLW
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game79.1
vs
Bayern 🏆
Germany
Position#1
Record13-5
FormWLWLL
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game74.9
GermanyBBLRound 22· Messe Chemnitz
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Chemnitz v Bayern
10 Oct 2026
CHE83
BAY87
18 Jan 2026
CHE59
BAY87
02 Mar 2025
CHE72
BAY94
21 Jan 2024
CHE73
BAY86
12 Feb 2023
CHE58
BAY79
20 May 2022
CHE80
BAY87
15 Feb 2022
CHE77
BAY58
14 Nov 2021
CHE85
BAY80
14 Feb 2021
CHE85
BAY83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chemnitz winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChemnitzGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChemnitz
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#15
L
80-81
80
81
-1
62avg 76
A27/12
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#11
W
82-72
82
72
+10
82avg 76
H30/12
BBL
Frankfurt
#16
W
85-66
85
66
+19
83avg 76
H04/01
BBL
Manisa
#25
L
86-87
86
87
-1
88avg 76
A08/01
Champions League
Manisa
#25
L
84-87
84
87
-3
82avg 76
H14/01
Champions League
Hamburg
#13
W
69-60
69
60
+9
66avg 76
H17/01
BBL
Vechta
#10
L
66-89
66
89
-23
52avg 76
A24/01
BBL
Bonn
#14
W
84-80
84
80
+4
69avg 76
A02/02
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
L
83-95
83
95
-12
75avg 76
H08/02
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
W
72-65
72
65
+7
68avg 76
H11/02
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-17
22-25
20-14
23-25
21-22
18-11
19-13
24-26
22-13
26-14
21-16
16-23
20-21
21-16
22-24
23-26
21-26
23-17
21-25
19-19
15-12
16-11
22-16
16-21
15-19
15-21
18-24
18-25
22-21
24-24
17-23
21-12
18-20
29-31
20-26
16-18
23-19
15-14
20-15
14-17
157.3Avg total
79.1Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)78.679.1157.7-0.558%
Season at home (11)83.481.0164.4+2.473%
Season away (8)72.176.5148.6-4.438%
Last 10 (10)79.178.2157.3+0.950%
Last 5 (5)74.877.8152.6-3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)75.284.3159.5-9.115%
vs Similar (14)80.380.9161.1-0.657%
vs Weaker (2)90.577.0167.5+13.5100%
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#18
W
99-84
99
84
+15
99avg 79
A24/01
Euroleague
Bamberg
#15
W
84-82
84
82
+2
77avg 79
H26/01
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
97-82
97
82
+15
99avg 79
A30/01
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#6
W
99-86 OT
99
86
+13
92avg 79
H02/02
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
87-70
87
70
+17
87avg 79
H04/02
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
76-67
76
67
+9
74avg 79
H06/02
Euroleague
Vechta
#10
L
65-79
65
79
-14
54avg 79
A09/02
BBL
Frankfurt
#16
W
70-56
70
56
+14
65avg 79
H11/02
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#1
L
93-95
93
95
-2
85avg 79
H15/02
German Cup
Paris
#9
L
88-93
88
93
-5
81avg 79
A27/02
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-27
25-23
18-18
29-16
17-21
18-20
21-15
28-26
22-18
23-13
26-28
26-23
17-17
21-24
24-15
18-24
17-16
20-20
31-19
19-15
23-18
15-12
20-17
18-20
13-20
20-19
16-23
16-17
14-22
28-13
20-9
8-12
20-22
23-26
30-25
20-22
15-23
23-24
30-24
20-22
165.2Avg total
85.8Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)81.774.9156.6+6.872%
Season at home (9)81.873.1154.9+8.789%
Season away (9)81.676.7158.2+4.956%
Last 10 (10)85.879.4165.2+6.470%
Last 5 (5)78.478.0156.4+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)79.496.0175.4-16.620%
vs Similar (14)86.984.4171.3+2.657%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)85.373.4158.6+11.982%
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +0.5+0.5
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +0.5+0.5
ChemnitzBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#15
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A27/12
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#11
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H30/12
BBL
Frankfurt
#16
W
48-27
48
27
+21
H04/01
BBL
Manisa
#25
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A08/01
Champions League
Manisa
#25
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H14/01
Champions League
Hamburg
#13
W
31-23
31
23
+8
H17/01
BBL
Vechta
#10
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A24/01
BBL
Bonn
#14
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A02/02
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H08/02
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H11/02
BBL
77.5Avg total
40.1Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.540.279.7-0.847%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.539.280.7+2.362%-
Last 30 away (14)37.141.478.6-4.329%-
Last 10 (10)40.137.477.5+2.770%-
Last 5 (5)38.438.476.8+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)36.240.977.1-4.823%-
vs Similar (14)41.640.481.9+1.264%-
vs Weaker (2)48.534.082.5+14.5100%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#18
W
52-50
52
50
+2
A24/01
Euroleague
Bamberg
#15
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H26/01
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A30/01
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#6
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H02/02
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H04/02
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H06/02
Euroleague
Vechta
#10
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A09/02
BBL
Frankfurt
#16
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H11/02
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#1
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H15/02
German Cup
Paris
#9
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A27/02
Euroleague
79.9Avg total
40.1Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.140.983.0+1.250%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.038.980.9+3.156%-
Last 30 away (14)42.243.185.4-0.943%-
Last 10 (10)40.139.879.9+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)38.839.878.6-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)42.845.087.8-2.240%-
vs Similar (14)40.440.981.3-0.643%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)44.039.083.0+5.064%-
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.719.5
50.4%
52.3%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.1
32.4%
33.6%24.3
🏀 Free throws20.415.0
73.5%
73.5%15.0
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.917.9
54.4%
52.3%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.411.9
37.9%
33.6%35.7
🏀 Free throws17.213.5
78.5%
73.5%13.5
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chemnitz
WLWLWLLWWL
Bayern
LLWLWWWWWW
#7
League position
#1
+1.5
Net rating
+9.5
105.0
Offensive rating
117.3
103.6
Defensive rating
107.8
49.7%
Effective FG%
55.6%
47.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
19.6%
Turnover %
17.6%
34.1%
Off. rebound %
34.5%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.27
32.4%
3-point %
37.9%
56.2%
Assist %
67.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence105.0 · 117.3Defence103.6 · 107.8Shooting49.7% · 55.6%3-point %32.4% · 37.9%Ball care19.6% · 17.6%Off. rebounds34.1% · 34.5%Free throws0.32 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Chemnitz   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Chemnitz wins
8
Bayern wins
DateGameScore
20/09/24Bayern v Chemnitz73-59
13/02/24Bayern v Chemnitz89-80
21/01/24Chemnitz v Bayern73-86
12/02/23Chemnitz v Bayern58-79
09/10/22Bayern v Chemnitz88-74
20/05/22Chemnitz v Bayern80-87 OT
15/05/22Bayern v Chemnitz93-76
13/05/22Bayern v Chemnitz77-53
15/02/22Chemnitz v Bayern77-58
09/01/22Bayern v Chemnitz63-65
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/25HHeidelberg72-65
08/02/25HBasketball Braunschweig83-95
02/02/25ABonn84-80
24/01/25AVechta66-89
17/01/25HHamburg69-60
14/01/25HManisa84-87
08/01/25AManisa86-87
04/01/25HFrankfurt85-66
30/12/24HSyntainics MBC82-72
27/12/24ABamberg80-81
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/25AParis88-93
15/02/25HSyntainics MBC93-95
11/02/25HFrankfurt70-56
09/02/25AVechta65-79
06/02/25HLyon-Villeurbanne76-67
04/02/25HOlimpia Milano87-70
02/02/25HAlba Berlin99-86 OT
30/01/25AZalgiris Kaunas97-82
26/01/25HBamberg84-82
24/01/25AAlba Berlin99-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chemnitz
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW58%
HomeWWWLW73%
AwayLLLLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19118
Win %58%73%38%
Points / game78.683.472.1
Allowed / game79.181.076.5
Point differential-0.5+2.4-4.4
Avg total157.7164.4148.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%27%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bayern
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW72%
HomeLWWWW89%
AwayWWLWL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %72%89%56%
Points / game81.781.881.6
Allowed / game74.973.176.7
Point differential+6.8+8.7+4.9
Avg total156.6154.9158.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%56%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)75% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern1813572%81.774.9+6.8
2 Ulm2014670%86.278.9+7.3
3 Basketball Braunschweig2114767%83.680.1+3.5
4 Vechta2012860%83.082.8+0.2
5 Heidelberg1911858%78.478.8-0.4
6 Chemnitz1911858%78.679.1-0.5
7 Wurzburg2011955%82.379.3+3.0
8 Ludwigsburg21111052%75.372.1+3.2
9 Rostock20101050%81.281.3-0.1
10 Syntainics MBC20101050%83.584.1-0.6
11 Alba Berlin1991047%85.282.6+2.6
12 Bonn2091145%82.682.9-0.3
13 Oldenburg2091145%88.889.7-0.8
14 Hamburg2091145%79.881.3-1.4
15 Bamberg1981142%82.883.6-0.8
16 Frankfurt1951426%75.883.1-7.3
17 Gottingen191185%80.295.4-15.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Chemnitz1725141672
Bayern1230292394
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