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Chemnitz vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 73-86
25-23 19-15 16-25 13-23
Position#3
Record14-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game74.6
Chemnitz
Germany
vs
Bayern 🏆
Germany
Position#1
Record11-3
FormWLLWW
Points / game88.1
Allowed / game76.4
GermanyBBLRound 17· Messe Chemnitz
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Chemnitz v Bayern
10 Oct 2026
CHE83
BAY87
18 Jan 2026
CHE59
BAY87
02 Mar 2025
CHE72
BAY94
21 Jan 2024
CHE73
BAY86
12 Feb 2023
CHE58
BAY79
20 May 2022
CHE80
BAY87
15 Feb 2022
CHE77
BAY58
14 Nov 2021
CHE85
BAY80
14 Feb 2021
CHE85
BAY83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chemnitz winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChemnitzGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChemnitz
Date
Competition
Ulm
#3
L
78-87
78
87
-9
72avg 81
H09/12
German Cup
CSM Oradea
#17
W
95-79
95
79
+16
91avg 81
A13/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Heidelberg
#16
W
93-69
93
69
+24
94avg 81
H16/12
BBL
Vechta
#6
W
81-80
81
80
+1
73avg 81
A20/12
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
95-67
95
67
+28
95avg 81
H26/12
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
90-101
90
101
-11
81avg 81
A31/12
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
85-66
85
66
+19
81avg 81
H06/01
BBL
Leiden
#14
W
88-58
88
58
+30
97avg 81
A10/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Bonn
#7
W
85-77
85
77
+8
84avg 81
A12/01
BBL
CSM Oradea
#17
W
101-98 OT
101
98
+3
94avg 81
H17/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-22
19-17
21-30
18-18
25-20
15-17
25-25
30-17
25-20
28-14
25-18
15-17
20-23
19-17
22-17
20-23
26-26
22-14
29-9
18-18
19-34
26-26
25-20
20-21
14-16
24-14
15-16
32-20
17-13
27-7
24-20
20-18
18-18
20-21
20-10
27-28
23-18
28-22
19-23
19-26
167.3Avg total
89.1Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)87.274.6161.9+12.688%
Season at home (8)89.271.4160.6+17.9100%
Season away (8)85.277.9163.1+7.475%
Last 10 (10)89.178.2167.3+10.980%
Last 5 (5)89.880.0169.8+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)80.592.0172.5-11.50%
vs Similar ◀ (3)85.390.3175.7-5.033%
vs Weaker (25)89.771.9161.6+17.896%
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Tubingen
#18
W
96-74
96
74
+22
90avg 76
A26/12
BBL
Valencia
#14
W
85-84
85
84
+1
78avg 76
H28/12
Euroleague
Heidelberg
#16
W
83-57
83
57
+26
84avg 76
H30/12
BBL
Virtus Bologna
#8
L
83-85
83
85
-2
80avg 76
A03/01
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
62-76
62
76
-14
52avg 76
A05/01
Euroleague
Rostock
#15
W
91-85
91
85
+6
88avg 76
A07/01
BBL
Real Madrid
#1
L
71-92
71
92
-21
62avg 76
H09/01
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
L
91-98 OT
91
98
-7
86avg 76
A11/01
Euroleague
Bamberg
#11
W
91-69
91
69
+22
90avg 76
H14/01
BBL
Alba Berlin
#18
W
82-65
82
65
+17
76avg 76
A18/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-13
18-19
28-22
22-20
16-16
22-23
22-23
25-22
24-7
17-19
17-11
25-20
24-22
22-20
23-23
14-20
12-19
15-15
20-16
15-26
27-16
24-23
16-18
24-28
18-24
18-21
17-19
18-28
22-22
17-16
20-19
22-24
24-12
20-27
13-14
34-16
19-19
24-11
23-21
16-14
162.0Avg total
83.5Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)88.176.4164.6+11.779%
Season at home (7)90.674.3164.9+16.3100%
Season away (7)85.778.6164.3+7.157%
Last 10 (10)83.578.5162.0+5.060%
Last 5 (5)85.281.8167.0+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)77.387.9165.1-10.60%
vs Similar ◀ (10)83.380.9164.2+2.460%
vs Weaker (13)88.474.6163.0+13.885%
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +4.4+4.4Q2Q2: +5.9+5.9Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -0.3-0.3
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +4.4+4.4Q2Q2: +5.9+5.9Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -0.3-0.3
ChemnitzBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ulm
#3
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H09/12
German Cup
CSM Oradea
#17
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A13/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Heidelberg
#16
W
53-34
53
34
+19
H16/12
BBL
Vechta
#6
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A20/12
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H26/12
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
45-60
45
60
-15
A31/12
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H06/01
BBL
Leiden
#14
W
44-20
44
20
+24
A10/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Bonn
#7
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A12/01
BBL
CSM Oradea
#17
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H17/01
FIBA Europe Cup
81.4Avg total
43.5Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.637.280.8+6.367%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.737.282.9+8.581%-
Last 30 away (14)41.137.378.4+3.950%-
Last 10 (10)43.537.981.4+5.660%-
Last 5 (5)43.237.881.0+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)41.051.592.5-10.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)42.050.392.3-8.30%-
vs Weaker (25)44.034.578.5+9.480%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tubingen
#18
W
46-32
46
32
+14
A26/12
BBL
Valencia
#14
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H28/12
Euroleague
Heidelberg
#16
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H30/12
BBL
Virtus Bologna
#8
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A03/01
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A05/01
Euroleague
Rostock
#15
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A07/01
BBL
Real Madrid
#1
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H09/01
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A11/01
Euroleague
Bamberg
#11
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H14/01
BBL
Alba Berlin
#18
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A18/01
Euroleague
77.5Avg total
41.1Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.538.980.4+2.660%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.839.981.7+1.854%-
Last 30 away (17)41.238.179.4+3.165%-
Last 10 (10)41.136.477.5+4.770%-
Last 5 (5)42.638.280.8+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)36.342.779.0-6.414%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)41.740.682.3+1.160%-
vs Weaker (13)44.135.579.6+8.585%-
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 88.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.322.3
56.7%
54.6%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.19.6
39.8%
35.4%28.8
🏀 Free throws20.815.1
72.6%
76.0%15.1
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.817.5
50.3%
54.6%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.811.6
40.3%
35.4%34.8
🏀 Free throws16.212.7
78.4%
76.0%12.7
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chemnitz
WWWWLWWWWL
Bayern
WWLLWLLWWW
#3
League position
#1
+14.7
Net rating
+6.4
115.2
Offensive rating
114.2
100.5
Defensive rating
107.9
57.9%
Effective FG%
54.9%
49.8%
Opp. effective FG%
50.5%
20.7%
Turnover %
17.4%
35.7%
Off. rebound %
32.4%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.25
39.8%
3-point %
40.3%
66.5%
Assist %
61.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence115.2 · 114.2Defence100.5 · 107.9Shooting57.9% · 54.9%3-point %39.8% · 40.3%Ball care20.7% · 17.4%Off. rebounds35.7% · 32.4%Free throws0.33 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Chemnitz   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Chemnitz wins
6
Bayern wins
DateGameScore
12/02/23Chemnitz v Bayern58-79
09/10/22Bayern v Chemnitz88-74
20/05/22Chemnitz v Bayern80-87 OT
15/05/22Bayern v Chemnitz93-76
13/05/22Bayern v Chemnitz77-53
15/02/22Chemnitz v Bayern77-58
09/01/22Bayern v Chemnitz63-65
14/11/21Chemnitz v Bayern85-80
14/02/21Chemnitz v Bayern85-83
10/01/21Bayern v Chemnitz77-76
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/24HCSM Oradea101-98 OT
12/01/24ABonn85-77
10/01/24ALeiden88-58
06/01/24HLudwigsburg85-66
31/12/23AAlba Berlin90-101
26/12/23HCrailsheim Merlins95-67
20/12/23AVechta81-80
16/12/23HHeidelberg93-69
13/12/23ACSM Oradea95-79
09/12/23HUlm78-87
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/24AAlba Berlin82-65
14/01/24HBamberg91-69
11/01/24AFenerbahce91-98 OT
09/01/24HReal Madrid71-92
07/01/24ARostock91-85
05/01/24AOlimpia Milano62-76
03/01/24AVirtus Bologna83-85
30/12/23HHeidelberg83-57
28/12/23HValencia85-84
26/12/23ATubingen96-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chemnitz
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW88%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %88%100%75%
Points / game87.289.285.2
Allowed / game74.671.477.9
Point differential+12.6+17.9+7.4
Avg total161.9160.6163.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%75%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)-75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bayern
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW79%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLWWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %79%100%57%
Points / game88.190.685.7
Allowed / game76.474.378.6
Point differential+11.7+16.3+7.1
Avg total164.6164.9164.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%71%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %7%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chemnitz1614288%87.274.6+12.6
2 Bayern1411379%88.176.4+11.7
3 Ulm1713476%93.488.0+5.4
4 Alba Berlin1410471%92.685.3+7.3
5 Vechta1611569%91.181.2+9.8
6 Wurzburg1611569%84.478.6+5.8
7 Ludwigsburg1610662%89.479.8+9.6
8 Hamburg1610662%88.489.1-0.7
9 Bonn1810856%90.085.2+4.8
10 Oldenburg178947%85.685.4+0.2
11 Basketball Braunschweig1871139%82.786.4-3.7
12 Rostock1661038%91.293.4-2.2
13 Bamberg1761135%86.990.4-3.5
14 Syntainics MBC1651131%83.488.2-4.8
15 Gottingen1541127%91.1100.7-9.7
16 Tubingen1741324%86.897.9-11.1
17 Heidelberg1631319%81.694.2-12.6
18 Crailsheim Merlins1731418%77.993.8-15.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Chemnitz2519161373
Bayern2315252386
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