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Alba Berlin vs Chemnitz Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 31 May 2024
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 86-64
27-17 21-23 21-12 17-12
Position#2
Record30-8
FormWWWWL
Points / game89.5
Allowed / game80.7
vs
Position#3
Record30-9
FormWLWWW
Points / game88.5
Allowed / game78.9
GermanyBBLBBL - Semi-finals· Uber Arena
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Alba Berlin v Chemnitz
18 Sep 2026
ABE89
CHE82
03 May 2026
ABE82
CHE84
20 Oct 2024
ABE78
CHE81
06 Jun 2024
ABE97
CHE84
31 May 2024
ABE86
CHE64
28 May 2024
ABE82
CHE95
31 Dec 2023
ABE101
CHE90
11 Mar 2023
ABE101
CHE91
19 Feb 2022
ABE91
CHE81
05 Dec 2021
ABE83
CHE62
07 Feb 2021
ABE83
CHE65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Chemnitz winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba BerlinGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
L
81-90
81
90
-9
70avg 78
A28/04
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
W
96-89
96
89
+7
98avg 78
H30/04
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
53-77
53
77
-24
36avg 78
A05/05
BBL
Bonn
#7
W
90-69
90
69
+21
92avg 78
H08/05
BBL
Bayern
#1
W
59-53
59
53
+6
53avg 78
H10/05
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
103-83
103
83
+20
115avg 78
A12/05
BBL
Bonn
#7
W
94-68
94
68
+26
104avg 78
H17/05
BBL
Bonn
#7
W
83-70
83
70
+13
82avg 78
H19/05
BBL
Bonn
#7
W
93-86
93
86
+7
89avg 78
A21/05
BBL
Chemnitz
#3
L
82-95
82
95
-13
71avg 78
H28/05
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-34
17-15
19-15
31-26
28-17
19-28
22-24
27-20
17-16
5-30
15-13
16-18
20-19
30-12
23-22
17-16
12-17
18-11
9-20
20-5
26-18
23-25
26-27
28-13
17-14
24-17
27-20
26-17
23-21
21-19
20-19
19-11
20-20
20-21
28-27
25-18
19-20
13-24
27-28
23-23
161.4Avg total
83.4Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)89.580.7170.2+8.879%
Season at home (20)92.378.7171.1+13.690%
Season away (18)86.382.9169.2+3.367%
Last 10 (10)83.478.0161.4+5.470%
Last 5 (5)91.080.4171.4+10.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)76.692.0168.6-15.40%
vs Similar ◀ (4)69.576.0145.5-6.550%
vs Weaker (18)90.877.9168.7+12.889%
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChemnitz
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
93-96
93
96
-3
80avg 83
A27/04
BBL
Vechta
#6
L
83-91
83
91
-8
75avg 83
H01/05
BBL
Hamburg
#10
W
85-79
85
79
+6
76avg 83
A04/05
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
82-68
82
68
+14
83avg 83
H08/05
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
W
79-66
79
66
+13
72avg 83
H12/05
BBL
Vechta
#6
W
83-77
83
77
+6
39avg 83
H17/05
BBL
Vechta
#6
L
87-96
87
96
-9
76avg 83
H19/05
BBL
Vechta
#6
W
84-76
84
76
+8
71avg 83
A21/05
BBL
Vechta
#6
W
84-67
84
67
+17
81avg 83
A23/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
W
95-82
95
82
+13
94avg 83
A28/05
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
20-30
20-29
29-16
20-29
25-26
14-11
24-25
22-22
22-17
23-20
18-20
22-20
28-17
13-19
19-12
14-18
24-6
19-18
22-24
19-16
23-18
24-13
17-30
18-15
17-27
28-27
24-27
17-24
29-17
23-19
15-16
27-14
17-12
16-23
24-18
20-19
24-13
28-27
23-23
165.3Avg total
85.5Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (39)88.578.9167.4+9.677%
Season at home (19)86.575.7162.2+10.879%
Season away (20)90.582.0172.4+8.575%
Last 10 (10)85.579.8165.3+5.770%
Last 5 (5)86.679.6166.2+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (11)85.383.9169.2+1.455%
vs Weaker (19)92.279.3171.5+12.979%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +6.5+6.5Q4: +0.4+0.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +6.5+6.5Q4: +0.4+0.4
Alba BerlinChemnitz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A28/04
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H30/04
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
22-46
22
46
-24
A05/05
BBL
Bonn
#7
W
50-31
50
31
+19
H08/05
BBL
Bayern
#1
W
30-28
30
28
+2
H10/05
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A12/05
BBL
Bonn
#7
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H17/05
BBL
Bonn
#7
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H19/05
BBL
Bonn
#7
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A21/05
BBL
Chemnitz
#3
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H28/05
BBL
78.4Avg total
38.6Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.840.681.4+0.260%-
Last 30 at home (18)42.940.283.2+2.772%-
Last 30 away (12)37.741.278.8-3.542%-
Last 10 (10)38.639.878.4-1.260%-
Last 5 (5)41.239.881.0+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)37.846.284.0-8.512%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)30.838.269.0-7.550%-
vs Weaker (18)44.438.683.1+5.883%-
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A27/04
BBL
Vechta
#6
L
45-55
45
55
-10
H01/05
BBL
Hamburg
#10
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A04/05
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H08/05
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
W
38-24
38
24
+14
H12/05
BBL
Vechta
#6
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H17/05
BBL
Vechta
#6
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H19/05
BBL
Vechta
#6
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A21/05
BBL
Vechta
#6
W
44-26
44
26
+18
A23/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A28/05
BBL
81.3Avg total
43.2Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.539.183.7+5.473%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.737.480.1+5.471%-
Last 30 away (16)46.140.786.8+5.475%-
Last 10 (10)43.238.181.3+5.170%-
Last 5 (5)42.235.077.2+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (11)43.739.182.8+4.664%-
vs Weaker (19)45.039.284.2+5.879%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.518.7
57.5%
54.6%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.39.3
34.1%
35.4%27.9
🏀 Free throws21.417.5
81.8%
76.0%17.5
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 84.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.520.9
57.3%
54.6%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.68.9
34.8%
35.4%26.7
🏀 Free throws22.516.0
71.1%
76.0%16.0
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alba Berlin
LWWWWWWLWL
Chemnitz
WWWLWWWWLL
#2
League position
#3
+8.2
Net rating
+7.7
113.0
Offensive rating
113.5
104.8
Defensive rating
105.8
54.6%
Effective FG%
55.2%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
50.7%
21.0%
Turnover %
19.0%
33.9%
Off. rebound %
33.7%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.36
34.1%
3-point %
34.8%
67.9%
Assist %
54.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence113.0 · 113.5Defence104.8 · 105.8Shooting54.6% · 55.2%3-point %34.1% · 34.8%Ball care21.0% · 19.0%Off. rebounds33.9% · 33.7%Free throws0.36 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Alba Berlin   ■ Chemnitz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Alba Berlin wins
2
Chemnitz wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/05/24HChemnitz82-95
21/05/24ABonn93-86
19/05/24HBonn83-70
17/05/24HBonn94-68
12/05/24ACrailsheim Merlins103-83
10/05/24HBayern59-53
08/05/24HBonn90-69
05/05/24ABayern53-77
30/04/24HHeidelberg96-89
28/04/24ABasketball Braunschweig81-90
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/05/24AAlba Berlin95-82
23/05/24AVechta84-67
21/05/24AVechta84-76
19/05/24HVechta87-96
17/05/24HVechta83-77
12/05/24HWurzburg79-66
08/05/24HBasketball Braunschweig82-68
04/05/24AHamburg85-79
01/05/24HVechta83-91
27/04/24ALudwigsburg93-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL79%
HomeWWWWL90%
AwayWLLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games382018
Win %79%90%67%
Points / game89.592.386.3
Allowed / game80.778.782.9
Point differential+8.8+13.7+3.3
Avg total170.2171.1169.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%65%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)-75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Chemnitz
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW77%
HomeLWWWL79%
AwayLWWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games391920
Win %77%79%75%
Points / game88.586.590.5
Allowed / game78.975.782.0
Point differential+9.6+10.8+8.4
Avg total167.4162.2172.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+49%58%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)50% (2)57% (7)
Overtime %3%0%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern3932782%87.776.2+11.5
2 Alba Berlin3830879%89.580.7+8.8
3 Chemnitz3930977%88.578.9+9.6
4 Wurzburg39271269%85.480.3+5.1
5 Ulm38251366%89.382.5+6.8
6 Vechta38221658%87.382.6+4.7
7 Bonn38211755%88.385.5+2.9
8 Oldenburg35181751%85.684.1+1.5
9 Ludwigsburg40202050%86.283.2+3.0
10 Hamburg36181850%85.686.2-0.6
11 Bamberg34151944%88.589.8-1.3
12 Basketball Braunschweig34151944%81.784.4-2.7
13 Syntainics MBC34112332%85.593.3-7.7
14 Gottingen34102429%85.392.6-7.3
15 Rostock3492526%86.793.1-6.3
16 Heidelberg3492526%82.993.4-10.5
17 Crailsheim Merlins3482624%81.292.6-11.3
18 Tubingen3462818%82.395.3-13.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alba Berlin2721211786
Chemnitz1723121264
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