PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Alba Berlin vs Chemnitz Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 28 May 2024
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 82-95
19-20 13-24 27-28 23-23
Position#2
Record30-7
FormWWWWW
Points / game89.7
Allowed / game80.3
Alba Berlin
Germany
vs
Chemnitz 🏆
Germany
Position#3
Record29-9
FormWWLWW
Points / game88.3
Allowed / game78.8
GermanyBBLBBL - Semi-finals· Max-Schmeling-Halle
Domestic2023-24Neutral venue
Meetings · Alba Berlin v Chemnitz
18 Sep 2026
ABE89
CHE82
03 May 2026
ABE82
CHE84
20 Oct 2024
ABE78
CHE81
06 Jun 2024
ABE97
CHE84
31 May 2024
ABE86
CHE64
28 May 2024
ABE82
CHE95
31 Dec 2023
ABE101
CHE90
11 Mar 2023
ABE101
CHE91
19 Feb 2022
ABE91
CHE81
05 Dec 2021
ABE83
CHE62
07 Feb 2021
ABE83
CHE65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Chemnitz winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba BerlinGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Rostock
#15
W
91-74
91
74
+17
90avg 79
H24/04
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
L
81-90
81
90
-9
70avg 79
A28/04
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
W
96-89
96
89
+7
98avg 79
H30/04
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
53-77
53
77
-24
36avg 79
A05/05
BBL
Bonn
#7
W
90-69
90
69
+21
92avg 79
H08/05
BBL
Bayern
#1
W
59-53
59
53
+6
53avg 79
H10/05
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
103-83
103
83
+20
115avg 79
A12/05
BBL
Bonn
#7
W
94-68
94
68
+26
104avg 79
H17/05
BBL
Bonn
#7
W
83-70
83
70
+13
82avg 79
H19/05
BBL
Bonn
#7
W
93-86
93
86
+7
89avg 79
A21/05
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
21-20
24-11
25-23
14-34
17-15
19-15
31-26
28-17
19-28
22-24
27-20
17-16
5-30
15-13
16-18
20-19
30-12
23-22
17-16
12-17
18-11
9-20
20-5
26-18
23-25
26-27
28-13
17-14
24-17
27-20
26-17
23-21
21-19
20-19
19-11
20-20
20-21
28-27
25-18
160.2Avg total
84.3Scored
75.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)89.780.3170.0+9.481%
Season at home (19)92.977.8170.7+15.195%
Season away (18)86.382.9169.2+3.367%
Last 10 (10)84.375.9160.2+8.480%
Last 5 (5)86.472.0158.4+14.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)76.692.0168.6-15.40%
vs Similar ◀ (4)73.574.5148.0-1.075%
vs Weaker (18)90.877.9168.7+12.889%
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChemnitz
Date
Competition
Bahcesehir Kol.
#4
L
95-105 OT
95
105
-10
80avg 83
A24/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
93-96
93
96
-3
80avg 83
A27/04
BBL
Vechta
#6
L
83-91
83
91
-8
75avg 83
H01/05
BBL
Hamburg
#10
W
85-79
85
79
+6
76avg 83
A04/05
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
82-68
82
68
+14
83avg 83
H08/05
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
W
79-66
79
66
+13
72avg 83
H12/05
BBL
Vechta
#6
W
83-77
83
77
+6
39avg 83
H17/05
BBL
Vechta
#6
L
87-96
87
96
-9
76avg 83
H19/05
BBL
Vechta
#6
W
84-76
84
76
+8
71avg 83
A21/05
BBL
Vechta
#6
W
84-67
84
67
+17
81avg 83
A23/05
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
19-37
29-12
17-28
24-21
20-30
20-29
29-16
20-29
25-26
14-11
24-25
22-22
22-17
23-20
18-20
22-20
28-17
13-19
19-12
14-18
24-6
19-18
22-24
19-16
23-18
24-13
17-30
18-15
17-27
28-27
24-27
17-24
29-17
23-19
15-16
27-14
17-12
16-23
24-18
167.6Avg total
85.5Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)88.378.8167.2+9.576%
Season at home (19)86.575.7162.2+10.879%
Season away (19)90.282.0172.2+8.274%
Last 10 (10)85.582.1167.6+3.460%
Last 5 (5)83.476.4159.8+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (11)83.384.3167.5-1.045%
vs Weaker (19)92.279.3171.5+12.979%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +6.7+6.7Q4: -0.7-0.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +6.7+6.7Q4: -0.7-0.7
Alba BerlinChemnitz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rostock
#15
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H24/04
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A28/04
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H30/04
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
22-46
22
46
-24
A05/05
BBL
Bonn
#7
W
50-31
50
31
+19
H08/05
BBL
Bayern
#1
W
30-28
30
28
+2
H10/05
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A12/05
BBL
Bonn
#7
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H17/05
BBL
Bonn
#7
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H19/05
BBL
Bonn
#7
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A21/05
BBL
79.0Avg total
39.6Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.240.581.7+0.763%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.640.083.6+3.676%-
Last 30 away (13)38.141.279.2-3.146%-
Last 10 (10)39.639.479.0+0.270%-
Last 5 (5)40.836.677.4+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)37.846.284.0-8.512%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)33.537.571.0-4.075%-
vs Weaker (18)44.438.683.1+5.883%-
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bahcesehir Kol.
#4
L
38-55
38
55
-17
A24/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A27/04
BBL
Vechta
#6
L
45-55
45
55
-10
H01/05
BBL
Hamburg
#10
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A04/05
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H08/05
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
W
38-24
38
24
+14
H12/05
BBL
Vechta
#6
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H17/05
BBL
Vechta
#6
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H19/05
BBL
Vechta
#6
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A21/05
BBL
Vechta
#6
W
44-26
44
26
+18
A23/05
BBL
83.0Avg total
42.6Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.539.383.9+5.273%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.837.480.2+5.473%-
Last 30 away (15)46.341.387.5+5.073%-
Last 10 (10)42.640.483.0+2.260%-
Last 5 (5)41.033.474.4+7.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (11)43.739.683.4+4.164%-
vs Weaker (19)45.039.284.2+5.879%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 83.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.419.5
58.4%
54.6%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.49.1
33.2%
35.4%27.3
🏀 Free throws21.017.4
82.9%
76.0%17.4
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 84.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.621.0
57.4%
54.6%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.38.6
34.0%
35.4%25.8
🏀 Free throws23.216.7
72.0%
76.0%16.7
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alba Berlin
WWWWWWLWLW
Chemnitz
WWLWWWWLLL
#2
League position
#3
+12.3
Net rating
+4.6
114.1
Offensive rating
113.9
101.8
Defensive rating
109.3
54.5%
Effective FG%
54.8%
50.0%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
20.5%
Turnover %
18.5%
35.1%
Off. rebound %
33.6%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.37
33.2%
3-point %
34.0%
69.9%
Assist %
50.3%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence114.1 · 113.9Defence101.8 · 109.3Shooting54.5% · 54.8%3-point %33.2% · 34.0%Ball care20.5% · 18.5%Off. rebounds35.1% · 33.6%Free throws0.35 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Alba Berlin   ■ Chemnitz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Alba Berlin wins
1
Chemnitz wins
DateGameScore
24/03/24Chemnitz v Alba Berlin79-84
31/12/23Alba Berlin v Chemnitz101-90
11/04/23Chemnitz v Alba Berlin70-76
11/03/23Alba Berlin v Chemnitz101-91
27/03/22Chemnitz v Alba Berlin81-64
19/02/22Alba Berlin v Chemnitz91-81
05/12/21Alba Berlin v Chemnitz83-62
09/05/21Chemnitz v Alba Berlin81-91
07/02/21Alba Berlin v Chemnitz83-65
Alba Berlinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/05/24ABonn93-86
19/05/24HBonn83-70
17/05/24HBonn94-68
12/05/24ACrailsheim Merlins103-83
10/05/24HBayern59-53
08/05/24HBonn90-69
05/05/24ABayern53-77
30/04/24HHeidelberg96-89
28/04/24ABasketball Braunschweig81-90
24/04/24HRostock91-74
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/05/24AVechta84-67
21/05/24AVechta84-76
19/05/24HVechta87-96
17/05/24HVechta83-77
12/05/24HWurzburg79-66
08/05/24HBasketball Braunschweig82-68
04/05/24AHamburg85-79
01/05/24HVechta83-91
27/04/24ALudwigsburg93-96
24/04/24ABahcesehir Kol.95-105 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW81%
HomeWWWWW95%
AwayWLLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371918
Win %81%95%67%
Points / game89.792.986.3
Allowed / game80.377.882.9
Point differential+9.4+15.1+3.3
Avg total170.0170.7169.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%68%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)-75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Chemnitz
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW76%
HomeLWWWL79%
AwayLLWWW74%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games381919
Win %76%79%74%
Points / game88.386.590.2
Allowed / game78.875.782.0
Point differential+9.5+10.8+8.2
Avg total167.2162.2172.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%58%37%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)50% (2)57% (7)
Overtime %3%0%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern3831782%87.676.2+11.4
2 Alba Berlin3730781%89.780.3+9.4
3 Chemnitz3829976%88.378.8+9.5
4 Wurzburg38271171%85.680.0+5.6
5 Ulm38251366%89.382.5+6.8
6 Vechta38221658%87.382.6+4.7
7 Bonn38211755%88.385.5+2.9
8 Oldenburg35181751%85.684.1+1.5
9 Ludwigsburg40202050%86.283.2+3.0
10 Hamburg36181850%85.686.2-0.6
11 Bamberg34151944%88.589.8-1.3
12 Basketball Braunschweig34151944%81.784.4-2.7
13 Syntainics MBC34112332%85.593.3-7.7
14 Gottingen34102429%85.392.6-7.3
15 Rostock3492526%86.793.1-6.3
16 Heidelberg3492526%82.993.4-10.5
17 Crailsheim Merlins3482624%81.292.6-11.3
18 Tubingen3462818%82.395.3-13.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alba Berlin1913272382
Chemnitz2024282395
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.