PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Ludwigsburg vs Chemnitz Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 69-65
14-15 20-20 19-13 16-17
Position#8
Record5-4
FormWLWWW
Points / game77.1
Allowed / game73.2
vs
Position#7
Record6-3
FormWLLWL
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game78.1
GermanyBBLRound 11· Arena Ludwigsburg
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Ludwigsburg v Chemnitz
17 Feb 2027
LUD v CHE
upcoming
01 Apr 2026
LUD87
CHE79
15 Dec 2024
LUD69
CHE65
27 Apr 2024
LUD96
CHE93
05 May 2023
LUD86
CHE79
05 Nov 2021
LUD74
CHE76
09 Mar 2021
LUD96
CHE60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ludwigsburg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Chemnitz winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LudwigsburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLudwigsburg
Date
Competition
Dijon
#5
W
80-77
80
77
+3
74avg 69
H23/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Bonn
#14
W
89-79
89
79
+10
77avg 69
A28/10
BBL
Caledonia Gladiators
#22
L
71-73
71
73
-2
58avg 69
A30/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Vechta
#10
L
77-79
77
79
-2
65avg 69
H02/11
BBL
Trepca
#40
W
87-54
87
54
+33
8avg 69
H05/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Dijon
#5
W
93-81
93
81
+12
85avg 69
A13/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Wurzburg
#5
L
82-91
82
91
-9
66avg 69
H17/11
BBL
Alba Berlin
#6
W
74-60
74
60
+14
58avg 69
A01/12
BBL
Anwil Wloclawek
#23
W
86-81
86
81
+5
71avg 69
H04/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Fribourg Olympic
#14
W
82-58
82
58
+24
72avg 69
H11/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-16
14-27
22-16
20-18
22-21
24-13
24-17
19-28
22-18
18-11
20-19
11-25
24-13
14-20
19-29
20-17
15-11
25-13
25-16
22-14
23-15
29-26
19-25
22-15
18-18
15-17
25-28
24-28
17-13
23-4
14-23
20-20
23-22
17-25
26-15
20-19
22-18
18-15
20-7
22-18
155.4Avg total
82.1Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)77.173.2150.3+3.956%
Season at home (5)79.673.2152.8+6.460%
Season away (4)74.073.2147.2+0.850%
Last 10 (10)82.173.3155.4+8.870%
Last 5 (5)83.474.2157.6+9.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)78.481.5159.9-3.138%
vs Similar (13)78.980.5159.5-1.654%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)82.868.5151.2+14.262%
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChemnitz
Date
Competition
Benfica
#30
W
103-75
103
75
+28
112avg 79
H16/10
Champions League
Alba Berlin
#6
W
81-78
81
78
+3
72avg 79
A20/10
BBL
Rostock
#12
W
68-60
68
60
+8
60avg 79
A27/10
BBL
Manresa
#9
L
59-105
59
105
-46
48avg 79
A30/10
Champions League
Gottingen
#17
W
96-88
96
88
+8
90avg 79
H03/11
BBL
Oldenburg
#9
W
87-78
87
78
+9
85avg 79
H10/11
BBL
Manresa
#9
L
78-89
78
89
-11
73avg 79
H12/11
Champions League
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
L
74-82
74
82
-8
60avg 79
A16/11
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
W
81-77
81
77
+4
86avg 79
H30/11
BBL
Tortona
#5
L
61-77
61
77
-16
51avg 79
H10/12
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-17
25-16
22-21
24-21
21-21
16-20
25-19
19-18
16-17
19-20
12-12
21-11
11-26
20-18
12-21
16-40
23-25
26-16
27-22
20-25
22-20
24-19
20-23
21-16
22-9
17-31
28-29
11-20
22-14
17-28
19-23
16-17
9-18
14-14
23-20
35-25
12-19
14-19
15-20
20-19
159.7Avg total
78.8Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)80.078.1158.1+1.967%
Season at home (5)87.682.0169.6+5.680%
Season away (4)70.573.2143.8-2.850%
Last 10 (10)78.880.9159.7-2.160%
Last 5 (5)76.280.6156.8-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)73.384.2157.6-10.922%
vs Similar (15)84.982.3167.3+2.660%
vs Weaker (5)87.079.4166.4+7.680%
This opponent (Ludwigsburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.5+4.5Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -0.9-0.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.5+4.5Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -0.9-0.9
LudwigsburgChemnitz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LudwigsburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dijon
#5
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H23/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Bonn
#14
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A28/10
BBL
Caledonia Gladiators
#22
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A30/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Vechta
#10
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H02/11
BBL
Trepca
#40
W
40-24
40
24
+16
H05/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Dijon
#5
W
52-41
52
41
+11
A13/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Wurzburg
#5
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H17/11
BBL
Alba Berlin
#6
W
40-17
40
17
+23
A01/12
BBL
Anwil Wloclawek
#23
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H04/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Fribourg Olympic
#14
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H11/12
FIBA Europe Cup
74.3Avg total
40.7Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.438.277.7+1.253%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.137.177.1+3.062%-
Last 30 away (14)38.739.678.3-0.943%-
Last 10 (10)40.733.674.3+7.170%-
Last 5 (5)41.034.675.6+6.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)39.441.681.0-2.238%-
vs Similar (13)39.138.877.9+0.246%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)39.633.873.4+5.975%-
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Benfica
#30
W
57-33
57
33
+24
H16/10
Champions League
Alba Berlin
#6
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A20/10
BBL
Rostock
#12
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A27/10
BBL
Manresa
#9
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A30/10
Champions League
Gottingen
#17
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H03/11
BBL
Oldenburg
#9
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H10/11
BBL
Manresa
#9
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H12/11
Champions League
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A16/11
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
L
23-32
23
32
-9
H30/11
BBL
Tortona
#5
L
26-38
26
38
-12
H10/12
Champions League
76.9Avg total
38.2Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.440.280.6+0.243%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.838.479.2+2.453%-
Last 30 away (15)40.041.981.9-1.933%-
Last 10 (10)38.238.776.9-0.530%-
Last 5 (5)34.638.272.8-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)33.740.874.4-7.10%-
vs Similar (15)43.340.383.5+3.060%-
vs Weaker (5)45.038.483.4+6.680%-
This opponent (Ludwigsburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ludwigsburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ludwigsburg: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.621.9
55.3%
52.3%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.07.0
26.9%
33.6%21.0
🏀 Free throws23.316.5
70.8%
73.5%16.5
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.518.6
55.5%
52.3%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.09.0
34.6%
33.6%27.0
🏀 Free throws18.413.8
75.0%
73.5%13.8
They take 59.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ludwigsburg
WWWLWWLLWW
Chemnitz
LWLLWWLWWW
#8
League position
#7
+12.2
Net rating
-2.8
110.3
Offensive rating
105.5
98.1
Defensive rating
108.3
49.4%
Effective FG%
53.9%
49.8%
Opp. effective FG%
51.8%
14.4%
Turnover %
21.2%
33.4%
Off. rebound %
29.8%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.31
26.9%
3-point %
34.6%
47.4%
Assist %
59.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence110.3 · 105.5Defence98.1 · 108.3Shooting49.4% · 53.9%3-point %26.9% · 34.6%Ball care14.4% · 21.2%Off. rebounds33.4% · 29.8%Free throws0.36 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Ludwigsburg   ■ Chemnitz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Ludwigsburg wins
4
Chemnitz wins
DateGameScore
27/04/24Ludwigsburg v Chemnitz96-93
06/01/24Chemnitz v Ludwigsburg85-66
05/05/23Ludwigsburg v Chemnitz86-79
08/01/23Chemnitz v Ludwigsburg89-80
12/02/22Chemnitz v Ludwigsburg74-56
05/11/21Ludwigsburg v Chemnitz74-76
09/03/21Ludwigsburg v Chemnitz96-60
22/12/20Chemnitz v Ludwigsburg91-114
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/24HFribourg Olympic82-58
04/12/24HAnwil Wloclawek86-81
01/12/24AAlba Berlin74-60
17/11/24HWurzburg82-91
13/11/24ADijon93-81
05/11/24HTrepca87-54
02/11/24HVechta77-79
30/10/24ACaledonia Gladiators71-73
28/10/24ABonn89-79
23/10/24HDijon80-77
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/24HTortona61-77
30/11/24HWurzburg81-77
16/11/24ABasketball Braunschweig74-82
12/11/24HManresa78-89
10/11/24HOldenburg87-78
03/11/24HGottingen96-88
30/10/24AManresa59-105
27/10/24ARostock68-60
20/10/24AAlba Berlin81-78
16/10/24HBenfica103-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ludwigsburg
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW56%
HomeWWWLL60%
AwayLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %56%60%50%
Points / game77.179.674.0
Allowed / game73.273.273.2
Point differential+3.9+6.4+0.8
Avg total150.3152.8147.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%20%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Chemnitz
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW67%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %67%80%50%
Points / game80.087.670.5
Allowed / game78.182.073.2
Point differential+1.9+5.6-2.8
Avg total158.1169.6143.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Heidelberg118373%82.178.6+3.5
2 Bayern107370%80.473.9+6.5
3 Ulm107370%83.077.5+5.5
4 Wurzburg96367%80.873.1+7.7
5 Chemnitz96367%80.078.1+1.9
6 Ludwigsburg95456%77.173.2+3.9
7 Syntainics MBC95456%85.884.0+1.8
8 Basketball Braunschweig95456%76.475.6+0.9
9 Oldenburg105550%87.286.0+1.2
10 Vechta105550%80.783.2-2.5
11 Bonn105550%82.185.0-2.9
12 Hamburg94544%81.680.9+0.7
13 Rostock104640%76.576.4+0.1
14 Alba Berlin93633%82.982.8+0.1
15 Bamberg93633%81.884.7-2.9
16 Frankfurt102820%77.684.3-6.7
17 Gottingen91811%79.098.6-19.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ludwigsburg1420191669
Chemnitz1520131765
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.