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Chemnitz vs Hamburg Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 03 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 102-78
22-28 20-16 32-17 28-17
Position#11
Record0-1
FormLWLLL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game94.0
vs
Position#14
Record0-1
FormLLLLL
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game93.0
GermanyBBLRound 2· Messe Chemnitz
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Chemnitz v Hamburg
25 Apr 2027
CHE v HAM
upcoming
03 Oct 2025
CHE102
HAM78
17 Jan 2025
CHE69
HAM60
24 Nov 2023
CHE96
HAM87
29 Apr 2023
CHE87
HAM80
24 Mar 2022
CHE85
HAM89
19 Apr 2021
CHE98
HAM97
30 Apr 2019
CHE72
HAM78
26 Apr 2019
CHE84
HAM63
20 Apr 2019
CHE87
HAM81
11 Nov 2018
CHE90
HAM79
02 Mar 2018
CHE75
HAM69
19 Feb 2017
CHE77
HAM66
19 Feb 2016
CHE77
HAM81
28 Mar 2015
CHE85
HAM58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chemnitz winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hamburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChemnitzGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChemnitz
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#8
W
104-100 OT
104
100
+4
102avg 74
H01/05
BBL
Rostock
#12
W
108-102 OT
108
102
+6
98avg 74
H04/05
BBL
Hamburg
#13
W
93-88
93
88
+5
87avg 74
A07/05
BBL
Oldenburg
#9
L
94-104
94
104
-10
86avg 74
A11/05
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
L
90-93
90
93
-3
74avg 74
H17/05
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
L
70-74
70
74
-4
62avg 74
A20/05
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
W
97-88
97
88
+9
96avg 74
H25/05
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
L
64-92
64
92
-28
48avg 74
A27/05
BBL
Ulm
#6
L
81-94
81
94
-13
67avg 74
A28/09
BBL
Panionios
#19
L
86-89 OT
86
89
-3
79avg 74
A01/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
13-25
26-25
32-19
18-21
29-25
23-16
24-32
12-29
23-21
24-22
34-16
21-34
30-27
22-20
21-23
20-29
24-17
24-27
22-20
15-19
18-17
18-20
19-18
23-21
36-19
14-24
24-24
23-26
18-22
7-19
16-25
27-27
11-15
26-26
17-26
13-30
32-19
21-8
11-20
181.1Avg total
88.7Scored
92.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)81.094.0175.0-13.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)81.094.0175.0-13.00%
Last 10 (10)88.792.4181.1-3.740%
Last 5 (5)79.687.4167.0-7.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)85.395.6180.9-10.222%
vs Similar ◀ (17)83.487.5170.8-4.147%
vs Weaker (4)83.877.5161.2+6.275%
This opponent (Hamburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HamburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHamburg
Date
Competition
Gottingen
#17
W
92-75
92
75
+17
92avg 71
A09/04
BBL
Bayern
#1
W
74-70
74
70
+4
66avg 71
H20/04
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#8
L
78-89
78
89
-11
78avg 71
A26/04
BBL
Bamberg
#15
L
93-114
93
114
-21
83avg 71
H30/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#11
L
81-102
81
102
-21
72avg 71
A03/05
BBL
Chemnitz
#7
L
88-93
88
93
-5
76avg 71
H07/05
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
64-79
64
79
-15
54avg 71
H11/05
BBL
Bamberg
#1
L
89-94
89
94
-5
81avg 71
H24/09
German Cup
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
85-93
85
93
-8
74avg 71
H28/09
BBL
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
L
85-100
85
100
-15
68avg 71
H30/09
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
27-23
23-12
22-22
17-17
13-15
24-10
20-28
25-27
19-27
23-20
11-15
30-28
19-31
27-26
17-29
19-27
18-30
22-21
22-24
29-12
21-23
22-24
16-34
21-25
16-21
10-19
17-14
16-25
22-20
27-17
24-32
11-21
26-19
20-22
28-31
26-32
24-21
18-21
17-26
173.8Avg total
82.9Scored
90.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)85.093.0178.0-8.00%
Season at home (1)85.093.0178.0-8.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)82.990.9173.8-8.020%
Last 5 (5)82.291.8174.0-9.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)77.085.6162.6-8.620%
vs Similar ◀ (16)83.186.1169.2-3.056%
vs Weaker (3)89.078.3167.3+10.7100%
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.6-6.6Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -6.1-6.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.6-6.6Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -6.1-6.1
ChemnitzHamburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#8
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H01/05
BBL
Rostock
#12
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H04/05
BBL
Hamburg
#13
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A07/05
BBL
Oldenburg
#9
L
51-61
51
61
-10
A11/05
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H17/05
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A20/05
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
W
59-40
59
40
+19
H25/05
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A27/05
BBL
Ulm
#6
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A28/09
BBL
Panionios
#19
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A01/10
Eurocup
88.9Avg total
42.5Scored
46.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.544.285.7-2.743%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.343.585.8-1.257%-
Last 30 away (16)40.944.885.7-3.931%-
Last 10 (10)42.546.488.9-3.920%-
Last 5 (5)43.243.086.2+0.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)38.646.184.7-7.633%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)42.844.286.9-1.453%-
vs Weaker (4)43.040.083.0+3.025%-
This opponent (Hamburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HamburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gottingen
#17
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A09/04
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H20/04
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#8
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A26/04
BBL
Bamberg
#15
L
49-59
49
59
-10
H30/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#11
L
37-57
37
57
-20
A03/05
BBL
Chemnitz
#7
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H07/05
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H11/05
BBL
Bamberg
#1
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H24/09
German Cup
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H28/09
BBL
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
L
50-53
50
53
-3
H30/09
Eurocup
88.1Avg total
41.9Scored
46.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.843.383.1-3.523%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.543.084.5-1.524%-
Last 30 away (13)37.543.781.2-6.223%-
Last 10 (10)41.946.288.1-4.320%-
Last 5 (5)42.443.886.2-1.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)37.945.783.6-7.810%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)40.442.983.3-2.425%-
vs Weaker (3)43.037.080.0+6.067%-
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 87.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.220.1
57.1%
53.8%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.910.3
34.4%
34.0%30.9
🏀 Free throws22.116.6
75.1%
73.5%16.6
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hamburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hamburg: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.218.6
54.4%
53.8%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.69.5
33.2%
34.0%28.5
🏀 Free throws24.416.8
68.9%
73.5%16.8
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chemnitz
LLLWLLLWWW
Hamburg
LLLLLLLLWW
#11
League position
#14
-4.8
Net rating
-9.1
108.3
Offensive rating
104.6
113.1
Defensive rating
113.8
54.6%
Effective FG%
52.3%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
55.9%
18.6%
Turnover %
19.2%
25.4%
Off. rebound %
27.6%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.39
34.4%
3-point %
33.2%
58.2%
Assist %
62.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence108.3 · 104.6Defence113.1 · 113.8Shooting54.6% · 52.3%3-point %34.4% · 33.2%Ball care18.6% · 19.2%Off. rebounds25.4% · 27.6%Free throws0.34 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Chemnitz   ■ Hamburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Chemnitz wins
1
Hamburg wins
DateGameScore
07/05/25Hamburg v Chemnitz88-93
17/01/25Chemnitz v Hamburg69-60
04/05/24Hamburg v Chemnitz79-85
24/11/23Chemnitz v Hamburg96-87
29/04/23Chemnitz v Hamburg87-80
11/12/22Hamburg v Chemnitz81-104
24/03/22Chemnitz v Hamburg85-89
29/09/21Hamburg v Chemnitz82-90
19/04/21Chemnitz v Hamburg98-97
27/12/20Hamburg v Chemnitz75-95
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/10/25APanionios86-89 OT
28/09/25AUlm81-94
27/05/25AHeidelberg64-92
25/05/25HHeidelberg97-88
20/05/25AHeidelberg70-74
17/05/25HHeidelberg90-93
11/05/25AOldenburg94-104
07/05/25AHamburg93-88
04/05/25HRostock108-102 OT
01/05/25HLudwigsburg104-100 OT
Hamburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/09/25HHapoel Jerusalem85-100
28/09/25HSyntainics MBC85-93
24/09/25HBamberg89-94
11/05/25HUlm64-79
07/05/25HChemnitz88-93
03/05/25ASyntainics MBC81-102
30/04/25HBamberg93-114
26/04/25ALudwigsburg78-89
20/04/25HBayern74-70
09/04/25AGottingen92-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chemnitz
BBL 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game81.0-81.0
Allowed / game94.0-94.0
Point differential-13.0--13.0
Avg total175.0-175.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Hamburg
BBL 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game85.085.0-
Allowed / game93.093.0-
Point differential-8.0-8.0-
Avg total178.0178.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bamberg110100%98.075.0+23.0
2 Bayern110100%93.077.0+16.0
3 Frankfurt110100%89.075.0+14.0
4 Wurzburg220100%82.070.5+11.5
5 Trier110100%88.078.0+10.0
6 Ulm220100%93.583.5+10.0
7 Vechta110100%86.076.0+10.0
8 Syntainics MBC220100%88.581.0+7.5
9 Jena21150%82.088.0-6.0
10 Heidelberg2020%79.586.5-7.0
11 Hamburg1010%85.093.0-8.0
12 Bonn2020%69.078.0-9.0
13 Rostock1010%78.088.0-10.0
14 Oldenburg2020%80.591.0-10.5
15 Chemnitz1010%81.094.0-13.0
16 Basketball Braunschweig2020%77.595.0-17.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Chemnitz22203228102
Hamburg2816171778
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