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Chemnitz vs Hamburg Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 25 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 13:00
Scheduled
Position#16
Record2-6
FormWWLLL
Points / game87.1
Allowed / game90.0
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.6/10
Above normal
4.8/10
Around normal
Position#15
Record3-6
FormLLLWW
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game90.8
GermanyBBLRound 31· Messe Chemnitz
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Chemnitz v Hamburg
25 Apr 2027
CHE v HAM
upcoming
03 Oct 2025
CHE102
HAM78
17 Jan 2025
CHE69
HAM60
24 Nov 2023
CHE96
HAM87
29 Apr 2023
CHE87
HAM80
24 Mar 2022
CHE85
HAM89
19 Apr 2021
CHE98
HAM97
30 Apr 2019
CHE72
HAM78
26 Apr 2019
CHE84
HAM63
20 Apr 2019
CHE87
HAM81
11 Nov 2018
CHE90
HAM79
02 Mar 2018
CHE75
HAM69
19 Feb 2017
CHE77
HAM66
19 Feb 2016
CHE77
HAM81
28 Mar 2015
CHE85
HAM58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chemnitz win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Hamburg win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChemnitzGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChemnitz
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#26
W
93-84
93
84
+9
88avg 77
H07/10
Eurocup
Bayern
#1
L
83-87
83
87
-4
77avg 77
H10/10
BBL
Trento
#27
W
88-80
88
80
+8
75avg 77
A13/10
Eurocup
Slask Wroclaw
#31
W
95-67
95
67
+28
88avg 77
H21/10
Eurocup
Wurzburg
#9
L
88-98
88
98
-10
87avg 77
A26/10
BBL
JL Bourg
#24
W
96-77
96
77
+19
92avg 77
H28/10
Eurocup
Ludwigsburg
#7
W
94-78
94
78
+16
no box
H31/10
BBL
Buducnost
#10
L
84-96
84
96
-12
no box
A03/11
Eurocup
Vechta
#13
L
90-99
90
99
-9
no box
A07/11
BBL
Basket Napoli
#2
L
90-112
90
112
-22
no box
H11/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-15
26-24
18-27
18-18
25-21
25-24
12-22
21-20
19-17
18-17
18-24
33-22
20-21
26-19
24-20
25-7
17-27
25-23
15-27
31-21
25-19
21-13
29-17
21-28
18-23
25-25
24-10
27-20
22-23
22-26
22-24
18-23
24-27
26-18
14-33
26-21
22-24
19-35
28-20
21-33
177.9Avg total
90.1Scored
87.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)87.190.0177.1-2.925%
Season at home (3)90.386.0176.3+4.367%
Season away (5)85.292.4177.6-7.20%
Last 10 (10)90.187.8177.9+2.350%
Last 5 (5)90.892.4183.2-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)76.583.5160.0-7.030%
vs Similar (10)84.287.1171.3-2.930%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)89.785.0174.7+4.770%
This opponent (Hamburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HamburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHamburg
Date
Competition
Rostock
#8
L
71-103
71
103
-32
33avg 63
A10/05
BBL
Bonn
#4
L
72-96
72
96
-24
63avg 63
A19/09
BBL
Chemnitz
#16
W
94-90 OT
94
90
+4
76avg 63
H25/09
BBL
Oldenburg
#12
L
74-75
74
75
-1
66avg 63
A27/09
BBL
Rostock
#6
L
84-91
84
91
-7
71avg 63
H03/10
BBL
Frankfurt
#5
L
78-89
78
89
-11
63avg 63
A11/10
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
77-96
77
96
-19
60avg 63
A25/10
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#3
L
89-109
89
109
-20
78avg 63
H01/11
BBL
Jena
#18
W
91-87
91
87
+4
no box
A09/11
BBL
Wurzburg
#9
W
91-84
91
84
+7
no box
H14/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-27
20-28
17-31
21-17
15-25
19-20
20-29
18-22
22-22
20-21
15-17
26-23
19-8
27-15
12-28
16-24
13-21
19-25
19-21
33-24
24-27
19-15
19-26
16-21
23-27
18-15
12-29
24-25
24-25
25-29
14-27
26-28
32-18
21-28
22-22
16-19
24-17
33-23
24-16
10-28
174.1Avg total
82.1Scored
92.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)83.390.8174.1-7.433%
Season at home (4)89.593.5183.0-4.050%
Season away (5)78.488.6167.0-10.220%
Last 10 (10)82.192.0174.1-9.930%
Last 5 (5)85.293.0178.2-7.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)82.792.0174.7-9.328%
vs Similar (8)88.182.4170.5+5.850%
vs Weaker (4)88.590.0178.5-1.550%
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -7.2-7.2Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -2.5-2.5
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -7.2-7.2Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -2.5-2.5
ChemnitzHamburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#26
W
57-39
57
39
+18
H07/10
Eurocup
Bayern
#1
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H10/10
BBL
Trento
#27
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A13/10
Eurocup
Slask Wroclaw
#31
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H21/10
Eurocup
Wurzburg
#9
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A26/10
BBL
JL Bourg
#24
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H28/10
Eurocup
Ludwigsburg
#7
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H31/10
BBL
Buducnost
#10
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A03/11
Eurocup
Vechta
#13
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A07/11
BBL
Basket Napoli
#2
L
41-59
41
59
-18
H11/11
Eurocup
89.7Avg total
45.6Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.541.584.0+1.150%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.939.784.6+5.264%-
Last 30 away (16)40.443.083.4-2.638%-
Last 10 (10)45.644.189.7+1.560%-
Last 5 (5)44.846.691.4-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)41.343.084.3-1.740%-
vs Similar (10)43.741.585.2+2.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)42.639.982.5+2.760%-
This opponent (Hamburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HamburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rostock
#8
L
33-55
33
55
-22
A10/05
BBL
Bonn
#4
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A19/09
BBL
Chemnitz
#16
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H25/09
BBL
Oldenburg
#12
W
46-23
46
23
+23
A27/09
BBL
Rostock
#6
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H03/10
BBL
Frankfurt
#5
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A11/10
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A25/10
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#3
L
49-54
49
54
-5
H01/11
BBL
Jena
#18
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A09/11
BBL
Wurzburg
#9
W
57-40
57
40
+17
H14/11
BBL
86.6Avg total
43.0Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.945.488.3-2.537%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.846.590.3-2.740%-
Last 30 away (15)42.044.386.3-2.333%-
Last 10 (10)43.043.686.6-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)48.644.893.4+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)40.645.686.1-5.028%-
vs Similar (8)46.043.189.1+2.950%-
vs Weaker (4)47.249.096.2-1.850%-
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 87.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.321.8
55.5%
55.6%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.09.5
31.7%
33.7%28.5
🏀 Free throws19.314.9
77.2%
73.4%14.9
They take 69.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hamburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hamburg: 74.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.017.1
50.3%
55.6%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.28.8
28.2%
33.7%26.4
🏀 Free throws19.814.3
72.2%
73.4%14.3
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chemnitz
LLLWWLWWLW
Hamburg
WWLLLLLWLL
#16
League position
#15
+4.0
Net rating
-16.1
94.5
Offensive rating
86.6
90.5
Defensive rating
102.7
52.0%
Effective FG%
46.5%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
56.7%
16.6%
Turnover %
14.6%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.30
31.7%
3-point %
28.2%
60.4%
Assist %
55.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence94.5 · 86.6Defence90.5 · 102.7Shooting52.0% · 46.5%3-point %31.7% · 28.2%Ball care16.6% · 14.6%Free throws0.28 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Chemnitz   ■ Hamburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Chemnitz wins
3
Hamburg wins
DateGameScore
25/09/26Hamburg v Chemnitz94-90 OT
31/01/26Hamburg v Chemnitz86-69
03/10/25Chemnitz v Hamburg102-78
07/05/25Hamburg v Chemnitz88-93
17/01/25Chemnitz v Hamburg69-60
04/05/24Hamburg v Chemnitz79-85
24/11/23Chemnitz v Hamburg96-87
29/04/23Chemnitz v Hamburg87-80
11/12/22Hamburg v Chemnitz81-104
24/03/22Chemnitz v Hamburg85-89
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HBasket Napoli90-112
07/11/26AVechta90-99
03/11/26ABuducnost84-96
31/10/26HLudwigsburg94-78
28/10/26HJL Bourg96-77
26/10/26AWurzburg88-98
21/10/26HSlask Wroclaw95-67
13/10/26ATrento88-80
10/10/26HBayern83-87
07/10/26HNeptunas93-84
Hamburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HWurzburg91-84
09/11/26AJena91-87
01/11/26HSyntainics MBC89-109
25/10/26ABayern77-96
11/10/26AFrankfurt78-89
03/10/26HRostock84-91
27/09/26AOldenburg74-75
25/09/26HChemnitz94-90 OT
19/09/26ABonn72-96
10/05/26ARostock71-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chemnitz
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL25%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %25%67%0%
Points / game87.190.385.2
Allowed / game90.086.092.4
Point differential-2.9+4.3-7.2
Avg total177.1176.3177.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %25%33%20%
Hamburg
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW33%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %33%50%20%
Points / game83.389.578.4
Allowed / game90.893.588.6
Point differential-7.4-4.0-10.2
Avg total174.1183.0167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %11%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern87188%96.070.1+25.9
2 Trier76186%98.486.1+12.3
3 Syntainics MBC86275%86.680.1+6.5
4 Bonn96367%87.781.2+6.4
5 Frankfurt64267%87.383.3+4.0
6 Rostock85362%89.882.4+7.4
7 Ludwigsburg95456%86.185.2+0.9
8 Alba Berlin95456%87.286.6+0.7
9 Wurzburg84450%81.883.2-1.5
10 Bamberg94544%85.185.7-0.6
11 Ulm94544%84.185.4-1.3
12 Oldenburg94544%74.783.4-8.8
13 Vechta83538%86.290.8-4.5
14 Basketball Braunschweig83538%86.096.5-10.5
15 Hamburg93633%83.390.8-7.4
16 Chemnitz82625%87.190.0-2.9
17 Phoenix Hagen92722%83.492.0-8.6
18 Jena92722%77.989.6-11.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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