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Chemnitz vs Ulm Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 13 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 17:30
Scheduled
Position#14
Record2-5
FormWLWWL
Points / game86.7
Allowed / game88.7
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.5/10
Above normal
5.7/10
Above normal
Position#10
Record3-4
FormLLWWL
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game84.9
GermanyBBLRound 21· Messe Chemnitz
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Chemnitz v Ulm
13 Feb 2027
CHE v ULM
upcoming
15 Apr 2026
CHE79
ULM66
29 Oct 2025
CHE89
ULM78
22 Sep 2024
CHE86
ULM90
02 Mar 2024
CHE83
ULM82
09 Dec 2023
CHE78
ULM87
21 Apr 2023
CHE92
ULM86
24 Oct 2021
CHE78
ULM81
02 Oct 2021
CHE87
ULM85
02 May 2021
CHE70
ULM85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chemnitz win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Ulm win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChemnitzGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChemnitz
Date
Competition
Tofas
#5
L
69-82
69
82
-13
56avg 75
A29/09
Eurocup
Jena
#17
L
76-82
76
82
-6
66avg 75
A04/10
BBL
Neptunas
#29
W
93-84
93
84
+9
88avg 75
H07/10
Eurocup
Bayern
#1
L
83-87
83
87
-4
77avg 75
H10/10
BBL
Trento
#26
W
88-80
88
80
+8
75avg 75
A13/10
Eurocup
Slask Wroclaw
#31
W
95-67
95
67
+28
88avg 75
H21/10
Eurocup
Wurzburg
#5
L
88-98
88
98
-10
87avg 75
A26/10
BBL
JL Bourg
#24
W
96-77
96
77
+19
92avg 75
H28/10
Eurocup
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
94-78
94
78
+16
no box
H31/10
BBL
Buducnost
#12
L
84-96
84
96
-12
no box
A03/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-22
15-24
23-14
16-22
19-21
19-19
16-22
22-20
31-15
26-24
18-27
18-18
25-21
25-24
12-22
21-20
19-17
18-17
18-24
33-22
20-21
26-19
24-20
25-7
17-27
25-23
15-27
31-21
25-19
21-13
29-17
21-28
18-23
25-25
24-10
27-20
22-23
22-26
22-24
18-23
169.7Avg total
86.6Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)86.788.7175.4-2.029%
Season at home (3)90.386.0176.3+4.367%
Season away (4)84.090.8174.8-6.80%
Last 10 (10)86.683.1169.7+3.550%
Last 5 (5)91.483.2174.6+8.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)75.681.8157.4-6.230%
vs Similar ◀ (11)84.786.3171.0-1.545%
vs Weaker (9)89.284.1173.3+5.167%
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Balkan
#32
W
98-84
98
84
+14
92avg 78
H30/09
Eurocup
Syntainics MBC
#4
L
72-89
72
89
-17
53avg 78
A03/10
BBL
Manresa
#8
L
89-101
89
101
-12
83avg 78
A07/10
Eurocup
Vechta
#16
L
92-97 OT
92
97
-5
84avg 78
A10/10
BBL
KK Bosna
#22
W
102-93
102
93
+9
96avg 78
H14/10
Eurocup
PAOK
#9
L
78-87
78
87
-9
65avg 78
A21/10
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#11
L
82-98
82
98
-16
76avg 78
A25/10
BBL
Lietkabelis
#17
W
86-68
86
68
+18
84avg 78
A27/10
Eurocup
Oldenburg
#12
W
81-65
81
65
+16
77avg 78
H31/10
BBL
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
L
82-96
82
96
-14
no box
H03/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-17
23-22
21-20
23-25
24-20
17-18
16-23
15-28
24-31
21-31
24-20
20-19
20-20
27-13
14-26
23-25
26-26
26-23
26-16
24-28
20-19
22-27
13-13
23-28
18-23
25-22
16-23
23-30
22-25
28-17
17-9
19-17
18-20
26-12
16-20
21-13
19-19
17-35
24-14
22-28
174.0Avg total
86.2Scored
87.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)81.984.9166.7-3.043%
Season at home (3)78.077.3155.3+0.767%
Season away (4)84.890.5175.2-5.825%
Last 10 (10)86.287.8174.0-1.640%
Last 5 (5)81.882.8164.6-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)73.791.7165.3-18.00%
vs Similar ◀ (16)84.386.6170.9-2.338%
vs Weaker (11)88.877.5166.4+11.373%
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: -2.8-2.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: -2.8-2.8
ChemnitzUlm
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tofas
#5
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A29/09
Eurocup
Jena
#17
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A04/10
BBL
Neptunas
#29
W
57-39
57
39
+18
H07/10
Eurocup
Bayern
#1
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H10/10
BBL
Trento
#26
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A13/10
Eurocup
Slask Wroclaw
#31
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H21/10
Eurocup
Wurzburg
#5
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A26/10
BBL
JL Bourg
#24
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H28/10
Eurocup
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H31/10
BBL
Buducnost
#12
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A03/11
Eurocup
85.6Avg total
43.3Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.440.582.9+1.853%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.238.283.5+7.069%-
Last 30 away (17)40.242.382.5-2.141%-
Last 10 (10)43.342.385.6+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)44.243.888.0+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)42.040.982.9+1.150%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)42.241.483.5+0.845%-
vs Weaker (9)43.039.182.1+3.967%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Balkan
#32
W
54-39
54
39
+15
H30/09
Eurocup
Syntainics MBC
#4
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A03/10
BBL
Manresa
#8
L
45-62
45
62
-17
A07/10
Eurocup
Vechta
#16
W
47-33
47
33
+14
A10/10
BBL
KK Bosna
#22
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H14/10
Eurocup
PAOK
#9
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A21/10
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#11
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A25/10
BBL
Lietkabelis
#17
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A27/10
Eurocup
Oldenburg
#12
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H31/10
BBL
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
L
36-54
36
54
-18
H03/11
Eurocup
89.4Avg total
45.4Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.741.085.7+3.767%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.140.986.0+4.367%-
Last 30 away (15)44.341.185.5+3.267%-
Last 10 (10)45.444.089.4+1.460%-
Last 5 (5)43.043.886.8-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)36.744.381.0-7.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)43.442.285.7+1.256%-
vs Weaker (11)48.838.387.1+10.591%-
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 87.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.321.8
55.5%
55.7%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.09.5
31.7%
33.4%28.5
🏀 Free throws19.314.9
77.2%
73.7%14.9
They take 69.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 84.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.923.1
56.5%
55.7%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.98.2
34.3%
33.4%24.6
🏀 Free throws19.913.9
69.8%
73.7%13.9
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chemnitz
LWWLWWLWLL
Ulm
LWWLLWLLLW
#14
League position
#10
+4.0
Net rating
-2.8
94.5
Offensive rating
93.5
90.5
Defensive rating
96.3
52.0%
Effective FG%
54.6%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.0%
16.6%
Turnover %
17.0%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.31
31.7%
3-point %
34.3%
60.4%
Assist %
59.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence94.5 · 93.5Defence90.5 · 96.3Shooting52.0% · 54.6%3-point %31.7% · 34.3%Ball care16.6% · 17.0%Free throws0.28 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Chemnitz   ■ Ulm
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Chemnitz wins
6
Ulm wins
DateGameScore
15/04/26Chemnitz v Ulm79-66
14/01/26Ulm v Chemnitz88-76
29/10/25Chemnitz v Ulm89-78
28/09/25Ulm v Chemnitz94-81
06/04/25Ulm v Chemnitz117-87
22/09/24Chemnitz v Ulm86-90
02/03/24Chemnitz v Ulm83-82
09/12/23Chemnitz v Ulm78-87
27/09/23Ulm v Chemnitz90-85
21/04/23Chemnitz v Ulm92-86
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/26ABuducnost84-96
31/10/26HLudwigsburg94-78
28/10/26HJL Bourg96-77
26/10/26AWurzburg88-98
21/10/26HSlask Wroclaw95-67
13/10/26ATrento88-80
10/10/26HBayern83-87
07/10/26HNeptunas93-84
04/10/26AJena76-82
29/09/26ATofas69-82
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/26HBahcesehir Kol.82-96
31/10/26HOldenburg81-65
27/10/26ALietkabelis86-68
25/10/26AAlba Berlin82-98
21/10/26APAOK78-87
14/10/26HKK Bosna102-93
10/10/26AVechta92-97 OT
07/10/26AManresa89-101
03/10/26ASyntainics MBC72-89
30/09/26HBalkan98-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chemnitz
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW29%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %29%67%0%
Points / game86.790.384.0
Allowed / game88.786.090.8
Point differential-2.0+4.3-6.8
Avg total175.4176.3174.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %29%33%25%
Ulm
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW43%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%67%25%
Points / game81.978.084.8
Allowed / game84.977.390.5
Point differential-3.0+0.7-5.8
Avg total166.7155.3175.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %14%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern76186%96.369.7+26.6
2 Trier65183%99.587.3+12.2
3 Frankfurt54180%90.284.6+5.6
4 Syntainics MBC75271%88.081.1+6.9
5 Wurzburg64267%82.880.2+2.7
6 Rostock74357%88.781.7+7.0
7 Bonn74357%86.781.9+4.9
8 Bamberg74357%88.084.9+3.1
9 Ludwigsburg74357%87.187.7-0.6
10 Ulm73443%81.984.9-3.0
11 Alba Berlin73443%84.090.0-6.0
12 Oldenburg73443%74.483.4-9.0
13 Basketball Braunschweig73443%85.996.4-10.6
14 Chemnitz72529%86.788.7-2.0
15 Phoenix Hagen72529%85.790.4-4.7
16 Vechta72529%84.490.9-6.4
17 Jena72529%76.688.3-11.7
18 Hamburg71614%81.192.3-11.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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