PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Chemnitz vs Ulm Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 15 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 79-66
20-14 21-20 16-13 22-19
Position#11
Record12-16
FormLWLLL
Points / game84.4
Allowed / game86.3
vs
Position#6
Record16-12
FormWLWLL
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game78.4
GermanyBBLRound 23· Messe Chemnitz
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Chemnitz v Ulm
13 Feb 2027
CHE v ULM
upcoming
15 Apr 2026
CHE79
ULM66
29 Oct 2025
CHE89
ULM78
22 Sep 2024
CHE86
ULM90
02 Mar 2024
CHE83
ULM82
09 Dec 2023
CHE78
ULM87
21 Apr 2023
CHE92
ULM86
24 Oct 2021
CHE78
ULM81
02 Oct 2021
CHE87
ULM85
02 May 2021
CHE70
ULM85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chemnitz winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ulm winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChemnitzGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChemnitz
Date
Competition
Trier
#12
W
105-100
105
100
+5
94avg 77
A15/02
BBL
Heidelberg
#18
W
99-96 OT
99
96
+3
87avg 77
H18/02
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
L
69-81
69
81
-12
52avg 77
A06/03
BBL
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
65-73
65
73
-8
60avg 77
A11/03
Eurocup
Rostock
#8
W
78-73
78
73
+5
68avg 77
A15/03
BBL
Vechta
#7
L
78-80
78
80
-2
66avg 77
A21/03
BBL
Oldenburg
#10
W
95-85
95
85
+10
97avg 77
H28/03
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
79-87
79
87
-8
56avg 77
A01/04
BBL
Bonn
#4
L
75-76
75
76
-1
67avg 77
H04/04
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
77-91
77
91
-14
70avg 77
A12/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-22
22-20
26-32
29-26
16-18
18-16
19-21
21-19
15-19
19-20
19-24
16-18
15-16
24-20
7-18
19-19
14-20
19-17
19-18
26-18
20-21
22-24
22-16
14-19
19-19
34-16
26-30
16-20
24-23
16-24
15-24
24-16
17-14
25-16
13-20
20-26
28-26
17-20
13-19
19-26
166.2Avg total
82.0Scored
84.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)84.486.3170.7-2.043%
Season at home (13)88.385.2173.5+3.262%
Season away (15)80.987.3168.3-6.427%
Last 10 (10)82.084.2166.2-2.240%
Last 5 (5)80.883.8164.6-3.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)79.385.9165.2-6.636%
vs Similar (14)82.184.4166.4-2.343%
vs Weaker (5)82.280.2162.4+2.080%
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Trento
#8
L
68-76
68
76
-8
51avg 75
A10/02
Eurocup
Vechta
#7
L
73-85
73
85
-12
55avg 75
A14/02
BBL
Oldenburg
#10
W
101-72
101
72
+29
107avg 75
H18/02
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
93-76
93
76
+17
91avg 75
H06/03
BBL
Jena
#16
W
93-90
93
90
+3
83avg 75
H14/03
BBL
Bonn
#4
W
84-77
84
77
+7
82avg 75
H23/03
BBL
Heidelberg
#18
L
90-93
90
93
-3
89avg 75
A29/03
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
104-81
104
81
+23
106avg 75
H01/04
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#17
L
67-77
67
77
-10
56avg 75
A04/04
BBL
Bamberg
#2
L
73-89
73
89
-16
65avg 75
H11/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
15-23
16-13
16-21
12-22
18-17
17-20
26-26
31-8
21-24
25-23
24-17
22-24
32-15
17-16
22-21
29-24
30-28
20-18
14-20
19-20
20-20
19-21
26-16
24-20
23-23
22-26
21-24
19-25
31-16
29-20
25-20
16-14
24-24
14-16
13-23
23-16
18-24
16-19
16-30
166.2Avg total
84.6Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)83.278.4161.6+4.957%
Season at home (15)84.176.2160.3+7.973%
Season away (13)82.280.9163.2+1.338%
Last 10 (10)84.681.6166.2+3.050%
Last 5 (5)83.683.4167.0+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)75.987.2163.1-11.425%
vs Similar (9)77.677.4155.0+0.167%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)88.578.2166.8+10.362%
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -1.5-1.5
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -1.5-1.5
ChemnitzUlm
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trier
#12
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A15/02
BBL
Heidelberg
#18
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H18/02
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A06/03
BBL
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A11/03
Eurocup
Rostock
#8
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A15/03
BBL
Vechta
#7
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A21/03
BBL
Oldenburg
#10
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H28/03
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A01/04
BBL
Bonn
#4
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H04/04
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A12/04
BBL
80.3Avg total
41.2Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.641.483.0+0.347%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.539.781.2+1.862%-
Last 30 away (17)41.842.684.4-0.935%-
Last 10 (10)41.239.180.3+2.140%-
Last 5 (5)44.440.685.0+3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)41.442.984.3-1.555%-
vs Similar (14)42.440.983.2+1.550%-
vs Weaker (5)40.239.479.6+0.820%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#8
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A10/02
Eurocup
Vechta
#7
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A14/02
BBL
Oldenburg
#10
W
52-32
52
32
+20
H18/02
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
54-39
54
39
+15
H06/03
BBL
Jena
#16
W
59-52
59
52
+7
H14/03
BBL
Bonn
#4
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H23/03
BBL
Heidelberg
#18
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A29/03
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H01/04
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#17
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A04/04
BBL
Bamberg
#2
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H11/04
BBL
85.4Avg total
44.8Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.538.979.4+1.557%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.238.680.8+3.662%-
Last 30 away (14)38.539.377.8-0.850%-
Last 10 (10)44.840.685.4+4.270%-
Last 5 (5)43.440.483.8+3.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)38.042.180.1-4.138%-
vs Similar (9)39.238.477.7+0.856%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)42.837.380.2+5.569%-
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 78.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.718.1
59.0%
53.8%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.79.0
30.3%
34.0%27.0
🏀 Free throws21.415.2
71.0%
73.5%15.2
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.520.3
52.7%
53.8%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.68.6
31.2%
34.0%25.8
🏀 Free throws22.516.5
73.3%
73.5%16.5
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chemnitz
LLLWLWLLWW
Ulm
LLWLWWWWLL
#11
League position
#6
-2.6
Net rating
+3.9
89.6
Offensive rating
93.0
92.2
Defensive rating
89.0
52.3%
Effective FG%
50.2%
56.3%
Opp. effective FG%
50.4%
17.0%
Turnover %
15.6%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.34
30.3%
3-point %
31.2%
55.7%
Assist %
70.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence89.6 · 93.0Defence92.2 · 89.0Shooting52.3% · 50.2%3-point %30.3% · 31.2%Ball care17.0% · 15.6%Free throws0.35 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Chemnitz   ■ Ulm
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Chemnitz wins
6
Ulm wins
DateGameScore
14/01/26Ulm v Chemnitz88-76
29/10/25Chemnitz v Ulm89-78
28/09/25Ulm v Chemnitz94-81
06/04/25Ulm v Chemnitz117-87
22/09/24Chemnitz v Ulm86-90
02/03/24Chemnitz v Ulm83-82
09/12/23Chemnitz v Ulm78-87
27/09/23Ulm v Chemnitz90-85
21/04/23Chemnitz v Ulm92-86
05/11/22Ulm v Chemnitz93-99 OT
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/04/26ABayern77-91
04/04/26HBonn75-76
01/04/26ALudwigsburg79-87
28/03/26HOldenburg95-85
21/03/26AVechta78-80
15/03/26ARostock78-73
11/03/26ACedevita Olimpija65-73
06/03/26AWurzburg69-81
18/02/26HHeidelberg99-96 OT
15/02/26ATrier105-100
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/04/26HBamberg73-89
04/04/26ABasketball Braunschweig67-77
01/04/26HSyntainics MBC104-81
29/03/26AHeidelberg90-93
23/03/26HBonn84-77
14/03/26HJena93-90
06/03/26HLudwigsburg93-76
18/02/26HOldenburg101-72
14/02/26AVechta73-85
10/02/26ATrento68-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chemnitz
BBL 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL43%
HomeLWWWL62%
AwayLWLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281315
Win %43%62%27%
Points / game84.488.380.9
Allowed / game86.385.287.3
Point differential-2.0+3.2-6.4
Avg total170.7173.5168.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)60% (5)50% (6)
Overtime %7%8%7%
Ulm
BBL 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL57%
HomeWWWWL73%
AwayLWLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281513
Win %57%73%38%
Points / game83.284.182.2
Allowed / game78.476.280.9
Point differential+4.9+7.9+1.3
Avg total161.6160.3163.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%40%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)60% (5)20% (5)
Overtime %4%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern2722581%87.573.8+13.7
2 Alba Berlin2820871%86.078.6+7.4
3 Bamberg29191066%89.683.4+6.2
4 Bonn30191163%83.079.6+3.3
5 Ulm28161257%83.278.4+4.9
6 Wurzburg28161257%82.381.2+1.1
7 Trier29161355%91.192.7-1.6
8 Rostock27141352%84.783.0+1.7
9 Ludwigsburg29151452%83.184.6-1.5
10 Vechta29141548%89.188.2+0.8
11 Oldenburg29131645%83.284.6-1.4
12 Hamburg28121643%86.488.1-1.7
13 Chemnitz28121643%84.486.3-2.0
14 Frankfurt29121741%82.985.1-2.2
15 Syntainics MBC29121741%84.987.5-2.6
16 Jena29101934%81.289.7-8.5
17 Heidelberg2982128%78.786.4-7.8
18 Basketball Braunschweig2972224%80.288.9-8.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Chemnitz2021162279
Ulm1420131966
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.