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Chiba vs Koshigaya Alphas Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 08 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 10:05
Final 92-78
24-17 29-21 11-17 28-23
Position#6
Record33-16
FormWLLLW
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game76.5
Chiba 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#19
Record17-32
FormLLLLW
Points / game74.3
Allowed / game81.8
JapanB League· LaLa arena TOKYO-BAY
Other2025-26
Meetings · Chiba v Koshigaya Alphas
08 Apr 2026
CHIB92
KOSH78
26 Mar 2025
CHIB74
KOSH68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chiba winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Koshigaya Alphas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChibaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Osaka
#17
W
90-82
90
82
+8
A07/03
B League
Osaka
#17
W
94-78
94
78
+16
A08/03
B League
Akita
#26
W
97-59
97
59
+38
H11/03
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#21
L
76-85
76
85
-9
A14/03
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#21
W
86-78
86
78
+8
A15/03
B League
Altiri Chiba
#22
W
88-71
88
71
+17
A28/03
B League
Altiri Chiba
#22
L
69-70
69
70
-1
A29/03
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
75-89
75
89
-14
H01/04
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
L
79-85
79
85
-6
A04/04
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
W
100-96 OT
100
96
+4
A05/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-25
20-17
19-24
26-16
18-29
29-18
19-12
28-19
21-17
27-17
26-12
23-13
22-26
17-23
17-22
20-14
22-21
27-19
16-17
21-21
24-11
26-22
18-20
20-18
17-18
17-12
19-26
16-14
16-27
22-25
21-20
16-17
14-22
17-12
15-28
33-23
24-19
25-23
20-21
14-20
164.7Avg total
85.4Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (49)82.876.5159.3+6.367%
Season at home (22)81.971.7153.6+10.177%
Season away (27)83.680.4164.0+3.359%
Last 10 (10)85.479.3164.7+6.160%
Last 5 (5)82.282.2164.4+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)78.089.5167.5-11.50%
vs Similar (9)76.182.1158.2-6.033%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)87.274.2161.4+13.179%
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Koshigaya AlphasJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hiroshima D.
#13
L
89-92
89
92
-3
A07/03
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
L
65-99
65
99
-34
A08/03
B League
Toyama
#24
W
92-85
92
85
+7
H11/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
72-101
72
101
-29
H14/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
80-109
80
109
-29
H15/03
B League
Yokohama
#15
L
70-78
70
78
-8
A28/03
B League
Yokohama
#15
L
93-96 OT
93
96
-3
A29/03
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
L
69-89
69
89
-20
A01/04
B League
Osaka
#17
L
78-84
78
84
-6
H04/04
B League
Osaka
#17
W
84-77
84
77
+7
H05/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-24
37-22
15-23
12-23
18-23
16-22
17-34
14-20
23-14
17-30
31-24
21-17
17-28
21-23
12-29
22-21
22-33
22-27
21-25
15-24
20-26
14-10
17-21
19-21
20-18
15-21
18-22
19-11
14-13
14-20
21-33
20-23
17-20
15-26
23-18
23-20
22-18
17-13
20-18
25-28
170.2Avg total
79.2Scored
91.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (49)74.381.8156.1-7.435%
Season at home (26)74.380.4154.7-6.138%
Season away (23)74.483.4157.8-9.030%
Last 10 (10)79.291.0170.2-11.820%
Last 5 (5)78.884.8163.6-6.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)73.487.7161.0-14.319%
vs Similar (9)80.979.4160.3+1.456%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Chiba) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -5.2-5.2Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: -1.8-1.8
ChibaKoshigaya Alphas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChibaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Osaka
#17
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A07/03
B League
Osaka
#17
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A08/03
B League
Akita
#26
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H11/03
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#21
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A14/03
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#21
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A15/03
B League
Altiri Chiba
#22
W
50-33
50
33
+17
A28/03
B League
Altiri Chiba
#22
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A29/03
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
38-52
38
52
-14
H01/04
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A04/04
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A05/04
B League
83.3Avg total
43.0Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.237.779.9+4.667%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.235.977.1+5.277%-
Last 30 away (17)43.139.082.1+4.159%-
Last 10 (10)43.040.383.3+2.760%-
Last 5 (5)40.438.278.6+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)37.540.578.0-3.00%-
vs Similar (9)38.241.779.9-3.444%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)44.635.580.1+9.284%-
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Koshigaya AlphasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hiroshima D.
#13
W
62-46
62
46
+16
A07/03
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A08/03
B League
Toyama
#24
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H11/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
38-51
38
51
-13
H14/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
44-60
44
60
-16
H15/03
B League
Yokohama
#15
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A28/03
B League
Yokohama
#15
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A29/03
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A01/04
B League
Osaka
#17
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H04/04
B League
Osaka
#17
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H05/04
B League
81.7Avg total
38.6Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.842.380.1-4.430%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.941.379.2-3.436%-
Last 30 away (16)37.843.180.9-5.425%-
Last 10 (10)38.643.181.7-4.520%-
Last 5 (5)33.637.070.6-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)36.543.780.2-7.224%-
vs Similar (9)40.938.979.8+2.044%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Chiba) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chibatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chiba: 85.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.220.5
56.6%
53.1%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.010.2
34.0%
33.7%30.6
🏀 Free throws18.213.9
76.4%
73.1%13.9
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Koshigaya Alphastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Koshigaya Alphas: 78.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.418.8
51.6%
53.1%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.09.7
37.3%
33.7%29.1
🏀 Free throws18.612.1
65.1%
73.1%12.1
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chiba
WLLLWWLWWW
Koshigaya Alphas
WLLLLLLWLL
#6
League position
#19
+7.1
Net rating
-13.6
97.9
Offensive rating
90.6
90.8
Defensive rating
104.2
54.1%
Effective FG%
53.4%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
55.1%
14.3%
Turnover %
17.2%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.30
34.0%
3-point %
37.3%
68.1%
Assist %
72.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence97.9 · 90.6Defence90.8 · 104.2Shooting54.1% · 53.4%3-point %34.0% · 37.3%Ball care14.3% · 17.2%Free throws0.27 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Chiba   ■ Koshigaya Alphas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Chiba wins
1
Koshigaya Alphas wins
DateGameScore
12/11/25Koshigaya Alphas v Chiba89-90
26/03/25Chiba v Koshigaya Alphas74-68
12/01/25Koshigaya Alphas v Chiba91-89 OT
11/01/25Koshigaya Alphas v Chiba70-72
11/12/24Koshigaya Alphas v Chiba82-84
Chibalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/04/26AHiroshima D.100-96 OT
04/04/26AHiroshima D.79-85
01/04/26HSeaHorses Mikawa75-89
29/03/26AAltiri Chiba69-70
28/03/26AAltiri Chiba88-71
15/03/26AIbaraki Robots86-78
14/03/26AIbaraki Robots76-85
11/03/26HAkita97-59
08/03/26AOsaka94-78
07/03/26AOsaka90-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/04/26HOsaka84-77
04/04/26HOsaka78-84
01/04/26ABrave Thunders69-89
29/03/26AYokohama93-96 OT
28/03/26AYokohama70-78
15/03/26HDiamond Dolphins80-109
14/03/26HDiamond Dolphins72-101
11/03/26HToyama92-85
08/03/26AHiroshima D.65-99
07/03/26AHiroshima D.89-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chiba
B League 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW67%
HomeWLWWL77%
AwayWWLLW59%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games492227
Win %67%77%59%
Points / game82.881.983.6
Allowed / game76.571.780.4
Point differential+6.3+10.1+3.3
Avg total159.3153.6164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%55%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (12)40% (5)71% (7)
Overtime %2%0%4%
Koshigaya Alphas
B League 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW35%
HomeWLLLW38%
AwayLLLLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games492623
Win %35%38%30%
Points / game74.374.374.4
Allowed / game81.880.483.4
Point differential-7.4-6.1-9.0
Avg total156.1154.7157.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%12%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)50% (4)43% (7)
Overtime %4%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nagasaki4940982%91.378.8+12.6
2 Diamond Dolphins49381178%84.072.6+11.5
3 Utsunomiya Brex49371276%86.280.6+5.7
4 Ryukyu49341569%81.674.9+6.8
5 SeaHorses Mikawa49341569%83.677.4+6.1
6 Gunma49331667%82.473.2+9.2
7 Chiba49331667%82.876.5+6.3
8 Alvark49321765%80.677.7+2.9
9 Hokkaido49311863%88.185.9+2.2
10 NeoPhoenix49292059%85.082.3+2.7
11 Sendai49292059%81.179.3+1.8
12 Hiroshima D.49282157%87.083.7+3.4
13 Saga49252451%81.982.2-0.4
14 Shimane49232647%80.380.6-0.2
15 Yokohama49202941%79.082.2-3.2
16 Sun Rockers Shibuya49202941%77.180.9-3.8
17 Osaka49193039%80.182.8-2.7
18 Shiga49193039%80.784.6-3.9
19 Koshigaya Alphas49173235%74.381.8-7.4
20 Nagoya Fighting Eagles49163333%80.483.6-3.2
21 Altiri Chiba49163333%79.084.0-5.0
22 Kyoto49163333%72.580.4-7.8
23 Ibaraki Robots49153431%76.180.9-4.8
24 Brave Thunders49143529%75.883.1-7.3
25 Toyama49113822%80.589.8-9.3
26 Akita4984116%73.285.2-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Chiba2429112892
Koshigaya Alphas1721172378
← all games of the day
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