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Cholet vs PAOK Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 02 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 88-90 (OT)
16-27 24-16 25-13 15-25 8-9
Position#1
Record13-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game89.2
Allowed / game76.3
vs
PAOK 🏆
Position#9
Record10-5
FormLWWLL
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game77.5
EuropeFIBA Europe CupFIBA Europe Cup - Semi-finals· La Meilleraie
European cup2024
Meetings · Cholet v PAOK
02 Apr 2025
CHO88
PAK90
20 Dec 2011
CHO69
PAK66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cholet winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
PAOK winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CholetLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCholet
Date
Competition
Nanterre
#50
W
97-84
97
84
+13
99avg 90
A11/02
French Cup
Le Mans
#1
L
91-93
91
93
-2
103avg 90
H14/02
Leaders Cup
Le Mans
#2
L
82-101
82
101
-19
71avg 90
A26/02
French Cup
Monaco
#2
L
84-95
84
95
-11
98avg 90
H02/03
LNB
Basket Zaragoza
#13
L
83-83
83
83
+0
83avg 90
A05/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Dijon
#8
W
93-67
93
67
+26
104avg 90
A08/03
LNB
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
90-71
90
71
+19
97avg 90
H12/03
FIBA Europe Cup
La Rochelle
#16
W
83-77
83
77
+6
97avg 90
H22/03
LNB
PAOK
#9
W
89-88
89
88
+1
82avg 90
A26/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Le Mans
#5
L
68-91
68
91
-23
83avg 90
A29/03
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
33-21
24-24
19-17
12-26
29-19
26-24
24-24
23-23
17-30
18-31
24-17
31-18
12-25
20-24
21-28
26-29
19-14
19-22
19-18
27-9
22-23
18-20
26-15
23-16
22-14
17-18
28-23
25-27
17-14
18-28
23-8
19-25
28-15
21-22
21-26
22-17
14-29
14-21
18-24
171.0Avg total
86.0Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)89.276.3165.5+12.987%
Season at home (7)89.373.3162.6+16.0100%
Season away (8)89.178.9168.0+10.275%
Last 10 (10)86.085.0171.0+1.050%
Last 5 (5)84.678.8163.4+5.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)81.095.3176.3-14.30%
vs Similar (8)83.485.6169.0-2.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)87.775.9163.6+11.894%
This opponent (PAOK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PAOKLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPAOK
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#2
L
60-86
60
86
-26
51avg 74
A10/02
Basket League
AEK Athens
#27
W
84-65
84
65
+19
82avg 74
H13/02
Greek Cup
Olympiacos
#6
L
75-94
75
94
-19
67avg 74
H14/02
Greek Cup
Aris
#7
W
75-63
75
63
+12
65avg 74
H01/03
Basket League
Fribourg Olympic
#14
L
62-62
62
62
+0
53avg 74
A05/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Promitheas
#5
L
76-87
76
87
-11
77avg 74
A08/03
Basket League
Fribourg Olympic
#14
W
82-76
82
76
+6
81avg 74
H12/03
FIBA Europe Cup
AS Karditsas
#4
W
71-61
71
61
+10
66avg 74
H15/03
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
L
83-84
83
84
-1
84avg 74
A23/03
Basket League
Cholet
#1
L
88-89
88
89
-1
84avg 74
H26/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-17
14-17
8-27
17-25
23-18
18-14
20-19
23-14
17-13
18-31
20-22
20-28
24-17
15-19
16-13
20-14
13-12
7-9
17-18
25-23
26-23
21-26
8-19
21-19
29-17
12-17
16-21
25-21
15-9
19-17
15-19
22-16
26-19
22-18
20-18
15-29
25-19
15-28
22-21
26-21
152.3Avg total
75.6Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)81.977.5159.3+4.467%
Season at home (8)86.276.4162.6+9.988%
Season away (7)76.978.7155.6-1.943%
Last 10 (10)75.676.7152.3-1.140%
Last 5 (5)80.079.4159.4+0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)76.787.9164.6-11.220%
vs Similar (16)81.278.9160.2+2.362%
vs Weaker (3)77.379.7157.0-2.333%
This opponent (Cholet) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +5.5+5.5Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +0.4+0.4
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +5.5+5.5Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +0.4+0.4
CholetPAOK
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CholetLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nanterre
#50
W
54-43
54
43
+11
A11/02
French Cup
Le Mans
#1
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H14/02
Leaders Cup
Le Mans
#2
L
40-53
40
53
-13
A26/02
French Cup
Monaco
#2
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H02/03
LNB
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A05/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Dijon
#8
W
49-32
49
32
+17
A08/03
LNB
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H12/03
FIBA Europe Cup
La Rochelle
#16
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H22/03
LNB
PAOK
#9
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A26/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Le Mans
#5
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A29/03
LNB
85.8Avg total
44.2Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.440.484.8+3.967%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.840.485.2+4.464%-
Last 30 away (16)44.040.484.4+3.669%-
Last 10 (10)44.241.685.8+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)43.837.881.6+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)42.745.388.0-2.733%-
vs Similar (8)42.142.884.9-0.638%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)45.438.183.4+7.388%-
This opponent (PAOK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PAOKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#2
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A10/02
Basket League
AEK Athens
#27
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H13/02
Greek Cup
Olympiacos
#6
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H14/02
Greek Cup
Aris
#7
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H01/03
Basket League
Fribourg Olympic
#14
L
20-21
20
21
-1
A05/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Promitheas
#5
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A08/03
Basket League
Fribourg Olympic
#14
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H12/03
FIBA Europe Cup
AS Karditsas
#4
W
34-26
34
26
+8
H15/03
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A23/03
Basket League
Cholet
#1
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H26/03
FIBA Europe Cup
74.0Avg total
38.0Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.939.878.7-1.047%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.538.879.2+1.856%-
Last 30 away (14)37.041.178.1-4.136%-
Last 10 (10)38.036.074.0+2.060%-
Last 5 (5)42.038.680.6+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)37.144.381.4-7.220%-
vs Similar (16)41.137.978.9+3.262%-
vs Weaker (3)32.338.070.3-5.733%-
This opponent (Cholet) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cholettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cholet: 84.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.319.8
56.1%
52.6%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.29.8
37.4%
34.0%29.4
🏀 Free throws23.415.8
67.5%
72.6%15.8
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
PAOKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

PAOK: 68.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.016.1
53.7%
52.6%32.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.68.0
32.5%
34.0%24.0
🏀 Free throws16.612.4
74.7%
72.6%12.4
They take 54.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cholet
LWWWWLLLLW
PAOK
LLWWLLWLWL
#1
League position
#9
+0.5
Net rating
+2.6
111.0
Offensive rating
105.1
110.5
Defensive rating
102.5
56.1%
Effective FG%
51.5%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
48.1%
18.4%
Turnover %
18.7%
28.3%
Off. rebound %
31.5%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.30
37.4%
3-point %
32.5%
72.0%
Assist %
63.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence111.0 · 105.1Defence110.5 · 102.5Shooting56.1% · 51.5%3-point %37.4% · 32.5%Ball care18.4% · 18.7%Off. rebounds28.3% · 31.5%Free throws0.38 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Cholet   ■ PAOK
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Cholet wins
1
PAOK wins
DateGameScore
26/03/25PAOK v Cholet88-89
20/12/11Cholet v PAOK69-66
22/11/11PAOK v Cholet74-62
Choletlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/25ALe Mans68-91
26/03/25APAOK89-88
22/03/25HLa Rochelle83-77
12/03/25HBasket Zaragoza90-71
08/03/25ADijon93-67
05/03/25ABasket Zaragoza83-83
02/03/25HMonaco84-95
26/02/25ALe Mans82-101
14/02/25HLe Mans91-93
11/02/25ANanterre97-84
PAOKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/25HCholet88-89
23/03/25AKolossos Rhodes83-84
15/03/25HAS Karditsas71-61
12/03/25HFribourg Olympic82-76
08/03/25APromitheas76-87
05/03/25AFribourg Olympic62-62
01/03/25HAris75-63
14/02/25HOlympiacos75-94
13/02/25HAEK Athens84-65
10/02/25AOlympiacos60-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cholet
FIBA Europe Cup 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW87%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %87%100%75%
Points / game89.289.389.1
Allowed / game76.373.378.9
Point differential+12.9+16.0+10.2
Avg total165.5162.6168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%71%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (1)75% (4)
Overtime %7%0%12%
PAOK
FIBA Europe Cup 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL67%
HomeWWWWL88%
AwayWWLLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %67%88%43%
Points / game81.986.276.9
Allowed / game77.576.478.7
Point differential+4.4+9.9-1.9
Avg total159.3162.6155.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)67% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cholet1513287%89.276.3+12.9
2 Bilbao1714382%84.270.5+13.8
3 Ludwigsburg1411379%81.871.1+10.7
4 Tofas1411379%90.984.0+6.9
5 Dijon1713476%89.478.1+11.3
6 CSM Oradea128467%82.074.4+7.6
7 FC Porto128467%82.677.1+5.5
8 Levice64267%85.781.2+4.5
9 PAOK1510567%81.977.5+4.4
10 BC Prievidza85362%83.882.8+1.0
11 Sassari127558%81.273.9+7.3
12 Maroussi148657%84.479.2+5.1
13 Basket Zaragoza148657%86.382.5+3.8
14 Fribourg Olympic147750%84.979.4+5.6
15 Basketball Braunschweig63350%85.881.2+4.7
16 Spojnia Stargard63350%73.370.7+2.7
17 BC Kalev/Cramo126650%80.978.7+2.2
18 Bursaspor63350%85.584.0+1.5
19 Arges Pitesti63350%71.770.3+1.3
20 Alba Fehervar84450%89.693.8-4.1
21 Spirou Charleroi147750%77.982.1-4.1
22 Caledonia Gladiators63350%58.570.8-12.3
23 Anwil Wloclawek125742%88.580.8+7.7
24 Le Portel125742%76.175.8+0.3
25 Norrkoping62433%79.085.5-6.5
26 Limburg62433%76.783.3-6.7
27 Antwerp Giants62433%80.287.7-7.5
28 Kutaisi62433%78.789.0-10.3
29 AEK Larnaca62433%71.085.7-14.7
30 Sporting CP82625%71.579.5-8.0
31 Anorthosis82625%75.884.2-8.5
32 BC Dnipro82625%66.087.1-21.1
33 Sabah Baku61517%73.878.8-5.0
34 Keravnos61517%84.590.7-6.2
35 Parnu61517%68.079.7-11.7
36 CSM Constanta81712%73.591.4-17.9
37 Starlites2020%74.584.0-9.5
38 Szolnoki Olaj6060%73.886.0-12.2
39 Rilski Sportist6060%71.387.0-15.7
40 Trepca6060%57.377.3-20.0
41 Balkan6060%69.389.8-20.5
42 Neptunas2020%62.584.5-22.0
43 Peja2020%78.0102.0-24.0
44 Dinamo Zagreb2020%70.5100.0-29.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 44 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Cholet16242515888
PAOK27161325990
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