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Cholet vs Tofas Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 06 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 77-74
13-7 21-20 23-17 20-30
Position#14
Record9-6
FormLLLLW
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game83.2
Cholet 🏆
vs
Position#34
Record6-6
FormWLWWL
Points / game87.1
Allowed / game83.7
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 4· La Meilleraie
European cup2023
Meetings · Cholet v Tofas
09 Jan 2026
CHO105
TOF86
06 Mar 2024
CHO77
TOF74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cholet winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tofas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CholetLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCholet
Date
Competition
Sassari
#37
W
93-77
93
77
+16
89avg 79
H17/01
Champions League
Le Portel
#8
W
89-82
89
82
+7
86avg 79
H20/01
LNB
Strasbourg
#11
W
98-93
98
93
+5
93avg 79
H24/01
Champions League
Boulogne-Levallois
#18
W
112-83
112
83
+29
118avg 79
H27/01
LNB
Unicaja
#1
L
74-86
74
86
-12
64avg 79
H31/01
Champions League
Nanterre
#5
L
87-91
87
91
-4
105avg 79
A03/02
LNB
Tofas
#34
L
71-84
71
84
-13
60avg 79
A07/02
Champions League
Strasbourg
#13
L
76-79
76
79
-3
79avg 79
A10/02
LNB
Strasbourg
#10
L
77-87
77
87
-10
68avg 79
A13/02
French Cup
Limoges
#10
W
71-67
71
67
+4
82avg 79
H03/03
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-15
28-24
20-18
25-20
29-24
28-21
17-20
15-17
25-26
19-26
28-18
26-23
34-19
26-25
26-16
26-23
22-29
23-18
21-14
8-25
20-23
24-24
14-24
29-20
17-19
14-23
16-18
24-24
24-15
11-28
17-15
24-21
21-18
24-27
22-13
10-29
20-13
15-14
21-26
15-14
167.7Avg total
84.8Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)82.783.2165.9-0.560%
Season at home (10)84.582.8167.3+1.770%
Season away (5)79.084.0163.0-5.040%
Last 10 (10)84.882.9167.7+1.950%
Last 5 (5)76.481.6158.0-5.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)78.585.8164.3-7.30%
vs Similar ◀ (19)80.280.4160.6-0.258%
vs Weaker (4)91.282.5173.8+8.875%
This opponent (Tofas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TofasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTofas
Date
Competition
Samsunspor
#16
L
86-87
86
87
-1
90avg 81
A13/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
PAOK
#32
W
84-71
84
71
+13
83avg 81
A16/01
Champions League
Besiktas
#3
L
81-85
81
85
-4
77avg 81
H20/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Unicaja
#1
L
70-89
70
89
-19
56avg 81
A24/01
Champions League
Merkezefendi
#14
W
98-77
98
77
+21
101avg 81
H28/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Strasbourg
#11
W
93-71
93
71
+22
100avg 81
H31/01
Champions League
Manisa
#6
L
89-91
89
91
-2
84avg 81
A04/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cholet
#14
W
84-71
84
71
+13
83avg 81
H07/02
Champions League
Petkim Spor
#7
W
84-71
84
71
+13
88avg 81
H11/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#1
L
77-109
77
109
-32
70avg 81
A03/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-13
25-34
25-19
15-21
22-19
18-15
22-15
22-22
24-19
22-27
17-19
18-20
21-17
6-24
18-23
25-25
19-23
28-17
25-20
26-17
29-15
24-20
19-15
21-21
17-23
19-19
22-16
31-33
19-17
23-14
18-16
24-24
21-28
24-10
21-16
18-17
13-30
15-32
23-25
26-22
166.8Avg total
84.6Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)87.183.7170.8+3.450%
Season at home (6)86.378.8165.2+7.550%
Season away (6)87.888.5176.3-0.750%
Last 10 (10)84.682.2166.8+2.450%
Last 5 (5)85.482.6168.0+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)78.095.8173.8-17.80%
vs Similar ◀ (15)85.982.9168.8+2.953%
vs Weaker (7)93.979.7173.6+14.171%
This opponent (Cholet) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +0.4+0.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +0.4+0.4
CholetTofas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CholetLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#37
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H17/01
Champions League
Le Portel
#8
W
57-45
57
45
+12
H20/01
LNB
Strasbourg
#11
L
44-52
44
52
-8
H24/01
Champions League
Boulogne-Levallois
#18
W
60-44
60
44
+16
H27/01
LNB
Unicaja
#1
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H31/01
Champions League
Nanterre
#5
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A03/02
LNB
Tofas
#34
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A07/02
Champions League
Strasbourg
#13
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A10/02
LNB
Strasbourg
#10
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A13/02
French Cup
Limoges
#10
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H03/03
LNB
87.5Avg total
44.4Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.041.582.5-0.547%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.641.083.6+1.669%-
Last 30 away (14)39.142.181.2-2.921%-
Last 10 (10)44.443.187.5+1.340%-
Last 5 (5)38.040.878.8-2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)41.543.384.8-1.850%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)38.940.379.2-1.347%-
vs Weaker (4)49.043.892.8+5.250%-
This opponent (Tofas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Samsunspor
#16
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A13/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
PAOK
#32
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A16/01
Champions League
Besiktas
#3
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H20/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Unicaja
#1
L
27-41
27
41
-14
A24/01
Champions League
Merkezefendi
#14
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H28/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Strasbourg
#11
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H31/01
Champions League
Manisa
#6
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A04/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cholet
#14
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H07/02
Champions League
Petkim Spor
#7
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H11/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#1
L
28-62
28
62
-34
A03/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
82.6Avg total
41.0Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.341.483.7+0.957%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.339.985.2+5.380%-
Last 30 away (15)39.342.882.1-3.533%-
Last 10 (10)41.041.682.6-0.650%-
Last 5 (5)40.841.682.4-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)38.049.287.2-11.20%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)43.639.883.4+3.873%-
vs Weaker (7)44.435.780.1+8.786%-
This opponent (Cholet) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cholettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cholet: 84.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.618.6
53.8%
51.4%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.311.6
37.1%
34.9%34.8
🏀 Free throws17.412.0
69.0%
74.5%12.0
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.118.1
54.7%
51.4%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.110.0
39.8%
34.9%30.0
🏀 Free throws23.317.4
74.7%
74.5%17.4
They take 58.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cholet
WLLLLLWWWW
Tofas
LWWLWWLLWL
#14
League position
#34
+3.1
Net rating
+3.1
114.3
Offensive rating
116.9
111.2
Defensive rating
113.8
54.6%
Effective FG%
56.9%
55.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
18.9%
Turnover %
17.4%
37.2%
Off. rebound %
29.8%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.40
37.1%
3-point %
39.8%
65.2%
Assist %
77.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence114.3 · 116.9Defence111.2 · 113.8Shooting54.6% · 56.9%3-point %37.1% · 39.8%Ball care18.9% · 17.4%Off. rebounds37.2% · 29.8%Free throws0.26 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Cholet   ■ Tofas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Cholet wins
1
Tofas wins
DateGameScore
07/02/24Tofas v Cholet84-71
Choletlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/24HLimoges71-67
13/02/24AStrasbourg77-87
10/02/24AStrasbourg76-79
07/02/24ATofas71-84
03/02/24ANanterre87-91
31/01/24HUnicaja74-86
27/01/24HBoulogne-Levallois112-83
24/01/24HStrasbourg98-93
20/01/24HLe Portel89-82
17/01/24HSassari93-77
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/24AFenerbahce77-109
11/02/24HPetkim Spor84-71
07/02/24HCholet84-71
04/02/24AManisa89-91
31/01/24HStrasbourg93-71
28/01/24HMerkezefendi98-77
24/01/24AUnicaja70-89
20/01/24HBesiktas81-85
16/01/24APAOK84-71
13/01/24ASamsunspor86-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cholet
Champions League 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL60%
HomeLLWWL70%
AwayLWLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15105
Win %60%70%40%
Points / game82.784.579.0
Allowed / game83.282.884.0
Point differential-0.5+1.7-5.0
Avg total165.9167.3163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%30%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tofas
Champions League 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW50%
HomeWLLWW50%
AwayLLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game87.186.387.8
Allowed / game83.778.888.5
Point differential+3.4+7.5-0.7
Avg total170.8165.2176.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %25%17%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hapoel Jerusalem98189%84.272.2+12.0
2 Murcia108280%84.772.7+12.0
3 Unicaja108280%83.571.8+11.7
4 Obradoiro CAB32167%80.768.0+12.7
5 Dijon96367%85.177.2+7.9
6 Tenerife96367%82.977.0+5.9
7 Promitheas128467%83.277.8+5.5
8 Brindisi32167%74.772.3+2.3
9 Norrkoping32167%77.776.3+1.3
10 Tortona85362%82.481.2+1.1
11 Bonn106460%82.378.4+3.9
12 Cholet159660%82.783.2-0.5
13 Ludwigsburg127558%83.179.2+3.8
14 Hapoel Holon137654%76.876.7+0.2
15 Strasbourg137654%79.081.4-2.4
16 Nes Ziona21150%83.067.5+15.5
17 Bakken Bears21150%85.578.5+7.0
18 AEK Athens105550%86.281.6+4.6
19 Rytas84450%85.181.0+4.1
20 Tofas126650%87.183.7+3.4
21 Legia21150%68.066.5+1.5
22 Galatasaray126650%85.585.1+0.4
23 Den Bosch21150%79.581.0-1.5
24 Fribourg Olympic21150%58.060.5-2.5
25 Peristeri126650%80.283.1-2.8
26 Varese21150%80.583.5-3.0
27 Bursaspor63350%73.278.8-5.7
28 AEK Larnaca21150%66.576.5-10.0
29 Karsiyaka136746%83.183.2-0.1
30 Benfica94544%81.778.7+3.0
31 Breogan94544%78.178.6-0.4
32 Oostende94544%75.079.8-4.8
33 Darussafaka94544%78.683.7-5.1
34 PAOK94544%75.282.7-7.4
35 Le Mans83538%77.979.0-1.1
36 Oldenburg62433%84.082.5+1.5
37 Sassari93633%85.689.2-3.7
38 Szczecin62433%78.882.7-3.8
39 VEF Riga62433%71.876.0-4.2
40 Szombathely62433%76.081.3-5.3
41 FMP Beograd1010%71.073.0-2.0
42 CSM Oradea1010%74.077.0-3.0
43 Antwerp Giants1010%72.076.0-4.0
44 BC Kalev/Cramo1010%78.082.0-4.0
45 Jonava1010%78.083.0-5.0
46 Caledonia Gladiators1010%51.057.0-6.0
47 Levice1010%66.074.0-8.0
48 Gottingen1010%84.096.0-12.0
49 Igokea6060%72.587.0-14.5
50 Peja1010%79.0103.0-24.0
51 Opava6060%72.0102.0-30.0
52 Mornar Bar1010%56.090.0-34.0
53 Karhu Basket1010%56.092.0-36.0
54 TSU1010%62.0122.0-60.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 54 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cholet1321232077
Tofas720173074
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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