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Tofas vs Cholet Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 07 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 84-71
19-17 23-14 18-16 24-24
Position#34
Record5-6
FormLLWWL
Points / game87.4
Allowed / game84.8
Tofas 🏆
vs
Position#14
Record9-5
FormWWWLL
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game83.1
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 3· Tofas Spor Salonu
European cup2023
Meetings · Tofas v Cholet
14 Jan 2026
TOF84
CHO82
06 Jan 2026
TOF89
CHO75
07 Feb 2024
TOF84
CHO71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tofas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cholet winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TofasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTofas
Date
Competition
PAOK
#32
W
95-63
95
63
+32
98avg 82
A02/01
Champions League
Galatasaray
#5
L
76-95
76
95
-19
64avg 82
A06/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
PAOK
#32
L
87-88 OT
87
88
-1
71avg 82
H09/01
Champions League
Samsunspor
#16
L
86-87
86
87
-1
90avg 82
A13/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
PAOK
#32
W
84-71
84
71
+13
83avg 82
A16/01
Champions League
Besiktas
#3
L
81-85
81
85
-4
77avg 82
H20/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Unicaja
#1
L
70-89
70
89
-19
56avg 82
A24/01
Champions League
Merkezefendi
#14
W
98-77
98
77
+21
101avg 82
H28/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Strasbourg
#11
W
93-71
93
71
+22
100avg 82
H31/01
Champions League
Manisa
#6
L
89-91
89
91
-2
84avg 82
A04/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-12
26-14
24-16
18-21
21-24
14-32
22-18
19-21
23-16
9-15
12-23
26-16
21-13
25-34
25-19
15-21
22-19
18-15
22-15
22-22
24-19
22-27
17-19
18-20
21-17
6-24
18-23
25-25
19-23
28-17
25-20
26-17
29-15
24-20
19-15
21-21
17-23
19-19
22-16
31-33
167.6Avg total
85.9Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)87.484.8172.2+2.545%
Season at home (5)86.880.4167.2+6.440%
Season away (6)87.888.5176.3-0.750%
Last 10 (10)85.981.7167.6+4.240%
Last 5 (5)86.282.6168.8+3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)75.190.8165.9-15.60%
vs Similar ◀ (14)86.985.4172.3+1.650%
vs Weaker (8)95.181.1176.2+14.075%
This opponent (Cholet) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CholetLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCholet
Date
Competition
Le Mans
#12
W
111-96
111
96
+15
106avg 80
H27/12
LNB
Sassari
#37
L
72-93
72
93
-21
60avg 80
H03/01
Champions League
Sassari
#37
W
95-91
95
91
+4
87avg 80
A10/01
Champions League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#3
L
95-100
95
100
-5
102avg 80
A14/01
LNB
Sassari
#37
W
93-77
93
77
+16
89avg 80
H17/01
Champions League
Le Portel
#8
W
89-82
89
82
+7
86avg 80
H20/01
LNB
Strasbourg
#11
W
98-93
98
93
+5
93avg 80
H24/01
Champions League
Boulogne-Levallois
#18
W
112-83
112
83
+29
118avg 80
H27/01
LNB
Unicaja
#1
L
74-86
74
86
-12
64avg 80
H31/01
Champions League
Nanterre
#5
L
87-91
87
91
-4
105avg 80
A03/02
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-28
25-17
25-21
29-30
16-25
18-27
17-25
21-16
23-20
23-17
20-24
29-30
22-21
25-26
22-22
26-31
20-15
28-24
20-18
25-20
29-24
28-21
17-20
15-17
25-26
19-26
28-18
26-23
34-19
26-25
26-16
26-23
22-29
23-18
21-14
8-25
20-23
24-24
14-24
29-20
181.8Avg total
92.6Scored
89.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)83.583.1166.6+0.464%
Season at home (10)84.582.8167.3+1.770%
Season away (4)81.084.0165.0-3.050%
Last 10 (10)92.689.2181.8+3.460%
Last 5 (5)92.087.0179.0+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)76.985.6162.5-8.80%
vs Similar ◀ (18)81.981.6163.5+0.361%
vs Weaker (4)91.282.5173.8+8.875%
This opponent (Tofas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -0.1-0.1
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -0.1-0.1
TofasCholet
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
PAOK
#32
W
53-26
53
26
+27
A02/01
Champions League
Galatasaray
#5
L
35-56
35
56
-21
A06/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
PAOK
#32
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H09/01
Champions League
Samsunspor
#16
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A13/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
PAOK
#32
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A16/01
Champions League
Besiktas
#3
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H20/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Unicaja
#1
L
27-41
27
41
-14
A24/01
Champions League
Merkezefendi
#14
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H28/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Strasbourg
#11
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H31/01
Champions League
Manisa
#6
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A04/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
81.3Avg total
41.5Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.641.283.7+1.453%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.941.486.3+3.671%-
Last 30 away (16)40.541.081.5-0.538%-
Last 10 (10)41.539.881.3+1.750%-
Last 5 (5)41.840.882.6+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)37.945.082.9-7.10%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)44.741.185.9+3.671%-
vs Weaker (8)43.537.480.9+6.175%-
This opponent (Cholet) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CholetLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Le Mans
#12
W
57-45
57
45
+12
H27/12
LNB
Sassari
#37
L
34-52
34
52
-18
H03/01
Champions League
Sassari
#37
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A10/01
Champions League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#3
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A14/01
LNB
Sassari
#37
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H17/01
Champions League
Le Portel
#8
W
57-45
57
45
+12
H20/01
LNB
Strasbourg
#11
L
44-52
44
52
-8
H24/01
Champions League
Boulogne-Levallois
#18
W
60-44
60
44
+16
H27/01
LNB
Unicaja
#1
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H31/01
Champions League
Nanterre
#5
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A03/02
LNB
93.7Avg total
48.2Scored
45.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.541.983.4-0.347%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.441.884.2+0.659%-
Last 30 away (13)40.442.082.4-1.631%-
Last 10 (10)48.245.593.7+2.750%-
Last 5 (5)50.047.097.0+3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)40.642.483.0-1.838%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)40.341.281.5-0.950%-
vs Weaker (4)49.043.892.8+5.250%-
This opponent (Tofas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 84.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.918.1
51.9%
51.4%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.710.3
38.6%
34.9%30.9
🏀 Free throws23.217.8
76.7%
74.5%17.8
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cholettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cholet: 92.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.5 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.620.1
56.5%
51.4%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.113.5
40.8%
34.9%40.5
🏀 Free throws16.111.3
70.2%
74.5%11.3
They take 68.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tofas
LWWLLWLLLW
Cholet
LLWWWWLWLW
#34
League position
#14
+5.2
Net rating
+5.6
116.1
Offensive rating
123.2
110.9
Defensive rating
117.5
54.5%
Effective FG%
58.7%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
57.8%
15.8%
Turnover %
15.6%
29.9%
Off. rebound %
35.2%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.23
38.6%
3-point %
40.8%
72.9%
Assist %
66.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence116.1 · 123.2Defence110.9 · 117.5Shooting54.5% · 58.7%3-point %38.6% · 40.8%Ball care15.8% · 15.6%Off. rebounds29.9% · 35.2%Free throws0.38 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Tofas   ■ Cholet
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Tofas wins
0
Cholet wins
No previous meetings.
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/24AManisa89-91
31/01/24HStrasbourg93-71
28/01/24HMerkezefendi98-77
24/01/24AUnicaja70-89
20/01/24HBesiktas81-85
16/01/24APAOK84-71
13/01/24ASamsunspor86-87
09/01/24HPAOK87-88 OT
06/01/24AGalatasaray76-95
02/01/24APAOK95-63
Choletlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/24ANanterre87-91
31/01/24HUnicaja74-86
27/01/24HBoulogne-Levallois112-83
24/01/24HStrasbourg98-93
20/01/24HLe Portel89-82
17/01/24HSassari93-77
14/01/24ALyon-Villeurbanne95-100
10/01/24ASassari95-91
03/01/24HSassari72-93
27/12/23HLe Mans111-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tofas
Champions League 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW45%
HomeLWLLW40%
AwayLLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %45%40%50%
Points / game87.486.887.8
Allowed / game84.880.488.5
Point differential+2.5+6.4-0.7
Avg total172.2167.2176.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%40%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %27%20%33%
Cholet
Champions League 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL64%
HomeLLWWL70%
AwayLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games14104
Win %64%70%50%
Points / game83.584.581.0
Allowed / game83.182.884.0
Point differential+0.4+1.7-3.0
Avg total166.6167.3165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%30%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Murcia98189%85.472.0+13.4
2 Hapoel Jerusalem87188%84.173.6+10.5
3 Unicaja97278%82.772.9+9.8
4 Dijon86275%88.077.9+10.1
5 Tenerife86275%85.676.0+9.6
6 Obradoiro CAB32167%80.768.0+12.7
7 Brindisi32167%74.772.3+2.3
8 Norrkoping32167%77.776.3+1.3
9 Cholet149564%83.583.1+0.4
10 Promitheas117464%83.677.7+5.9
11 Bonn85362%83.278.0+5.2
12 Tortona85362%82.481.2+1.1
13 Ludwigsburg127558%83.179.2+3.8
14 Strasbourg127558%80.480.6-0.2
15 AEK Athens95456%83.878.2+5.6
16 Nes Ziona21150%83.067.5+15.5
17 Bakken Bears21150%85.578.5+7.0
18 Rytas84450%85.181.0+4.1
19 Legia21150%68.066.5+1.5
20 Hapoel Holon126650%73.974.1-0.2
21 Den Bosch21150%79.581.0-1.5
22 Fribourg Olympic21150%58.060.5-2.5
23 Varese21150%80.583.5-3.0
24 Peristeri105550%79.983.1-3.2
25 Bursaspor63350%73.278.8-5.7
26 AEK Larnaca21150%66.576.5-10.0
27 Tofas115645%87.484.8+2.5
28 Karsiyaka115645%83.183.4-0.3
29 Galatasaray115645%84.485.1-0.7
30 Benfica94544%81.778.7+3.0
31 Breogan94544%78.178.6-0.4
32 Oostende94544%75.079.8-4.8
33 Darussafaka94544%78.683.7-5.1
34 PAOK94544%75.282.7-7.4
35 Le Mans83538%77.979.0-1.1
36 Oldenburg62433%84.082.5+1.5
37 Sassari93633%85.689.2-3.7
38 Szczecin62433%78.882.7-3.8
39 VEF Riga62433%71.876.0-4.2
40 Szombathely62433%76.081.3-5.3
41 FMP Beograd1010%71.073.0-2.0
42 CSM Oradea1010%74.077.0-3.0
43 Antwerp Giants1010%72.076.0-4.0
44 BC Kalev/Cramo1010%78.082.0-4.0
45 Jonava1010%78.083.0-5.0
46 Caledonia Gladiators1010%51.057.0-6.0
47 Levice1010%66.074.0-8.0
48 Gottingen1010%84.096.0-12.0
49 Igokea6060%72.587.0-14.5
50 Peja1010%79.0103.0-24.0
51 Opava6060%72.0102.0-30.0
52 Mornar Bar1010%56.090.0-34.0
53 Karhu Basket1010%56.092.0-36.0
54 TSU1010%62.0122.0-60.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 54 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tofas1923182484
Cholet1714162471
← all games of the day
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