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Circus Brussels vs Leuven Bears Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 18 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 78-76
23-27 19-12 15-17 21-20
Position#5
Record3-2
FormWLWLW
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game76.0
vs
Position#7
Record3-1
FormLWLWW
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game63.8
EuropeBNXT League· Piscine de Neder-Over-Hembeek
Other2024-25
Meetings · Circus Brussels v Leuven Bears
18 Oct 2024
CIRC78
LEUV76
26 Nov 2023
CIRC79
LEUV64
23 Dec 2022
CIRC73
LEUV71
20 Feb 2022
CIRC70
LEUV75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Circus Brussels winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Leuven Bears winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Circus BrusselsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrussels
Date
Competition
Okapi Aalst
#16
W
75-71
75
71
+4
74avg 73
H13/04
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
L
83-89
83
89
-6
78avg 73
A21/04
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
W
91-82
91
82
+9
91avg 73
H26/04
BNXT League
Den Helder
#20
W
62-57
62
57
+5
62avg 73
A30/04
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#18
W
93-90 OT
93
90
+3
88avg 73
H03/05
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
W
81-76
81
76
+5
77avg 73
A13/09
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
72-82
72
82
-10
67avg 73
H18/09
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
W
67-65
67
65
+2
60avg 73
H25/09
BNXT League
Zwolle
#15
L
81-84
81
84
-3
78avg 73
A29/09
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
W
93-73
93
73
+20
91avg 73
A12/10
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
22-16
14-15
15-19
20-27
27-24
19-18
17-20
20-21
28-20
15-24
28-17
18-10
16-18
13-17
15-12
18-27
20-13
22-19
21-22
21-16
14-21
21-16
25-23
19-24
12-18
14-23
27-17
19-14
20-21
13-13
15-17
26-22
24-23
16-17
15-22
18-14
32-12
22-24
21-23
156.7Avg total
79.8Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)78.876.0154.8+2.860%
Season at home (2)69.573.5143.0-4.050%
Season away (3)85.077.7162.7+7.367%
Last 10 (10)79.876.9156.7+2.970%
Last 5 (5)78.876.0154.8+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)67.072.6139.6-5.60%
vs Similar ◀ (15)77.075.3152.3+1.760%
vs Weaker (10)82.877.1159.9+5.760%
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Leuven BearsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBears
Date
Competition
Den Helder
#20
W
82-65
82
65
+17
76avg 67
A20/04
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#17
W
81-60
81
60
+21
76avg 67
H26/04
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
81-60
81
60
+21
76avg 67
A01/05
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#10
L
70-85
70
85
-15
66avg 67
A03/05
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
64-83
64
83
-19
52avg 67
A08/05
Pro Basketball League
Oostende
#1
L
69-80
69
80
-11
58avg 67
H10/05
Pro Basketball League
Okapi Aalst
#13
W
64-51
64
51
+13
50avg 67
A14/09
BNXT League
Leiden
#12
L
77-78
77
78
-1
73avg 67
A28/09
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
W
83-78
83
78
+5
77avg 67
A02/10
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#10
W
85-48
85
48
+37
81avg 67
H12/10
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-12
22-17
15-15
21-21
19-18
20-14
25-17
17-11
22-18
21-12
15-13
23-17
15-23
16-24
15-21
24-17
15-26
20-26
15-18
14-13
20-25
17-18
21-20
11-17
15-16
16-12
15-8
18-15
19-13
16-29
18-16
24-20
23-21
23-19
21-19
16-19
23-11
20-11
18-9
24-17
144.4Avg total
75.6Scored
68.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)77.263.8141.0+13.575%
Season at home (1)85.048.0133.0+37.0100%
Season away (3)74.769.0143.7+5.767%
Last 10 (10)75.668.8144.4+6.860%
Last 5 (5)75.667.0142.6+8.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)62.982.4145.3-19.60%
vs Similar ◀ (11)76.577.9154.4-1.545%
vs Weaker (12)83.068.4151.4+14.683%
This opponent (Circus Brussels) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +2.5+2.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +2.5+2.5
Circus BrusselsLeuven Bears
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Circus BrusselsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Okapi Aalst
#16
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H13/04
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A21/04
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H26/04
BNXT League
Den Helder
#20
W
34-28
34
28
+6
A30/04
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#18
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H03/05
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A13/09
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
31-42
31
42
-11
H18/09
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H25/09
BNXT League
Zwolle
#15
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A29/09
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
W
50-26
50
26
+24
A12/10
BNXT League
80.0Avg total
41.8Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.537.077.5+3.557%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.936.776.6+3.367%-
Last 30 away (15)41.137.478.5+3.747%-
Last 10 (10)41.838.280.0+3.660%-
Last 5 (5)41.037.078.0+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.634.670.2+1.060%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)39.836.976.7+2.960%-
vs Weaker (10)44.038.582.5+5.550%-
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Leuven BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Den Helder
#20
W
46-29
46
29
+17
A20/04
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#17
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H26/04
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A01/05
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#10
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A03/05
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A08/05
Pro Basketball League
Oostende
#1
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H10/05
Pro Basketball League
Okapi Aalst
#13
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A14/09
BNXT League
Leiden
#12
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A28/09
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A02/10
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#10
W
43-22
43
22
+21
H12/10
BNXT League
75.1Avg total
38.6Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.438.576.9-0.153%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.336.876.1+2.564%-
Last 30 away (16)37.740.077.7-2.344%-
Last 10 (10)38.636.575.1+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)38.435.073.4+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)33.743.477.1-9.714%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)37.040.077.0-3.045%-
vs Weaker (12)42.534.276.8+8.283%-
This opponent (Circus Brussels) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Circus Brusselstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Circus Brussels: 78.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.520.6
54.9%
52.6%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.67.8
36.1%
34.1%23.4
🏀 Free throws19.514.2
72.8%
71.9%14.2
They take 59.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Leuven Bearstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leuven Bears: 74.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.521.2
51.1%
52.6%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.86.9
30.3%
34.1%20.7
🏀 Free throws15.811.3
71.5%
71.9%11.3
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Circus Brussels
WLWLWWWWLW
Leuven Bears
WWLWLLLWWW
#5
League position
#7
+3.9
Net rating
+7.8
107.1
Offensive rating
103.7
103.2
Defensive rating
95.9
54.7%
Effective FG%
49.1%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
48.9%
21.5%
Turnover %
17.4%
31.5%
Off. rebound %
32.1%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.25
36.1%
3-point %
30.3%
63.0%
Assist %
60.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.1 · 103.7Defence103.2 · 95.9Shooting54.7% · 49.1%3-point %36.1% · 30.3%Ball care21.5% · 17.4%Off. rebounds31.5% · 32.1%Free throws0.33 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Circus Brussels   ■ Leuven Bears
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Circus Brussels wins
4
Leuven Bears wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/24ADen Helder93-73
29/09/24AZwolle81-84
25/09/24HAntwerp Giants67-65
18/09/24HOostende72-82
13/09/24ADen Bosch81-76
03/05/24HFeyenoord93-90 OT
30/04/24ADen Helder62-57
26/04/24HKortrijk91-82
21/04/24AQSTA Utd83-89
13/04/24HOkapi Aalst75-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/24HLWD Basket85-48
02/10/24AAntwerp Giants83-78
28/09/24ALeiden77-78
14/09/24AOkapi Aalst64-51
10/05/24HOostende69-80
08/05/24AOostende64-83
03/05/24ABelfius Mons70-85
01/05/24AQSTA Utd81-60
26/04/24HLWD Basket81-60
20/04/24ADen Helder82-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Circus Brussels
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW60%
HomeLW50%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%50%67%
Points / game78.869.585.0
Allowed / game76.073.577.7
Point differential+2.8-4.0+7.3
Avg total154.8143.0162.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Leuven Bears
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
HomeW100%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %75%100%67%
Points / game77.285.074.7
Allowed / game63.848.069.0
Point differential+13.5+37.0+5.7
Avg total141.0133.0143.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kortrijk550100%99.078.8+20.2
2 Limburg440100%81.863.2+18.5
3 Oostende54180%86.873.8+13.0
4 Zwolle54180%85.284.4+0.8
5 Leuven Bears43175%77.263.8+13.5
6 Belfius Mons53260%81.677.2+4.4
7 Circus Brussels53260%78.876.0+2.8
8 Spirou Charleroi42250%85.577.2+8.2
9 Mechelen42250%80.281.5-1.2
10 Leiden63350%79.081.5-2.5
11 LWD Basket52340%79.484.6-5.2
12 BAL Weert52340%77.285.6-8.4
13 Donar Groningen62433%75.581.5-6.0
14 Den Helder62433%70.778.2-7.5
15 Antwerp Giants41325%72.275.2-3.0
16 Feyenoord41325%74.887.0-12.2
17 Den Bosch51420%83.687.4-3.8
18 Okapi Aalst51420%72.480.0-7.6
19 QSTA Utd51420%73.489.4-16.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Circus Brussels2319152178
Leuven Bears2712172076
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