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Air Force vs Colorado State Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 74-91
39-47 35-44
Position#371
Record3-20
FormLLLLL
Points / game60.8
Allowed / game77.9
vs
Position#90
Record13-10
FormWLLLW
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game70.3
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Air Force v Colorado State
10 Feb 2026
AIR 74
COLO91
25 Feb 2025
AIR 55
COLO77
09 Mar 2024
AIR 73
COLO82
07 Feb 2023
AIR 53
COLO69
22 Jan 2022
AIR 53
COLO73
18 Jan 2020
AIR 65
COLO78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Air Force winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Colorado State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Air ForceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UNLV
#192
L
39-67
39
67
-28
A03/01
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
62-99
62
99
-37
H07/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
49-91
49
91
-42
H10/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
L
62-70
62
70
-8
A14/01
NCAA
Nevada
#86
L
66-81
66
81
-15
H17/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
L
52-81
52
81
-29
A21/01
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
54-96
54
96
-42
A24/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
L
62-79
62
79
-17
H31/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
L
57-81
57
81
-24
A04/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
54-88
54
88
-34
H08/02
NCAA
1H
2H
20-35
19-32
31-45
31-54
22-45
27-46
21-27
41-43
29-40
37-41
21-38
31-43
29-48
25-48
39-44
23-35
18-48
39-33
26-45
28-43
139.0Avg total
55.7Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)60.877.9138.7-17.013%
Season at home (15)63.978.3142.2-14.520%
Season away (8)55.177.0132.1-21.90%
Last 10 (10)55.783.3139.0-27.60%
Last 5 (5)55.885.0140.8-29.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)60.378.1138.4-17.710%
vs Similar (1)72.069.0141.0+3.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Colorado State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Colorado StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Grand Canyon
#95
W
70-60
70
60
+10
A04/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
70-80
70
80
-10
H07/01
NCAA
UNLV
#192
W
70-62
70
62
+8
H10/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
L
69-79
69
79
-10
A14/01
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
73-79
73
79
-6
A17/01
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
81-52
81
52
+29
H21/01
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
61-65
61
65
-4
H24/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
50-73
50
73
-23
A29/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
L
57-68
57
68
-11
A01/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
65-57
65
57
+8
H08/02
NCAA
1H
2H
35-29
35-31
30-39
40-41
32-29
38-33
22-36
47-43
30-39
43-40
38-21
43-31
35-25
26-40
27-33
23-40
23-27
34-41
30-29
35-28
134.1Avg total
66.6Scored
67.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)75.270.3145.4+4.957%
Season at home (14)79.568.0147.5+11.564%
Season away (9)68.473.8142.2-5.344%
Last 10 (10)66.667.5134.1-0.940%
Last 5 (5)62.863.0125.8-0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)68.677.0145.6-8.420%
vs Similar (12)69.368.4137.8+0.958%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)82.067.8149.8+14.283%
This opponent (Air Force) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-20-10+0+10+201st half1st half: -15.9-15.91st half: -0.5-0.52nd half2nd half: -11.7-11.72nd half: -0.4-0.4
-20-10+0+10+201st half1st half: -15.9-15.91st half: -0.5-0.52nd half2nd half: -11.7-11.72nd half: -0.4-0.4
Air ForceColorado State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Air ForceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UNLV
#192
L
20-35
20
35
-15
A03/01
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H07/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
22-45
22
45
-23
H10/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
L
21-27
21
27
-6
A14/01
NCAA
Nevada
#86
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H17/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
L
21-38
21
38
-17
A21/01
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
29-48
29
48
-19
A24/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H31/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
L
18-48
18
48
-30
A04/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
26-45
26
45
-19
H08/02
NCAA
67.1Avg total
25.6Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)28.037.265.2-9.317%-
Last 30 at home (18)28.837.766.6-8.911%-
Last 30 away (12)26.736.563.2-9.825%-
Last 10 (10)25.641.567.1-15.90%-
Last 5 (5)26.644.671.2-18.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)27.937.465.3-9.617%-
vs Similar (1)31.032.063.0-1.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Colorado State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Colorado StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Grand Canyon
#95
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A04/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H07/01
NCAA
UNLV
#192
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H10/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
L
22-36
22
36
-14
A14/01
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A17/01
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
38-21
38
21
+17
H21/01
NCAA
Utah State
#20
W
35-25
35
25
+10
H24/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A29/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
L
23-27
23
27
-4
A01/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H08/02
NCAA
60.9Avg total
30.2Scored
30.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.331.366.6+4.063%-
Last 30 at home (18)37.930.668.4+7.378%-
Last 30 away (12)31.332.463.8-1.142%-
Last 10 (10)30.230.760.9-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)30.627.057.6+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)31.833.665.4-1.860%-
vs Similar (12)33.231.564.8+1.842%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)36.730.667.2+6.183%-
This opponent (Air Force) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Air Force wins
9
Colorado State wins
Air Forcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/26HSan Diego State54-88
04/02/26AGrand Canyon57-81
31/01/26HFresno State62-79
24/01/26ABoise State54-96
21/01/26AColorado State52-81
17/01/26HNevada66-81
14/01/26ASan Jose State62-70
10/01/26HNew Mexico49-91
07/01/26HUtah State62-99
03/01/26AUNLV39-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/26HSan Jose State65-57
01/02/26AWyoming57-68
29/01/26ASan Diego State50-73
24/01/26HUtah State61-65
21/01/26HAir Force81-52
17/01/26ABoise State73-79
14/01/26AFresno State69-79
10/01/26HUNLV70-62
07/01/26HNew Mexico70-80
04/01/26AGrand Canyon70-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Air Force
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL13%
HomeLLLLL20%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games23158
Win %13%20%0%
Points / game60.863.955.1
Allowed / game77.978.377.0
Point differential-17.0-14.5-21.9
Avg total138.7142.2132.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%13%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Colorado State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW57%
HomeLWWLW64%
AwayWLLLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games23149
Win %57%64%44%
Points / game75.279.568.4
Allowed / game70.368.073.8
Point differential+4.9+11.5-5.3
Avg total145.4147.5142.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%43%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)25% (4)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State2320387%83.868.5+15.3
2 New Mexico2418675%81.269.8+11.5
3 San Diego State2317674%80.269.9+10.3
4 Nevada2417771%77.071.2+5.8
5 Grand Canyon2315865%75.068.3+6.7
6 Boise State2415962%79.274.1+5.1
7 Colorado State23131057%75.270.3+4.9
8 Wyoming24131154%77.873.0+4.9
9 Fresno State23111248%72.771.3+1.3
10 UNLV23111248%78.878.7+0.0
11 San Jose State2361726%69.676.4-6.9
12 Air Force2332013%60.877.9-17.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Air Force393574
Colorado State474491
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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