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Air Force vs San Diego State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 54-88
26-45 28-43
Position#371
Record3-19
FormLLLLL
Points / game61.1
Allowed / game77.4
vs
Position#70
Record16-6
FormLWWLW
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game70.6
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Air Force v San Diego State
07 Feb 2026
AIR 54
SAN 88
22 Jan 2025
AIR 76
SAN 77
06 Feb 2024
AIR 64
SAN 77
21 Jan 2023
AIR 60
SAN 70
24 Jan 2021
AIR 59
SAN 91
22 Jan 2021
AIR 61
SAN 98
08 Feb 2020
AIR 74
SAN 89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Air Force winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
San Diego State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Air ForceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wyoming
#148
L
56-68
56
68
-12
H30/12
NCAA
UNLV
#192
L
39-67
39
67
-28
A03/01
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
62-99
62
99
-37
H07/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
49-91
49
91
-42
H10/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
L
62-70
62
70
-8
A14/01
NCAA
Nevada
#86
L
66-81
66
81
-15
H17/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
L
52-81
52
81
-29
A21/01
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
54-96
54
96
-42
A24/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
L
62-79
62
79
-17
H31/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
L
57-81
57
81
-24
A04/02
NCAA
1H
2H
26-36
30-32
20-35
19-32
31-45
31-54
22-45
27-46
21-27
41-43
29-40
37-41
21-38
31-43
29-48
25-48
39-44
23-35
18-48
39-33
137.2Avg total
55.9Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)61.177.4138.5-16.314%
Season at home (14)64.677.6142.2-13.121%
Season away (8)55.177.0132.1-21.90%
Last 10 (10)55.981.3137.2-25.40%
Last 5 (5)58.283.6141.8-25.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)60.377.7138.0-17.410%
vs Similar (1)72.069.0141.0+3.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (San Diego State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Diego StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boise State
#101
W
110-107 OT
110
107
+3
H04/01
NCAA
Nevada
#86
W
73-68
73
68
+5
A07/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
W
71-52
71
52
+19
H11/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
W
74-57
74
57
+17
A15/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
W
83-79
83
79
+4
H18/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
L
69-70
69
70
-1
A22/01
NCAA
UNLV
#192
W
82-71
82
71
+11
A24/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
W
73-50
73
50
+23
H29/01
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
66-71
66
71
-5
A31/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
W
72-63
72
63
+9
H04/02
NCAA
1H
2H
50-29
29-50
34-36
39-32
36-21
35-31
38-25
36-32
48-35
35-44
37-35
32-35
39-34
43-37
33-27
40-23
34-34
32-37
35-24
37-39
146.1Avg total
77.3Scored
68.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)79.870.6150.4+9.273%
Season at home (13)85.869.7155.5+16.185%
Season away (9)71.271.9143.1-0.756%
Last 10 (10)77.368.8146.1+8.580%
Last 5 (5)72.465.0137.4+7.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)60.574.8135.2-14.225%
vs Similar (14)77.675.4152.9+2.257%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)82.863.7146.5+19.292%
This opponent (Air Force) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-19-9+0+9+191st half1st half: -15.0-15.01st half: +8.4+8.42nd half2nd half: -10.4-10.42nd half: -0.2-0.2
-19-9+0+9+191st half1st half: -15.0-15.01st half: +8.4+8.42nd half2nd half: -10.4-10.42nd half: -0.2-0.2
Air ForceSan Diego State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Air ForceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wyoming
#148
L
26-36
26
36
-10
H30/12
NCAA
UNLV
#192
L
20-35
20
35
-15
A03/01
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H07/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
22-45
22
45
-23
H10/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
L
21-27
21
27
-6
A14/01
NCAA
Nevada
#86
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H17/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
L
21-38
21
38
-17
A21/01
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
29-48
29
48
-19
A24/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H31/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
L
18-48
18
48
-30
A04/02
NCAA
66.2Avg total
25.6Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)27.837.265.0-9.417%-
Last 30 at home (17)29.037.366.3-8.312%-
Last 30 away (13)26.337.163.4-10.823%-
Last 10 (10)25.640.666.2-15.00%-
Last 5 (5)27.243.670.8-16.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)27.737.465.1-9.717%-
vs Similar (1)31.032.063.0-1.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (San Diego State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Diego StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boise State
#101
W
50-29
50
29
+21
H04/01
NCAA
Nevada
#86
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A07/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
W
36-21
36
21
+15
H11/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
W
38-25
38
25
+13
A15/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H18/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A22/01
NCAA
UNLV
#192
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A24/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H29/01
NCAA
Utah State
#20
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A31/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
W
35-24
35
24
+11
H04/02
NCAA
68.4Avg total
38.4Scored
30.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.731.969.6+5.970%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.130.169.2+9.183%-
Last 30 away (12)35.734.670.2+1.150%-
Last 10 (10)38.430.068.4+8.480%-
Last 5 (5)35.630.866.4+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)31.834.866.5-3.025%-
vs Similar (14)36.231.968.1+4.364%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)41.530.872.3+10.792%-
This opponent (Air Force) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Air Force wins
10
San Diego State wins
Air Forcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/26AGrand Canyon57-81
31/01/26HFresno State62-79
24/01/26ABoise State54-96
21/01/26AColorado State52-81
17/01/26HNevada66-81
14/01/26ASan Jose State62-70
10/01/26HNew Mexico49-91
07/01/26HUtah State62-99
03/01/26AUNLV39-67
30/12/25HWyoming56-68
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/26HWyoming72-63
31/01/26AUtah State66-71
29/01/26HColorado State73-50
24/01/26AUNLV82-71
22/01/26AGrand Canyon69-70
18/01/26HNew Mexico83-79
15/01/26AWyoming74-57
11/01/26HFresno State71-52
07/01/26ANevada73-68
04/01/26HBoise State110-107 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Air Force
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL14%
HomeLLLLL21%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22148
Win %14%21%0%
Points / game61.164.655.1
Allowed / game77.477.677.0
Point differential-16.3-13.1-21.9
Avg total138.5142.2132.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
San Diego State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW73%
HomeWWWWW85%
AwayWWLWL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22139
Win %73%85%56%
Points / game79.885.871.2
Allowed / game70.669.771.9
Point differential+9.2+16.1-0.7
Avg total150.4155.5143.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%62%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)67% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %9%15%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State2219386%83.767.8+15.9
2 New Mexico2318578%80.968.8+12.0
3 San Diego State2216673%79.870.6+9.2
4 Nevada2316770%77.371.7+5.6
5 Grand Canyon2315865%75.068.3+6.7
6 Boise State2314961%78.773.4+5.3
7 Wyoming23131057%77.672.4+5.2
8 Colorado State22121055%75.670.9+4.8
9 Fresno State22111150%73.371.5+1.9
10 UNLV23111248%78.878.7+0.0
11 San Jose State2261627%70.177.0-6.8
12 Air Force2231914%61.177.4-16.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Air Force262854
San Diego State454388
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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