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Copenhagen vs Vaerlose Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 17 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 85-84
27-25 25-14 17-18 16-27
Position#4
Record5-7
FormWWLLL
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game79.7
vs
Position#7
Record5-6
FormLLLWL
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game86.6
DenmarkBasketligaen· N
Other2023-24
Meetings · Copenhagen v Vaerlose
22 Sep 2026
COPE88
VAER74
12 Dec 2025
COPE91
VAER73
01 Feb 2025
COPE86
VAER61
17 Dec 2023
COPE85
VAER84
28 Apr 2023
COPE87
VAER69
04 Apr 2023
COPE75
VAER79
21 Oct 2022
COPE91
VAER89
08 Mar 2022
COPE92
VAER78
04 Dec 2021
COPE84
VAER79
26 Jan 2021
COPE70
VAER89
11 Feb 2020
COPE84
VAER96
04 Oct 2019
COPE97
VAER96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Copenhagen winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vaerlose winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CopenhagenDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCopenhagen
Date
Competition
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
80-87
80
87
-7
72avg 72
A05/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
65-84
65
84
-19
51avg 72
H12/10
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
W
96-73
96
73
+23
92avg 72
A22/10
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
99-86
99
86
+13
88avg 72
H27/10
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
79-56
79
56
+23
68avg 72
H03/11
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
99-53
99
53
+46
93avg 72
A10/11
Basketligaen
Amager
#13
W
84-59
84
59
+25
no box
H12/11
Denmark Cup
Team FOG Naestved
#1
L
62-103
62
103
-41
no box
H02/12
Denmark Cup
Bakken Bears
#1
L
92-102
92
102
-10
74avg 72
H09/12
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
L
64-78
64
78
-14
no box
A14/12
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-17
16-21
28-20
17-29
17-16
11-24
20-28
17-16
25-14
26-17
23-21
22-21
19-17
24-24
35-24
21-21
23-11
22-17
15-16
19-12
23-17
28-9
25-13
23-14
22-4
28-19
18-19
16-17
11-29
15-17
19-30
17-27
23-22
22-31
15-25
32-24
17-23
19-18
17-14
11-23
160.1Avg total
82.0Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)82.979.7162.6+3.242%
Season at home (6)84.382.7167.0+1.750%
Season away (6)81.576.7158.2+4.833%
Last 10 (10)82.078.1160.1+3.950%
Last 5 (5)80.279.0159.2+1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)75.495.6171.0-20.10%
vs Similar (11)80.576.8157.3+3.664%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)86.372.6158.9+13.682%
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VaerloseDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVaerlose
Date
Competition
Amager
#11
W
102-83
102
83
+19
92avg 70
A28/09
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
85-78
85
78
+7
77avg 70
H07/10
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
79-70
79
70
+9
72avg 70
A14/10
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
L
79-83
79
83
-4
70avg 70
H22/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
56-88
56
88
-32
34avg 70
A29/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
72-118
72
118
-46
59avg 70
A05/11
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
L
85-94
85
94
-9
72avg 70
H07/11
Basketligaen
Horsens
#4
L
71-90
71
90
-19
no box
H12/11
Denmark Cup
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
W
78-70
78
70
+8
60avg 70
A16/11
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
95-99
95
99
-4
87avg 70
H09/12
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-20
20-19
29-21
24-23
23-19
16-19
19-22
27-18
13-21
20-12
22-18
24-19
21-27
28-11
13-18
17-27
16-15
12-25
11-29
17-19
10-27
26-30
22-30
14-31
20-21
25-21
17-31
23-21
15-17
21-31
19-20
16-22
26-11
17-23
20-22
15-14
23-35
24-22
26-18
22-24
167.5Avg total
80.2Scored
87.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)80.886.6167.5-5.845%
Season at home (5)84.084.8168.8-0.840%
Season away (6)78.288.2166.3-10.050%
Last 10 (10)80.287.3167.5-7.140%
Last 5 (5)80.294.2174.4-14.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)77.092.1169.1-15.112%
vs Similar (10)76.780.7157.4-4.050%
vs Weaker (10)86.074.0160.0+12.070%
This opponent (Copenhagen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -1.9-1.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -1.9-1.9
CopenhagenVaerlose
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CopenhagenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A05/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
28-40
28
40
-12
H12/10
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
W
51-31
51
31
+20
A22/10
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H27/10
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
45-28
45
28
+17
H03/11
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
51-26
51
26
+25
A10/11
Basketligaen
Amager
#13
W
50-23
50
23
+27
H12/11
Denmark Cup
Team FOG Naestved
#1
L
26-46
26
46
-20
H02/12
Denmark Cup
Bakken Bears
#1
L
45-53
45
53
-8
H09/12
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A14/12
Basketligaen
77.7Avg total
41.0Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.538.680.1+2.860%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.039.381.3+2.771%-
Last 30 away (13)40.837.878.5+3.046%-
Last 10 (10)41.036.777.7+4.350%-
Last 5 (5)41.637.879.4+3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)35.945.981.7-10.00%-
vs Similar (11)40.537.678.1+2.882%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)45.336.581.7+8.873%-
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Amager
#11
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A28/09
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H07/10
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A14/10
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H22/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A29/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
36-57
36
57
-21
A05/11
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H07/11
Basketligaen
Horsens
#4
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H12/11
Denmark Cup
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A16/11
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
47-57
47
57
-10
H09/12
Basketligaen
83.1Avg total
40.5Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.040.179.1-1.050%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.240.581.7+0.757%-
Last 30 away (16)37.139.776.8-2.644%-
Last 10 (10)40.542.683.1-2.150%-
Last 5 (5)41.447.689.0-6.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)41.445.286.6-3.950%-
vs Similar (10)37.038.275.2-1.240%-
vs Weaker (10)42.035.977.9+6.170%-
This opponent (Copenhagen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Copenhagentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Copenhagen: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.720.1
48.2%
51.8%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.79.2
32.1%
31.7%27.6
🏀 Free throws19.512.3
63.1%
67.0%12.3
They take 70.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vaerlosetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vaerlose: 79.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.020.9
47.5%
51.8%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.17.3
29.1%
31.7%21.9
🏀 Free throws23.216.2
69.8%
67.0%16.2
They take 69.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Copenhagen
LLLWWWWWLL
Vaerlose
LWLLLLLWWW
#4
League position
#7
+5.2
Net rating
-5.4
100.7
Offensive rating
98.2
95.5
Defensive rating
103.6
48.2%
Effective FG%
46.1%
49.8%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
19.9%
Turnover %
20.1%
34.8%
Off. rebound %
32.6%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.34
32.1%
3-point %
29.1%
52.6%
Assist %
53.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence100.7 · 98.2Defence95.5 · 103.6Shooting48.2% · 46.1%3-point %32.1% · 29.1%Ball care19.9% · 20.1%Off. rebounds34.8% · 32.6%Free throws0.28 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Copenhagen   ■ Vaerlose
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Copenhagen wins
3
Vaerlose wins
DateGameScore
23/09/23Vaerlose v Copenhagen76-70
28/04/23Copenhagen v Vaerlose87-69
04/04/23Copenhagen v Vaerlose75-79
07/03/23Vaerlose v Copenhagen79-91
11/01/23Vaerlose v Copenhagen87-90 OT
21/10/22Copenhagen v Vaerlose91-89 OT
22/04/22Vaerlose v Copenhagen96-86
17/04/22Vaerlose v Copenhagen73-77
08/03/22Copenhagen v Vaerlose92-78
04/12/21Copenhagen v Vaerlose84-79
Copenhagenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/23ASvendborg64-78
09/12/23HBakken Bears92-102
02/12/23HTeam FOG Naestved62-103
12/11/23HAmager84-59
10/11/23AAmager99-53
03/11/23HBears Academy79-56
27/10/23HHerlev Wolfpack99-86
22/10/23AHolbaek-Stenhus96-73
12/10/23HHorsens65-84
05/10/23ATeam FOG Naestved80-87
Vaerloselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/23HTeam FOG Naestved95-99
16/11/23AHolbaek-Stenhus78-70
12/11/23HHorsens71-90
07/11/23HRanders85-94
05/11/23ABakken Bears72-118
29/10/23AHorsens56-88
22/10/23HSvendborg79-83
14/10/23AHerlev Wolfpack79-70
07/10/23HBears Academy85-78
28/09/23AAmager102-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Copenhagen
Basketligaen 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL42%
HomeWLWWL50%
AwayLLWWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %42%50%33%
Points / game82.984.381.5
Allowed / game79.782.776.7
Point differential+3.2+1.7+4.8
Avg total162.6167.0158.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %8%17%0%
Vaerlose
Basketligaen 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL45%
HomeWWLLL40%
AwayWWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %45%40%50%
Points / game80.884.078.2
Allowed / game86.684.888.2
Point differential-5.8-0.8-10.0
Avg total167.5168.8166.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%0%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears11110100%99.576.3+23.3
2 Svendborg1311285%88.377.2+11.2
3 Horsens129375%89.871.1+18.8
4 Team FOG Naestved118373%96.182.2+13.9
5 Randers127558%95.485.3+10.1
6 Vaerlose115645%80.886.6-5.8
7 Copenhagen125742%82.979.7+3.2
8 Bears Academy113827%74.980.9-6.0
9 Herlev Wolfpack112918%69.985.2-15.3
10 Holbaek-Stenhus1221017%67.892.8-25.0
11 Amager121118%72.2100.6-28.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Copenhagen2725171685
Vaerlose2514182784
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