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Copenhagen vs Vaerlose Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 86-61
23-19 23-13 23-11 17-18
Position#8
Record5-12
FormLLWWL
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game86.2
vs
Position#10
Record5-12
FormWLLLW
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game89.1
DenmarkBasketligaen· N
Other2024-25
Meetings · Copenhagen v Vaerlose
22 Sep 2026
COPE88
VAER74
12 Dec 2025
COPE91
VAER73
01 Feb 2025
COPE86
VAER61
17 Dec 2023
COPE85
VAER84
28 Apr 2023
COPE87
VAER69
04 Apr 2023
COPE75
VAER79
21 Oct 2022
COPE91
VAER89
08 Mar 2022
COPE92
VAER78
04 Dec 2021
COPE84
VAER79
26 Jan 2021
COPE70
VAER89
11 Feb 2020
COPE84
VAER96
04 Oct 2019
COPE97
VAER96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Copenhagen winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vaerlose winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CopenhagenDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCopenhagen
Date
Competition
Vejen
#6
L
73-75
73
75
-2
no box
A17/11
Denmark Cup
Amager
#6
W
91-78
91
78
+13
84avg 74
H05/12
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
96-59
96
59
+37
94avg 74
A07/12
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
L
74-79
74
79
-5
66avg 74
A10/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
78-90
78
90
-12
62avg 74
A17/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
76-95
76
95
-19
60avg 74
A30/12
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
78-99
78
99
-21
68avg 74
A05/01
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
90-85 OT
90
85
+5
78avg 74
H10/01
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
90-76
90
76
+14
80avg 74
A17/01
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
L
73-88
73
88
-15
63avg 74
H30/01
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-25
15-10
16-20
21-20
26-19
24-20
21-24
20-15
15-12
25-16
19-14
37-17
17-17
22-24
17-24
18-14
24-39
21-19
29-15
4-17
15-25
20-22
23-21
18-27
15-20
16-24
23-26
24-29
16-17
27-25
19-15
18-23
27-23
17-17
20-22
26-14
15-27
23-25
20-17
15-19
164.3Avg total
81.9Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)81.986.2168.1-4.229%
Season at home (8)84.686.2170.9-1.638%
Season away (9)79.686.1165.7-6.622%
Last 10 (10)81.982.4164.3-0.540%
Last 5 (5)81.488.6170.0-7.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)78.891.3170.1-12.60%
vs Similar (6)85.784.2169.8+1.567%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)85.675.4161.0+10.386%
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VaerloseDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVaerlose
Date
Competition
Horsens
#3
L
64-95
64
95
-31
no box
A01/12
Denmark Cup
Randers
#5
L
68-79
68
79
-11
58avg 71
H04/12
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
L
88-90
88
90
-2
83avg 71
H07/12
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#8
W
79-74
79
74
+5
71avg 71
H10/12
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
80-70
80
70
+10
69avg 71
A21/12
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
105-80
105
80
+25
98avg 71
A27/12
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
L
70-86
70
86
-16
62avg 71
H05/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
73-98
73
98
-25
60avg 71
H12/01
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
93-125
93
125
-32
82avg 71
A16/01
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
W
84-77
84
77
+7
80avg 71
H30/01
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-18
16-27
18-30
21-20
20-27
15-13
17-17
16-22
18-21
26-25
26-22
18-22
17-17
24-22
24-17
14-18
13-11
27-25
14-11
26-23
30-24
21-21
22-18
32-17
18-29
17-22
19-20
16-15
19-28
23-24
23-26
8-20
23-35
22-32
25-29
23-29
20-21
24-23
22-14
18-19
167.8Avg total
80.4Scored
87.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)78.189.1167.2-10.929%
Season at home (9)77.084.9161.9-7.933%
Season away (8)79.493.8173.1-14.425%
Last 10 (10)80.487.4167.8-7.040%
Last 5 (5)85.093.2178.2-8.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)77.292.8170.0-15.617%
vs Similar (6)84.578.2162.7+6.367%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Copenhagen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: -4.4-4.4Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -1.3-1.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: -4.4-4.4Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -1.3-1.3
CopenhagenVaerlose
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CopenhagenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vejen
#6
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A17/11
Denmark Cup
Amager
#6
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H05/12
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
40-28
40
28
+12
A07/12
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A10/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
45-58
45
58
-13
A17/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A30/12
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A05/01
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H10/01
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A17/01
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
L
38-52
38
52
-14
H30/01
Basketligaen
82.7Avg total
40.1Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.341.983.1-0.657%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.041.184.1+1.971%-
Last 30 away (16)39.842.582.2-2.844%-
Last 10 (10)40.142.682.7-2.550%-
Last 5 (5)38.245.083.2-6.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)38.846.985.7-8.122%-
vs Similar (6)45.743.288.8+2.567%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)41.438.679.9+2.871%-
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Horsens
#3
L
25-45
25
45
-20
A01/12
Denmark Cup
Randers
#5
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H04/12
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H07/12
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#8
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H10/12
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A21/12
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A27/12
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
L
35-51
35
51
-16
H05/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
42-52
42
52
-10
H12/01
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
45-67
45
67
-22
A16/01
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H30/01
Basketligaen
86.7Avg total
40.2Scored
46.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.243.583.7-3.333%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.244.385.5-3.120%-
Last 30 away (15)39.242.781.9-3.547%-
Last 10 (10)40.246.586.7-6.330%-
Last 5 (5)43.451.895.2-8.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)39.045.084.1-6.022%-
vs Similar (6)42.338.781.0+3.767%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Copenhagen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Copenhagentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Copenhagen: 82.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.920.2
51.9%
51.9%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.09.6
32.0%
32.6%28.8
🏀 Free throws18.313.1
71.6%
70.2%13.1
They take 68.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vaerlosetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vaerlose: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.418.8
50.3%
51.9%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.38.5
29.0%
32.6%25.5
🏀 Free throws23.916.4
68.6%
70.2%16.4
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Copenhagen
LWWLLLLWWL
Vaerlose
WLLLWWWLLL
#8
League position
#10
-1.7
Net rating
-8.8
106.5
Offensive rating
98.8
108.2
Defensive rating
107.7
50.2%
Effective FG%
47.3%
49.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
16.3%
Turnover %
20.7%
29.4%
Off. rebound %
31.5%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.36
32.0%
3-point %
29.0%
57.7%
Assist %
69.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence106.5 · 98.8Defence108.2 · 107.7Shooting50.2% · 47.3%3-point %32.0% · 29.0%Ball care16.3% · 20.7%Off. rebounds29.4% · 31.5%Free throws0.27 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Copenhagen   ■ Vaerlose
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Copenhagen wins
4
Vaerlose wins
DateGameScore
10/12/24Vaerlose v Copenhagen79-74
17/12/23Copenhagen v Vaerlose85-84
23/09/23Vaerlose v Copenhagen76-70
28/04/23Copenhagen v Vaerlose87-69
04/04/23Copenhagen v Vaerlose75-79
07/03/23Vaerlose v Copenhagen79-91
11/01/23Vaerlose v Copenhagen87-90 OT
21/10/22Copenhagen v Vaerlose91-89 OT
22/04/22Vaerlose v Copenhagen96-86
17/04/22Vaerlose v Copenhagen73-77
Copenhagenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/25HSvendborg73-88
17/01/25AHerlev Wolfpack90-76
10/01/25HHolbaek-Stenhus90-85 OT
05/01/25AHorsens78-99
30/12/24ABakken Bears76-95
17/12/24ATeam FOG Naestved78-90
10/12/24AVaerlose74-79
07/12/24ABears Academy96-59
05/12/24HAmager91-78
17/11/24AVejen73-75
Vaerloselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/25HAmager84-77
16/01/25ATeam FOG Naestved93-125
12/01/25HBakken Bears73-98
05/01/25HSvendborg70-86
27/12/24AHerlev Wolfpack105-80
21/12/24ABears Academy80-70
10/12/24HCopenhagen79-74
07/12/24HHolbaek-Stenhus88-90
04/12/24HRanders68-79
01/12/24AHorsens64-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Copenhagen
Basketligaen 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL29%
HomeWLWWL38%
AwayLLLLW22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %29%38%22%
Points / game81.984.679.6
Allowed / game86.286.286.1
Point differential-4.2-1.6-6.6
Avg total168.1170.9165.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%12%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)40% (5)0% (2)
Overtime %6%12%0%
Vaerlose
Basketligaen 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW29%
HomeLWLLW33%
AwayLLWWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %29%33%25%
Points / game78.177.079.4
Allowed / game89.184.993.8
Point differential-10.9-7.9-14.4
Avg total167.2161.9173.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Svendborg1716194%89.172.6+16.5
2 Team FOG Naestved1816289%99.787.4+12.2
3 Bakken Bears1814478%95.981.3+14.7
4 Horsens1713476%89.379.8+9.5
5 Randers1913668%92.681.1+11.5
6 Copenhagen1751229%81.986.2-4.2
7 Vaerlose1751229%78.189.1-10.9
8 Amager1741324%85.695.7-10.1
9 Herlev Wolfpack1841422%79.489.9-10.5
10 Holbaek-Stenhus1841422%78.394.4-16.1
11 Bears Academy1831517%75.788.9-13.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Copenhagen2323231786
Vaerlose1913111861
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