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Copenhagen vs Vaerlose Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 12 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 91-73
27-20 24-15 21-16 19-22
Position#7
Record8-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game88.3
Allowed / game85.1
vs
Position#6
Record8-4
FormLWWWW
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game85.3
DenmarkBasketligaen· N
Other2025-26
Meetings · Copenhagen v Vaerlose
22 Sep 2026
COPE88
VAER74
12 Dec 2025
COPE91
VAER73
01 Feb 2025
COPE86
VAER61
17 Dec 2023
COPE85
VAER84
28 Apr 2023
COPE87
VAER69
04 Apr 2023
COPE75
VAER79
21 Oct 2022
COPE91
VAER89
08 Mar 2022
COPE92
VAER78
04 Dec 2021
COPE84
VAER79
26 Jan 2021
COPE70
VAER89
11 Feb 2020
COPE84
VAER96
04 Oct 2019
COPE97
VAER96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Copenhagen winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vaerlose winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CopenhagenDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCopenhagen
Date
Competition
Horsens
#5
L
83-84
83
84
-1
79avg 73
A30/09
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
99-75
99
75
+24
89avg 73
H10/10
Basketligaen
Amager
#13
W
112-78
112
78
+34
105avg 73
A17/10
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
L
85-94
85
94
-9
69avg 73
A22/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#2
L
91-106
91
106
-15
75avg 73
H29/10
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
W
100-74
100
74
+26
96avg 73
H01/11
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
74-73
74
73
+1
61avg 73
A04/11
Basketligaen
Randers
#4
W
73-70
73
70
+3
58avg 73
H14/11
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
91-88
91
88
+3
82avg 73
H19/11
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
W
88-85
88
85
+3
83avg 73
A23/11
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-22
15-24
26-21
17-17
29-14
23-15
18-21
29-25
30-19
22-21
29-15
31-23
10-24
33-21
18-32
24-17
23-28
15-32
22-20
31-26
24-15
22-17
25-17
29-25
19-25
18-15
21-13
16-20
16-19
19-10
19-16
19-25
19-26
25-25
22-17
25-20
27-8
17-29
23-31
21-17
172.3Avg total
89.6Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)88.385.1173.4+3.267%
Season at home (6)92.382.0174.3+10.383%
Season away (6)84.388.2172.5-3.850%
Last 10 (10)89.682.7172.3+6.970%
Last 5 (5)85.278.0163.2+7.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)78.594.3172.8-15.816%
vs Similar (2)90.080.5170.5+9.5100%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)94.874.3169.1+20.4100%
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VaerloseDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVaerlose
Date
Competition
Svendborg
#3
L
68-124
68
124
-56
59avg 71
H09/10
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
91-72
91
72
+19
91avg 71
A12/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#2
L
57-115
57
115
-58
44avg 71
A15/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#5
L
60-74
60
74
-14
48avg 71
H26/10
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
87-83
87
83
+4
76avg 71
H29/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#5
L
72-98
72
98
-26
56avg 71
A02/11
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#10
W
93-76
93
76
+17
no box
H06/11
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
W
59-58
59
58
+1
56avg 71
A15/11
Basketligaen
Amager
#13
W
91-80
91
80
+11
88avg 71
A20/11
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
95-87
95
87
+8
94avg 71
H22/11
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-36
13-31
24-25
13-32
20-23
18-14
35-17
18-18
10-28
15-29
12-24
20-34
17-19
9-20
17-18
17-17
24-23
22-20
27-25
14-15
16-35
15-14
24-29
17-20
19-25
25-17
26-20
23-14
10-21
18-17
16-9
15-11
13-16
31-22
28-18
19-24
17-21
32-18
26-20
20-28
164.0Avg total
77.3Scored
86.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)78.485.3163.8-6.967%
Season at home (6)80.586.7167.2-6.267%
Season away (6)76.384.0160.3-7.767%
Last 10 (10)77.386.7164.0-9.460%
Last 5 (5)82.079.8161.8+2.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)72.294.5166.8-22.315%
vs Similar (16)86.381.6167.9+4.875%
vs Weaker (1)93.076.0169.0+17.0100%
This opponent (Copenhagen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -8.3-8.3Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: -3.7-3.7
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -8.3-8.3Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: -3.7-3.7
CopenhagenVaerlose
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CopenhagenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Horsens
#5
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A30/09
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
52-29
52
29
+23
H10/10
Basketligaen
Amager
#13
W
52-40
52
40
+12
A17/10
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A22/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#2
L
38-60
38
60
-22
H29/10
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H01/11
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A04/11
Basketligaen
Randers
#4
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H14/11
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H19/11
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A23/11
Basketligaen
84.0Avg total
43.1Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.743.385.0-1.647%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.141.185.2+3.160%-
Last 30 away (15)39.345.584.7-6.233%-
Last 10 (10)43.140.984.0+2.250%-
Last 5 (5)41.237.879.0+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)38.546.985.5-8.426%-
vs Similar (2)43.541.084.5+2.5100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)48.036.084.0+12.078%-
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Svendborg
#3
L
31-67
31
67
-36
H09/10
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A12/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#2
L
25-57
25
57
-32
A15/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#5
L
26-39
26
39
-13
H26/10
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H29/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#5
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A02/11
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#10
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H06/11
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A15/11
Basketligaen
Amager
#13
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A20/11
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H22/11
Basketligaen
81.1Avg total
36.2Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.645.686.2-5.047%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.146.288.3-4.153%-
Last 30 away (15)39.045.084.0-6.040%-
Last 10 (10)36.244.981.1-8.750%-
Last 5 (5)39.241.280.4-2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)35.150.285.2-15.18%-
vs Similar (16)44.842.186.9+2.775%-
vs Weaker (1)44.042.086.0+2.0100%-
This opponent (Copenhagen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Copenhagentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Copenhagen: 88.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.721.6
54.4%
54.6%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.710.1
31.9%
32.9%30.3
🏀 Free throws22.315.1
67.7%
70.1%15.1
They take 71.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vaerlosetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vaerlose: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.619.0
53.4%
54.6%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.36.6
27.2%
32.9%19.8
🏀 Free throws25.317.2
68.0%
70.1%17.2
They take 59.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Copenhagen
WWWWWLLWWL
Vaerlose
WWWWLWLLWL
#7
League position
#6
+8.3
Net rating
-12.9
107.2
Offensive rating
90.3
98.9
Defensive rating
103.2
51.5%
Effective FG%
48.2%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
48.8%
18.0%
Turnover %
25.0%
30.9%
Off. rebound %
23.4%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.42
31.9%
3-point %
27.2%
62.1%
Assist %
64.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.2 · 90.3Defence98.9 · 103.2Shooting51.5% · 48.2%3-point %31.9% · 27.2%Ball care18.0% · 25.0%Off. rebounds30.9% · 23.4%Free throws0.31 · 0.42Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Copenhagen   ■ Vaerlose
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Copenhagen wins
4
Vaerlose wins
DateGameScore
01/02/25Copenhagen v Vaerlose86-61
10/12/24Vaerlose v Copenhagen79-74
17/12/23Copenhagen v Vaerlose85-84
23/09/23Vaerlose v Copenhagen76-70
28/04/23Copenhagen v Vaerlose87-69
04/04/23Copenhagen v Vaerlose75-79
07/03/23Vaerlose v Copenhagen79-91
11/01/23Vaerlose v Copenhagen87-90 OT
21/10/22Copenhagen v Vaerlose91-89 OT
22/04/22Vaerlose v Copenhagen96-86
Copenhagenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/25AVejen88-85
19/11/25HHolbaek-Stenhus91-88
14/11/25HRanders73-70
04/11/25AHolbaek-Stenhus74-73
01/11/25HVejen100-74
29/10/25HTeam FOG Naestved91-106
22/10/25ASvendborg85-94
17/10/25AAmager112-78
10/10/25HBears Academy99-75
30/09/25AHorsens83-84
Vaerloselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/25HBears Academy95-87
20/11/25AAmager91-80
15/11/25AVejen59-58
06/11/25HBMS Herlev93-76
02/11/25AHorsens72-98
29/10/25HHolbaek-Stenhus87-83
26/10/25HHorsens60-74
15/10/25ATeam FOG Naestved57-115
12/10/25ABears Academy91-72
09/10/25HSvendborg68-124

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Copenhagen
Basketligaen 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW67%
HomeWLWWW83%
AwayLWLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %67%83%50%
Points / game88.392.384.3
Allowed / game85.182.088.2
Point differential+3.2+10.3-3.8
Avg total173.4174.3172.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Vaerlose
Basketligaen 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW67%
HomeLLWWW67%
AwayWLLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game78.480.576.3
Allowed / game85.386.784.0
Point differential-6.9-6.2-7.7
Avg total163.8167.2160.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%17%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Team FOG Naestved1211192%110.984.2+26.7
2 Bakken Bears1110191%106.273.2+33.0
3 Horsens1311285%87.874.0+13.8
4 Randers1310377%94.583.1+11.4
5 Svendborg118373%93.877.8+16.0
6 Copenhagen128467%88.385.1+3.2
7 Vaerlose128467%78.485.3-6.9
8 BMS Herlev113827%83.094.0-11.0
9 Vejen121118%71.892.5-20.7
10 Holbaek-Stenhus131128%77.291.5-14.3
11 Amager131128%78.9100.8-21.8
12 Bears Academy131128%77.8101.2-23.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Copenhagen2724211991
Vaerlose2015162273
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