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Crailsheim Merlins vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 22 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 62-97
17-29 15-25 15-11 15-32
Position#17
Record1-2
FormLLWLL
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game100.3
vs
Bayern 🏆
Germany
Position#1
Record2-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game81.0
GermanyBBLRound 4· Arena Hohenlohe
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Crailsheim Merlins v Bayern
22 Oct 2023
CME62
BAY97
23 Apr 2023
CME69
BAY78
26 Dec 2021
CME77
BAY68
25 May 2021
CME72
BAY86
23 May 2021
CME96
BAY82
21 Mar 2021
CME74
BAY79
26 Oct 2020
CME63
BAY80
08 Jun 2020
CME79
BAY110
15 Apr 2020
CME v BAY
upcoming
04 Nov 2018
CME71
BAY96
22 Apr 2016
CME78
BAY89
23 Nov 2014
CME66
BAY103
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Crailsheim Merlins winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Crailsheim MerlinsGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMerlins
Date
Competition
Wurzburg
#11
L
85-86
85
86
-1
79avg 78
H15/04
BBL
Bayern
#3
L
69-78
69
78
-9
53avg 78
H23/04
BBL
Hamburg
#15
L
66-77
66
77
-11
58avg 78
A25/04
BBL
Bamberg
#9
W
101-92
101
92
+9
99avg 78
H29/04
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
W
84-83
84
83
+1
79avg 78
H05/05
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
L
69-79
69
79
-10
64avg 78
A07/05
BBL
Giessen
#13
L
73-79
73
79
-6
64avg 78
A23/09
German Cup
Rostock
#15
W
85-81
85
81
+4
79avg 78
H29/09
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
75-110
75
110
-35
61avg 78
A02/10
BBL
Gottingen
#14
L
104-110 OT
104
110
-6
no box
A07/10
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-20
25-16
18-31
18-19
12-13
19-15
24-22
14-28
18-17
12-21
16-15
20-24
26-18
29-18
26-28
20-28
17-23
27-24
18-20
22-16
20-17
19-17
12-28
18-17
17-26
18-16
14-20
24-17
19-23
20-12
25-23
21-23
14-30
26-29
18-30
17-21
17-26
27-13
21-21
25-30
168.6Avg total
81.1Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)88.0100.3188.3-12.333%
Season at home (1)85.081.0166.0+4.0100%
Season away (2)89.5110.0199.5-20.50%
Last 10 (10)81.187.5168.6-6.430%
Last 5 (5)81.291.8173.0-10.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)85.092.6177.6-7.623%
vs Similar (15)84.285.9170.1-1.740%
vs Weaker (1)78.073.0151.0+5.0100%
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Ulm
#4
L
88-93
88
93
-5
87avg 73
H30/05
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
102-104 OT
102
104
-2
no box
A02/06
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
96-87
96
87
+9
97avg 73
H29/09
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
L
67-77
67
77
-10
62avg 73
A02/10
BBL
Alba Berlin
#18
W
80-68
80
68
+12
74avg 73
H05/10
Euroleague
Hamburg
#10
W
90-79
90
79
+11
85avg 73
H08/10
BBL
Panathinaikos
#2
L
71-78
71
78
-7
58avg 73
A12/10
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#24
W
101-73
101
73
+28
103avg 73
H15/10
German Cup
Baskonia
#9
W
76-68
76
68
+8
73avg 73
A17/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
L
59-98
59
98
-39
48avg 73
A20/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-27
19-17
17-27
32-22
22-29
21-17
19-28
30-18
22-22
28-18
23-23
23-24
26-21
13-24
15-13
13-19
19-17
17-27
25-7
19-17
28-31
26-10
15-17
21-21
11-23
19-14
18-17
23-24
32-20
23-15
25-17
21-21
20-22
21-20
16-20
19-6
11-27
16-16
13-27
19-28
165.5Avg total
83.0Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)84.381.0165.3+3.367%
Season at home (2)93.083.0176.0+10.0100%
Season away (1)67.077.0144.0-10.00%
Last 10 (10)83.082.5165.5+0.550%
Last 5 (5)79.479.2158.6+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)69.584.8154.2-15.20%
vs Similar (9)79.885.2165.0-5.422%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)81.873.7155.5+8.181%
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: -4.6-4.6Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +2.0+2.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: -4.6-4.6Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +2.0+2.0
Crailsheim MerlinsBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Crailsheim MerlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wurzburg
#11
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H15/04
BBL
Bayern
#3
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H23/04
BBL
Hamburg
#15
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A25/04
BBL
Bamberg
#9
W
55-36
55
36
+19
H29/04
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H05/05
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A07/05
BBL
Giessen
#13
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A23/09
German Cup
Rostock
#15
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H29/09
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
40-59
40
59
-19
A02/10
BBL
Gottingen
#14
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A07/10
BBL
80.0Avg total
40.6Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.942.884.7-1.047%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.940.983.8+2.157%-
Last 30 away (16)40.944.685.5-3.638%-
Last 10 (10)40.639.480.0+1.260%-
Last 5 (5)39.441.881.2-2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)39.743.883.5-4.238%-
vs Similar (15)44.641.986.5+2.760%-
vs Weaker (1)36.044.080.0-8.00%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ulm
#4
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H30/05
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A02/06
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H29/09
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A02/10
BBL
Alba Berlin
#18
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H05/10
Euroleague
Hamburg
#10
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H08/10
BBL
Panathinaikos
#2
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A12/10
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#24
W
55-35
55
35
+20
H15/10
German Cup
Baskonia
#9
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A17/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
L
27-43
27
43
-16
A20/10
Euroleague
83.1Avg total
41.4Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.639.279.7+1.437%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.038.983.9+6.160%-
Last 30 away (15)36.139.475.5-3.313%-
Last 10 (10)41.441.783.1-0.330%-
Last 5 (5)41.439.681.0+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)33.241.274.5-8.00%-
vs Similar (9)38.841.980.7-3.122%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)42.537.479.9+5.150%-
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Crailsheim Merlinstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crailsheim Merlins: 77.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.717.6
50.7%
54.6%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.29.3
35.5%
35.4%27.9
🏀 Free throws20.414.3
70.1%
76.0%14.3
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.117.6
53.2%
54.6%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.29.1
32.3%
35.4%27.3
🏀 Free throws19.716.4
83.2%
76.0%16.4
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Crailsheim Merlins
LLWLLWWLLL
Bayern
LWWLWWLWLL
#17
League position
#1
-8.4
Net rating
-1.3
103.7
Offensive rating
110.4
112.2
Defensive rating
111.7
51.8%
Effective FG%
51.0%
49.2%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
20.1%
Turnover %
18.9%
28.6%
Off. rebound %
35.7%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.32
35.5%
3-point %
32.3%
55.8%
Assist %
56.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence103.7 · 110.4Defence112.2 · 111.7Shooting51.8% · 51.0%3-point %35.5% · 32.3%Ball care20.1% · 18.9%Off. rebounds28.6% · 35.7%Free throws0.33 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Crailsheim Merlins   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Crailsheim Merlins wins
7
Bayern wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/10/23AGottingen104-110 OT
02/10/23AAlba Berlin75-110
29/09/23HRostock85-81
23/09/23AGiessen73-79
07/05/23ASyntainics MBC69-79
05/05/23HFrankfurt84-83
29/04/23HBamberg101-92
25/04/23AHamburg66-77
23/04/23HBayern69-78
15/04/23HWurzburg85-86
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/10/23ABarcelona59-98
17/10/23ABaskonia76-68
15/10/23HOldenburg101-73
12/10/23APanathinaikos71-78
08/10/23HHamburg90-79
05/10/23HAlba Berlin80-68
02/10/23AOldenburg67-77
29/09/23HSyntainics MBC96-87
02/06/23AUlm102-104 OT
30/05/23HUlm88-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Crailsheim Merlins
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game88.085.089.5
Allowed / game100.381.0110.0
Point differential-12.3+4.0-20.5
Avg total188.3166.0199.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %33%0%50%
Bayern
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game84.393.067.0
Allowed / game81.083.077.0
Point differential+3.3+10.0-10.0
Avg total165.3176.0144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ulm440100%95.883.8+12.0
2 Alba Berlin43175%96.584.0+12.5
3 Chemnitz43175%89.278.2+11.0
4 Vechta43175%92.082.0+10.0
5 Oldenburg43175%87.282.5+4.8
6 Wurzburg32167%77.370.7+6.7
7 Bayern32167%84.381.0+3.3
8 Bonn42250%86.582.8+3.8
9 Basketball Braunschweig42250%83.283.2+0.0
10 Gottingen21150%86.590.5-4.0
11 Ludwigsburg31233%81.079.3+1.7
12 Rostock31233%97.397.3+0.0
13 Crailsheim Merlins31233%88.0100.3-12.3
14 Bamberg31233%84.098.7-14.7
15 Heidelberg41325%92.897.0-4.2
16 Tubingen41325%82.093.0-11.0
17 Hamburg41325%75.587.8-12.2
18 Syntainics MBC4040%80.893.8-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Crailsheim Merlins1715151562
Bayern2925113297
← all games of the day
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