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Crailsheim Merlins vs Ludwigsburg Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 89-100
22-28 22-24 23-23 22-25
Position#17
Record4-15
FormWLLLW
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game93.6
vs
Position#9
Record12-7
FormWLLWW
Points / game88.9
Allowed / game79.6
GermanyBBLRound 20· Arena Hohenlohe
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Crailsheim Merlins v Ludwigsburg
10 Feb 2024
CME89
LUD100
21 Jan 2023
CME106
LUD87
03 Dec 2022
CME69
LUD95
11 Dec 2021
CME72
LUD61
02 Oct 2021
CME65
LUD63
14 Mar 2021
CME68
LUD58
09 Nov 2019
CME83
LUD92
27 Apr 2019
CME85
LUD94
09 Apr 2016
CME74
LUD75
02 Apr 2015
CME89
LUD81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Crailsheim Merlins winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ludwigsburg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Crailsheim MerlinsGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMerlins
Date
Competition
Tubingen
#18
W
87-84
87
84
+3
67avg 68
H02/12
BBL
Bamberg
#11
L
87-97
87
97
-10
33avg 68
A18/12
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
L
96-98
96
98
-2
94avg 68
H23/12
BBL
Chemnitz
#3
L
67-95
67
95
-28
58avg 68
A26/12
BBL
Hamburg
#10
L
84-89
84
89
-5
69avg 68
H30/12
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
87-76
87
76
+11
92avg 68
H06/01
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
59-106
59
106
-47
15avg 68
A13/01
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
L
70-80
70
80
-10
59avg 68
H20/01
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
81-98
81
98
-17
72avg 68
A28/01
BBL
Tubingen
#18
W
96-85
96
85
+11
93avg 68
A02/02
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-26
12-19
29-25
30-14
19-29
20-26
20-19
28-23
19-28
25-19
32-21
20-30
26-26
14-22
9-29
18-18
16-29
26-16
19-14
23-30
18-21
20-12
31-15
18-28
11-34
11-21
22-24
15-27
22-14
25-22
12-25
11-19
27-21
11-31
17-17
26-29
25-18
22-26
20-16
29-25
172.2Avg total
81.4Scored
90.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)79.193.6172.6-14.521%
Season at home (9)80.088.6168.6-8.633%
Season away (10)78.298.1176.3-19.910%
Last 10 (10)81.490.8172.2-9.430%
Last 5 (5)78.689.0167.6-10.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)76.094.1170.1-18.16%
vs Similar (11)85.185.1170.2+0.055%
vs Weaker (1)78.073.0151.0+5.0100%
This opponent (Ludwigsburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LudwigsburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLudwigsburg
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#3
L
66-85
66
85
-19
50avg 75
A06/01
BBL
Darussafaka
#31
L
72-83
72
83
-11
58avg 75
A10/01
Champions League
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
106-59
106
59
+47
59avg 75
H13/01
BBL
Darussafaka
#31
W
99-73
99
73
+26
94avg 75
H16/01
Champions League
Vechta
#6
W
77-74
77
74
+3
66avg 75
H21/01
BBL
Dijon
#12
W
89-82
89
82
+7
94avg 75
A23/01
Champions League
Oldenburg
#8
L
85-91
85
91
-6
69avg 75
A27/01
BBL
Bonn
#9
L
75-80
75
80
-5
65avg 75
A30/01
Champions League
Gottingen
#14
W
97-72
97
72
+25
94avg 75
H03/02
BBL
Galatasaray
#20
W
100-80
100
80
+20
97avg 75
H06/02
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-14
14-24
16-15
20-32
26-21
8-25
18-22
20-15
34-11
21-11
24-22
27-15
29-21
19-17
29-18
22-17
24-16
15-17
14-25
24-16
18-25
23-22
22-12
26-23
19-28
22-26
21-25
23-12
18-22
20-31
15-10
22-17
22-20
18-13
33-23
24-16
30-17
22-25
28-25
20-13
164.5Avg total
86.6Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)88.979.6168.5+9.363%
Season at home (10)91.479.4170.8+12.070%
Season away (9)86.179.9166.0+6.256%
Last 10 (10)86.677.9164.5+8.760%
Last 5 (5)89.281.0170.2+8.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)79.085.3164.3-6.333%
vs Similar (10)87.781.1168.8+6.660%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)88.478.1166.6+10.369%
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.7-4.7Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: +5.2+5.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.7-4.7Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: +5.2+5.2
Crailsheim MerlinsLudwigsburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Crailsheim MerlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tubingen
#18
L
28-45
28
45
-17
H02/12
BBL
Bamberg
#11
L
39-55
39
55
-16
A18/12
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H23/12
BBL
Chemnitz
#3
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A26/12
BBL
Hamburg
#10
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H30/12
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H06/01
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
22-55
22
55
-33
A13/01
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H20/01
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A28/01
BBL
Tubingen
#18
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A02/02
BBL
84.5Avg total
38.5Scored
46.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.843.583.3-3.737%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.941.182.0-0.147%-
Last 30 away (15)38.645.984.5-7.327%-
Last 10 (10)38.546.084.5-7.530%-
Last 5 (5)38.444.082.4-5.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)38.345.483.6-7.124%-
vs Similar (11)42.840.783.5+2.164%-
vs Weaker (1)36.044.080.0-8.00%-
This opponent (Ludwigsburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LudwigsburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#3
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A06/01
BBL
Darussafaka
#31
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A10/01
Champions League
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
55-22
55
22
+33
H13/01
BBL
Darussafaka
#31
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H16/01
Champions League
Vechta
#6
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H21/01
BBL
Dijon
#12
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A23/01
Champions League
Oldenburg
#8
L
41-54
41
54
-13
A27/01
BBL
Bonn
#9
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A30/01
Champions League
Gottingen
#14
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H03/02
BBL
Galatasaray
#20
W
52-42
52
42
+10
H06/02
Champions League
82.4Avg total
41.8Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.941.184.0+1.853%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.238.884.0+6.469%-
Last 30 away (14)40.343.884.1-3.536%-
Last 10 (10)41.840.682.4+1.250%-
Last 5 (5)42.445.888.2-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)34.737.071.7-2.333%-
vs Similar (10)42.342.484.7-0.140%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)44.641.686.2+3.162%-
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Crailsheim Merlinstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crailsheim Merlins: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.818.4
54.4%
54.6%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.28.5
31.2%
35.4%25.5
🏀 Free throws22.918.7
81.7%
76.0%18.7
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ludwigsburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ludwigsburg: 85.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.719.5
51.7%
54.6%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.69.9
32.4%
35.4%29.7
🏀 Free throws20.516.9
82.4%
76.0%16.9
They take 68.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Crailsheim Merlins
WLLLWLLLLW
Ludwigsburg
WWLLWWWWLL
#17
League position
#9
-11.4
Net rating
+11.3
105.1
Offensive rating
113.4
116.5
Defensive rating
102.2
51.1%
Effective FG%
50.3%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
48.7%
19.9%
Turnover %
16.2%
26.1%
Off. rebound %
34.9%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.30
31.2%
3-point %
32.4%
56.5%
Assist %
60.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence105.1 · 113.4Defence116.5 · 102.2Shooting51.1% · 50.3%3-point %31.2% · 32.4%Ball care19.9% · 16.2%Off. rebounds26.1% · 34.9%Free throws0.38 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Crailsheim Merlins   ■ Ludwigsburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/24ATubingen96-85
28/01/24ABayern81-98
20/01/24HBasketball Braunschweig70-80
13/01/24ALudwigsburg59-106
06/01/24HSyntainics MBC87-76
30/12/23HHamburg84-89
26/12/23AChemnitz67-95
23/12/23HWurzburg96-98
18/12/23ABamberg87-97
02/12/23HTubingen87-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/02/24HGalatasaray100-80
03/02/24HGottingen97-72
30/01/24ABonn75-80
27/01/24AOldenburg85-91
23/01/24ADijon89-82
21/01/24HVechta77-74
16/01/24HDarussafaka99-73
13/01/24HCrailsheim Merlins106-59
10/01/24ADarussafaka72-83
06/01/24AChemnitz66-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Crailsheim Merlins
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW21%
HomeWLLWL33%
AwayLLLLW10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %21%33%10%
Points / game79.180.078.2
Allowed / game93.688.698.1
Point differential-14.5-8.6-19.9
Avg total172.6168.6176.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%11%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (4)-
Overtime %5%0%10%
Ludwigsburg
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW63%
HomeWWWWW70%
AwayWWLLL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %63%70%56%
Points / game88.991.486.1
Allowed / game79.679.479.9
Point differential+9.3+12.0+6.2
Avg total168.5170.8166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%50%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chemnitz1916384%87.576.2+11.3
2 Bayern1714382%88.976.3+12.6
3 Alba Berlin1611569%91.884.9+6.9
4 Vechta1913668%90.580.8+9.7
5 Wurzburg1913668%85.278.8+6.4
6 Ulm1913668%92.289.0+3.2
7 Ludwigsburg1912763%88.979.6+9.3
8 Bonn2012860%90.385.2+5.1
9 Hamburg1810856%86.988.4-1.4
10 Basketball Braunschweig21101148%84.486.2-1.8
11 Oldenburg1991047%85.285.8-0.6
12 Bamberg2071335%87.090.5-3.5
13 Rostock1861233%91.194.1-2.9
14 Syntainics MBC1961332%85.089.9-4.9
15 Gottingen1751229%90.799.9-9.2
16 Tubingen1951426%87.396.6-9.4
17 Crailsheim Merlins1941521%79.193.6-14.5
18 Heidelberg2031715%81.896.0-14.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Crailsheim Merlins2222232289
Ludwigsburg28242325100
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