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Cremona vs Trento Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 15 Mar 2020
Tip-off: 17:15
Postponed
Position#6
Record12-8
FormWWWWL
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game80.8
vs
Position#8
Record11-10
FormWLWWW
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game79.3
ItalyLega ARound 26
Domestic2019-20
Meetings · Cremona v Trento
06 Nov 2025
CRE92
TRE83
13 Apr 2025
CRE86
TRE89
13 Jan 2024
CRE99
TRE80
08 May 2022
CRE112
TRE105
28 Feb 2021
CRE95
TRE87
15 Mar 2020
CRE v TRE
upcoming
20 Jan 2019
CRE84
TRE89
15 Apr 2018
CRE89
TRE96
29 Jan 2017
CRE59
TRE78
11 Oct 2015
CRE76
TRE83
15 Mar 2015
CRE77
TRE82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cremona win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Trento win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CremonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
78-66
78
66
+12
H08/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
L
71-84
71
84
-13
A15/12
Lega A
Varese
#10
W
93-72
93
72
+21
H21/12
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
76-91
76
91
-15
A26/12
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
74-84
74
84
-10
A30/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
93-89
93
89
+4
H05/01
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
94-84
94
84
+10
A18/01
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
103-92
103
92
+11
H26/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
W
95-93
95
93
+2
H02/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
74-77
74
77
-3
A09/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-14
20-20
14-18
18-14
15-29
20-11
23-15
13-29
18-24
29-17
24-16
22-15
29-20
22-19
15-28
10-24
22-21
22-17
15-25
15-21
27-21
25-19
18-21
23-28
29-19
18-27
19-18
28-20
32-22
26-29
22-24
23-17
18-36
31-14
18-16
28-27
16-23
23-19
22-17
13-18
168.3Avg total
85.1Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)81.380.8162.2+0.560%
Season at home (10)85.580.6166.1+4.990%
Season away (10)77.281.1158.3-3.930%
Last 10 (10)85.183.2168.3+1.960%
Last 5 (5)91.887.0178.8+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)76.879.2156.0-2.440%
vs Similar ◀ (16)80.580.3160.8+0.269%
vs Weaker (9)87.981.6169.4+6.367%
This opponent (Trento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Roma
#15
L
82-88
82
88
-6
H14/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
69-81
69
81
-12
A22/12
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
80-53
80
53
+27
H26/12
Lega A
Varese
#10
W
86-81
86
81
+5
A29/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
77-83
77
83
-6
H05/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
74-71
74
71
+3
A12/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
L
81-103
81
103
-22
H18/01
Lega A
Sassari
#2
W
90-87
90
87
+3
A25/01
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
63-56
63
56
+7
H02/02
Lega A
Cantu
#11
W
79-71
79
71
+8
H09/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-30
22-17
15-13
15-28
21-28
17-15
9-19
22-19
19-3
21-22
18-11
22-17
20-16
26-20
19-17
21-28
17-21
8-21
25-13
27-28
24-22
18-9
15-17
17-23
15-32
18-23
22-25
26-23
26-19
19-18
27-26
18-24
19-15
14-18
15-12
15-11
17-16
21-20
15-19
26-16
155.5Avg total
78.1Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)77.979.3157.1-1.452%
Season at home (11)77.875.6153.5+2.255%
Season away (10)77.983.3161.2-5.450%
Last 10 (10)78.177.4155.5+0.760%
Last 5 (5)77.477.6155.0-0.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)71.777.7149.5-6.027%
vs Similar ◀ (13)79.579.4158.9+0.262%
vs Weaker (6)84.779.7164.3+5.083%
This opponent (Cremona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -0.8-0.8
CremonaTrento
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CremonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H08/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A15/12
Lega A
Varese
#10
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H21/12
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A26/12
Lega A
Sassari
#2
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A30/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H05/01
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A18/01
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
58-51
58
51
+7
H26/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H02/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A09/02
Lega A
88.9Avg total
46.8Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.542.385.8+1.253%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.941.586.4+3.367%-
Last 30 away (15)42.143.185.3-1.040%-
Last 10 (10)46.842.188.9+4.770%-
Last 5 (5)49.045.894.8+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)44.038.082.0+6.080%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)41.743.985.6-2.250%-
vs Weaker (9)46.442.088.4+4.444%-
This opponent (Trento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Roma
#15
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H14/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A22/12
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H26/12
Lega A
Varese
#10
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A29/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
25-42
25
42
-17
H05/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A12/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
L
33-55
33
55
-22
H18/01
Lega A
Sassari
#2
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A25/01
Lega A
Brescia
#3
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H02/02
Lega A
Cantu
#11
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H09/02
Lega A
77.7Avg total
39.2Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.739.076.8-1.347%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.940.177.9-2.253%-
Last 30 away (15)37.638.075.6-0.440%-
Last 10 (10)39.238.577.7+0.760%-
Last 5 (5)38.238.476.6-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)33.938.572.4-4.527%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)38.840.279.0-1.546%-
vs Weaker (6)42.537.580.0+5.083%-
This opponent (Cremona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cremonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cremona: 84.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.324.2
54.6%
52.0%48.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.77.2
33.2%
35.1%21.6
🏀 Free throws19.014.5
76.3%
73.6%14.5
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Trentotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trento: 77.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.4 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.721.5
48.1%
52.0%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.78.3
40.1%
35.1%24.9
🏀 Free throws13.69.4
69.1%
73.6%9.4
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Mar 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cremona
LWWWWLLWLW
Trento
WWWLWLWWLL
#6
League position
#8
+3.2
Net rating
+1.6
116.7
Offensive rating
111.2
113.5
Defensive rating
109.7
53.0%
Effective FG%
51.9%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
17.2%
Turnover %
16.1%
35.8%
Off. rebound %
33.6%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.21
33.2%
3-point %
40.1%
55.1%
Assist %
50.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence116.7 · 111.2Defence113.5 · 109.7Shooting53.0% · 51.9%3-point %33.2% · 40.1%Ball care17.2% · 16.1%Off. rebounds35.8% · 33.6%Free throws0.29 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Cremona   ■ Trento
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Cremona wins
7
Trento wins
DateGameScore
17/11/19Trento v Cremona79-89
20/01/19Cremona v Trento84-89
06/10/18Trento v Cremona99-104 OT
15/04/18Cremona v Trento89-96
17/12/17Trento v Cremona90-79
29/01/17Cremona v Trento59-78
09/10/16Trento v Cremona90-77
24/01/16Trento v Cremona71-78
11/10/15Cremona v Trento76-83
15/03/15Cremona v Trento77-82
Cremonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/20AOlimpia Milano74-77
02/02/20HReggiana95-93
26/01/20HVirtus Roma103-92
18/01/20ATreviso94-84
05/01/20HBrindisi93-89
30/12/19ASassari74-84
26/12/19ABrescia76-91
21/12/19HVarese93-72
15/12/19APistoia71-84
08/12/19HVirtus Bologna78-66
Trentolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/20HCantu79-71
02/02/20HBrescia63-56
25/01/20ASassari90-87
18/01/20HReggiana81-103
12/01/20APistoia74-71
05/01/20HVirtus Bologna77-83
29/12/19AVarese86-81
26/12/19HTrieste80-53
22/12/19AOlimpia Milano69-81
14/12/19HVirtus Roma82-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cremona
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL60%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayLLLWL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %60%90%30%
Points / game81.385.577.2
Allowed / game80.880.681.1
Point differential+0.5+4.9-3.9
Avg total162.2166.1158.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%40%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Trento
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW52%
HomeWLLWW55%
AwayLLWWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %52%55%50%
Points / game77.977.877.9
Allowed / game79.375.683.3
Point differential-1.4+2.2-5.4
Avg total157.1153.5161.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%27%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)50% (2)100% (3)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2018290%86.075.0+10.9
2 Sassari2116576%85.575.9+9.6
3 Brescia2114767%81.374.0+7.3
4 Olimpia Milano2114767%80.374.0+6.3
5 Brindisi2113862%84.680.8+3.8
6 Cremona2012860%81.380.8+0.5
7 Venezia21111052%78.075.3+2.7
8 Trento21111052%77.979.3-1.4
9 Fortitudo Bologna21111052%77.379.5-2.2
10 Varese1991047%82.680.1+2.5
11 Cantu2091145%76.779.0-2.4
12 Reggiana2191243%82.984.0-1.0
13 Treviso2181338%77.179.2-2.1
14 Trieste2271532%76.080.5-4.5
15 Virtus Roma2271532%78.585.5-7.0
16 Pistoia2271532%74.583.3-8.8
17 Pesaro201195%79.292.5-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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