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Croatia vs Hungary Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 30 Jul 2025
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 85-65
20-28 15-6 26-23 24-8
Position-
Record-
FormWWLLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Croatia 🏆
vs
Hungary
Position-
Record-
FormLLLWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeFriendly International· Hadzic D.
Other2025
Meetings · Croatia v Hungary
30 Jul 2025
CROA85
HUNG65
29 Nov 2018
CROA74
HUNG69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Croatia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hungary winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCroatia
Date
Competition
Ireland
#29
W
89-49
89
49
+40
no box
H19/07
EuroBasket
Luxembourg
#38
W
98-62
98
62
+36
no box
H22/07
EuroBasket
Ireland
#29
W
95-61
95
61
+34
no box
A29/07
EuroBasket
Luxembourg
#38
W
91-79
91
79
+12
no box
A02/08
EuroBasket
France
#3
L
61-73
61
73
-12
no box
A23/02
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#40
W
92-63
92
63
+29
no box
H26/02
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#17
W
89-76
89
76
+13
84avg 88
H21/11
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#17
L
90-110
90
110
-20
no box
A24/11
EuroBasket
France
#3
L
80-83
80
83
-3
69avg 88
H21/02
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#40
W
104-67
104
67
+37
112avg 88
A24/02
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-5
32-12
14-16
19-16
31-14
26-20
23-12
18-16
20-12
22-22
21-8
32-19
25-12
25-25
24-18
17-24
14-15
16-20
14-22
17-16
22-8
26-16
22-26
22-13
30-19
20-29
23-12
16-16
21-22
29-28
13-33
27-27
17-20
18-17
16-22
29-24
26-14
22-11
26-18
30-24
161.2Avg total
88.9Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)88.972.3161.2+16.670%
Last 5 (5)91.079.8170.8+11.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)76.983.6160.4-6.714%
vs Similar (6)86.089.2175.2-3.233%
vs Weaker (17)83.968.0151.9+15.982%
HungaryLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHungary
Date
Competition
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#41
L
78-83
78
83
-5
no box
A11/11
World Cup
Czech Republic
#60
W
83-69
83
69
+14
no box
H14/11
World Cup
Lithuania
#9
L
64-89
64
89
-25
no box
A23/02
World Cup
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#41
W
87-77
87
77
+10
no box
H26/02
World Cup
Iceland
#25
L
65-70
65
70
-5
no box
A22/02
EuroBasket
Italy
#9
L
62-83
62
83
-21
no box
H25/02
EuroBasket
Turkey
#20
L
66-92
66
92
-26
59avg 69
A22/11
EuroBasket
Turkey
#20
L
76-81
76
81
-5
74avg 69
H25/11
EuroBasket
Iceland
#25
W
87-78
87
78
+9
78avg 69
H20/02
EuroBasket
Italy
#9
W
71-67
71
67
+4
66avg 69
A23/02
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
20-29
26-10
14-21
18-21
18-12
31-10
16-26
16-14
15-26
14-23
19-26
19-23
27-14
17-23
24-17
19-16
18-17
14-16
14-21
15-17
22-19
9-28
16-19
20-27
17-16
12-19
17-30
14-21
17-19
23-14
22-27
20-21
28-11
24-25
15-21
13-10
19-17
10-23
29-17
152.8Avg total
73.9Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)73.978.9152.8-5.040%
Last 5 (5)72.480.2152.6-7.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)71.581.6153.2-10.136%
vs Similar (5)82.874.6157.4+8.280%
vs Weakerno games

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +8.9+8.9Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: -3.9-3.9
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +8.9+8.9Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: -3.9-3.9
CroatiaHungary
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CroatiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ireland
#29
W
56-17
56
17
+39
H19/07
EuroBasket
Luxembourg
#38
W
57-34
57
34
+23
H22/07
EuroBasket
Ireland
#29
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A29/07
EuroBasket
Luxembourg
#38
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A02/08
EuroBasket
France
#3
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A23/02
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#40
W
48-24
48
24
+24
H26/02
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#17
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H21/11
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#17
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A24/11
EuroBasket
France
#3
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H21/02
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#40
W
48-25
48
25
+23
A24/02
EuroBasket
80.7Avg total
46.6Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.536.877.3+3.853%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.734.777.4+8.167%-
Last 30 away (15)38.338.977.2-0.540%-
Last 10 (10)46.634.180.7+12.570%-
Last 5 (5)46.236.883.0+9.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)35.441.677.0-6.114%-
vs Similar (6)42.045.587.5-3.533%-
vs Weaker (17)42.131.773.8+10.476%-
HungaryLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#41
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A11/11
World Cup
Czech Republic
#60
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H14/11
World Cup
Lithuania
#9
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A23/02
World Cup
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#41
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H26/02
World Cup
Iceland
#25
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A22/02
EuroBasket
Italy
#9
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H25/02
EuroBasket
Turkey
#20
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A22/11
EuroBasket
Turkey
#20
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H25/11
EuroBasket
Iceland
#25
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H20/02
EuroBasket
Italy
#9
W
32-27
32
27
+5
A23/02
EuroBasket
74.6Avg total
37.3Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.539.375.8-2.843%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.939.876.7-2.944%-
Last 30 away (14)36.038.774.7-2.743%-
Last 10 (10)37.337.374.6+0.060%-
Last 5 (5)37.035.672.6+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)35.239.274.4-4.036%-
vs Similar (5)43.039.882.8+3.280%-
vs Weakerno games
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Croatiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Croatia: 87.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.3 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 56.0 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.118.3
55.3%
55.4%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.812.1
40.6%
34.4%36.3
🏀 Free throws19.215.0
78.1%
74.1%15.0
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hungarytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hungary: 70.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.2 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 56.0 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.820.0
52.9%
55.4%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.57.3
29.9%
34.4%22.0
🏀 Free throws13.08.2
62.8%
74.1%8.2
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/6 games with a box score before 30 Jul 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Croatia
WLLWWLWWWW
Hungary
WWLLLLWLWL
+22.7
Net rating
-10.5
120.4
Offensive rating
100.3
97.6
Defensive rating
110.8
57.9%
Effective FG%
49.7%
47.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
15.9%
Turnover %
18.9%
29.0%
Off. rebound %
32.4%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.21
40.6%
3-point %
29.9%
74.0%
Assist %
65.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence120.4 · 100.3Defence97.6 · 110.8Shooting57.9% · 49.7%3-point %40.6% · 29.9%Ball care15.9% · 18.9%Off. rebounds29.0% · 32.4%Free throws0.31 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Croatia   ■ Hungary
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Croatia wins
1
Hungary wins
DateGameScore
25/02/19Hungary v Croatia84-65
29/11/18Croatia v Hungary74-69
Croatialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/25ACyprus104-67
21/02/25HFrance80-83
24/11/24ABosnia & Herzegovina90-110
21/11/24HBosnia & Herzegovina89-76
26/02/24HCyprus92-63
23/02/24AFrance61-73
02/08/23ALuxembourg91-79
29/07/23AIreland95-61
22/07/23HLuxembourg98-62
19/07/23HIreland89-49
Hungarylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/02/25AItaly71-67
20/02/25HIceland87-78
25/11/24HTurkey76-81
22/11/24ATurkey66-92
25/02/24HItaly62-83
22/02/24AIceland65-70
26/02/23HBosnia & Herzegovina87-77
23/02/23ALithuania64-89
14/11/22HCzech Republic83-69
11/11/22ABosnia & Herzegovina78-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Croatia
Friendly International 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Hungary
Friendly International 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Croatia2015262485
Hungary28623865
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