Cruzeiro will host Cearense in the NBB on 16 November 2026, with the model rating Cruzeiro as the clear favourite at 87% to win over Cearense's 13% chance, a reflection of Cruzeiro's 3-3 record and 76.2 points per game compared with Cearense's 1-6 record and 65.6 points per game. Cruzeiro has scored 76.2 points per game while conceding 78.8, and has a 1-1 home record with 78.0 points scored and 78.5 points allowed; their last five games include a 78-74 win over Bauru and a 76-68 home win over Pato. Cearense, meanwhile, has struggled on the road, going 0-3 in three away games with 64.7 points scored and 87.3 points allowed, and their last five games feature a lone 65-58 win at home against Paulistano. In previous encounters Cruzeiro has won both meetings, most recently 86-77 on 16 April 2026. The model projects a 87-74 scoreline with 161.8 total points, a home line of -12.5 with a 52% chance of covering, and a 155.0 total line with a 66% probability of the over; an overtime probability of 3% rounds out the outlook.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (6) | 76.2 | 78.8 | 155.0 | -2.7 | 50% |
| Season at home (2) | 78.0 | 78.5 | 156.5 | -0.5 | 50% |
| Season away (4) | 75.2 | 79.0 | 154.2 | -3.8 | 50% |
| Last 10 (10) | 81.5 | 85.7 | 167.2 | -4.2 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 77.0 | 82.4 | 159.4 | -5.4 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (16) | 83.8 | 93.3 | 177.1 | -9.5 | 19% |
| vs Similar (7) | 79.7 | 79.7 | 159.4 | +0.0 | 43% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (7) | 81.6 | 74.3 | 155.9 | +7.3 | 86% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (7) | 65.6 | 83.7 | 149.3 | -18.1 | 14% |
| Season at home (4) | 66.2 | 81.0 | 147.2 | -14.8 | 25% |
| Season away (3) | 64.7 | 87.3 | 152.0 | -22.7 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 67.5 | 86.6 | 154.1 | -19.1 | 10% |
| Last 5 (5) | 65.4 | 79.0 | 144.4 | -13.6 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (26) | 70.7 | 89.2 | 159.9 | -18.4 | 8% |
| vs Similar (4) | 78.0 | 77.2 | 155.2 | +0.8 | 50% |
| vs Weaker | no games | ||||
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 78.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 40.3 | 42.6 | 83.0 | -2.3 | 43% | 60% |
| Last 30 at home (11) | 42.9 | 41.1 | 84.0 | +1.8 | 64% | 73% |
| Last 30 away (19) | 38.8 | 43.5 | 82.4 | -4.7 | 32% | 53% |
| Last 10 (10) | 41.1 | 43.1 | 84.2 | -2.0 | 30% | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 40.2 | 38.2 | 78.4 | +2.0 | 60% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (16) | 40.7 | 46.7 | 87.4 | -6.0 | 25% | 81% |
| vs Similar (7) | 42.6 | 37.3 | 79.9 | +5.3 | 71% | 57% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (7) | 37.3 | 38.7 | 76.0 | -1.4 | 57% | 14% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 78.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 35.4 | 43.8 | 79.2 | -8.3 | 23% | 50% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 35.6 | 41.9 | 77.5 | -6.3 | 27% | 33% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 35.3 | 45.7 | 80.9 | -10.4 | 20% | 67% |
| Last 10 (10) | 33.7 | 44.5 | 78.2 | -10.8 | 10% | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 31.0 | 38.8 | 69.8 | -7.8 | 20% | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (26) | 34.9 | 44.6 | 79.5 | -9.7 | 19% | 54% |
| vs Similar (4) | 38.8 | 38.2 | 77.0 | +0.5 | 50% | 25% |
| vs Weaker | no games | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 151.5 | 73.5% | 1.60 | 1.60 | - | - | - | - | +16.1pp |
| Over 150.5 | 75.5% | 1.53 | 1.53 | - | - | - | - | +15.7pp |
| Cruzeiro over 80.5 | 75.9% | 1.50 | 1.50 | - | - | - | - | +14.7pp |
| Cearense over 66.5 | 77.9% | 1.42 | 1.42 | - | - | - | - | +13.2pp |
| Cruzeiro -4.5 | 78.5% | 1.31 | 1.31 | - | - | - | - | +8.5pp |
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| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 40.3 | 20.4 | 49.8% | 40.8 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 23.6 | 8.0 | 31.6% | 24.0 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 17.7 | 13.1 | 71.3% | 13.1 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 41.7 | 18.7 | 49.8% | 37.4 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 24.0 | 7.0 | 31.6% | 21.0 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 24.3 | 16.1 | 71.3% | 16.1 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 16/04/26 | Cruzeiro v Cearense | 86-77 |
| 29/12/25 | Cearense v Cruzeiro | 78-86 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11/26 | A | Franca | 77-98 |
| 03/11/26 | A | Bauru | 78-74 |
| 29/10/26 | H | Pato | 76-68 |
| 27/10/26 | H | Brasilia | 80-89 |
| 19/10/26 | A | Uniao Corinthians | 74-83 |
| 17/10/26 | A | Caxias do Sul | 72-61 |
| 29/04/26 | A | Minas | 93-103 |
| 26/04/26 | H | Minas | 74-101 |
| 24/04/26 | H | Minas | 97-81 |
| 21/04/26 | A | Minas | 94-99 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11/26 | A | Minas | 63-77 |
| 09/11/26 | H | Corinthians Paulista | 68-75 |
| 07/11/26 | H | Paulistano | 65-58 |
| 04/11/26 | A | Mogi | 78-89 |
| 02/11/26 | A | Sao Jose | 53-96 |
| 22/10/26 | H | Pinheiros | 63-98 |
| 20/10/26 | H | Osasco | 69-93 |
| 16/04/26 | A | Cruzeiro | 77-86 |
| 14/04/26 | A | Minas | 56-87 |
| 06/04/26 | H | Caxias do Sul | 83-107 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLWWL | 50% |
| Home | LW | 50% |
| Away | WLWL | 50% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 6 | 2 | 4 |
| Win % | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Points / game | 76.2 | 78.0 | 75.2 |
| Allowed / game | 78.8 | 78.5 | 79.0 |
| Point differential | -2.7 | -0.5 | -3.8 |
| Avg total | 155.0 | 156.5 | 154.2 |
| Over 155 | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Win by 10+ | 17% | 0% | 25% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (1) | - | 100% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLWLL | 14% |
| Home | LLWL | 25% |
| Away | LLL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 4 | 3 |
| Win % | 14% | 25% | 0% |
| Points / game | 65.6 | 66.2 | 64.7 |
| Allowed / game | 83.7 | 81.0 | 87.3 |
| Point differential | -18.1 | -14.8 | -22.7 |
| Avg total | 149.3 | 147.2 | 152.0 |
| Over 155 | 43% | 50% | 33% |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 100% | 85.1 | 65.4 | +19.8 | |
| 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 86% | 83.1 | 73.9 | +9.3 | |
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 75% | 85.2 | 73.1 | +12.1 | |
| 4 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71% | 80.9 | 73.4 | +7.4 | |
| 5 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71% | 79.4 | 75.1 | +4.3 | |
| 6 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 62% | 78.9 | 71.6 | +7.2 | |
| 7 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 72.3 | 74.7 | -2.4 | |
| 8 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 50% | 80.6 | 79.8 | +0.9 | |
| 9 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 50% | 76.2 | 78.8 | -2.7 | |
| 10 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 80.0 | 79.0 | +1.0 | |
| 11 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 76.7 | 77.7 | -1.0 | |
| 12 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 80.3 | 81.7 | -1.4 | |
| 13 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 69.6 | 73.9 | -4.3 | |
| 14 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 76.7 | 83.0 | -6.3 | |
| 15 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25% | 72.6 | 81.5 | -8.9 | |
| 16 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 17% | 77.8 | 86.8 | -9.0 | |
| 17 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 14% | 65.6 | 83.7 | -18.1 | |
| 18 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 0% | 64.7 | 79.6 | -14.9 |
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