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Cedevita vs Crvena zvezda Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 22 Oct 2017
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 79-74
19-18 20-21 24-22 16-13
Position#3
Record2-2
FormLLLWL
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game81.8
Cedevita 🏆
vs
Crvena zvezda
Position#1
Record3-1
FormWWLLW
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game77.2
EuropeABA LeagueRound 5
Domestic2017
Meetings · Cedevita v Crvena zvezda
26 Jan 2019
CED84
CZV68
22 Sep 2018
CED68
CZV79
22 Oct 2017
CED79
CZV74
13 Apr 2017
CED61
CZV77
25 Dec 2016
CED91
CZV95
08 Apr 2016
CED83
CZV62
22 Mar 2016
CED65
CZV73
11 Oct 2015
CED74
CZV72
30 Apr 2015
CED79
CZV89
29 Apr 2015
CED72
CZV62
24 Nov 2014
CED87
CZV88
16 Feb 2014
CED68
CZV64
14 Oct 2012
CED68
CZV66
08 Feb 2012
CED96
CZV91
09 Mar 2011
CED98
CZV95
07 Nov 2009
CED88
CZV74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cedevita winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crvena zvezda winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CedevitaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mega Bemax
#3
W
99-96
99
96
+3
H22/09
ABA Supercup
Buducnost
#2
W
78-69
78
69
+9
H23/09
ABA Supercup
FMP Beograd
#8
W
74-67
74
67
+7
H29/09
ABA League
Zadar
#6
W
92-76
92
76
+16
A04/10
ABA League
Zadar
#2
W
76-65
76
65
+11
H06/10
Premijer liga
Igokea
#10
L
79-84
79
84
-5
H08/10
ABA League
Torino
#13
L
83-86
83
86
-3
H11/10
Eurocup
Cibona
#11
L
94-100 OT
94
100
-6
A14/10
ABA League
Alkar
#10
W
88-61
88
61
+27
A15/10
Premijer liga
Darussafaka
#2
L
83-85
83
85
-2
A18/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-25
34-20
24-22
16-29
21-2
13-33
22-16
22-18
17-24
22-13
22-12
13-18
29-14
21-23
22-22
20-17
21-21
22-12
24-11
9-21
23-28
20-16
21-20
15-20
17-18
30-21
14-23
22-24
14-17
18-25
18-17
26-17
26-11
23-14
16-21
23-15
24-21
24-16
15-22
20-26
163.5Avg total
84.6Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)84.881.8166.5+3.050%
Season at home (2)76.575.5152.0+1.050%
Season away (2)93.088.0181.0+5.050%
Last 10 (10)84.678.9163.5+5.760%
Last 5 (5)85.483.2168.6+2.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)70.881.8152.5-11.00%
vs Similar (4)75.071.5146.5+3.550%
vs Weaker (21)83.074.0157.0+8.967%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mega Bemax
#4
W
84-75
84
75
+9
A08/06
Super League
FMP Beograd
#3
W
94-66
94
66
+28
H12/06
Super League
FMP Beograd
#3
W
91-76
91
76
+15
A14/06
Super League
FMP Beograd
#3
W
87-57
87
57
+30
H16/06
Super League
Mornar Bar
#4
W
88-77
88
77
+11
H01/10
ABA League
Mega Bemax
#9
W
90-80
90
80
+10
H04/10
ABA League
Petrol Olimpija
#7
W
82-73
82
73
+9
A08/10
ABA League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#4
L
76-78
76
78
-2
A13/10
Euroleague
Buducnost
#2
L
75-79
75
79
-4
H15/10
ABA League
Barcelona
#12
W
90-82
90
82
+8
H20/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-26
19-13
20-27
17-9
23-11
15-13
34-15
22-27
30-18
22-22
19-14
20-22
30-9
16-15
29-18
12-15
19-12
28-18
23-20
18-27
26-19
18-17
22-25
24-19
18-29
25-13
21-16
18-15
13-15
27-28
17-10
19-25
16-17
18-13
16-22
25-27
24-13
20-19
18-25
28-25
160.0Avg total
85.7Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)83.877.2161.0+6.575%
Season at home (3)84.378.7163.0+5.767%
Season away (1)82.073.0155.0+9.0100%
Last 10 (10)85.774.3160.0+11.480%
Last 5 (5)82.678.4161.0+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)83.080.0163.0+3.050%
vs Similar (2)68.578.5147.0-10.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)86.068.2154.2+17.896%
This opponent (Cedevita) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: +5.8+5.8Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -0.8-0.8
CedevitaCrvena zvezda
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CedevitaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mega Bemax
#3
W
59-45
59
45
+14
H22/09
ABA Supercup
Buducnost
#2
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H23/09
ABA Supercup
FMP Beograd
#8
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H29/09
ABA League
Zadar
#6
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A04/10
ABA League
Zadar
#2
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H06/10
Premijer liga
Igokea
#10
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H08/10
ABA League
Torino
#13
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H11/10
Eurocup
Cibona
#11
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A14/10
ABA League
Alkar
#10
W
49-25
49
25
+24
A15/10
Premijer liga
Darussafaka
#2
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A18/10
Eurocup
81.8Avg total
44.4Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.737.077.7+3.753%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.135.977.0+5.164%-
Last 30 away (16)40.438.078.4+2.444%-
Last 10 (10)44.437.481.8+7.070%-
Last 5 (5)43.837.481.2+6.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)41.246.287.5-5.025%-
vs Similar (4)38.535.574.0+3.050%-
vs Weaker (21)41.035.876.8+5.257%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mega Bemax
#4
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A08/06
Super League
FMP Beograd
#3
W
38-24
38
24
+14
H12/06
Super League
FMP Beograd
#3
W
52-40
52
40
+12
A14/06
Super League
FMP Beograd
#3
W
46-24
46
24
+22
H16/06
Super League
Mornar Bar
#4
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H01/10
ABA League
Mega Bemax
#9
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H04/10
ABA League
Petrol Olimpija
#7
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A08/10
ABA League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#4
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A13/10
Euroleague
Buducnost
#2
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H15/10
ABA League
Barcelona
#12
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H20/10
Euroleague
77.5Avg total
43.5Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.433.276.6+10.290%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.630.473.9+13.294%-
Last 30 away (13)43.136.980.0+6.285%-
Last 10 (10)43.534.077.5+9.590%-
Last 5 (5)41.036.677.6+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)42.037.579.5+4.550%-
vs Similar (2)33.036.569.5-3.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)44.332.676.9+11.796%-
This opponent (Cedevita) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cedevitatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cedevita: 78.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.417.5
49.4%
52.4%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.99.0
37.7%
34.8%27.0
🏀 Free throws21.616.6
76.9%
74.4%16.6
They take 59.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.220.5
51.0%
52.4%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.67.5
31.8%
34.8%22.5
🏀 Free throws20.516.6
81.0%
74.4%16.6
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Oct 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cedevita
LWLLLWWWWW
Crvena zvezda
WLLWWWWWWW
#3
League position
#1
+0.9
Net rating
+8.7
104.4
Offensive rating
108.8
103.5
Defensive rating
100.1
52.3%
Effective FG%
49.8%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
18.3%
Turnover %
14.8%
25.9%
Off. rebound %
29.1%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.32
37.7%
3-point %
31.8%
60.8%
Assist %
60.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence104.4 · 108.8Defence103.5 · 100.1Shooting52.3% · 49.8%3-point %37.7% · 31.8%Ball care18.3% · 14.8%Off. rebounds25.9% · 29.1%Free throws0.36 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Cedevita   ■ Crvena zvezda
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Cedevita wins
8
Crvena zvezda wins
DateGameScore
13/04/17Cedevita v Crvena zvezda61-77
11/04/17Crvena zvezda v Cedevita84-73
10/04/17Crvena zvezda v Cedevita81-66
25/12/16Cedevita v Crvena zvezda91-95
03/10/16Crvena zvezda v Cedevita88-64
08/04/16Cedevita v Crvena zvezda83-62
22/03/16Cedevita v Crvena zvezda65-73
15/03/16Crvena zvezda v Cedevita97-88 OT
11/02/16Crvena zvezda v Cedevita94-74
04/01/16Crvena zvezda v Cedevita79-80
Cedevitalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/17ADarussafaka83-85
15/10/17AAlkar88-61
14/10/17ACibona94-100 OT
11/10/17HTorino83-86
08/10/17HIgokea79-84
06/10/17HZadar76-65
04/10/17AZadar92-76
29/09/17HFMP Beograd74-67
23/09/17HBuducnost78-69
22/09/17HMega Bemax99-96
Crvena zvezdalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/10/17HBarcelona90-82
15/10/17HBuducnost75-79
13/10/17AZalgiris Kaunas76-78
08/10/17APetrol Olimpija82-73
04/10/17HMega Bemax90-80
01/10/17HMornar Bar88-77
16/06/17HFMP Beograd87-57
14/06/17AFMP Beograd91-76
12/06/17HFMP Beograd94-66
08/06/17AMega Bemax84-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cedevita
ABA League 2017
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLL50%
HomeWL50%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game84.876.593.0
Allowed / game81.875.588.0
Point differential+3.0+1.0+5.0
Avg total166.5152.0181.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %25%0%50%
Crvena zvezda
ABA League 2017
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeWWL67%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%67%100%
Points / game83.884.382.0
Allowed / game77.278.773.0
Point differential+6.5+5.7+9.0
Avg total161.0163.0155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Buducnost54180%83.076.8+6.2
2 Crvena zvezda43175%83.877.2+6.5
3 Partizan53260%95.692.0+3.6
4 FMP Beograd42250%83.076.5+6.5
5 Cedevita42250%84.881.8+3.0
6 Cibona42250%86.586.2+0.2
7 MZT Skopje42250%88.093.2-5.2
8 Mega Bemax52340%81.483.6-2.2
9 Petrol Olimpija52340%80.683.0-2.4
10 Igokea52340%95.698.6-3.0
11 Mornar Bar52340%74.081.0-7.0
12 Zadar41325%85.890.8-5.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cedevita1920241679
Crvena zvezda1821221374
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