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Crvena zvezda vs CSKA Moscow Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 29 Dec 2016
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 78-67
27-14 21-20 16-22 14-11
Position#7
Record6-8
FormWWLWW
Points / game74.1
Allowed / game75.0
Crvena zvezda 🏆
vs
CSKA Moscow
Position#1
Record12-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game90.2
Allowed / game82.4
EuropeEuroleagueRound 15
European cup2016
Meetings · Crvena zvezda v CSKA Moscow
24 Sep 2025
CZV67
CMO89
22 Oct 2020
CZV86
CMO84
15 Nov 2017
CZV59
CMO85
29 Dec 2016
CZV78
CMO67
18 Apr 2016
CZV71
CMO78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Crvena zvezda winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CSKA Moscow winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Petrol Olimpija
#10
W
85-67
85
67
+18
A28/11
ABA League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
L
79-88
79
88
-9
H02/12
Euroleague
FMP Beograd
#9
W
93-62
93
62
+31
H05/12
ABA League
Fenerbahce
#3
L
72-87
72
87
-15
A08/12
Euroleague
Buducnost
#4
W
77-54
77
54
+23
A11/12
ABA League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#14
W
83-58
83
58
+25
H15/12
Euroleague
MZT Skopje
#13
W
93-73
93
73
+20
A17/12
ABA League
Olympiacos
#4
L
65-73
65
73
-8
A20/12
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
W
82-70
82
70
+12
H22/12
Euroleague
Cedevita
#3
W
95-91
95
91
+4
A25/12
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-24
15-17
25-15
17-11
16-24
28-18
22-24
13-22
25-16
24-14
25-16
19-16
18-20
13-21
19-27
22-19
23-18
21-10
16-18
17-8
19-14
23-10
23-18
18-16
21-16
22-19
30-15
20-23
18-22
16-23
9-11
22-17
20-19
23-16
19-16
20-19
13-22
25-11
30-28
27-30
154.7Avg total
82.4Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)74.175.0149.1-0.943%
Season at home (7)76.670.6147.1+6.057%
Season away (7)71.679.4151.0-7.929%
Last 10 (10)82.472.3154.7+10.170%
Last 5 (5)83.673.0156.6+10.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)82.070.0152.0+12.0100%
vs Similar (9)71.378.2149.6-6.922%
vs Weaker (20)83.867.8151.6+16.095%
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSKA MoscowLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nizhny Novgorod
#9
W
105-78
105
78
+27
H27/11
VTB United League
Bamberg
#13
W
90-88
90
88
+2
A01/12
Euroleague
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
74-83
74
83
-9
A04/12
VTB United League
Olimpia Milano
#16
W
79-64
79
64
+15
A08/12
Euroleague
VEF Riga
#7
W
82-51
82
51
+31
H11/12
VTB United League
Barcelona
#11
W
92-76
92
76
+16
H16/12
Euroleague
Khimki M.
#3
W
95-79
95
79
+16
H18/12
VTB United League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#14
W
80-76
80
76
+4
A21/12
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#3
L
79-95 OT
79
95
-16
H23/12
Euroleague
Enisey
#6
W
85-63
85
63
+22
H26/12
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-21
29-18
26-21
22-18
17-16
24-14
20-28
29-30
21-10
20-26
16-26
17-21
21-23
15-15
30-16
13-10
23-8
25-9
17-19
17-15
24-11
20-31
27-23
21-11
29-22
30-24
17-20
19-13
16-31
26-15
16-13
22-17
23-13
18-23
18-22
16-17
21-15
19-21
24-11
21-16
161.4Avg total
86.1Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)90.282.4172.6+7.986%
Season at home (7)92.684.0176.6+8.686%
Season away (7)87.980.7168.6+7.186%
Last 10 (10)86.175.3161.4+10.880%
Last 5 (5)86.277.8164.0+8.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)91.090.0181.0+1.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (29)90.377.8168.1+12.686%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +5.3+5.3Q2Q2: +5.1+5.1Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +2.9+2.9
Crvena zvezdaCSKA Moscow
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Petrol Olimpija
#10
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A28/11
ABA League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H02/12
Euroleague
FMP Beograd
#9
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H05/12
ABA League
Fenerbahce
#3
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A08/12
Euroleague
Buducnost
#4
W
44-28
44
28
+16
A11/12
ABA League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#14
W
42-24
42
24
+18
H15/12
Euroleague
MZT Skopje
#13
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A17/12
ABA League
Olympiacos
#4
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A20/12
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H22/12
Euroleague
Cedevita
#3
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A25/12
ABA League
76.5Avg total
41.1Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.935.075.9+5.973%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.632.975.4+9.786%-
Last 30 away (16)39.436.976.3+2.662%-
Last 10 (10)41.135.476.5+5.780%-
Last 5 (5)40.034.474.4+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)43.035.078.0+8.0100%-
vs Similar (9)36.038.774.7-2.744%-
vs Weaker (20)43.033.476.3+9.685%-
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSKA MoscowLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nizhny Novgorod
#9
W
57-39
57
39
+18
H27/11
VTB United League
Bamberg
#13
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A01/12
Euroleague
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A04/12
VTB United League
Olimpia Milano
#16
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A08/12
Euroleague
VEF Riga
#7
W
48-17
48
17
+31
H11/12
VTB United League
Barcelona
#11
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H16/12
Euroleague
Khimki M.
#3
W
59-46
59
46
+13
H18/12
VTB United League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#14
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A21/12
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#3
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H23/12
Euroleague
Enisey
#6
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H26/12
VTB United League
81.5Avg total
44.9Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.437.983.3+7.580%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.138.185.2+9.088%-
Last 30 away (14)43.437.781.1+5.771%-
Last 10 (10)44.936.681.5+8.380%-
Last 5 (5)45.241.286.4+4.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)49.038.087.0+11.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)45.337.983.2+7.379%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
50%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.421.8
52.7%
50.7%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.07.5
35.7%
37.3%22.5
🏀 Free throws20.215.1
74.8%
75.6%15.1
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CSKA Moscowtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSKA Moscow: 89.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
50%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.919.9
49.9%
50.7%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.710.2
44.9%
37.3%30.6
🏀 Free throws23.618.7
79.2%
75.6%18.7
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Dec 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Crvena zvezda
WWLWWWLWLW
CSKA Moscow
WLWWWWWLWW
#7
League position
#1
+13.1
Net rating
+11.9
109.3
Offensive rating
116.7
96.3
Defensive rating
104.8
53.0%
Effective FG%
56.2%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
15.2%
Turnover %
17.6%
25.1%
Off. rebound %
30.4%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.38
35.7%
3-point %
44.9%
64.5%
Assist %
67.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence109.3 · 116.7Defence96.3 · 104.8Shooting53.0% · 56.2%3-point %35.7% · 44.9%Ball care15.2% · 17.6%Off. rebounds25.1% · 30.4%Free throws0.32 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Crvena zvezda   ■ CSKA Moscow
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Crvena zvezda wins
3
CSKA Moscow wins
DateGameScore
18/04/16Crvena zvezda v CSKA Moscow71-78
14/04/16CSKA Moscow v Crvena zvezda77-76
12/04/16CSKA Moscow v Crvena zvezda84-74
Crvena zvezdalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/12/16ACedevita95-91
22/12/16HReal Madrid82-70
20/12/16AOlympiacos65-73
17/12/16AMZT Skopje93-73
15/12/16HMaccabi Tel Aviv83-58
11/12/16ABuducnost77-54
08/12/16AFenerbahce72-87
05/12/16HFMP Beograd93-62
02/12/16HZalgiris Kaunas79-88
28/11/16APetrol Olimpija85-67
CSKA Moscowlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/12/16HEnisey85-63
23/12/16HFenerbahce79-95 OT
21/12/16AMaccabi Tel Aviv80-76
18/12/16HKhimki M.95-79
16/12/16HBarcelona92-76
11/12/16HVEF Riga82-51
08/12/16AOlimpia Milano79-64
04/12/16ALokomotiv Kuban74-83
01/12/16ABamberg90-88
27/11/16HNizhny Novgorod105-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Crvena zvezda
Euroleague 2016
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW43%
HomeLWLWW57%
AwayLWLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %43%57%29%
Points / game74.176.671.6
Allowed / game75.070.679.4
Point differential-0.9+6.0-7.9
Avg total149.1147.1151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%57%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
CSKA Moscow
Euroleague 2016
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL86%
HomeWWWWL86%
AwayWLWWW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %86%86%86%
Points / game90.292.687.9
Allowed / game82.484.080.7
Point differential+7.9+8.6+7.1
Avg total172.6176.6168.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%43%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %7%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow1412286%90.282.4+7.9
2 Real Madrid1510567%86.980.3+6.7
3 Olympiacos149564%79.175.1+4.1
4 Panathinaikos149564%79.075.1+3.9
5 Baskonia149564%78.876.4+2.4
6 Fenerbahce149564%77.776.9+0.8
7 Darussafaka148657%78.178.0+0.1
8 Anadolu Efes157847%84.385.1-0.9
9 Crvena zvezda146843%74.175.0-0.9
10 Barcelona146843%71.574.4-2.9
11 Bamberg145936%80.781.5-0.8
12 Zalgiris Kaunas145936%81.483.2-1.9
13 Unics Kazan145936%80.082.2-2.2
14 Maccabi Tel Aviv145936%79.682.8-3.2
15 Olimpia Milano1441029%82.688.7-6.1
16 Galatasaray1441029%78.185.5-7.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Crvena zvezda2721161478
CSKA Moscow1420221167
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