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Crvena zvezda vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 22 Dec 2016
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 82-70
20-19 23-16 19-16 20-19
Position#7
Record5-8
FormLWWWL
Points / game73.5
Allowed / game75.4
Crvena zvezda 🏆
vs
Real Madrid
Position#2
Record9-4
FormWWLWW
Points / game88.8
Allowed / game80.3
EuropeEuroleagueRound 14
European cup2016
Meetings · Crvena zvezda v Real Madrid
12 Jan 2027
CZV v MAD
upcoming
17 Oct 2025
CZV90
MAD75
28 Mar 2025
CZV72
MAD78
19 Dec 2023
CZV58
MAD72
10 Jan 2023
CZV59
MAD79
08 Mar 2022
CZV65
MAD62
13 Nov 2020
CZV67
MAD73
30 Mar 2018
CZV79
MAD82
22 Dec 2016
CZV82
MAD70
27 Nov 2015
CZV94
MAD88
02 Jan 2015
CZV72
MAD79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Crvena zvezda winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Karpos
#11
W
91-70
91
70
+21
H21/11
ABA League
Anadolu Efes
#6
L
79-100
79
100
-21
A24/11
Euroleague
Petrol Olimpija
#10
W
85-67
85
67
+18
A28/11
ABA League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
L
79-88
79
88
-9
H02/12
Euroleague
FMP Beograd
#9
W
93-62
93
62
+31
H05/12
ABA League
Fenerbahce
#3
L
72-87
72
87
-15
A08/12
Euroleague
Buducnost
#4
W
77-54
77
54
+23
A11/12
ABA League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#14
W
83-58
83
58
+25
H15/12
Euroleague
MZT Skopje
#13
W
93-73
93
73
+20
A17/12
ABA League
Olympiacos
#4
L
65-73
65
73
-8
A20/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-18
22-20
24-16
29-16
21-21
19-26
24-27
15-26
28-24
15-17
25-15
17-11
16-24
28-18
22-24
13-22
25-16
24-14
25-16
19-16
18-20
13-21
19-27
22-19
23-18
21-10
16-18
17-8
19-14
23-10
23-18
18-16
21-16
22-19
30-15
20-23
18-22
16-23
9-11
22-17
154.9Avg total
81.7Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)73.575.4148.8-1.938%
Season at home (6)75.770.7146.3+5.050%
Season away (7)71.679.4151.0-7.929%
Last 10 (10)81.773.2154.9+8.560%
Last 5 (5)78.069.0147.0+9.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (9)71.378.2149.6-6.922%
vs Weaker (21)82.867.9150.7+14.990%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#7
W
76-68
76
68
+8
A20/11
ACB
Unics Kazan
#15
W
89-75
89
75
+14
H24/11
Euroleague
Manresa
#17
W
96-70
96
70
+26
H27/11
ACB
Fenerbahce
#3
L
77-78
77
78
-1
A01/12
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#12
W
92-76
92
76
+16
H04/12
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
W
96-91
96
91
+5
H08/12
Euroleague
Bilbao
#10
W
85-77
85
77
+8
A11/12
ACB
Darussafaka
#9
L
68-81
68
81
-13
A15/12
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#14
W
106-59
106
59
+47
H18/12
ACB
Bamberg
#13
W
95-72
95
72
+23
H20/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-17
16-22
18-17
21-12
25-17
15-20
22-18
27-20
25-17
16-19
33-15
22-19
19-23
21-16
17-18
20-21
23-12
24-20
24-19
21-25
25-22
24-27
25-20
22-22
22-13
26-25
17-24
20-15
20-17
11-18
13-17
24-29
20-22
28-18
33-8
25-11
24-9
23-16
25-15
23-32
162.7Avg total
88.0Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)88.880.3169.1+8.569%
Season at home (7)89.679.9169.4+9.786%
Season away (6)87.880.8168.7+7.050%
Last 10 (10)88.074.7162.7+13.380%
Last 5 (5)90.076.0166.0+14.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)86.577.2163.7+9.464%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)92.679.1171.7+13.589%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +5.5+5.5Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +5.6+5.6Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +1.9+1.9
Crvena zvezdaReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Karpos
#11
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H21/11
ABA League
Anadolu Efes
#6
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A24/11
Euroleague
Petrol Olimpija
#10
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A28/11
ABA League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H02/12
Euroleague
FMP Beograd
#9
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H05/12
ABA League
Fenerbahce
#3
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A08/12
Euroleague
Buducnost
#4
W
44-28
44
28
+16
A11/12
ABA League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#14
W
42-24
42
24
+18
H15/12
Euroleague
MZT Skopje
#13
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A17/12
ABA League
Olympiacos
#4
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A20/12
Euroleague
77.9Avg total
40.8Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.435.475.8+5.070%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.632.373.9+9.386%-
Last 30 away (16)39.438.277.6+1.256%-
Last 10 (10)40.837.177.9+3.760%-
Last 5 (5)38.834.673.4+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (9)36.038.774.7-2.744%-
vs Weaker (21)42.334.076.3+8.281%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#7
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A20/11
ACB
Unics Kazan
#15
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H24/11
Euroleague
Manresa
#17
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H27/11
ACB
Fenerbahce
#3
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A01/12
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#12
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H04/12
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H08/12
Euroleague
Bilbao
#10
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A11/12
ACB
Darussafaka
#9
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A15/12
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#14
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H18/12
ACB
Bamberg
#13
W
47-25
47
25
+22
H20/12
Euroleague
79.8Avg total
42.8Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.540.484.8+4.167%-
Last 30 at home (17)46.141.287.3+4.971%-
Last 30 away (13)42.339.381.6+3.062%-
Last 10 (10)42.837.079.8+5.870%-
Last 5 (5)44.637.482.0+7.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)42.641.083.6+1.664%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)45.439.685.0+5.867%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 80.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
50%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.521.0
51.9%
50.7%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.97.4
35.4%
37.3%22.2
🏀 Free throws20.916.3
78.0%
75.6%16.3
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 88.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
50%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.421.2
53.8%
50.7%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.210.1
37.1%
37.3%30.3
🏀 Free throws20.215.8
78.2%
75.6%15.8
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Dec 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Crvena zvezda
LWWWLWLWLW
Real Madrid
WWLWWWLWWW
#7
League position
#2
+10.7
Net rating
+11.8
108.6
Offensive rating
117.7
97.9
Defensive rating
105.9
52.3%
Effective FG%
54.6%
49.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
14.5%
Turnover %
14.7%
23.4%
Off. rebound %
33.1%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.30
35.4%
3-point %
37.1%
68.7%
Assist %
68.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence108.6 · 117.7Defence97.9 · 105.9Shooting52.3% · 54.6%3-point %35.4% · 37.1%Ball care14.5% · 14.7%Off. rebounds23.4% · 33.1%Free throws0.34 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Crvena zvezda   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Crvena zvezda wins
3
Real Madrid wins
DateGameScore
27/11/15Crvena zvezda v Real Madrid94-88
22/10/15Real Madrid v Crvena zvezda98-71
26/02/15Real Madrid v Crvena zvezda85-61
02/01/15Crvena zvezda v Real Madrid72-79
Crvena zvezdalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/16AOlympiacos65-73
17/12/16AMZT Skopje93-73
15/12/16HMaccabi Tel Aviv83-58
11/12/16ABuducnost77-54
08/12/16AFenerbahce72-87
05/12/16HFMP Beograd93-62
02/12/16HZalgiris Kaunas79-88
28/11/16APetrol Olimpija85-67
24/11/16AAnadolu Efes79-100
21/11/16HKarpos91-70
Real Madridlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/16HBamberg95-72
18/12/16HObradoiro CAB106-59
15/12/16ADarussafaka68-81
11/12/16ABilbao85-77
08/12/16HZalgiris Kaunas96-91
04/12/16HFuenlabrada92-76
01/12/16AFenerbahce77-78
27/11/16HManresa96-70
24/11/16HUnics Kazan89-75
20/11/16AGran Canaria76-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Crvena zvezda
Euroleague 2016
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL38%
HomeWLWLW50%
AwayLWLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %38%50%29%
Points / game73.575.771.6
Allowed / game75.470.779.4
Point differential-1.9+5.0-7.9
Avg total148.8146.3151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Real Madrid
Euroleague 2016
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW69%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayWLWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %69%86%50%
Points / game88.889.687.8
Allowed / game80.379.980.8
Point differential+8.5+9.7+7.0
Avg total169.1169.4168.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%43%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow1312192%91.181.4+9.7
2 Real Madrid139469%88.880.3+8.5
3 Olympiacos139469%80.074.5+5.5
4 Baskonia139469%79.676.9+2.7
5 Panathinaikos138562%79.875.6+4.2
6 Fenerbahce138562%76.476.8-0.4
7 Darussafaka137654%77.577.5+0.0
8 Anadolu Efes147750%84.785.5-0.8
9 Zalgiris Kaunas135838%81.582.8-1.4
10 Crvena zvezda135838%73.575.4-1.9
11 Maccabi Tel Aviv135838%79.282.5-3.3
12 Barcelona135838%70.274.3-4.2
13 Bamberg134931%80.682.5-1.9
14 Unics Kazan134931%79.482.4-3.0
15 Olimpia Milano134931%83.288.7-5.5
16 Galatasaray1441029%78.185.5-7.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Crvena zvezda2023192082
Real Madrid1916161970
← all games of the day
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