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Crvena zvezda vs Mornar Bar Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 20 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 95-75
29-17 23-22 26-21 17-15
Position#1
Record6-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game87.7
Allowed / game75.9
Crvena zvezda 🏆
vs
Mornar Bar
Position#13
Record1-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game71.1
Allowed / game91.1
EuropeABA LeagueRound 8· Aleksandar Nikolic Hall
Domestic2023
Meetings · Crvena zvezda v Mornar Bar
28 Sep 2024
CZV91
MBA72
20 Nov 2023
CZV95
MBA75
10 Dec 2022
CZV93
MBA77
30 Jan 2022
CZV81
MBA74
18 Oct 2020
CZV93
MBA62
17 Nov 2018
CZV104
MBA71
02 Apr 2018
CZV88
MBA69
18 Mar 2018
CZV91
MBA63
01 Oct 2017
CZV88
MBA77
30 Jan 2017
CZV82
MBA71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Crvena zvezda winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mornar Bar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Formzvezda
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#8
L
79-85
79
85
-6
68avg 80
A20/10
Euroleague
FMP Beograd
#11
W
83-72
83
72
+11
90avg 80
A23/10
ABA League
Partizan
#11
L
86-88
86
88
-2
84avg 80
A26/10
Euroleague
Partizan
#3
L
87-98
87
98
-11
88avg 80
A30/10
ABA League
Bayern
#15
W
74-68
74
68
+6
67avg 80
H02/11
Euroleague
Buducnost
#2
W
95-86
95
86
+9
97avg 80
H05/11
ABA League
Barcelona
#5
L
81-86
81
86
-5
76avg 80
A10/11
Euroleague
Zadar
#6
W
81-74
81
74
+7
78avg 80
A12/11
ABA League
Fenerbahce
#7
W
87-56
87
56
+31
86avg 80
H14/11
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#4
L
83-88
83
88
-5
69avg 80
A16/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-26
18-18
22-18
24-23
21-16
20-17
20-23
22-16
13-22
29-20
23-11
21-35
25-17
11-30
27-25
24-26
12-19
21-16
20-24
21-9
21-18
32-24
16-21
26-23
18-21
25-26
19-18
19-21
23-24
22-19
25-11
11-20
25-16
20-10
15-14
27-16
23-20
21-25
9-19
30-24
163.7Avg total
83.6Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)87.775.9163.6+11.986%
Season at home (2)94.568.5163.0+26.0100%
Season away (5)85.078.8163.8+6.280%
Last 10 (10)83.680.1163.7+3.550%
Last 5 (5)85.478.0163.4+7.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)85.072.0157.0+13.050%
vs Similar (12)79.982.6162.5-2.725%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)88.469.0157.4+19.4100%
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mornar BarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBar
Date
Competition
Zadar
#6
L
57-92
57
92
-35
40avg 66
A13/10
ABA League
Sabah Baku
#28
W
80-75
80
75
+5
67avg 66
H18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Studentski Centar
#9
L
79-94
79
94
-15
63avg 66
A22/10
ABA League
Nymburk
#10
L
62-78
62
78
-16
54avg 66
A25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
86-83
86
83
+3
74avg 66
H30/10
ABA League
Bahcesehir Kol.
#4
L
71-78
71
78
-7
64avg 66
H01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Cibona
#12
L
72-73
72
73
-1
68avg 66
A04/11
ABA League
Sabah Baku
#28
L
74-81
74
81
-7
63avg 66
A08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Mega Basket
#4
L
65-99
65
99
-34
47avg 66
H12/11
ABA League
Nymburk
#10
L
76-97
76
97
-21
64avg 66
H15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
6-14
14-22
15-24
22-32
22-22
21-17
16-13
21-23
25-20
20-20
17-20
17-34
18-23
17-17
12-23
15-15
19-22
23-28
20-21
24-12
28-21
15-21
12-18
16-18
20-18
19-15
15-25
18-15
20-16
22-17
16-27
16-21
16-23
24-23
6-23
19-30
15-22
20-23
19-28
22-24
157.2Avg total
72.2Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)71.191.1162.3-20.014%
Season at home (3)70.789.7160.3-19.033%
Season away (4)71.592.2163.8-20.80%
Last 10 (10)72.285.0157.2-12.820%
Last 5 (5)71.685.6157.2-14.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)75.190.5165.6-15.412%
vs Similar (4)89.290.0179.2-0.875%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -7.4-7.4Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -3.4-3.4
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -7.4-7.4Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -3.4-3.4
Crvena zvezdaMornar Bar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#8
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A20/10
Euroleague
FMP Beograd
#11
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A23/10
ABA League
Partizan
#11
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A26/10
Euroleague
Partizan
#3
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A30/10
ABA League
Bayern
#15
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H02/11
Euroleague
Buducnost
#2
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H05/11
ABA League
Barcelona
#5
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A10/11
Euroleague
Zadar
#6
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A12/11
ABA League
Fenerbahce
#7
W
45-26
45
26
+19
H14/11
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#4
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A16/11
Euroleague
81.9Avg total
41.5Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.837.079.8+5.867%-
Last 30 at home (12)45.732.978.6+12.883%-
Last 30 away (18)40.839.780.6+1.156%-
Last 10 (10)41.540.481.9+1.140%-
Last 5 (5)46.040.686.6+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)44.535.580.0+9.050%-
vs Similar (12)37.842.280.0-4.525%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)46.333.279.6+13.1100%-
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zadar
#6
L
20-36
20
36
-16
A13/10
ABA League
Sabah Baku
#28
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Studentski Centar
#9
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A22/10
ABA League
Nymburk
#10
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H30/10
ABA League
Bahcesehir Kol.
#4
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Cibona
#12
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A04/11
ABA League
Sabah Baku
#28
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Mega Basket
#4
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H12/11
ABA League
Nymburk
#10
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
78.8Avg total
38.4Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.345.584.7-6.227%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.946.486.3-6.520%-
Last 30 away (15)38.744.583.2-5.933%-
Last 10 (10)38.440.478.8-2.050%-
Last 5 (5)39.839.879.6+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)38.844.183.0-5.333%-
vs Similar (4)44.550.094.5-5.50%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.918.1
56.7%
54.3%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.810.8
36.2%
34.1%32.4
🏀 Free throws17.813.4
75.3%
73.8%13.4
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 71.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.116.9
48.1%
54.3%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.18.0
28.5%
34.1%24.0
🏀 Free throws18.513.4
72.4%
73.8%13.4
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Crvena zvezda
LWWLWWLLWL
Mornar Bar
LLLLLWLLWL
#1
League position
#13
+4.1
Net rating
-16.9
114.7
Offensive rating
94.0
110.7
Defensive rating
110.9
55.6%
Effective FG%
45.7%
55.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
16.2%
Turnover %
17.2%
30.4%
Off. rebound %
23.8%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.29
36.2%
3-point %
28.5%
73.4%
Assist %
54.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence114.7 · 94.0Defence110.7 · 110.9Shooting55.6% · 45.7%3-point %36.2% · 28.5%Ball care16.2% · 17.2%Off. rebounds30.4% · 23.8%Free throws0.29 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Crvena zvezda   ■ Mornar Bar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Crvena zvezda wins
1
Mornar Bar wins
DateGameScore
20/04/23Mornar Bar v Crvena zvezda65-87
10/12/22Crvena zvezda v Mornar Bar93-77
30/01/22Crvena zvezda v Mornar Bar81-74
24/10/21Mornar Bar v Crvena zvezda69-77
24/01/21Mornar Bar v Crvena zvezda78-86
18/10/20Crvena zvezda v Mornar Bar93-62
09/02/19Mornar Bar v Crvena zvezda57-90
17/11/18Crvena zvezda v Mornar Bar104-71
02/04/18Crvena zvezda v Mornar Bar88-69
25/03/18Mornar Bar v Crvena zvezda88-84
Crvena zvezdalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/23AOlympiacos83-88
14/11/23HFenerbahce87-56
12/11/23AZadar81-74
10/11/23ABarcelona81-86
05/11/23HBuducnost95-86
02/11/23HBayern74-68
30/10/23APartizan87-98
26/10/23APartizan86-88
23/10/23AFMP Beograd83-72
20/10/23AVirtus Bologna79-85
Mornar Barlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/23HNymburk76-97
12/11/23HMega Basket65-99
08/11/23ASabah Baku74-81
04/11/23ACibona72-73
01/11/23HBahcesehir Kol.71-78
30/10/23HKK Krka Novo mesto86-83
25/10/23ANymburk62-78
22/10/23AStudentski Centar79-94
18/10/23HSabah Baku80-75
13/10/23AZadar57-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Crvena zvezda
ABA League 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW86%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWWLW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games725
Win %86%100%80%
Points / game87.794.585.0
Allowed / game75.968.578.8
Point differential+11.9+26.0+6.2
Avg total163.6163.0163.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%50%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mornar Bar
ABA League 2023
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL14%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %14%33%0%
Points / game71.170.771.5
Allowed / game91.189.792.2
Point differential-20.0-19.0-20.8
Avg total162.3160.3163.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda76186%87.775.9+11.9
2 Buducnost86275%83.875.0+8.8
3 Igokea86275%81.878.2+3.5
4 Cedevita Olimpija86275%85.584.8+0.8
5 Partizan85362%92.876.9+15.9
6 Mega Basket84450%85.079.2+5.8
7 Zadar84450%82.079.2+2.8
8 Borac Mozzart84450%81.179.9+1.2
9 Studentski Centar84450%85.884.6+1.1
10 FMP Beograd83538%81.585.6-4.1
11 Cibona83538%78.884.8-6.0
12 KK Krka Novo mesto82625%72.984.6-11.8
13 Mornar Bar71614%71.191.1-20.0
14 Split81712%69.680.4-10.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Crvena zvezda2923261795
Mornar Bar1722211575
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