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Virtus Bologna vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 84-75
24-19 23-18 17-17 20-21
Position#2
Record15-6
FormWLWLL
Points / game88.6
Allowed / game76.4
vs
Position#1
Record15-6
FormWLLWW
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game72.4
ItalyLega ARound 22· Segafredo Arena
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Virtus Bologna v Olimpia Milano
24 Jan 2027
VIR v MIL
upcoming
30 Dec 2026
VIR v MIL
upcoming
15 Mar 2026
VIR104
MIL94
02 Jan 2026
VIR97
MIL85
27 Sep 2025
VIR86
MIL93
02 Jun 2025
VIR66
MIL85
31 May 2025
VIR68
MIL67
04 Apr 2025
VIR90
MIL70
02 Mar 2025
VIR86
MIL80
12 Feb 2025
VIR77
MIL91
08 Jun 2024
VIR72
MIL64
06 Jun 2024
VIR75
MIL86
10 Mar 2024
VIR84
MIL75
14 Nov 2023
VIR86
MIL79
21 Jun 2023
VIR85
MIL66
16 Jun 2023
VIR93
MIL89
14 Jun 2023
VIR69
MIL61
13 Apr 2023
VIR89
MIL84
02 Jan 2023
VIR74
MIL96
16 Jun 2022
VIR84
MIL78
10 Jun 2022
VIR75
MIL68
08 Jun 2022
VIR62
MIL66
10 Apr 2022
VIR83
MIL65
11 Jun 2021
VIR73
MIL62
09 Jun 2021
VIR76
MIL58
27 Dec 2020
VIR68
MIL73
29 Dec 2019
VIR83
MIL70
14 Oct 2018
VIR79
MIL88
11 Mar 2018
VIR67
MIL73
28 Feb 2016
VIR85
MIL101
22 May 2015
VIR65
MIL92
29 Dec 2014
VIR58
MIL81
10 Nov 2013
VIR79
MIL71
03 Oct 2012
VIR67
MIL64
16 Feb 2012
VIR77
MIL82
05 Feb 2012
VIR68
MIL80
19 Dec 2010
VIR81
MIL94
08 Nov 2009
VIR83
MIL87
01 Feb 2009
VIR70
MIL60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Basket Napoli
#7
W
101-89
101
89
+12
102avg 80
H28/01
Lega A
Barcelona
#5
L
57-84
57
84
-27
42avg 80
A31/01
Euroleague
Partizan
#11
W
88-84
88
84
+4
85avg 80
H02/02
Euroleague
Treviso
#13
W
100-61
100
61
+39
115avg 80
A05/02
Lega A
Monaco
#3
L
78-81
78
81
-3
71avg 80
H09/02
Euroleague
Scafati
#14
W
94-67
94
67
+27
96avg 80
H11/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#3
L
72-81
72
81
-9
62avg 80
H15/02
Italian Cup
Valencia
#14
W
87-74
87
74
+13
83avg 80
H29/02
Euroleague
Sassari
#8
L
88-93
88
93
-5
87avg 80
A03/03
Lega A
Olympiacos
#4
L
69-74
69
74
-5
59avg 80
A07/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-24
22-24
24-26
22-15
17-20
10-21
17-20
13-23
19-19
16-12
27-27
26-26
21-25
30-9
29-16
20-11
16-21
19-24
19-15
24-21
31-21
18-20
19-11
26-15
20-15
17-19
17-19
18-28
18-20
26-12
21-25
22-17
25-27
15-17
22-21
26-28
22-21
24-16
5-20
18-17
162.2Avg total
83.4Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)88.676.4165.0+12.271%
Season at home (10)93.875.6169.4+18.290%
Season away (11)83.977.1161.0+6.855%
Last 10 (10)83.478.8162.2+4.650%
Last 5 (5)82.077.8159.8+4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)71.378.2149.5-6.833%
vs Similar ◀ (11)82.382.3164.5+0.064%
vs Weaker (12)89.473.8163.2+15.675%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
73-79
73
79
-6
69avg 77
A02/02
Euroleague
Pistoia
#10
W
78-72
78
72
+6
70avg 77
A04/02
Lega A
Real Madrid
#1
W
81-76
81
76
+5
71avg 77
H08/02
Euroleague
Brindisi
#15
W
69-55
69
55
+14
70avg 77
H11/02
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
80-57
80
57
+23
76avg 77
H14/02
Italian Cup
Venezia
#4
W
100-77
100
77
+23
94avg 77
H17/02
Italian Cup
Basket Napoli
#1
L
72-77
72
77
-5
66avg 77
H18/02
Italian Cup
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
L
77-81
77
81
-4
65avg 77
A01/03
Euroleague
Varese
#12
W
94-63
94
63
+31
97avg 77
H03/03
Lega A
Partizan
#11
W
85-83
85
83
+2
70avg 77
H08/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-15
28-19
7-30
23-15
21-24
20-9
16-23
21-16
23-19
25-10
18-25
15-22
13-14
23-11
19-17
14-13
20-17
19-6
26-12
15-22
31-20
29-17
14-21
26-19
19-24
17-19
17-17
19-17
13-22
22-17
21-23
21-19
29-13
25-17
27-20
13-13
22-21
19-19
23-27
21-16
152.9Avg total
80.9Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)79.572.4151.9+7.171%
Season at home (11)82.372.0154.3+10.382%
Season away (10)76.572.8149.3+3.760%
Last 10 (10)80.972.0152.9+8.970%
Last 5 (5)85.676.2161.8+9.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)70.377.0147.3-6.733%
vs Similar ◀ (12)74.876.7151.4-1.950%
vs Weaker (14)80.869.2150.0+11.686%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +8.3+8.3Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +1.6+1.6
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +8.3+8.3Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +1.6+1.6
Virtus BolognaOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Napoli
#7
W
55-48
55
48
+7
H28/01
Lega A
Barcelona
#5
L
27-41
27
41
-14
A31/01
Euroleague
Partizan
#11
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H02/02
Euroleague
Treviso
#13
W
51-34
51
34
+17
A05/02
Lega A
Monaco
#3
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H09/02
Euroleague
Scafati
#14
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H11/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#3
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H15/02
Italian Cup
Valencia
#14
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H29/02
Euroleague
Sassari
#8
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A03/03
Lega A
Olympiacos
#4
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A07/03
Euroleague
80.6Avg total
41.9Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.639.581.1+2.150%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.039.180.1+1.953%-
Last 30 away (15)42.339.982.1+2.447%-
Last 10 (10)41.938.780.6+3.270%-
Last 5 (5)43.237.680.8+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)36.043.379.3-7.317%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)40.540.981.4-0.536%-
vs Weaker (12)45.936.882.7+9.275%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A02/02
Euroleague
Pistoia
#10
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A04/02
Lega A
Real Madrid
#1
W
48-29
48
29
+19
H08/02
Euroleague
Brindisi
#15
W
36-25
36
25
+11
H11/02
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
39-23
39
23
+16
H14/02
Italian Cup
Venezia
#4
W
60-37
60
37
+23
H17/02
Italian Cup
Basket Napoli
#1
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H18/02
Italian Cup
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A01/03
Euroleague
Varese
#12
W
54-30
54
30
+24
H03/03
Lega A
Partizan
#11
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H08/03
Euroleague
76.6Avg total
43.3Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.935.476.3+5.567%-
Last 30 at home (18)42.334.276.5+8.178%-
Last 30 away (12)38.837.276.0+1.750%-
Last 10 (10)43.333.376.6+10.080%-
Last 5 (5)45.237.883.0+7.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)39.038.077.0+1.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)41.036.277.2+4.875%-
vs Weaker (14)41.435.076.4+6.464%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.521.1
61.2%
53.1%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.28.9
32.7%
35.7%26.7
🏀 Free throws18.213.9
76.4%
76.3%13.9
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.218.3
52.0%
53.1%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.410.5
35.7%
35.7%31.5
🏀 Free throws15.112.2
80.8%
76.3%12.2
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Virtus Bologna
LLWLWLWWLW
Olimpia Milano
WWLLWWWWWL
#2
League position
#1
+7.1
Net rating
+13.4
112.7
Offensive rating
111.9
105.6
Defensive rating
98.5
55.8%
Effective FG%
52.7%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
47.6%
16.5%
Turnover %
16.8%
25.8%
Off. rebound %
31.7%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.23
32.7%
3-point %
35.7%
69.0%
Assist %
63.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence112.7 · 111.9Defence105.6 · 98.5Shooting55.8% · 52.7%3-point %32.7% · 35.7%Ball care16.5% · 16.8%Off. rebounds25.8% · 31.7%Free throws0.29 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Virtus Bologna   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/24AOlympiacos69-74
03/03/24ASassari88-93
29/02/24HValencia87-74
15/02/24HReggiana72-81
11/02/24HScafati94-67
09/02/24HMonaco78-81
05/02/24ATreviso100-61
02/02/24HPartizan88-84
31/01/24ABarcelona57-84
28/01/24HBasket Napoli101-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/24HPartizan85-83
03/03/24HVarese94-63
01/03/24ALyon-Villeurbanne77-81
18/02/24HBasket Napoli72-77
17/02/24HVenezia100-77
14/02/24HTrento80-57
11/02/24HBrindisi69-55
08/02/24HReal Madrid81-76
04/02/24APistoia78-72
02/02/24AAnadolu Efes73-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Bologna
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL71%
HomeLWWWW90%
AwayWLWWL55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %71%90%55%
Points / game88.693.883.9
Allowed / game76.475.677.1
Point differential+12.2+18.2+6.8
Avg total165.0169.4161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%90%45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW71%
HomeWWWWW82%
AwayWLWWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %71%82%60%
Points / game79.582.376.5
Allowed / game72.472.072.8
Point differential+7.1+10.3+3.7
Avg total151.9154.3149.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%55%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)67% (3)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brescia2116576%88.176.1+12.0
2 Virtus Bologna2115671%88.676.4+12.2
3 Olimpia Milano2115671%79.572.4+7.1
4 Venezia2215768%82.176.5+5.7
5 Basket Napoli22121055%85.684.5+1.1
6 Reggiana22121055%79.881.1-1.3
7 Tortona22111150%79.678.3+1.3
8 Trento22111150%83.383.4-0.1
9 Scafati21101148%83.186.7-3.5
10 Pistoia21101148%78.282.6-4.4
11 Sassari22101245%76.581.4-4.9
12 Cremona2191243%81.279.2+2.0
13 Varese2291341%84.489.0-4.5
14 Treviso2271532%79.584.5-4.9
15 Pesaro2261627%79.187.1-8.0
16 Brindisi2251723%73.582.2-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Virtus Bologna2423172084
Olimpia Milano1918172175
← all games of the day
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