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Olympiacos vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 07 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 74-69
21-22 16-24 20-5 17-18
Position#4
Record16-11
FormWWWWW
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game75.3
Olympiacos 🏆
vs
Virtus Bologna
Position#8
Record17-10
FormLWLWL
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game80.9
EuropeEuroleagueRound 28· Peace and Friendship Stadium
European cup2023
Meetings · Olympiacos v Virtus Bologna
26 Mar 2027
OLY v VIR
upcoming
06 Feb 2026
OLY109
VIR77
18 Dec 2024
OLY87
VIR77
07 Mar 2024
OLY74
VIR69
09 Dec 2022
OLY117
VIR71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olympiacos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OlympiacosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOlympiacos
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#18
W
101-87
101
87
+14
96avg 80
H30/01
Euroleague
Bayern
#15
W
76-72
76
72
+4
69avg 80
A01/02
Euroleague
Promitheas
#7
W
81-57
81
57
+24
82avg 80
A04/02
Basket League
Valencia
#14
W
78-65
78
65
+13
74avg 80
A08/02
Euroleague
Maroussi
#11
W
93-87
93
87
+6
87avg 80
H11/02
Basket League
Peristeri
#45
W
87-68
87
68
+19
89avg 80
H16/02
Greek Cup
Promitheas
#17
W
91-77
91
77
+14
93avg 80
H17/02
Greek Cup
Panathinaikos
#12
W
69-58
69
58
+11
64avg 80
A18/02
Greek Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
95-76
95
76
+19
98avg 80
A01/03
Euroleague
Peristeri
#6
W
85-67
85
67
+18
87avg 80
A04/03
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-17
25-31
33-13
23-26
18-14
17-24
19-13
22-21
21-11
18-17
24-17
18-12
21-19
19-20
20-9
18-17
18-20
28-20
26-19
21-28
21-16
19-16
22-15
25-21
23-15
17-21
30-19
21-22
14-12
16-13
17-14
22-19
23-20
18-19
28-17
26-20
25-14
23-25
22-9
15-19
157.0Avg total
85.6Scored
71.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)79.375.3154.6+4.059%
Season at home (13)80.074.8154.8+5.269%
Season away (14)78.675.6154.3+3.050%
Last 10 (10)85.671.4157.0+14.2100%
Last 5 (5)85.469.2154.6+16.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)82.678.9161.4+3.756%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)81.067.6148.6+13.485%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#7
L
75-88
75
88
-13
64avg 81
A25/01
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#7
W
101-89
101
89
+12
102avg 81
H28/01
Lega A
Barcelona
#5
L
57-84
57
84
-27
42avg 81
A31/01
Euroleague
Partizan
#11
W
88-84
88
84
+4
85avg 81
H02/02
Euroleague
Treviso
#13
W
100-61
100
61
+39
115avg 81
A05/02
Lega A
Monaco
#3
L
78-81
78
81
-3
71avg 81
H09/02
Euroleague
Scafati
#14
W
94-67
94
67
+27
96avg 81
H11/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#3
L
72-81
72
81
-9
62avg 81
H15/02
Italian Cup
Valencia
#14
W
87-74
87
74
+13
83avg 81
H29/02
Euroleague
Sassari
#8
L
88-93
88
93
-5
87avg 81
A03/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-21
22-31
9-19
19-17
33-24
22-24
24-26
22-15
17-20
10-21
17-20
13-23
19-19
16-12
27-27
26-26
21-25
30-9
29-16
20-11
16-21
19-24
19-15
24-21
31-21
18-20
19-11
26-15
20-15
17-19
17-19
18-28
18-20
26-12
21-25
22-17
25-27
15-17
22-21
26-28
164.2Avg total
84.0Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)80.780.9161.7-0.263%
Season at home (14)84.178.1162.1+6.086%
Season away (13)77.284.0161.2-6.838%
Last 10 (10)84.080.2164.2+3.850%
Last 5 (5)83.879.2163.0+4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)71.879.0150.8-7.240%
vs Similar (12)81.882.9164.7-1.258%
vs Weaker (12)89.473.8163.2+15.675%
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +9.6+9.6Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +1.5+1.5
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +9.6+9.6Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +1.5+1.5
OlympiacosVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OlympiacosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#18
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H30/01
Euroleague
Bayern
#15
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A01/02
Euroleague
Promitheas
#7
W
39-28
39
28
+11
A04/02
Basket League
Valencia
#14
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A08/02
Euroleague
Maroussi
#11
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H11/02
Basket League
Peristeri
#45
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H16/02
Greek Cup
Promitheas
#17
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H17/02
Greek Cup
Panathinaikos
#12
W
30-25
30
25
+5
A18/02
Greek Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A01/03
Euroleague
Peristeri
#6
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A04/03
Basket League
76.8Avg total
40.4Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.035.475.4+4.763%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.434.373.6+5.164%-
Last 30 away (16)40.636.376.9+4.362%-
Last 10 (10)40.436.476.8+4.080%-
Last 5 (5)39.834.274.0+5.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)38.439.978.3-1.444%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)40.833.574.2+7.270%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#7
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A25/01
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#7
W
55-48
55
48
+7
H28/01
Lega A
Barcelona
#5
L
27-41
27
41
-14
A31/01
Euroleague
Partizan
#11
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H02/02
Euroleague
Treviso
#13
W
51-34
51
34
+17
A05/02
Lega A
Monaco
#3
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H09/02
Euroleague
Scafati
#14
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H11/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#3
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H15/02
Italian Cup
Valencia
#14
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H29/02
Euroleague
Sassari
#8
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A03/03
Lega A
82.2Avg total
42.0Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.639.781.4+1.950%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.039.180.1+1.953%-
Last 30 away (15)42.340.382.6+1.947%-
Last 10 (10)42.040.282.2+1.860%-
Last 5 (5)41.039.280.2+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)34.044.678.6-10.60%-
vs Similar (12)40.941.282.1-0.242%-
vs Weaker (12)45.936.882.7+9.275%-
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olympiacostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olympiacos: 84.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.422.9
62.9%
53.4%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.98.2
34.3%
36.6%24.6
🏀 Free throws18.514.4
77.8%
77.4%14.4
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 83.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.821.0
60.3%
53.4%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.59.0
34.0%
36.6%27.0
🏀 Free throws19.414.4
74.2%
77.4%14.4
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olympiacos
WWWWWWWWWW
Virtus Bologna
LWLWLWWLWL
#4
League position
#8
+19.5
Net rating
+6.0
118.2
Offensive rating
113.5
98.7
Defensive rating
107.5
58.4%
Effective FG%
56.3%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
17.0%
Turnover %
16.4%
28.2%
Off. rebound %
26.6%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.32
34.3%
3-point %
34.0%
70.4%
Assist %
68.0%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence118.2 · 113.5Defence98.7 · 107.5Shooting58.4% · 56.3%3-point %34.3% · 34.0%Ball care17.0% · 16.4%Off. rebounds28.2% · 26.6%Free throws0.31 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)100% · 50%
■ Olympiacos   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Olympiacos wins
1
Virtus Bologna wins
DateGameScore
19/12/23Virtus Bologna v Olympiacos69-67
12/01/23Virtus Bologna v Olympiacos83-85
09/12/22Olympiacos v Virtus Bologna117-71
Olympiacoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/24APeristeri85-67
01/03/24AZalgiris Kaunas95-76
18/02/24APanathinaikos69-58
17/02/24HPromitheas91-77
16/02/24HPeristeri87-68
11/02/24HMaroussi93-87
08/02/24AValencia78-65
04/02/24APromitheas81-57
01/02/24ABayern76-72
30/01/24HAlba Berlin101-87
Virtus Bolognalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/24ASassari88-93
29/02/24HValencia87-74
15/02/24HReggiana72-81
11/02/24HScafati94-67
09/02/24HMonaco78-81
05/02/24ATreviso100-61
02/02/24HPartizan88-84
31/01/24ABarcelona57-84
28/01/24HBasket Napoli101-89
25/01/24AFenerbahce75-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olympiacos
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW59%
HomeLWWWW69%
AwayLLWWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %59%69%50%
Points / game79.380.078.6
Allowed / game75.374.875.6
Point differential+4.0+5.2+3.0
Avg total154.6154.8154.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%31%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)80% (5)40% (5)
Overtime %7%8%7%
Virtus Bologna
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW63%
HomeWWWLW86%
AwayWLLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %63%86%38%
Points / game80.784.177.2
Allowed / game80.978.184.0
Point differential-0.2+6.0-6.8
Avg total161.7162.1161.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%36%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)67% (6)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2822679%88.680.8+7.8
2 Barcelona2819968%82.678.4+4.2
3 Monaco28181064%81.878.6+3.1
4 Panathinaikos27171063%81.477.7+3.7
5 Virtus Bologna27171063%80.780.9-0.2
6 Fenerbahce28171161%83.981.4+2.5
7 Olympiacos27161159%79.375.3+4.0
8 Maccabi Tel Aviv28151354%87.087.4-0.4
9 Baskonia27141352%83.884.5-0.7
10 Partizan27131448%83.683.9-0.2
11 Valencia28131546%76.176.8-0.7
12 Anadolu Efes28121643%85.787.9-2.2
13 Bayern28121643%79.682.7-3.1
14 Olimpia Milano27111641%76.976.8+0.1
15 Zalgiris Kaunas28111739%80.081.3-1.4
16 Crvena zvezda28101836%81.481.2+0.2
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne2762122%78.485.8-7.4
18 Alba Berlin2752219%75.985.7-9.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olympiacos2116201774
Virtus Bologna222451869
← all games of the day
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