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Virtus Bologna vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 29 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 87-74
18-20 26-12 21-25 22-17
Position#8
Record16-10
FormWWLWL
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game81.2
vs
Position#14
Record13-13
FormWLLWL
Points / game76.1
Allowed / game76.0
EuropeEuroleagueRound 27· Segafredo Arena
European cup2023
Meetings · Virtus Bologna v Valencia
06 Apr 2027
VIR v VAL
upcoming
03 Apr 2026
VIR81
VAL94
29 Feb 2024
VIR87
VAL74
17 Nov 2022
VIR89
VAL59
10 Nov 2021
VIR96
VAL97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus BolognaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
73-63
73
63
+10
66avg 81
H18/01
Euroleague
Varese
#12
W
81-69
81
69
+12
69avg 81
A21/01
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#7
L
75-88
75
88
-13
64avg 81
A25/01
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#7
W
101-89
101
89
+12
102avg 81
H28/01
Lega A
Barcelona
#5
L
57-84
57
84
-27
42avg 81
A31/01
Euroleague
Partizan
#11
W
88-84
88
84
+4
85avg 81
H02/02
Euroleague
Treviso
#13
W
100-61
100
61
+39
115avg 81
A05/02
Lega A
Monaco
#3
L
78-81
78
81
-3
71avg 81
H09/02
Euroleague
Scafati
#14
W
94-67
94
67
+27
96avg 81
H11/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#3
L
72-81
72
81
-9
62avg 81
H15/02
Italian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-10
8-22
18-22
28-9
27-20
20-20
17-16
17-13
25-21
22-31
9-19
19-17
33-24
22-24
24-26
22-15
17-20
10-21
17-20
13-23
19-19
16-12
27-27
26-26
21-25
30-9
29-16
20-11
16-21
19-24
19-15
24-21
31-21
18-20
19-11
26-15
20-15
17-19
17-19
18-28
158.6Avg total
81.9Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)80.581.2161.7-0.762%
Season at home (13)83.878.4162.2+5.585%
Season away (13)77.284.0161.2-6.838%
Last 10 (10)81.976.7158.6+5.260%
Last 5 (5)86.474.8161.2+11.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)74.379.0153.3-4.750%
vs Similar ◀ (11)81.383.7165.0-2.555%
vs Weaker (12)88.373.0161.3+15.375%
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
85-75
85
75
+10
70avg 70
A21/01
ACB
Baskonia
#9
W
77-62
77
62
+15
71avg 70
A26/01
Euroleague
Unicaja
#2
L
63-83
63
83
-20
50avg 70
H28/01
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#16
L
64-82
64
82
-18
52avg 70
A30/01
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#18
W
81-66
81
66
+15
80avg 70
A01/02
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
W
79-76
79
76
+3
68avg 70
A04/02
ACB
Olympiacos
#4
L
65-78
65
78
-13
62avg 70
H08/02
Euroleague
Bilbao
#13
L
78-93
78
93
-15
75avg 70
A11/02
ACB
Gran Canaria
#6
W
89-81 OT
89
81
+8
no box
A15/02
Spanish Cup
Real Madrid
#1
L
76-95
76
95
-19
63avg 70
A17/02
Spanish Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-20
23-19
22-20
27-16
16-13
29-16
13-19
19-14
7-19
18-22
17-16
21-26
12-11
18-28
19-22
15-21
20-15
22-15
23-15
16-21
19-19
19-21
22-18
19-18
19-21
20-19
9-20
17-18
18-28
15-14
25-28
20-23
17-18
15-17
16-19
29-23
17-23
22-25
16-32
21-15
154.8Avg total
75.7Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)76.176.0152.1+0.150%
Season at home (14)77.977.0154.9+0.957%
Season away (12)74.074.8148.8-0.842%
Last 10 (10)75.779.1154.8-3.450%
Last 5 (5)77.484.6162.0-7.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)72.681.9154.4-9.314%
vs Similar ◀ (15)80.278.1158.3+2.160%
vs Weaker (7)83.979.6163.4+4.357%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: +0.9+0.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: +0.9+0.9
Virtus BolognaValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
L
27-32
27
32
-5
H18/01
Euroleague
Varese
#12
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A21/01
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#7
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A25/01
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#7
W
55-48
55
48
+7
H28/01
Lega A
Barcelona
#5
L
27-41
27
41
-14
A31/01
Euroleague
Partizan
#11
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H02/02
Euroleague
Treviso
#13
W
51-34
51
34
+17
A05/02
Lega A
Monaco
#3
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H09/02
Euroleague
Scafati
#14
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H11/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#3
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H15/02
Italian Cup
80.8Avg total
41.0Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.740.081.7+1.750%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.139.981.1+1.253%-
Last 30 away (15)42.240.182.3+2.147%-
Last 10 (10)41.039.880.8+1.260%-
Last 5 (5)41.437.078.4+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)36.044.580.5-8.517%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)40.642.082.6-1.436%-
vs Weaker (12)45.836.482.2+9.475%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A21/01
ACB
Baskonia
#9
W
45-29
45
29
+16
A26/01
Euroleague
Unicaja
#2
L
25-41
25
41
-16
H28/01
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#16
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A30/01
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#18
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A01/02
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A04/02
ACB
Olympiacos
#4
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H08/02
Euroleague
Bilbao
#13
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A11/02
ACB
Gran Canaria
#6
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A15/02
Spanish Cup
Real Madrid
#1
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A17/02
Spanish Cup
74.2Avg total
35.9Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.039.278.2-0.240%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.741.881.5-2.127%-
Last 30 away (15)38.336.574.9+1.853%-
Last 10 (10)35.938.374.2-2.420%-
Last 5 (5)36.241.077.2-4.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)37.039.776.7-2.729%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)39.738.578.2+1.353%-
vs Weaker (7)40.440.781.1-0.329%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 81.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.420.6
56.6%
53.4%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.09.1
35.0%
36.6%27.3
🏀 Free throws17.612.6
71.6%
77.4%12.6
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 74.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.617.1
48.0%
53.4%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.58.2
32.2%
36.6%24.6
🏀 Free throws19.915.4
77.4%
77.4%15.4
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Virtus Bologna
LWLWWLWLWW
Valencia
LWLLWWLLWW
#8
League position
#14
+7.3
Net rating
-4.7
110.0
Offensive rating
102.0
102.7
Defensive rating
106.6
54.9%
Effective FG%
48.1%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
17.0%
Turnover %
17.5%
26.9%
Off. rebound %
27.7%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.33
35.0%
3-point %
32.2%
66.0%
Assist %
63.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence110.0 · 102.0Defence102.7 · 106.6Shooting54.9% · 48.1%3-point %35.0% · 32.2%Ball care17.0% · 17.5%Off. rebounds26.9% · 27.7%Free throws0.28 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Virtus Bologna   ■ Valencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Virtus Bologna wins
4
Valencia wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/24HReggiana72-81
11/02/24HScafati94-67
09/02/24HMonaco78-81
05/02/24ATreviso100-61
02/02/24HPartizan88-84
31/01/24ABarcelona57-84
28/01/24HBasket Napoli101-89
25/01/24AFenerbahce75-88
21/01/24AVarese81-69
18/01/24HLyon-Villeurbanne73-63
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/02/24AReal Madrid76-95
15/02/24AGran Canaria89-81 OT
11/02/24ABilbao78-93
08/02/24HOlympiacos65-78
04/02/24ABarcelona79-76
01/02/24AAlba Berlin81-66
30/01/24ACrvena zvezda64-82
28/01/24HUnicaja63-83
26/01/24ABaskonia77-62
21/01/24ABasket Zaragoza85-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Bologna
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL62%
HomeWWWWL85%
AwayWLLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %62%85%38%
Points / game80.583.877.2
Allowed / game81.278.484.0
Point differential-0.7+5.5-6.8
Avg total161.7162.2161.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%31%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)67% (6)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valencia
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL50%
HomeWLLWL57%
AwayLLWLW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261412
Win %50%57%42%
Points / game76.177.974.0
Allowed / game76.077.074.8
Point differential+0.1+0.9-0.8
Avg total152.1154.9148.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%7%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)50% (8)0% (3)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2622485%89.079.9+9.2
2 Barcelona2618869%83.078.5+4.5
3 Panathinaikos26161062%80.877.4+3.5
4 Monaco26161062%81.379.0+2.3
5 Virtus Bologna26161062%80.581.2-0.7
6 Olympiacos26151158%78.775.2+3.5
7 Fenerbahce26151158%82.680.9+1.7
8 Baskonia26141254%83.383.5-0.1
9 Maccabi Tel Aviv27141352%87.187.8-0.6
10 Valencia26131350%76.176.0+0.1
11 Partizan26121446%83.083.6-0.6
12 Olimpia Milano26111542%76.976.7+0.3
13 Zalgiris Kaunas26111542%80.380.7-0.5
14 Bayern26111542%79.682.3-2.7
15 Anadolu Efes26111542%84.687.5-2.9
16 Crvena zvezda26101638%82.080.8+1.2
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne2652119%78.386.2-7.8
18 Alba Berlin2752219%75.985.7-9.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Virtus Bologna1826212287
Valencia2012251774
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