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Virtus Bologna vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 15 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 74-89
15-23 16-21 21-17 22-28
Position#8
Record17-11
FormLWLLW
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game80.7
Virtus Bologna
vs
Real Madrid 🏆
Position#1
Record22-6
FormWLWLW
Points / game88.6
Allowed / game80.8
EuropeEuroleagueRound 29· Segafredo Arena
European cup2023
Meetings · Virtus Bologna v Real Madrid
22 Dec 2026
VIR v MAD
upcoming
30 Sep 2025
VIR74
MAD68
13 Mar 2025
VIR67
MAD80
15 Mar 2024
VIR74
MAD89
24 Mar 2023
VIR79
MAD96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Bologna winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus BolognaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#5
L
57-84
57
84
-27
42avg 81
A31/01
Euroleague
Partizan
#11
W
88-84
88
84
+4
85avg 81
H02/02
Euroleague
Treviso
#13
W
100-61
100
61
+39
115avg 81
A05/02
Lega A
Monaco
#3
L
78-81
78
81
-3
71avg 81
H09/02
Euroleague
Scafati
#14
W
94-67
94
67
+27
96avg 81
H11/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#3
L
72-81
72
81
-9
62avg 81
H15/02
Italian Cup
Valencia
#14
W
87-74
87
74
+13
83avg 81
H29/02
Euroleague
Sassari
#8
L
88-93
88
93
-5
87avg 81
A03/03
Lega A
Olympiacos
#4
L
69-74
69
74
-5
59avg 81
A07/03
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
84-75
84
75
+9
81avg 81
H10/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-20
10-21
17-20
13-23
19-19
16-12
27-27
26-26
21-25
30-9
29-16
20-11
16-21
19-24
19-15
24-21
31-21
18-20
19-11
26-15
20-15
17-19
17-19
18-28
18-20
26-12
21-25
22-17
25-27
15-17
22-21
26-28
22-21
24-16
5-20
18-17
24-19
23-18
17-17
20-21
159.1Avg total
81.7Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)80.380.7161.0-0.461%
Season at home (14)84.178.1162.1+6.086%
Season away (14)76.683.3159.9-6.736%
Last 10 (10)81.777.4159.1+4.350%
Last 5 (5)80.079.4159.4+0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)71.378.2149.5-6.833%
vs Similar (12)82.481.7164.1+0.867%
vs Weaker (11)88.574.2162.7+14.473%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Basquet Girona
#14
W
92-79
92
79
+13
93avg 75
H04/02
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
76-81
76
81
-5
76avg 75
A08/02
Euroleague
Breogan
#16
W
80-73
80
73
+7
72avg 75
A11/02
ACB
Murcia
#5
W
84-79
84
79
+5
79avg 75
H15/02
Spanish Cup
Valencia
#3
W
95-76
95
76
+19
93avg 75
H17/02
Spanish Cup
Barcelona
#2
W
96-85
96
85
+11
76avg 75
H18/02
Spanish Cup
Panathinaikos
#2
L
86-97
86
97
-11
81avg 75
H29/02
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
89-70
89
70
+19
94avg 75
A03/03
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
L
79-89
79
89
-10
69avg 75
H07/03
Euroleague
Tenerife
#5
W
80-78
80
78
+2
81avg 75
H10/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-18
20-26
20-14
24-21
19-23
10-25
25-18
22-15
15-24
24-18
15-15
26-16
25-17
19-17
19-22
21-23
23-17
25-22
32-16
15-21
19-19
24-26
23-18
30-22
24-18
12-27
25-22
25-30
26-16
11-25
31-14
21-15
15-20
18-23
25-24
21-22
20-19
18-22
25-18
17-19
166.4Avg total
85.7Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)88.680.8169.4+7.879%
Season at home (15)92.583.1175.7+9.487%
Season away (13)84.078.2162.2+5.869%
Last 10 (10)85.780.7166.4+5.070%
Last 5 (5)86.083.8169.8+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)90.789.0179.7+1.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)87.780.8168.5+6.877%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: -5.0-5.0Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +5.9+5.9Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +1.8+1.8
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: -5.0-5.0Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +5.9+5.9Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +1.8+1.8
Virtus BolognaReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#5
L
27-41
27
41
-14
A31/01
Euroleague
Partizan
#11
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H02/02
Euroleague
Treviso
#13
W
51-34
51
34
+17
A05/02
Lega A
Monaco
#3
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H09/02
Euroleague
Scafati
#14
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H11/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#3
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H15/02
Italian Cup
Valencia
#14
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H29/02
Euroleague
Sassari
#8
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A03/03
Lega A
Olympiacos
#4
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A07/03
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H10/03
Lega A
78.7Avg total
41.1Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.639.581.2+2.150%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.039.280.2+1.853%-
Last 30 away (15)42.339.982.1+2.447%-
Last 10 (10)41.137.678.7+3.570%-
Last 5 (5)42.836.879.6+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)36.043.379.3-7.317%-
vs Similar (12)41.040.681.6+0.442%-
vs Weaker (11)45.836.882.6+9.073%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basquet Girona
#14
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H04/02
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
29-48
29
48
-19
A08/02
Euroleague
Breogan
#16
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A11/02
ACB
Murcia
#5
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H15/02
Spanish Cup
Valencia
#3
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H17/02
Spanish Cup
Barcelona
#2
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H18/02
Spanish Cup
Panathinaikos
#2
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H29/02
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A03/03
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H07/03
Euroleague
Tenerife
#5
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H10/03
ACB
81.7Avg total
39.5Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.240.282.3+2.060%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.838.882.6+5.171%-
Last 30 away (13)40.042.082.0-2.046%-
Last 10 (10)39.542.281.7-2.730%-
Last 5 (5)37.443.080.4-5.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)43.740.083.7+3.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)41.940.482.3+1.562%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 81.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.519.6
58.5%
53.4%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.79.5
34.3%
36.6%28.5
🏀 Free throws17.813.4
75.3%
77.4%13.4
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 85.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.7 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.120.2
56.0%
53.4%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.78.0
33.8%
36.6%24.0
🏀 Free throws24.720.7
83.8%
77.4%20.7
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Virtus Bologna
WLLWLWLWWL
Real Madrid
WLWLWWWWLW
#8
League position
#1
+6.8
Net rating
+7.7
112.1
Offensive rating
113.1
105.3
Defensive rating
105.3
55.3%
Effective FG%
53.8%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.3%
17.2%
Turnover %
18.8%
27.4%
Off. rebound %
30.2%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.41
34.3%
3-point %
33.8%
69.1%
Assist %
64.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence112.1 · 113.1Defence105.3 · 105.3Shooting55.3% · 53.8%3-point %34.3% · 33.8%Ball care17.2% · 18.8%Off. rebounds27.4% · 30.2%Free throws0.29 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Virtus Bologna   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Virtus Bologna wins
2
Real Madrid wins
DateGameScore
09/11/23Real Madrid v Virtus Bologna100-74
24/03/23Virtus Bologna v Real Madrid79-96
27/10/22Real Madrid v Virtus Bologna91-95
Virtus Bolognalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/24HOlimpia Milano84-75
07/03/24AOlympiacos69-74
03/03/24ASassari88-93
29/02/24HValencia87-74
15/02/24HReggiana72-81
11/02/24HScafati94-67
09/02/24HMonaco78-81
05/02/24ATreviso100-61
02/02/24HPartizan88-84
31/01/24ABarcelona57-84
Real Madridlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/24HTenerife80-78
07/03/24HFenerbahce79-89
03/03/24AMoraBanc Andorra89-70
29/02/24HPanathinaikos86-97
18/02/24HBarcelona96-85
17/02/24HValencia95-76
15/02/24HMurcia84-79
11/02/24ABreogan80-73
08/02/24AOlimpia Milano76-81
04/02/24HBasquet Girona92-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Bologna
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL61%
HomeWWWLW86%
AwayLLLLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %61%86%36%
Points / game80.384.176.6
Allowed / game80.778.183.3
Point differential-0.4+6.0-6.7
Avg total161.0162.1159.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%36%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)67% (6)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Real Madrid
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL79%
HomeWWWLL87%
AwayWLWLL69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281513
Win %79%87%69%
Points / game88.692.584.0
Allowed / game80.883.178.2
Point differential+7.8+9.4+5.8
Avg total169.4175.7162.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%53%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won70% (10)100% (4)50% (6)
Overtime %11%13%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2822679%88.680.8+7.8
2 Barcelona2920969%83.078.3+4.7
3 Monaco29191066%82.078.8+3.3
4 Olympiacos29181162%78.874.7+4.1
5 Panathinaikos29181162%81.077.1+3.9
6 Fenerbahce29181162%85.081.6+3.4
7 Virtus Bologna28171161%80.380.7-0.4
8 Baskonia29161355%84.183.6+0.5
9 Maccabi Tel Aviv29161355%86.987.1-0.2
10 Partizan29131645%83.384.2-0.9
11 Valencia29131645%76.578.2-1.7
12 Bayern28121643%79.682.7-3.1
13 Olimpia Milano29121741%77.177.4-0.3
14 Anadolu Efes29121741%85.587.8-2.3
15 Zalgiris Kaunas28111739%80.081.3-1.4
16 Crvena zvezda29101934%81.381.3+0.0
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne2972224%78.285.6-7.3
18 Alba Berlin2952417%75.985.9-10.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Virtus Bologna1516212274
Real Madrid2321172889
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