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CSKA Moscow vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 08 Mar 2019
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 101-95
27-24 24-19 25-23 25-29
Position#1
Record19-5
FormLWWWL
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game80.8
CSKA Moscow 🏆
vs
Olimpia Milano
Position#11
Record13-11
FormWLWWW
Points / game87.5
Allowed / game86.0
EuropeEuroleagueRound 25
European cup2018
Meetings · CSKA Moscow v Olimpia Milano
21 Jan 2022
CMO57
MIL67
11 Mar 2021
CMO76
MIL84
08 Mar 2019
CMO101
MIL95
12 Oct 2017
CMO93
MIL84
13 Jan 2017
CMO101
MIL64
13 Feb 2015
CMO97
MIL75
21 Oct 2010
CMO73
MIL88
22 Oct 2008
CMO90
MIL64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

CSKA Moscow winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CSKA MoscowLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMoscow
Date
Competition
Minsk
#14
W
101-61
101
61
+40
no box
A27/01
VTB United League
Zielona Gora
#13
W
102-78
102
78
+24
no box
H30/01
VTB United League
Buducnost
#15
W
99-69
99
69
+30
134avg 114
H01/02
Euroleague
Lokomotiv Kuban
#5
W
70-57
70
57
+13
no box
H03/02
VTB United League
Real Madrid
#3
W
82-78
82
78
+4
110avg 114
H08/02
Euroleague
Unics Kazan
#2
L
68-71
68
71
-3
no box
A11/02
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#12
W
79-69
79
69
+10
no box
A15/02
VTB United League
Gran Canaria
#14
W
107-85
107
85
+22
136avg 114
H21/02
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#6
W
97-81
97
81
+16
no box
A01/03
Euroleague
Khimki M.
#3
L
72-73 OT
72
73
-1
no box
A04/03
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-16
20-11
28-15
30-19
20-11
30-26
25-25
27-16
28-20
24-27
20-14
27-8
24-19
11-12
16-9
19-17
22-20
12-20
30-21
18-17
18-10
12-16
18-15
20-30
24-16
13-20
30-16
12-17
29-20
27-22
27-22
24-21
21-23
30-27
21-14
25-17
14-12
17-16
10-19
21-15
159.9Avg total
87.7Scored
72.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)88.080.8168.8+7.279%
Season at home (11)88.578.6167.1+9.891%
Season away (13)87.782.6170.3+5.169%
Last 10 (10)87.772.2159.9+15.580%
Last 5 (5)84.675.8160.4+8.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)88.082.2170.2+5.875%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)88.377.2165.5+11.273%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
W
80-70
80
70
+10
no box
H24/01
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#11
W
94-75
94
75
+19
115avg 116
H27/01
Lega A
Gran Canaria
#14
W
106-104 OT
106
104
+2
no box
A01/02
Euroleague
Pistoia
#16
L
0-20
0
20
-20
no box
A04/02
Lega A
Darussafaka
#16
W
90-78
90
78
+12
119avg 116
H08/02
Euroleague
Pesaro
#15
W
111-74
111
74
+37
143avg 116
H10/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#4
L
84-86
84
86
-2
no box
H14/02
Italian Cup
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
87-83
87
83
+4
115avg 116
H21/02
Euroleague
Khimki M.
#13
W
90-88
90
88
+2
116avg 116
A28/02
Euroleague
Torino
#13
W
110-91
110
91
+19
143avg 116
H03/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-13
13-17
18-20
28-20
22-16
26-16
19-26
27-17
27-28
12-18
29-21
21-22
–
–
–
–
19-17
21-19
20-25
30-17
29-18
30-10
21-21
31-25
22-17
14-24
18-22
30-23
20-22
27-25
17-15
23-21
20-25
25-29
20-19
25-15
35-22
26-12
22-26
27-31
162.1Avg total
85.2Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)87.586.0173.5+1.554%
Season at home (12)86.885.0171.8+1.858%
Season away (12)88.287.1175.2+1.150%
Last 10 (10)85.276.9162.1+8.380%
Last 5 (5)96.484.4180.8+12.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)85.092.0177.0-7.00%
vs Similar (15)83.383.7167.0-0.353%
vs Weaker (13)88.880.2169.1+8.669%
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.6+5.6Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +5.5+5.5Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: +5.7+5.7
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.6+5.6Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +5.5+5.5Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: +5.7+5.7
CSKA MoscowOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CSKA MoscowLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minsk
#14
W
43-27
43
27
+16
A27/01
VTB United League
Zielona Gora
#13
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H30/01
VTB United League
Buducnost
#15
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H01/02
Euroleague
Lokomotiv Kuban
#5
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H03/02
VTB United League
Real Madrid
#3
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H08/02
Euroleague
Unics Kazan
#2
W
30-26
30
26
+4
A11/02
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#12
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A15/02
VTB United League
Gran Canaria
#14
W
56-42
56
42
+14
H21/02
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#6
W
51-50
51
50
+1
A01/03
Euroleague
Khimki M.
#3
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A04/03
VTB United League
78.3Avg total
41.9Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.639.282.8+4.470%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.240.184.4+4.164%-
Last 30 away (16)43.138.481.4+4.775%-
Last 10 (10)41.936.478.3+5.590%-
Last 5 (5)41.036.477.4+4.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)44.042.886.8+1.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)43.538.782.2+4.973%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H24/01
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#11
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H27/01
Lega A
Gran Canaria
#14
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A01/02
Euroleague
Darussafaka
#16
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H08/02
Euroleague
Pesaro
#15
W
59-28
59
28
+31
H10/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#4
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H14/02
Italian Cup
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H21/02
Euroleague
Khimki M.
#13
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A28/02
Euroleague
Torino
#13
W
61-34
61
34
+27
H03/03
Lega A
84.1Avg total
45.4Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)42.840.583.2+2.352%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.337.480.7+5.960%-
Last 30 away (14)42.243.886.0-1.643%-
Last 10 (9)45.438.784.1+6.856%-
Last 5 (5)49.640.890.4+8.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)40.040.080.0+0.00%-
vs Similar (15)40.841.482.2-0.653%-
vs Weaker (12)46.039.385.3+6.758%-
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
CSKA Moscowtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSKA Moscow: 86.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.9 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.321.6
53.6%
52.7%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.38.1
38.0%
37.0%24.3
🏀 Free throws23.818.9
79.4%
76.7%18.9
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 89.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.720.8
55.2%
52.7%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.410.9
42.9%
37.0%32.7
🏀 Free throws20.515.5
75.6%
76.7%15.5
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Mar 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
CSKA Moscow
LWWWLWWWWW
Olimpia Milano
WWWLWWLWWW
#1
League position
#11
+11.1
Net rating
+12.9
122.7
Offensive rating
119.6
111.7
Defensive rating
106.7
54.8%
Effective FG%
58.9%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
16.4%
Turnover %
15.0%
40.4%
Off. rebound %
25.2%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.32
38.0%
3-point %
42.9%
61.6%
Assist %
50.5%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence122.7 · 119.6Defence111.7 · 106.7Shooting54.8% · 58.9%3-point %38.0% · 42.9%Ball care16.4% · 15.0%Off. rebounds40.4% · 25.2%Free throws0.39 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)80% · 80%
■ CSKA Moscow   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
CSKA Moscow wins
3
Olimpia Milano wins
DateGameScore
08/11/18Olimpia Milano v CSKA Moscow85-90
11/01/18Olimpia Milano v CSKA Moscow81-107
12/10/17CSKA Moscow v Olimpia Milano93-84
13/01/17CSKA Moscow v Olimpia Milano101-64
08/12/16Olimpia Milano v CSKA Moscow64-79
09/04/15Olimpia Milano v CSKA Moscow79-88
13/02/15CSKA Moscow v Olimpia Milano97-75
24/11/10Olimpia Milano v CSKA Moscow71-65
21/10/10CSKA Moscow v Olimpia Milano73-88
03/12/08Olimpia Milano v CSKA Moscow80-79
CSKA Moscowlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/19AKhimki M.72-73 OT
01/03/19AOlympiacos97-81
21/02/19HGran Canaria107-85
15/02/19AParma Perm79-69
11/02/19AUnics Kazan68-71
08/02/19HReal Madrid82-78
03/02/19HLokomotiv Kuban70-57
01/02/19HBuducnost99-69
30/01/19HZielona Gora102-78
27/01/19AMinsk101-61
Olimpia Milanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/19HTorino110-91
28/02/19AKhimki M.90-88
21/02/19HMaccabi Tel Aviv87-83
14/02/19HVirtus Bologna84-86
10/02/19HPesaro111-74
08/02/19HDarussafaka90-78
04/02/19APistoia0-20
01/02/19AGran Canaria106-104 OT
27/01/19HVirtus Bologna94-75
24/01/19HZalgiris Kaunas80-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

CSKA Moscow
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW79%
HomeLWWWW91%
AwayLWWWW69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241113
Win %79%91%69%
Points / game88.088.587.7
Allowed / game80.878.682.6
Point differential+7.2+9.8+5.1
Avg total168.8167.1170.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%45%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won73% (11)100% (4)57% (7)
Overtime %4%9%0%
Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW54%
HomeWLWWW58%
AwayLLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %54%58%50%
Points / game87.586.888.2
Allowed / game86.085.087.1
Point differential+1.5+1.8+1.1
Avg total173.5171.8175.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%25%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (13)57% (7)50% (6)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce2521484%84.675.6+9.1
2 CSKA Moscow2419579%88.080.8+7.2
3 Real Madrid2519676%86.077.0+9.0
4 Anadolu Efes2415962%84.179.8+4.4
5 Barcelona2415962%78.275.7+2.5
6 Olimpia Milano24131154%87.586.0+1.5
7 Baskonia24121250%81.079.5+1.5
8 Olympiacos24121250%77.877.5+0.3
9 Maccabi Tel Aviv25121348%79.279.1+0.1
10 Panathinaikos25121348%79.479.4-0.0
11 Bayern25121348%79.280.4-1.2
12 Zalgiris Kaunas25101540%78.578.9-0.4
13 Khimki M.2491538%78.480.0-1.6
14 Buducnost2461825%74.684.6-10.0
15 Gran Canaria2561924%78.589.4-10.9
16 Darussafaka2532212%74.085.1-11.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
CSKA Moscow27242525101
Olimpia Milano2419232995
← all games of the day
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